Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510605421773471746

 

[Paul2]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510605421773471746

Russians are now keeping giant distances in between nearest contact, and the body of forced.

What we see in a back-and-forth in between Kherson, and Mikolaiv is what how the rest of the war will likelly look like.

The moment one side gets temporary advantage in a close quarter firefight, artillery comes, and the artillery duel starts.

The 2km man-portable ATGMs are certainly not enough now. The enemy has adapted.

Something far more long range is needed, man-portable Hellfire, or Tow 2 can be that.

 

[jhungary]

I don't envision any rollbacks from Kherson, Myackileiv, Zap, Donetsk, Luhansk and Crimea oblasts probably not Kharkiv either but I could see a world where there is DMZ and Ukraine in 2 parts where round 2 fighting takes place again few years down the road but the DMZ partition is a reality. I also agree with the EU sanctions being more effective due to them having more assets in the Euro-Zone but it's also surprisingly how Russian currency bounced back there is no explaination could perhaps be the gold...



This is absolutely off-topic and thread derailment.. @LeGenD @The Eagle @waz @Foxtrot Alpha

Well, military situation is independent to the talk, you talk regardless on the situation on the ground, but whether or not you get any favourable result largely due to what you have in term of Bargaining chips.

Already posted earlier today that peace talk now would be useless, neither Russia and Ukraine have any sort of advantage for them to settle on the table instead of on the ground. There is a big Ukrainian offensive coming (You can see from what the EU and US is sending the Ukrainian) talks may be possible after this counter offensive, which if I have to guess, it would be down south to relieve Odesa and possibly going back to pre-war Southern Ukraine line.

The reason Russian currency bounce back is not because of gold, it's because they stop people from trading foreign currency and increased interest rate to 20% IIRC (could be wrong on the %). That will keep Rouble back into Russian Central Bank. That is the reason why Rouble bounced back. On the other hand, they are just trading currency shortage with non-flexible economic development. Because you are looking at centralise your currency by basically holding them all, there are two problem associated with this, One is inflation, and the other is you basically stopped external trade. International trade don't use Rouble and if you do use, you decentralise your currency. How long can it hold depends on how long can Russia stop the "Rouble Bleed" that is why Putin decree everyone buying Russian resource have to use Rouble. Now, whether or not the west will listen is another problem.

 

[OldTwilight]

No, i said Russia must be crushed out of ukraine. Maybe you dont understand english well enough

I understand well , you simply said

Analysts here in Germany say that this should spill on russian soil. Push them out of ukraine and then attack russian cities.

attacking Russian cities mean to kill Russians ...

well , this is war and I don't have much love for Russians , but there is not much difference between you so called " Westerns " and Russians ...

both of you are from same tree and savagery is in your blood ...

 

[FuturePAF]

Russian tech is mostly trash and garbage. As is the SU 35. What do you want reverse engineer? There is nothing on it with any value.

Not reverse engineer to use per say, but to identify their weaknesses. There are a lot of operators of Russian equipment. Knowing the ins and outs of their technology is more then half the fight.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510693624434077699

Antiship Harppons now in Odessa

That’s probably where this war is going to be make or break for the Russians, taking Odessa and the entire black sea coast or not.

 

[jhungary]

Is the siege on the city itself broken by the Ukraine armed forces because last time I remember there was a siege on the city itself but the russians only controlled about 20% of the oblast which is not much hence the Kharkiv area resistance has been successful compared to other areas

Russia tried on the city early on, it was pushed back 3 weeks into the war, now Kharkiv is like Kyiv before, Russia is on the satellite city outside Kharkiv, they are not inside the city like in Mariupol.

Russians are now keeping giant distances in between nearest contact, and the body of forced.

What we see in a back-and-forth in between Kherson, and Mikolaiv is what how the rest of the war will likelly look like.

The moment one side gets temporary advantage in a close quarter firefight, artillery comes, and the artillery duel starts.

The 2km man-portable ATGMs are certainly not enough now. The enemy has adapted.

Something far more long range is needed, man-portable Hellfire, or Tow 2 can be that.

You can't start a counter offensive with static weapon, you will need mobile weapon on that. Which mean attack helicopter and tank, supported by Artillery or Armed Drone.

There is a major shift on western equipment aid toward mobile weaponry (APC, IFV, Tank, SPG and so on) and that is an indication that a major push is coming....You don't ask for tank if you are not planning on a push.......

 

[OldTwilight]

Look like despite all claims , we were doing most planing and fighting in Syria ( which was overflowed with foreign fighters and ATGMs ) not Russians ... they just took the credit ...

 

[Paul2]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510626306844729348

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510627099119337477

These are likelly the remains of cutoff BTGs which tried to reach Chornobyl, and then when they understood that Irpin is retaken by Ukrainians did turn West, and left through Puskivka, and around Korosten.

Also, now there are reports of tens of units of armour sank in Pripyat river from units which didn't manage to reach the bridge.

I thought those BTRs, and BMPs are amphibious. Not so much apparently after battle damage, and decades in storage.

 

[patero]

Well, military situation is independent to the talk, you talk regardless on the situation on the ground, but whether or not you get any favourable result largely due to what you have in term of Bargaining chips.

Already posted earlier today that peace talk now would be useless, neither Russia and Ukraine have any sort of advantage for them to settle on the table instead of on the ground. There is a big Ukrainian offensive coming (You can see from what the EU and US is sending the Ukrainian) talks may be possible after this counter offensive, which if I have to guess, it would be down south to relieve Odesa and possibly going back to pre-war Southern Ukraine line.

The reason Russian currency bounce back is not because of gold, it's because they stop people from trading foreign currency and increased interest rate to 20% IIRC (could be wrong on the %). That will keep Rouble back into Russian Central Bank. That is the reason why Rouble bounced back. On the other hand, they are just trading currency shortage with non-flexible economic development. Because you are looking at centralise your currency by basically holding them all, there are two problem associated with this, One is inflation, and the other is you basically stopped external trade. International trade don't use Rouble and if you do use, you decentralise your currency. How long can it hold depends on how long can Russia stop the "Rouble Bleed" that is why Putin decree everyone buying Russian resource have to use Rouble. Now, whether or not the west will listen is another problem.

This pay in roubles move is also just for political purposes to create the impression Putin's Russia and it's economy are stronger than it actually is. The same can be said for the rebound in the value of the rouble, a combination of strict capital controls on outflows and as you mentioned high interest rates are artificially raising the value of the Rouble. Again, it's largely for political purposes but only serves to mask the real state of the Russian economy.

This pay in Roubles tactic doesn't change the fundamentals of foreign currency transactions, it only changes the order in which foreign currencies are converted to Roubles (by the Russian banks that aren't yet sanctioned) then received by a Russian exporter such as Gazprom, rather than the other way around. It doesn't really change anything.

 

[Messerschmitt]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510699774814695429

 

[Paul2]

Russia tried on the city early on, it was pushed back 3 weeks into the war, now Kharkiv is like Kyiv before, Russia is on the satellite city outside Kharkiv, they are not inside the city like in Mariupol.


You can't start a counter offensive with static weapon, you will need mobile weapon on that. Which mean attack helicopter and tank, supported by Artillery or Armed Drone.

There is a major shift on western equipment aid toward mobile weaponry (APC, IFV, Tank, SPG and so on) and that is an indication that a major push is coming....You don't ask for tank if you are not planning on a push.......

Definitely, Ukrainian push in Kherson is so far only been probing their defences with light infantry.

They are waiting

 

[bobo6661]

Guess russians fked themself more near izium where they destroyed the dam at Oskil Water Reservoir the land will be even harder to pass there

 

[Messerschmitt]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510679194157699076

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510635813402550275

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510635826031517699

https://twitter.com/x/status/1510672889812594690

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Seems like some of the sanctions may be repealed based on peace discussion

Sanctions will only be lifted if Russia abandons the SPFS and CHIPS financial systems; otherwise, the conflict between Russia and the West will forever go on.

 

[NAVDEEP DHALIWAL]

man i know my point you will find many retards in india as in ukraine now go buy some cloths in your Hiltler shop
View attachment 830069
and have some ice cream on your way

View attachment 830075

These are people trying to make money out of sensational naming the product.
Nothing to do with NAZI lol.