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SBP restricts outflow of dollars

maithil

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Amid declining foreign exchange reserves, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has started choking the outflow of dollars of small amounts of less than $100,000 to avoid a further dip in the reserves, exposing many factories to the risk of closure and monetary penalties. The restrictive measures by the central bank are part of various capital controls that Pakistan is applying to avert a default-like situation amid a delay in approval and disbursement of $1.12 billion loan tranche by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), according to the sources.

The federal government also did not lift a two-month ban on imports on Monday, indicating the gravity of the situation. The SBP is discouraging imports being made through the Letters of Credit (LCs) and against open accounts like Cash Against Document (CAD) import schemes, according to the industry people. In the CAD scheme, the exporter presents an invoice and dispatches documents through its bank to the importer’s bank. The importer’s bank delivers the documents to the importer only after payment to the exporter through the remitting bank.

But the SBP has now linked the release of these documents with its permission, delaying import clearance to save dollars. Many industries are now facing shortage of raw material and are on the verge of cutting their production. Factories importing raw material for producing food, medicines and iron are now facing serious supply constraints. “We imported raw material from Dubai in order to ensure smooth functioning of our operations but due to non-release of our import documents and consequent non-availability of raw material, the mill is on the verge of closure,” said Ibrahim Tariq Shafi, Executive Director of Ittefaq Iron Industries Limited.

Shafi said that his company has so far paid Rs7.5 million in demurrage charges to the port authorities due to delay in clearance of their imports that are stuck at the port because of the central bank. According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, the Largescale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) output contracted 1.3% in May when compared with April, indicating that industries have started feeling the heat of contractionary measures. Overall, the LSM increased 11.7% during July-May 2021-22 when compared with the same period of last year, according to the PBS. Details showed that the central bank was not giving permission to clear the import documents even in cases where the amount was as small as $33,571.

About 15 consignments of the Ittefaq mill having total value of just $2 million were pending at the ports as of July 5. Out of this, the central bank gave permission for only four consignments, including two that were cleared this week. No foreign supplier will agree to do business with us or others under the cash against document, which will very badly impact and lead to closure of all imports-based industries importing raw material under this scheme instead of letter of credit, according to Ibrahim. The company imports scrap and ferros for the manufacturing of the steel. The local banks have been informing their clients that even small amounts like less than $100,000 cannot be cleared in bulk in individual categories. One company can get only one document of less than $100,000 a day, according to the SBP’s instructions to the bank.

“We had hoped that all restrictions on imports would be eased after the announcement of the staff level agreement with the IMF but it now seems that the restrictions will remain in place at least till the end of August,” a person who is directly involved in the decision making told The Express Tribune. The IMF is going on recess from next month and during this time Pakistan will be required to implement all the prior actions that will take time. It seems that the government also does not have many options but to wait for the IMF the tranche.

And the IMF was waiting for the notification of increase in electricity prices and more importantly whether the government can arrange $4 billion to bridge the financing gap against $35.1 billion needs for this fiscal year. Without seeking assurance of $4 billion additional funding, the IMF will not take Pakistan’s case to its board for approval. Markets have again panicked after the PML-Ns’ defeat in Punjab and the rupee suffered its singleday highest loss in almost two and half years. The rupee closed at Rs215.20 to a dollar in the interbank on Monday – the loss of Rs4.25 to a dollar in just one day. As of July 7th, Pakistan’s gross official foreign exchange reserves remained at just $9.7 billion – hardly sufficient for seven weeks of imports at their current level.

This is despite the fact that the central bank is also not allowing free repatriation of dividends. The federal government had also imposed a ban on imports of roughly 41 dozen goods in addition to imposing quota restrictions on other items like cars and mobile phones parts. The federal government has not yet lifted a ban on import of these goods, which was placed exactly two months ago. A Commerce Ministry official said that the government was reviewing the impact of the ban on imports and a summary will soon be tabled before the federal cabinet for a decision.

 
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Amid declining foreign exchange reserves, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has started choking the outflow of dollars of small amounts of less than $100,000 to avoid a further dip in the reserves, exposing many factories to the risk of closure and monetary penalties. The restrictive measures by the central bank are part of various capital controls that Pakistan is applying to avert a default-like situation amid a delay in approval and disbursement of $1.12 billion loan tranche by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), according to the sources.

The federal government also did not lift a two-month ban on imports on Monday, indicating the gravity of the situation. The SBP is discouraging imports being made through the Letters of Credit (LCs) and against open accounts like Cash Against Document (CAD) import schemes, according to the industry people. In the CAD scheme, the exporter presents an invoice and dispatches documents through its bank to the importer’s bank. The importer’s bank delivers the documents to the importer only after payment to the exporter through the remitting bank.

But the SBP has now linked the release of these documents with its permission, delaying import clearance to save dollars. Many industries are now facing shortage of raw material and are on the verge of cutting their production. Factories importing raw material for producing food, medicines and iron are now facing serious supply constraints. “We imported raw material from Dubai in order to ensure smooth functioning of our operations but due to non-release of our import documents and consequent non-availability of raw material, the mill is on the verge of closure,” said Ibrahim Tariq Shafi, Executive Director of Ittefaq Iron Industries Limited.

Shafi said that his company has so far paid Rs7.5 million in demurrage charges to the port authorities due to delay in clearance of their imports that are stuck at the port because of the central bank. According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, the Largescale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) output contracted 1.3% in May when compared with April, indicating that industries have started feeling the heat of contractionary measures. Overall, the LSM increased 11.7% during July-May 2021-22 when compared with the same period of last year, according to the PBS. Details showed that the central bank was not giving permission to clear the import documents even in cases where the amount was as small as $33,571.

About 15 consignments of the Ittefaq mill having total value of just $2 million were pending at the ports as of July 5. Out of this, the central bank gave permission for only four consignments, including two that were cleared this week. No foreign supplier will agree to do business with us or others under the cash against document, which will very badly impact and lead to closure of all imports-based industries importing raw material under this scheme instead of letter of credit, according to Ibrahim. The company imports scrap and ferros for the manufacturing of the steel. The local banks have been informing their clients that even small amounts like less than $100,000 cannot be cleared in bulk in individual categories. One company can get only one document of less than $100,000 a day, according to the SBP’s instructions to the bank.

“We had hoped that all restrictions on imports would be eased after the announcement of the staff level agreement with the IMF but it now seems that the restrictions will remain in place at least till the end of August,” a person who is directly involved in the decision making told The Express Tribune. The IMF is going on recess from next month and during this time Pakistan will be required to implement all the prior actions that will take time. It seems that the government also does not have many options but to wait for the IMF the tranche.

And the IMF was waiting for the notification of increase in electricity prices and more importantly whether the government can arrange $4 billion to bridge the financing gap against $35.1 billion needs for this fiscal year. Without seeking assurance of $4 billion additional funding, the IMF will not take Pakistan’s case to its board for approval. Markets have again panicked after the PML-Ns’ defeat in Punjab and the rupee suffered its singleday highest loss in almost two and half years. The rupee closed at Rs215.20 to a dollar in the interbank on Monday – the loss of Rs4.25 to a dollar in just one day. As of July 7th, Pakistan’s gross official foreign exchange reserves remained at just $9.7 billion – hardly sufficient for seven weeks of imports at their current level.

This is despite the fact that the central bank is also not allowing free repatriation of dividends. The federal government had also imposed a ban on imports of roughly 41 dozen goods in addition to imposing quota restrictions on other items like cars and mobile phones parts. The federal government has not yet lifted a ban on import of these goods, which was placed exactly two months ago. A Commerce Ministry official said that the government was reviewing the impact of the ban on imports and a summary will soon be tabled before the federal cabinet for a decision.

What next?
 
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First major imminent sign on getting defaulted.

needs $2-3 billions in the next few days from any where
 
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Zabardast Shabaz Speed. This is what Pakistani nation was waiting for from its economic savior.
Imran Khan left massive financial mines for the incoming Government; politics aside, that was a major disservice to Pakistan and Pakistanis. SS can also do the exact same and leave some major financial mines for the incoming Government, resign and gift the Government to IK after which he can continue to create problems while in the opposition.
Pakistan will be the ultimate loser.
 
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Imran Khan left massive financial mines for the incoming Government; politics aside, that was a major disservice to Pakistan and Pakistanis. SS can also do the exact same and leave some major financial mines for the incoming Government, resign and gift the Government to IK after which he can continue to create problems while in the opposition.
Pakistan will be the ultimate loser.

Imran Khan planned to govern till the end of his term. Did he leave mines for himself?
 
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Pakistan needs a 3 to 5 year ban on unnecessary imports.
And state to provide support so newer business can be created , but a quality control enforcement is a must so Pakistani people can trust on local brands
Most countries are focusing on giving priority to local items being used specially food related while in Pakistan its the otherway but its understandable since how bad the quality is in Pakistan
 
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looks like SBP was given out false report under PMLN about remittances
 
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Imran Khan left massive financial mines for the incoming Government; politics aside, that was a major disservice to Pakistan and Pakistanis.

Pleaseeeeeee !!!!!!!!This is a 'very' weak counter argument by Noony supporters. They perfectly knew what shit they are going into it but all they care was the power and clearance of corruption cases. Are they so naive not identify those so called 'massive financial mines' in advance ?
 
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Imran Khan planned to govern till the end of his term. Did he leave mines for himself?
You are his follower, right? And yet you do not know that he was aware of his ouster when he was given the 3 options by the establishment and that is the time he left the financial mines. Is it too hard to understand that even countries like the US, UK, and other first world countries were reeling from the high Oil cost and yet IK decided to give subsidy even though we had also committed to IMF on removing the subsidies and imposing levies?

Pleaseeeeeee !!!!!!!!This is a 'very' weak counter argument by Noony supporters. They perfectly knew what shit they are going into it but all they care was the power and clearance of corruption cases. Are they so naive not identify those so called 'massive financial mines' in advance ?
That I agree on. They knew and they should have had a plan. They should have removed the subsidies on the day SS took the oath instead of waiting for weeks after weeks which compounded the problem.

The problem is this SS and Miftah nexus which is absolutely unable to control the situation.
 
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You are his follower, right? And yet you do not know that he was aware of his ouster when he was given the 3 options by the establishment and that is the time he left the financial mines. Is it too hard to understand that even countries like the US, UK, and other first world countries were reeling from the high Oil cost and yet IK decided to give subsidy even though we had also committed to IMF on removing the subsidies and imposing levies?

Subsidy was costed and accounted for. It was a short term measure that was due to expire in June anyway. He also couldn't have predicted the war and the sharp rise in oil prices. He was also planning the import of oil at a discounted rate as a long term measure.

The chor he was replaced by failed to act. They failed to end the subsidy, they failed to take up the same deal that India has.
 
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Subsidy was costed and accounted for. It was a short term measure that was due to expire in June anyway. He also couldn't have predicted the war and the sharp rise in oil prices. He was also planning the import of oil at a discounted rate as a long term measure.

The chor he was replaced by failed to act. They failed to end the subsidy, they failed to take up the same deal that India has.
The subsidy was announced in early March, the war began in February and cost of Petroleum products had already started to spiral out of control. There was no room in the Budget, which was already short of target, to account for hundreds of Billions of additional subsidies. Most importantly. in January IK and Tarin had committed to IMF that all remaining subsidies on petroleum and electricity would be removed and the IMF released the tranche of 1 Billion in January based on this commitment; however, Imran Khan became aware of the numbers game in the NCV and hence planted the financial mines.

As for the discounted oil thing, it was never offered. It may be a possibility, but not something on which we could have banked and started giving subsidies in advance. I mean, India and China are raising cost of Petroleum products despite buying Oil at up to 30% discount........then how on Earth could we afford to offer subsidies running in the many hundreds of Billions of rupees despite logging up a massive massive debt of 20,000 Billion in under 4 years?

And yes, the chor who replaced the dakoo messed the already messy situation even more because of which we are in dire situation today. But the blame starts with IK and ends with SS.
 
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You are his follower, right? And yet you do not know that he was aware of his ouster when he was given the 3 options by the establishment and that is the time he left the financial mines. Is it too hard to understand that even countries like the US, UK, and other first world countries were reeling from the high Oil cost and yet IK decided to give subsidy even though we had also committed to IMF on removing the subsidies and imposing levies?


That I agree on. They knew and they should have had a plan. They should have removed the subsidies on the day SS took the oath instead of waiting for weeks after weeks which compounded the problem.

The problem is this SS and Miftah nexus which is absolutely unable to control the situation.
1- political uncertianty caused by PDM power grab that will continue till 2023
2- IF subsidy was wrong why was it continued for 1 month longer duration then IK had it!
3- why was oil not procured from russia. Russia has no sanctions unlike iran
4- dollar is getting stronger internationally and oil prices are high all time yet CAD IS NO WHERE Near the level of 2018
5- pakistan problem is CAD fueled by LOWER exports a trend that has been the hall mark of sharif family. This was only broken three times in last 40 yrs by mushi zardari and IK

if we praise zardari on soemthing that really tells you how bad things are
 
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1- political uncertianty caused by PDM power grab that will continue till 2023
2- IF subsidy was wrong why was it continued for 1 month longer duration then IK had it!
3- why was oil not procured from russia. Russia has no sanctions unlike iran
4- dollar is getting stronger internationally and oil prices are high all time yet CAD IS NO WHERE Near the level of 2018
5- pakistan problem is CAD fueled by LOWER exports a trend that has been the hall mark of sharif family. This was only broken three times in last 40 yrs by mushi zardari and IK

if we praise zardari on soemthing that really tells you how bad things are
1. Political instability leads to Financial instability - Agreed!
2. It was continued because Miftah and Shahbaz are retards 100%.
3. Because Russia was not offering Oil at subsidized rates and also because it was only selling in Rubles which would have cost us even more to buy. There are many other considerations too. Basically, unless Russia offers discount, there is no benefit in procuring Russian Oil.
4. Over 72 Billion in imports, 31 Billion in Remittances and 30 Billion in exports. CAD is still very high. (in 2018 we made massive CPEC related import payments and payments on account of Submarines which we were acquiring from China just like we paid for the J-10's this year).
5. Agreed. But also look at the circumstances. Which country of the world can improve exports with 18 hours of daily load shedding (which was the case when PML came to power in 2013)?
 
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