Indos
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Once the pandemic is over starting in 2022 inshaAllah, the oil price will likely to jump into a range of 60-70 USD per barrel. I predict the oil price will increase slowly this year into 60 USD per barrel at the end of this year as the pandemic situation seems to get better due to vaccination program.
The price will not likely to exceed 70 USD per-barrel due to electric car sales growth for US, European, and China market will keep continuing where developing countries will likely start getting good EV sales after 2025 even though still not yet reach significant numbers.
Oil price will likely get huge pressured after 2030 but I suspect the price is not just falling because the supply side will also weaken as oil companies will try to put more investment on renewable project, particularly in Europe and USA rather than finding more oil fields or do more drilling investment.
I would say starting in 2040 most cars in the world will be electric and this is the time where oil industry will likely decrease significantly and only supply oil for military vehicles, airplanes, ships, and maybe trucks and other heavy vehicle and machinery. Oil is still generated but in much lower production rate. Having oil field will still be regarded as very strategic despite not making much money like what it used to do, and I think at this period Indonesia will be self sufficient and doesnt need to import oil anymore.
Gas and coal will likely still survive in 2040 and will keep supplying for power plants in China, India, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and other developing countries, where for European and USA coal power plant will likely not exist anymore but they will likely still use limited amount of coal for their steel industry.
The price will not likely to exceed 70 USD per-barrel due to electric car sales growth for US, European, and China market will keep continuing where developing countries will likely start getting good EV sales after 2025 even though still not yet reach significant numbers.
Oil price will likely get huge pressured after 2030 but I suspect the price is not just falling because the supply side will also weaken as oil companies will try to put more investment on renewable project, particularly in Europe and USA rather than finding more oil fields or do more drilling investment.
I would say starting in 2040 most cars in the world will be electric and this is the time where oil industry will likely decrease significantly and only supply oil for military vehicles, airplanes, ships, and maybe trucks and other heavy vehicle and machinery. Oil is still generated but in much lower production rate. Having oil field will still be regarded as very strategic despite not making much money like what it used to do, and I think at this period Indonesia will be self sufficient and doesnt need to import oil anymore.
Gas and coal will likely still survive in 2040 and will keep supplying for power plants in China, India, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and other developing countries, where for European and USA coal power plant will likely not exist anymore but they will likely still use limited amount of coal for their steel industry.
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