Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[fallschirmjager786]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499855858456567809

Pretty interesting read. Thoughts?? China will for sure be exploiting the Russian bear. Doesn't look like the Russians thought it would be this bad with Europe completely turning on them.

Read the full twitter thread for context.

 

[Wood]

Sweet deal for Poland.

"FT reports that the US is working with the Polish government to supply MiG-29s to Ukraine in exchange for US F-16s"


"The deal would involve Ukraine receiving Russian-made warplanes from Poland, which would then be given American F-16s by the US to refill its stocks. It comes amid fears Russia will increase air strikes given the slow progress of parts of its ground campaign."

The White House said it was negotiating with Poland and consulting other Nato allies but that there were “a number of challenging practical questions, including how the planes could actually be transferred from Poland to Ukraine”.

Zelensky had expressed appreciation for the stingers, but said they were insufficient because they were not able to fly high enough to take out some Russian aircraft.

Zelensky opened the call with US lawmakers with a 20-minute plea for more American support. At one point during his emotional presentation, he paused to ask one of the American lawmakers to mute themselves. “Senator Rick Scott, please mute your mic,” said the Ukrainian leader, who was dressed in his customary T-shirt, according to one person on the call.

US works with Poland to provide Ukraine with fighter jets

Kyiv ratchets up pressure on west to bolster its air force so it can repel Russian air strikes

www.ft.com

US should offer the same deal to India as well

It's harder than you thought, because to do that, China will have to have parallel production line.

Bear in mind US sanction can directly and indirectly affect Chinese business. Directly is for those Chinese company that also have contract in the US, it can still be affected by US (remember how US accuse Huawei for circumcising US sanction and trade with Iran?) and indirectly even if that Chinese company did not have any US contract.

Say for example, Oppo, a Chinese phone company, want to take over Russia after Samsung and Apple left. Yes, they can, because Oppo did not operate in the US, however, Oppo phones uses US technology (Wifi Adapter, CPU, GPU and so on) US Company are not allow to have business with Russia, so if any Oppo phone have any US Technology on it, they will need to rip that off that phone and replace it with Chinese own component.

The problem is, now you have 2 phones, one specifically for Russia without any US or EU technology, and the other is for rest of the world, but you would still have to invest in another production line just for the phone destine for Russia, question is, would Oppo do that?

China may be able to take over Russia market on simple stuff (like Furniture, Primary product and so on) but complex manufacturing would most definitely impacted by the sanction.

The problem that I've seen with many people in this forum is that they don't know how sanctions work. They think that sanctions mean that US has given an order that people should not trade with the sanctioned country

 

[jhungary]

NATO spends a combined $1 Trillion on Defense, out of which the US spends $800 billion. Only a fool would think the Russians even stand a chance in a conventional fight against NATO.

I am simply at a loss at how Russia executed this war. The entire Russian General Staff should be fired, and i used to have the highest amount of respect for the Russian General Staff.

Or killed.....

If you had followed the news, Major General Andrey Sukhovetsky was killed in Hostomel a few days ago, along with 2 other subordinate general.

Normally, a General in that rank would not be in the front, he is 4 or 5 rank above the people that are in the front, this is like Omar Bradley was killed on the landing at Normandy...he is killed either means one of the 2 things.

1.) He was pushed by Putin to go look at what's wrong on the line, which mean Putin think the progress is unacceptable.
2.) He thought that a place was secured by instead Ukrainian have the ability to penetrate the Russian rear.

Either way it does not spell a rosy picture for the Russian advance, and I can only see Putin would whip their general and they may have to take the risk themselves, I would not be envy those in charge right now..

US should offer the same deal to India as well


The problem that I've seen with many people in this forum is that they don't know how sanctions work

Yeah, people are blinded to believe what they want to believe.

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1500182801580240905

 

[jhungary]

yeah the public order equipment got me thinking this was an advance column and not a relief one.

It's the other way around.

Russia doctrine dictated that the spearhead force will continue the advance and not occupy the city, that mean those convoy is highly probably be reserve troop that was used to occupy the country. Occupation troop are usually lightly equipment because the bulk of fighting has already been done by the invading troop...

In general, you don't use your invading troop, or your crack troop, to stop to occupy a City, because doing that you lost momentum...you want to keep the momentum going and pressure your enemy.

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1500100090236702720

 

[RescueRanger]

It's the other way around.

Russia doctrine dictated that the spearhead force will continue the advance and not occupy the city, that mean those convoy is highly probably be reserve troop that was used to occupy the country. Occupation troop are usually lightly equipment because the bulk of fighting has already been done by the invading troop...

In general, you don't use your invading troop, or your crack troop, to stop to occupy a City, because doing that you lost momentum...you want to keep the momentum going and pressure your enemy.

Well they’ve made a dogs dinner of it now anyway

 

[Madni Bappa]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1500100090236702720

Damn big for habibis to be saying this.

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1500189388202037250

 

[Microsoft]

I wish I could do a q and a with the "anyone but Trump" crowd.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1499882430668619780

 

[PK784]

Well they’ve made a dogs dinner of it now anyway

History is repeating itself:

"Despite Russia's overwhelming advantages in firepower, manpower, weaponry, artillery, combat vehicles, airstrikes and air support, the resulting widespread demoralization of federal forces and the almost universal opposition of the Russian public to the conflict led Boris Yeltsin's government to declare a ceasefire with the Chechens in 1996, and finally a peace treaty in 1997."

 

[The SC]

The Yamal-Europe pipeline has halted all westbound gas supplies, meaning the flow from Russia to Germany has been suspended indefinitely.
Russia meets nearly 40% of European gas demand via this route, and the halting of the supply could potentially cause gas prices in Europe to skyrocket.
Utility prices in some European nations have already hit record highs amid the EU’s imposition of sanctions on Russia.

 

[jhungary]

Well they’ve made a dogs dinner of it now anyway

Well, latest intel suggested that it still days away before Kharkiv are in any reasonable risk to fall to the Russian. things can change in a minutes tho, if Russia can pick up the pieces and regroup.

But then I have been saying this for the last 8 days, really....

 

[The SC]

 

[Wood]

View attachment 821170
The Yamal-Europe pipeline has halted all westbound gas supplies, meaning the flow from Russia to Germany has been suspended indefinitely.
Russia meets nearly 40% of European gas demand via this route, and the halting of the supply could potentially cause gas prices in Europe to skyrocket.
Utility prices in some European nations have already hit record highs amid the EU’s imposition of sanctions on Russia.

Aggressive move. This will test European resolve like nothing else can