Pakistan’s full spectrum deterrence keeps Indians away

[GlobalVillageSpace]

GVS News | Fahad Aziz Taherani

Pakistan’s full spectrum deterrence (FSD) is a nuclear policy that aims to deter India from aggression and in case the deterrence fails, deny India victory in face of war. It is based on three main principles.

First, as Lt. General (r) Khalid Kidwai says “developing the full spectrum of nuclear weapons in all three categories – strategic, operational and tactical, with full range coverage of the large Indian landmass and its outlying territories. In simple words, India would have no place to hide.

Second, building “appropriate weapons yield coverage and numbers to deter adversary’s counter-massive retaliation” This principle realized in the development of Shaheen-III in 2015, a ballistic missile with a range of 2750KMs. It can reach India’s strategically important islands – Nicobar and Andaman. Moreover, the development of Submarine Launched Babur Cruise Missile (SLCM) Babur III provides Pakistan second and third strike capabilities.

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Pakistan's full spectrum deterrence keeps Indians away (globalvillagespace.com)

 

[R Wing]

Sure, it maintains strategic stability, i.e. there is no real fear of an imminent Indian conventional invasion.

But there is a huge deterrence deficit in the space below the threshold of open conflict.

Just compare proxy warfare stats (Indians killed by Pakistan-backed groups vs. Pakistanis killed by India-backed groups) --- and our general inability to raise the cost for Doval & Co to support terrorism in Pakistan. Without fear of consequences in the hearts of R&AW officers, it will remain a failed strategy.

 

[GOAT]

Sure, it maintains strategic stability, i.e. there is no real fear of an imminent Indian conventional invasion.

But there is a huge deterrence deficit in the space below the threshold of open conflict.

Just compare proxy warfare stats (Indians killed by Pakistan-backed groups vs. Pakistanis killed by India-backed groups) --- and our general inability to raise the cost for Doval & Co to support terrorism in Pakistan. Without fear of consequences in the hearts of R&AW officers, it will remain a failed strategy.

I wouldn’t give the Indians all the credit for attacks in Pakistan, there are several other hands involved.

 

[PAKISTANFOREVER]

Sure, it maintains strategic stability, i.e. there is no real fear of an imminent Indian conventional invasion.

But there is a huge deterrence deficit in the space below the threshold of open conflict.

Just compare proxy warfare stats (Indians killed by Pakistan-backed groups vs. Pakistanis killed by India-backed groups) --- and our general inability to raise the cost for Doval & Co to support terrorism in Pakistan. Without fear of consequences in the hearts of R&AW officers, it will remain a failed strategy.

That was ONLY made possible by the americans in afghanistan facilitating attacks against Pakistan. indians could NEVER do it themselves.

 

[Pakistan Space Agency]

That was ONLY made possible by the americans in afghanistan facilitating attacks against Pakistan. indians could NEVER do it themselves.

True. Pakistan did not face such terrorism until NATO arrived next door and shameful Generals wanting to prolong their military-rule by offering to start a war in the Tribal Region in return for American chanda.

 

[Menace2Society]

Modern day Sparta.

 

[Silverblaze]

Indians are finding ways to explore gaps below the use of tactical nukes. Feb 2019 episode was one such act.

They just dont know what is Pakistan's threshold of tolerance against a conventional offensive after which it will use its nukes. This is the answer they are trying to find.

They found a useful way in terms of asymmetric warfare, but they know that despite the fact that Pakistan is a weak state, without external interference, proxy groups cannot defeat Pakistan.

The power equation is simple. If Pakistan military establishment is serious in taking Kashmir and neutralizing indian military preponderance, it needs a numerically superior air force and navy. After this there will be no contest ability.

 

[Adonis]

Does "attack" only means militarily?....they are already attacking us from all corners...the loss on human lives, economy, country's image, international reputation, human development etc... that a war can inflict....is already being achieved by the Indians....and we are happy polishing our weapons and thinking we are keeping the Indians away......

 

[Dalit]

Very important to solidify strike capabilities by adding SLBM/SLCM and MIRV. I am waiting for that day and that will be a jolly day.

This must go hand in hand with regional cooperation with China, Russia and CAS. Strengthen the economy and strenghten defence.

 

[R Wing]

I wouldn’t give the Indians all the credit for attacks in Pakistan, there are several other hands involved.

Fair point --- but the Indian offrs typically do the handiwork and most of the planning, too. We should at least get the low-hanging fruit, no?

That was ONLY made possible by the americans in afghanistan facilitating attacks against Pakistan. indians could NEVER do it themselves.

Of course the treacherous Americans allowed it. But India still did it, and we have not found a way to raise the cost for Indian policymakers/NSA/R&AW offrs directly. Without fear of consequences, a deterrence deficit develops --- one that we've suffered for over a decade now.

 

[SQ8]

Once there is a full spectrum deterrence for Pakistan against Pakistanis then it will be fully secure.
Currently the deterrent is only against a large scale conventional conflict but has no value against internal extremists nor moles and agents.

 

[R Wing]

Once there is a full spectrum deterrence for Pakistan against Pakistanis then it will be fully secure.
Currently the deterrent is only against a large scale conventional conflict but has no value against internal extremists nor moles and agents.

Nor proxy warfare, which is responsible for the most deaths in the past decade or so.

 

[Taimoor Khan]

Pakistani version of "full spectrum" starts with guns to nukes and that's about it. Who is going to fight the grey zone warfare? Funny thing is, hybrid warfare is easiest and most cost effective tool as compared to maintain conventional/non conventional deterrence, when dealing with enemy nations. Yet Pakistani security institutions have been aloof to it, specially in post 9/11. Maybe there is a mental blockage or incompetence, two are perhaps related.

 

[Thorough Pro]

a covid like short life span very lethal virus sprayed on crowds that kills in minutes and dies in minutes would take care of Mulla brigade hell-bent on ruining the country.

Once there is a full spectrum deterrence for Pakistan against Pakistanis then it will be fully secure.
Currently the deterrent is only against a large scale conventional conflict but has no value against internal extremists nor moles and agents.

 

[Shumaila Aziz]

Sure, it maintains strategic stability, i.e. there is no real fear of an imminent Indian conventional invasion.

But there is a huge deterrence deficit in the space below the threshold of open conflict.

Just compare proxy warfare stats (Indians killed by Pakistan-backed groups vs. Pakistanis killed by India-backed groups) --- and our general inability to raise the cost for Doval & Co to support terrorism in Pakistan. Without fear of consequences in the hearts of R&AW officers, it will remain a failed strategy.

very informative text