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Powers warn Iran 'now is the time' for nuclear deal

FaujHistorian

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West is hoping a false hope. How is it possible that Iranians will open their state secrets for international inspections. This is not happening. No country in the world will open their state weapon manufacturing stuff open to all.

I am not supporting Iran. Just expressing my opinion based on military "fauj" history.

peace




Powers warn Iran 'now is the time' for nuclear deal
AFP — Published about 3 hours ago

VIENNA: Global powers upped the pressure on Iran late Sunday, warning now was “the time” to strike an elusive deal curbing its nuclear ambitions, as the US said the fate of the talks hung in the balance.

US Secretary of State John Kerry stressed that after almost two years of negotiations and on the ninth day of these latest talks “genuine progress” had been made.

But after meeting his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif three times on Sunday, the top US diplomat said the talks “could go either way”. The two men were set to meet again Sunday evening.

French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius and the EU's foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini had essentially the same message as they arrived back in Vienna ahead of Tuesday's deadline for a comprehensive deal curtailing Iran's nuclear programme. Their German and British counterparts were also due back, along with Russia's Sergei Lavrov.

“All the cards are on the table, the main question is to know whether the Iranians will accept making clear commitments on what until now has not been clarified,” Fabius said.

Kerry stressed that despite progress “we are not yet where we need to be on several of the most difficult issues”.

If all sides were prepared to make hard choices, then “we could get an agreement this week. But if they are not made, we will not,” Kerry warned, adding that if there was “absolute intransigence” the US would walk away.

The global powers – Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States – are trying to pin down a deal putting a nuclear bomb out of Iran's reach in return for lifting a web of sanctions against the Islamic republic.

“The time is now... We are very close,” said Mogherini, adding the atmosphere was “constructive, positive.”

“I see the political will ... now it is a matter of seeing all together if this political will manages to translate into political decisions.”

On one of the thorniest issues – choreographing the nuclear steps to be taken by Iran in exchange for reciprocal sanctions relief – a compromise may be emerging, at least among experts thrashing out the complex final accord.

The deal between Iran and the P5+1 would end a standoff dating back to 2002 when dissidents first revealed undeclared nuclear facilities in Iran.
Hard to walk away

Officials have stressed all week that this is the endgame, and after missing several deadlines they are not planning to extend the negotiations again.

Iran's lead negotiator Abbas Araghchi told Iranian TV late Saturday: “If we reach an agreement that respects our red lines then there will be a deal.

“Otherwise we prefer to return home to Tehran empty-handed.” A deal would also hold out the promise of bringing Iran back into the diplomatic fold at a time of mounting unrest in the Middle East.

Zarif said in an English YouTube message that an accord could “open new horizons to address important common challenges”, referring to the “growing menace of violent extremism and outright barbarism,” an implicit statement on the Islamic State (IS) militant group.

On Saturday it appeared that another stumbling block to the deal – a stalled UN probe into allegations of past efforts by Iran to develop the bomb – may potentially be close to being resolved too.

Speaking after a whirlwind trip to Tehran, International Atomic Energy Agency chief Yukiya Amano said the UN watchdog aimed to issue a report by year's end on the “clarification of the issues” concerned.

Amano's deputies were due to fly to Tehran on Sunday to discuss ways of resolving lingering questions, Iranian sources told AFP, although the IAEA declined to comment on the reported visit.

“I think it would be very difficult to imagine Secretary Kerry at this point walking away, this close to the finish line,” Iran expert Suzanne Maloney from the Brookings Institution told AFP.

“I just don't think there's any real likelihood that this collapses.”

Powers warn Iran 'now is the time' for nuclear deal - World - DAWN.COM



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West is hoping a false hope. How is it possible that Iranians will open their state secrets for international inspections. This is not happening. No country in the world will open their state weapon manufacturing stuff open to all.

I am not supporting Iran. Just expressing my opinion based on military "fauj" history.

peace

Economic sanctions can work wonders, that is all I will say for now.
 
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West is hoping a false hope. How is it possible that Iranians will open their state secrets for international inspections. This is not happening. No country in the world will open their state weapon manufacturing stuff open to all.

I am not supporting Iran. Just expressing my opinion based on military "fauj" history.

Who said we are going to open military sites? That doesn't make sense at all. You at least should know that these are all last minute negotiation tactics to pull the weight in their favor. They know Iran will never agree to that, it'a just a bullet in the dark to get the most points from the other side which is Iran.

An anonymous U.S official said yesterday, no country, including U.S, will allow open inspections on their military sites. So we know neither Iran will allow that.

Even Iranians who are very pro-deal and I've talked with believe a deal with demands like that is worse than no deal.

The best indication is Nebtanyahu's reaction to these negotiations. If there was a military inspection in this deal, he would jump up and down from happiness every single day instead of openly demonizing Obama administration.
 
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Iran is Complicating the Geo Politics that is already Quite Complicated now. This Nuclear thing would Drag Arab to pursuit for the same and could trigger a self Destructive mode for whole Middle east and Iran together. Iranians should Accept the deal and get over with this ambition because Region is already to Toxic for everyone maybe after ten years when dust are Settled to the Large Extent and Regional Picture started getting Clear they can pursue something like that as they would have resources as well as will to move forward with their Ambition but now is not a good time for that as they themselves are facing Unpredictable situation in both internal and external Front.
 
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Economic sanctions can work wonders, that is all I will say for now.

The Iranian's will decide. They will decide when they are ready not on any external pressure. Any lay observation of Iranian character will make that readily apparent. Economic sanction works will work for some but not for all. Success is based on the merits of each case.

Sanctions on Iran have now been in place for well over 35 years. Since then US power reached zenith in 1990s and since then has levelled out. Now with China rising the global trade networks and markets have diversified so there is even less chance of working. The sanctions regime against Iran today is shadow of it's former self so I am afraid that "prescription" is on the way to being invalidated as the recieptant develops immunity through too much exposure.
 
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If a deal is reached and sanctions on Iran removed it would be great for Pakistan. We need the pipeline and we can connect Iran with China.
 
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They worked wonders for 50 years in Cuba. Now we're the ones reconciling. Cuba has shown that you can't impose your will on a country by force.
Cuba started to loose its strict regulation of market, soon you are gonna see new American products in Cuban market, new Cuban goverment is America friendly.

US got Cuba there where it wanted to have it, its not like US needs Cuba but more like the opposite, it took 50 years and US could continue the embargo for another 50 years if it was neccessar but it isnt as it seems.
 
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The Iranian's will decide. They will decide when they are ready not on any external pressure. Any lay observation of Iranian character will make that readily apparent. Economic sanction works will work for some but not for all. Success is based on the merits of each case.

Sanctions on Iran have now been in place for well over 35 years. Since then US power reached zenith in 1990s and since then has levelled out. Now with China rising the global trade networks and markets have diversified so there is even less chance of working. The sanctions regime against Iran today is shadow of it's former self so I am afraid that "prescription" is on the way to being invalidated as the recieptant develops immunity through too much exposure.

We will know soon enough, won't we?
 
.
They worked wonders for 50 years in Cuba. Now we're the ones reconciling. Cuba has shown that you can't impose your will on a country by force.
Are you a libertarian by any chance?
Powers warn Iran 'now is the time' for nuclear deal
Okay since this is an important topic let us dissect it step by step
First of all going back to 2014 we have to look at the points of negotiation, which were released in 2014 to form a basis on this topic

World powers and Iran have begun implementing a deal on Iran's nuclear programme following intense talks in Geneva.

Both sides committed to a series of steps which will last for six months, while a more conclusive deal is negotiated.

Here are the key points of what the US says the two sides agreed:

What Iran will do
  • Halt production of near-20% enriched uranium and disable the configuration of the centrifuge cascades used to produce it
  • Start to dilute half of the near-20% enriched uranium stockpile that is in hexafluoride form, and continue to convert the rest to oxide form not suitable for further enrichment
  • Not enrich uranium in roughly half of the installed centrifuges at Natanz facility and three-quarters of the installed centrifuges at Fordo (Read our guide toIran's nuclear facilities)
  • Limit its centrifuge production to those needed to replace damaged machines
  • Not construct additional enrichment facilities
  • Not go beyond its current enrichment research and development practices
  • Not commission or fuel the Arak heavy-water reactor
  • Halt the production and additional testing of fuel for the Arak reactor
  • Not install any additional reactor components at Arak
  • Not transfer fuel and heavy water to the Arak reactor site
  • Not construct a facility capable of reprocessing at Arak, preventing the separation of plutonium from spent fuel
  • Agree to a cap on the permitted size of Iran's up-to-5% enriched uranium stockpile
  • Allow IAEA inspectors to visit the Natanz and Fordo enrichment sites daily and the Arak reactor at least monthly
What the world powers will do
  • Provide "limited, temporary, targeted, and reversible [sanctions] relief". (SeeQ&A: Sanctions)
  • Not impose further nuclear-related sanctions if Iran meets its commitments
  • Transfer $4.2bn (£2.6bn) of oil revenue to Iran in instalments
  • Suspend the implementation of sanctions on Iran's petrochemical exports and its imports of goods and services for its automotive manufacturing sector
  • Pause efforts to further reduce purchases of crude oil from Iran by the six economies still purchasing oil from Iran
  • Suspend sanctions on Iran's imports and exports of gold and other precious metals
  • License the supply of spare parts and services for the safety of flight of Iran's civil aviation sector
  • Facilitate the establishment of a financial channel to support humanitarian trade already permitted with Iran and facilitate payments for UN obligations and tuition payments for students studying abroad
  • Modify the thresholds for EU internal procedures for the authorization of financial transactions
Iran nuclear deal: Key points - BBC News

Moving on to the Irani prespective that the world sees
Iran nuclear crisis: Six key points
_81999143_be9d8f16-5473-4f2a-839b-6b17ea7694de.jpg



Iran and six world powers have reached a framework agreement to curb the Iranian nuclear programme in exchange for the lifting of sanctions, a step towards a comprehensive accord that could end a 12-year stand-off.

We're at a pivotal moment in one of the world's most serious crises
The long-running dispute has heightened tensions between Iran and the West, but a comprehensive accord could bring down diplomatic barriers.

The full details still have to be agreed before a 30 June deadline, but US President Barack Obama was quick to celebrate what he called "a historic understanding with Iran".

The crisis could turn much worse, however, were the negotiations to collapse.

_75306515_line976.jpg

It's about fear and distrust

Years of distrust and suspicion have made the crisis over Iran's nuclear programme hard to solve, but negotiators set 31 March as a deadline to reach a framework deal. Although they missed the deadline, a tentative accord was struck soon after, on 2 April.

The so-called P5+1 group of powers - the US, UK, France, Russia, China and Germany - want to be satisfied that Iran won't have the capacity to make a bomb in under a year if it decided to - the so-called "break-out" time.

Iran for its part says it does not want a nuclear bomb, but insists on exercising its right to run a peaceful nuclear industry. It also wants crippling international sanctions lifted quickly.

Many countries do not believe Iran's declared intentions, and there is fear of what Iran might do with a nuclear weapon, and of the prospect of a nuclear arms race in one of the world's most unstable regions.

Sense of history as talks go to the wire

_75306515_line976.jpg

Lots of countries have nuclear weapons, but Iran's case is different
_79244049_iran_nuclear_624.gif

It looks to some like Iran is being singled out - after all, many countries have nuclear programmes and at least eight possess nuclear weapons. The reason why such attention has been focused on Iran is because it hid a clandestine uranium enrichment programme for 18 years, in breach of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

As a result, the UN Security Council passed six resolutions requiring Iran to stop enriching uranium, a process which can ultimately produce the fissile material for a nuclear weapon.

Iran agreed to suspend parts of its nuclear programme under a temporary agreement in 2013 in return for some sanctions relief, but this was a stop-gap deal, not an end to the crisis.

What also worries the international community are unanswered questions surrounding possible military dimensions to Iran's nuclear programme.

A 2007 US intelligence report said Iran had a nuclear weapons programme but "halted" this in 2003.

The global nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), has been investigating this in parallel to the main nuclear talks, but says Iran has not provided enough information about its past activities. These include possible nuclear-related tests at a secret military site, where Iran has barred IAEA inspectors.

Iran says the international community is displaying double standards by not doing anything about its arch-foe Israel, which is widely believed to have a nuclear arsenal - though Israel has neither confirmed nor denied this. Israel however, like nuclear-armed India and Pakistan, is not a signatory to the NPT.

Mapping Iran's key nuclear sites

_75306515_line976.jpg

Iran has been severely hit by sanctions

Since Iran's undisclosed nuclear activities came to light, it has been hit by a raft of sanctions - by the UN, EU, US and other countries.

These include a ban on the supply of heavy weaponry and nuclear-related technology to Iran, a block on arms exports, asset-freezes, travel bans, bans on trade in precious metals, and bans on crude oil exports and banking transactions, among others.

Under the 2013 interim deal, Iran got some sanctions relief in return for curbing its enrichment activities.

The sanctions are believed to have contributed to a fall in the value of the Iranian riyal and to rising inflation, with the cost of basic foodstuffs and fuel soaring. This has hit ordinary Iranians, with some rare protests reported.

According to the framework agreement, sanctions will be gradually phased out as the global nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), confirms Iranian compliance.

What are the sanctions on Iran?

How ordinary Iranians see the nuclear talks

_75306515_line976.jpg

Some countries are unhappy about the framework deal
_63153928_netanyahu_reuters.jpg

The prospect of a deal which leaves Iran with any capacity whatsoever to build a bomb has alarmed Israel and Iran's neighbours in the Gulf.

Iran believes Israel should not exist. Israel sees a nuclear Iran as a major threat to it and the wider world.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned that the framework deal poses a grave danger to the region. On 2 April, he asserted: "Israel will not accept an agreement which allows a country that vows to annihilate us to develop nuclear weapons."

Saudi Arabia, the Sunni-ruled regional rival to Shia Iran, also fears a compromise deal will not stop Iran eventually getting a nuclear bomb. Saudi Arabia also worries that an end to sanctions will embolden and strengthen Iran economically and militarily.

Both Israel and Saudi Arabia, the US' key allies in the region, feel Washington is putting a deal with Iran before their security needs.

_75306515_line976.jpg

This is not the end of it

The framework deal does not mean the crisis is over by a long shot. The P5+1 and Iran must now agree on all technical details by the end of June.

While a deal might defuse the stand-off between Iran and world powers, Israel has warned it could fuel a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. Under this scenario, countries such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia could seek to equip themselves with nuclear weapons before Iran gets a chance to.

There are also strong opponents to a deal in both Iran and the US. In Iran, hardliners have expressed disappointment, while in Washington members of Congress have threatened to impose fresh sanctions on Iran.

President Obama himself has said he will support fresh sanctions against Iran if it does not uphold any agreement.

Iran nuclear crisis: Six key points - BBC News

Then we move on to what the US congress, and thus the American position is (divided between President and Republican Congress)
Iran nuclear deal tough sell for US Congress
Washington, DC - As negotiators in Vienna push to complete the final terms of a nuclear agreement with Iran, President Barack Obama faces a crucial test at home - winning over a sceptical and potentially troublesome US Congress.

Opposition from Israel and lack of support from Saudi Arabia could help sink a deal in Congress if negotiators fail to achieve ironclad rules preventing Iran from developing a nuclear bomb. Recent comments from Iran suggest that will be a challenge.


Iran nuclear talks differences remain on final deal


At the same time, if Iran succeeds in concluding a viable UN agreement, continuing opposition by the US Congress could leave the US isolated as major trading partners - the European Union and China - move forward with sanctions relief.

"No matter how good the agreement is, it is going to come under attack," Shibley Telhami, a professor at the University of Maryland told Al Jazeera.

"It is going to be a fight and this is what the Obama administration is bracing for."

Iran and negotiators for six world powers, the so-called P5+1 - US, Russia, China, UK, France, and Germany - are meeting in Vienna, Austria, to conclude more than two years of talks. The parties reached a framework for a deal in Lausanne, Switzerland, on April 2.

Getting an agreement acceptable both to the White House and Congress may require last-minute haggling, even brinkmanship. Gaps remain between the sides over future access by international inspectors to suspect sites in Iran and how quickly sanctions will be lifted.

Iran's top leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said in a formal address on June 23 that Iran would not dismantle its nuclear capability and wouldn't accept a ban on research and development over the next 10 years.

His remarks followed approval by Iran's parliament of a law prohibiting international inspections of military sites.

Iran nuclear deal tough sell for US Congress - Al Jazeera English

Here we come to another impasse because of the law that was talked about above
This is the main sticking point which is most troublesome to manage because US congress approval is difficult with this point unanswered and the Law has basically given us Irani prespective
Iran parliament bars key nuclear concessions in talks with big powers

Iran's parliament passed a bill on Tuesday banning access for U.N. inspectors to its military sites and scientists, potentially complicating chances for a nuclear accord with world powers as a self-imposed June 30 deadline approaches.

Two major stumbling blocks to a deal have been disputes over how much transparency Iran should offer to ease suspicions that it has covertly sought to develop nuclear bombs, and the timing and pace of relief from sanctions imposed on Tehran.

France has spearheaded the powers' demand that Iran grant unfettered U.N. access to military bases -- where Western officials believe Iran has conducted nuclear bomb research -- as part of any final settlement that would curb Tehran's nuclear programme in return for a phase-out of sanctions.

The legislation prohibiting any such access, as well as stipulating that all sanctions be lifted as soon as a nuclear accord takes effect, was approved by 214 of 244 lawmakers present on Tuesday, state television reported.

The powers say sanctions can be dismantled only gradually to reward Iranian compliance with various aspects of an agreement.

State TV said the bill allowed the International Atomic Energy Agency solely to inspect Iran's nuclear installations under its existing Safeguards Agreement with the IAEA.

"But it bans any inspection of military, security and non-nuclear sites as well as access to documents and scientists."

RELATED COVERAGE
The bill must still pass through the Guardian Council, an unelected, hardline watchdog body close to clerical Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final say on all important matters of state, before becoming law.



KHAMENEI SAYS MILITARY SITES OFF LIMITS

Khamenei has publicly voiced trust in his negotiating team but, echoing hardline Iranian military commanders, also ruled out inspections of military sites and interviews with nuclear scientists that the IAEA has long called for.

Iran has long said it is enriching uranium solely for civilian nuclear energy, and suggested that unlimited IAEA inspection powers would be abused by Western intelligence to glean Iranian security secrets.

Parliament's intervention could pressure Iranian negotiators striving to clinch a deal that could usher in a cautious detente with the West after years of mounting confrontation that threatened a wider Middle East war.

Some senior Iranian negotiators had raised the possibility of some limited IAEA access to non-nuclear sites, albeit with Iranian officials present to control process.

RELATED COVERAGE
The bill also obliges Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's top negotiator, to report to parliament every six months on the process of implementing the accord.

"The government must preserve Iran's nuclear rights and achievements ... Any deal reached by the government with the powers must be approved by parliament," state TV said.

But the official news agency IRNA quoted government spokesman Mohammad Baqer Nobakht as saying that provision in the bill was "unconstitutional" as the Islamic Republic’s defence and security policies were not the province of parliament.

Zarif said on Monday he saw a good chance of reaching a final agreement by June 30 or a few days later, provided there was political will to do so.

Britain said Iran had to show more flexibility and the powers could not compromise on red lines including enhanced IAEA access to ensure any accord is verifiable.

Thus now we are this deadlock which is being negotiated but is a very difficult position where both sides can not get their representative parliaments to agree on the forgoing or inspection of military sites respectively

@FaujHistorian @Serpentine @WAJsal
This is the history in broad strokes of this deal, the influence of China and Russia are negated because the sanctions were imposed by the UN and can not be undone without the approval of all P5
 
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Cuba started to loose its strict regulation of market, soon you are gonna see new American products in Cuban market, new Cuban goverment is America friendly.

US got Cuba there where it wanted to have it, its not like US needs Cuba but more like the opposite, it took 50 years and US could continue the embargo for another 50 years if it was neccessar but it isnt as it seems.

If its punishing Cuba that was the goal, then yes, that's easy. But imposing our will on them is something that couldn't be done. I hate communism and I hate the Castro government and its policies but I tip my hat to them for withstanding several terrorist, assassination attempts and false flags. Not only Cuba but other countries like Bolivia and Venezuela. And it was the Obama administration, from the moment he took office that begun to reconciliate with Cuba not the other way round. Which brings me to my original point, if we couldn't impose our will on a small island of 20 odd million 90 miles from Florida, what makes us think we can impose our will on a nation of 80 million three oceans and two continents away? You can't bully and sanction everyone. Look at North Korea, the most sanctioned, isolated country in the world and all that didn't stop them going nuclear. I hope a deal gets done and all sanctions are eliminated.

Are you a libertarian by any chance?

Yes, and that's putting it very lightly.
 
. .
Very few left who cling othe ideals of the founding fathers of America
Please start a thread on the role of US government today compared to how it should be in your opinion

WOW, where do I even start on that. its like night and day. When you have people who think its the government's job to do everything and vote as such, the values of the founders and the bill of rights simply cannot survive. As 2016 approaches I wish I could hibernate or leave the country because the BS, ignorance and demagoguery of election cycles just sicken me.
 
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i think iran should play sum proper game against them and left there international sanctions
 
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Are you a libertarian by any chance?

Okay since this is an important topic let us dissect it step by step
First of all going back to 2014 we have to look at the points of negotiation, which were released in 2014 to form a basis on this topic

World powers and Iran have begun implementing a deal on Iran's nuclear programme following intense talks in Geneva.

Both sides committed to a series of steps which will last for six months, while a more conclusive deal is negotiated.

Here are the key points of what the US says the two sides agreed:

What Iran will do
  • Halt production of near-20% enriched uranium and disable the configuration of the centrifuge cascades used to produce it
  • Start to dilute half of the near-20% enriched uranium stockpile that is in hexafluoride form, and continue to convert the rest to oxide form not suitable for further enrichment
  • Not enrich uranium in roughly half of the installed centrifuges at Natanz facility and three-quarters of the installed centrifuges at Fordo (Read our guide toIran's nuclear facilities)
  • Limit its centrifuge production to those needed to replace damaged machines
  • Not construct additional enrichment facilities
  • Not go beyond its current enrichment research and development practices
  • Not commission or fuel the Arak heavy-water reactor
  • Halt the production and additional testing of fuel for the Arak reactor
  • Not install any additional reactor components at Arak
  • Not transfer fuel and heavy water to the Arak reactor site
  • Not construct a facility capable of reprocessing at Arak, preventing the separation of plutonium from spent fuel
  • Agree to a cap on the permitted size of Iran's up-to-5% enriched uranium stockpile
  • Allow IAEA inspectors to visit the Natanz and Fordo enrichment sites daily and the Arak reactor at least monthly
What the world powers will do
  • Provide "limited, temporary, targeted, and reversible [sanctions] relief". (SeeQ&A: Sanctions)
  • Not impose further nuclear-related sanctions if Iran meets its commitments
  • Transfer $4.2bn (£2.6bn) of oil revenue to Iran in instalments
  • Suspend the implementation of sanctions on Iran's petrochemical exports and its imports of goods and services for its automotive manufacturing sector
  • Pause efforts to further reduce purchases of crude oil from Iran by the six economies still purchasing oil from Iran
  • Suspend sanctions on Iran's imports and exports of gold and other precious metals
  • License the supply of spare parts and services for the safety of flight of Iran's civil aviation sector
  • Facilitate the establishment of a financial channel to support humanitarian trade already permitted with Iran and facilitate payments for UN obligations and tuition payments for students studying abroad
  • Modify the thresholds for EU internal procedures for the authorization of financial transactions
Iran nuclear deal: Key points - BBC News

Moving on to the Irani prespective that the world sees
Iran nuclear crisis: Six key points
_81999143_be9d8f16-5473-4f2a-839b-6b17ea7694de.jpg



Iran and six world powers have reached a framework agreement to curb the Iranian nuclear programme in exchange for the lifting of sanctions, a step towards a comprehensive accord that could end a 12-year stand-off.

We're at a pivotal moment in one of the world's most serious crises
The long-running dispute has heightened tensions between Iran and the West, but a comprehensive accord could bring down diplomatic barriers.

The full details still have to be agreed before a 30 June deadline, but US President Barack Obama was quick to celebrate what he called "a historic understanding with Iran".

The crisis could turn much worse, however, were the negotiations to collapse.

_75306515_line976.jpg

It's about fear and distrust

Years of distrust and suspicion have made the crisis over Iran's nuclear programme hard to solve, but negotiators set 31 March as a deadline to reach a framework deal. Although they missed the deadline, a tentative accord was struck soon after, on 2 April.

The so-called P5+1 group of powers - the US, UK, France, Russia, China and Germany - want to be satisfied that Iran won't have the capacity to make a bomb in under a year if it decided to - the so-called "break-out" time.

Iran for its part says it does not want a nuclear bomb, but insists on exercising its right to run a peaceful nuclear industry. It also wants crippling international sanctions lifted quickly.

Many countries do not believe Iran's declared intentions, and there is fear of what Iran might do with a nuclear weapon, and of the prospect of a nuclear arms race in one of the world's most unstable regions.

Sense of history as talks go to the wire

_75306515_line976.jpg

Lots of countries have nuclear weapons, but Iran's case is different
_79244049_iran_nuclear_624.gif

It looks to some like Iran is being singled out - after all, many countries have nuclear programmes and at least eight possess nuclear weapons. The reason why such attention has been focused on Iran is because it hid a clandestine uranium enrichment programme for 18 years, in breach of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

As a result, the UN Security Council passed six resolutions requiring Iran to stop enriching uranium, a process which can ultimately produce the fissile material for a nuclear weapon.

Iran agreed to suspend parts of its nuclear programme under a temporary agreement in 2013 in return for some sanctions relief, but this was a stop-gap deal, not an end to the crisis.

What also worries the international community are unanswered questions surrounding possible military dimensions to Iran's nuclear programme.

A 2007 US intelligence report said Iran had a nuclear weapons programme but "halted" this in 2003.

The global nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), has been investigating this in parallel to the main nuclear talks, but says Iran has not provided enough information about its past activities. These include possible nuclear-related tests at a secret military site, where Iran has barred IAEA inspectors.

Iran says the international community is displaying double standards by not doing anything about its arch-foe Israel, which is widely believed to have a nuclear arsenal - though Israel has neither confirmed nor denied this. Israel however, like nuclear-armed India and Pakistan, is not a signatory to the NPT.

Mapping Iran's key nuclear sites

_75306515_line976.jpg

Iran has been severely hit by sanctions

Since Iran's undisclosed nuclear activities came to light, it has been hit by a raft of sanctions - by the UN, EU, US and other countries.

These include a ban on the supply of heavy weaponry and nuclear-related technology to Iran, a block on arms exports, asset-freezes, travel bans, bans on trade in precious metals, and bans on crude oil exports and banking transactions, among others.

Under the 2013 interim deal, Iran got some sanctions relief in return for curbing its enrichment activities.

The sanctions are believed to have contributed to a fall in the value of the Iranian riyal and to rising inflation, with the cost of basic foodstuffs and fuel soaring. This has hit ordinary Iranians, with some rare protests reported.

According to the framework agreement, sanctions will be gradually phased out as the global nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), confirms Iranian compliance.

What are the sanctions on Iran?

How ordinary Iranians see the nuclear talks

_75306515_line976.jpg

Some countries are unhappy about the framework deal
_63153928_netanyahu_reuters.jpg

The prospect of a deal which leaves Iran with any capacity whatsoever to build a bomb has alarmed Israel and Iran's neighbours in the Gulf.

Iran believes Israel should not exist. Israel sees a nuclear Iran as a major threat to it and the wider world.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned that the framework deal poses a grave danger to the region. On 2 April, he asserted: "Israel will not accept an agreement which allows a country that vows to annihilate us to develop nuclear weapons."

Saudi Arabia, the Sunni-ruled regional rival to Shia Iran, also fears a compromise deal will not stop Iran eventually getting a nuclear bomb. Saudi Arabia also worries that an end to sanctions will embolden and strengthen Iran economically and militarily.

Both Israel and Saudi Arabia, the US' key allies in the region, feel Washington is putting a deal with Iran before their security needs.

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This is not the end of it

The framework deal does not mean the crisis is over by a long shot. The P5+1 and Iran must now agree on all technical details by the end of June.

While a deal might defuse the stand-off between Iran and world powers, Israel has warned it could fuel a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. Under this scenario, countries such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia could seek to equip themselves with nuclear weapons before Iran gets a chance to.

There are also strong opponents to a deal in both Iran and the US. In Iran, hardliners have expressed disappointment, while in Washington members of Congress have threatened to impose fresh sanctions on Iran.

President Obama himself has said he will support fresh sanctions against Iran if it does not uphold any agreement.

Iran nuclear crisis: Six key points - BBC News

Then we move on to what the US congress, and thus the American position is (divided between President and Republican Congress)
Iran nuclear deal tough sell for US Congress
Washington, DC - As negotiators in Vienna push to complete the final terms of a nuclear agreement with Iran, President Barack Obama faces a crucial test at home - winning over a sceptical and potentially troublesome US Congress.

Opposition from Israel and lack of support from Saudi Arabia could help sink a deal in Congress if negotiators fail to achieve ironclad rules preventing Iran from developing a nuclear bomb. Recent comments from Iran suggest that will be a challenge.


Iran nuclear talks differences remain on final deal


At the same time, if Iran succeeds in concluding a viable UN agreement, continuing opposition by the US Congress could leave the US isolated as major trading partners - the European Union and China - move forward with sanctions relief.

"No matter how good the agreement is, it is going to come under attack," Shibley Telhami, a professor at the University of Maryland told Al Jazeera.

"It is going to be a fight and this is what the Obama administration is bracing for."

Iran and negotiators for six world powers, the so-called P5+1 - US, Russia, China, UK, France, and Germany - are meeting in Vienna, Austria, to conclude more than two years of talks. The parties reached a framework for a deal in Lausanne, Switzerland, on April 2.

Getting an agreement acceptable both to the White House and Congress may require last-minute haggling, even brinkmanship. Gaps remain between the sides over future access by international inspectors to suspect sites in Iran and how quickly sanctions will be lifted.

Iran's top leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said in a formal address on June 23 that Iran would not dismantle its nuclear capability and wouldn't accept a ban on research and development over the next 10 years.

His remarks followed approval by Iran's parliament of a law prohibiting international inspections of military sites.

Iran nuclear deal tough sell for US Congress - Al Jazeera English

Here we come to another impasse because of the law that was talked about above
This is the main sticking point which is most troublesome to manage because US congress approval is difficult with this point unanswered and the Law has basically given us Irani prespective
Iran parliament bars key nuclear concessions in talks with big powers

Iran's parliament passed a bill on Tuesday banning access for U.N. inspectors to its military sites and scientists, potentially complicating chances for a nuclear accord with world powers as a self-imposed June 30 deadline approaches.

Two major stumbling blocks to a deal have been disputes over how much transparency Iran should offer to ease suspicions that it has covertly sought to develop nuclear bombs, and the timing and pace of relief from sanctions imposed on Tehran.

France has spearheaded the powers' demand that Iran grant unfettered U.N. access to military bases -- where Western officials believe Iran has conducted nuclear bomb research -- as part of any final settlement that would curb Tehran's nuclear programme in return for a phase-out of sanctions.

The legislation prohibiting any such access, as well as stipulating that all sanctions be lifted as soon as a nuclear accord takes effect, was approved by 214 of 244 lawmakers present on Tuesday, state television reported.

The powers say sanctions can be dismantled only gradually to reward Iranian compliance with various aspects of an agreement.

State TV said the bill allowed the International Atomic Energy Agency solely to inspect Iran's nuclear installations under its existing Safeguards Agreement with the IAEA.

"But it bans any inspection of military, security and non-nuclear sites as well as access to documents and scientists."

RELATED COVERAGE
The bill must still pass through the Guardian Council, an unelected, hardline watchdog body close to clerical Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final say on all important matters of state, before becoming law.



KHAMENEI SAYS MILITARY SITES OFF LIMITS

Khamenei has publicly voiced trust in his negotiating team but, echoing hardline Iranian military commanders, also ruled out inspections of military sites and interviews with nuclear scientists that the IAEA has long called for.

Iran has long said it is enriching uranium solely for civilian nuclear energy, and suggested that unlimited IAEA inspection powers would be abused by Western intelligence to glean Iranian security secrets.

Parliament's intervention could pressure Iranian negotiators striving to clinch a deal that could usher in a cautious detente with the West after years of mounting confrontation that threatened a wider Middle East war.

Some senior Iranian negotiators had raised the possibility of some limited IAEA access to non-nuclear sites, albeit with Iranian officials present to control process.

RELATED COVERAGE
The bill also obliges Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's top negotiator, to report to parliament every six months on the process of implementing the accord.

"The government must preserve Iran's nuclear rights and achievements ... Any deal reached by the government with the powers must be approved by parliament," state TV said.

But the official news agency IRNA quoted government spokesman Mohammad Baqer Nobakht as saying that provision in the bill was "unconstitutional" as the Islamic Republic’s defence and security policies were not the province of parliament.

Zarif said on Monday he saw a good chance of reaching a final agreement by June 30 or a few days later, provided there was political will to do so.

Britain said Iran had to show more flexibility and the powers could not compromise on red lines including enhanced IAEA access to ensure any accord is verifiable.

Thus now we are this deadlock which is being negotiated but is a very difficult position where both sides can not get their representative parliaments to agree on the forgoing or inspection of military sites respectively

@FaujHistorian @Serpentine @WAJsal
This is the history in broad strokes of this deal, the influence of China and Russia are negated because the sanctions were imposed by the UN and can not be undone without the approval of all P5



Oh my. A brief summary would have worked. We all know what's going on. :-)

No matter what, Iranian Ayatullahs are taking their country down the same path as iraq.

ideally they should do what S Africa, Kazakhstan, S, Korea did.
But Ayatullahs want to go the way of Iraq or worse N Korea.

sadly.
 
.

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