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Opinion: Freeing the U.S. economy from China will create an American industrial renaissance and millions of good-paying jobs

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Opinion: Freeing the U.S. economy from China will create an American industrial renaissance and millions of good-paying jobs

By Zach Mottl
Feb. 21, 2023

Begin the long-overdue process of breaking America’s economic dependence on China​

Raise tariffs on a wide swath of China’s exports and implement policies to rebuild domestic American manufacturing.
Americans have heard plenty about China’s spy balloon. Washington considers this a serious breach of U.S. sovereignty and lawmakers are contemplating a response. However, Beijing has so antagonized the United States that Congress and the Biden administration must move boldly. It’s time to finally start the long-overdue process of decoupling America’s economy from China.

On simple humanitarian grounds, the U.S. is already late to the party. Beijing’s human rights abuses and slave labor in Xinjiang are well-documented. The continuing environmental toll of China’s polluting factories — including ozone-destroying chemicals — should be enough to send sensible nations running. But economics matter, too. Decoupling from China now could launch an American industrial renaissance — and also create millions of good-paying U.S. jobs.

For starters, it should be a no-brainer to repeal China’s “Most Favored Nation” (MFN) status. After 20 years, it’s clear that trade liberalization has failed to transform China into an ally, a partner, or even a more democratic society. In fact, the opposite has happened.

MFN has allowed two-thirds of China’s exports to face little or no tariffs in the U.S. In fact, America’s top three imports from China—laptops, cell phones, and children’s toys—face no tariffs whatsoever. And only one-third of China’s exports are even covered under the “Trump tariffs” imposed in 2018.


With Beijing already massively subsidizing its state-owned companies, it makes no sense to allow such continued, duty-free access.
This is especially egregious when considering that much of China’s manufacturing comes without any real semblance of labor or environmental controls.

The answer is twofold: Raise tariffs on a wide swath of China’s exports and implement policies to rebuild domestic American manufacturing.

Washington must also address Beijing’s exploitation of America’s financial markets. China continues to use America’s stock markets as a means to raise funds for its state-owned companies. And despite passage of the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA) — which was expected to ensure that Chinese companies would comply with U.S. audit laws — Beijing is still bypassing accountability and fleecing unsuspecting U.S. investors.

The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) has identified 261 Chinese companies — including eight state-owned enterprises—listed on America’s three largest stock exchanges, with a combined market capitalization of $1.4 trillion.
Additionally, thousands of other Chinese companies tied to forced labor and Beijing’s military are included in passive investment products including exchange-traded funds and mutual funds. It’s time to boot them from America’s financial arena.

Even with higher tariffs, China will continue to flood the U.S. market with artificially underpriced goods. That’s because Chinese companies benefit from the inexplicably high threshold level imposed by U.S. Customs on imports of small consumer packages.

This is the reality of the e-commerce economy — particularly Amazon.com’s AMZN, -3.02% cozy relationship with Beijing. China now accounts for roughly 40% of all Amazon sales. In 2016, the “de minimis” threshold applied to these goods was raised to a precedent-shattering $800. As a result, Amazon can mass-import any goods valued at less than $800 from China and face no tariffs, inspections, bonds, or taxes whatsoever.

The de minimis loophole has become a huge boon for both Amazon and China. It’s simply one more avenue that Beijing exploits in order to outcompete domestic U.S. manufacturers who actually adhere to workplace standards while paying America’s corporate taxes.

In response, Washington must take decisive action to restore supply chains and start rebuilding domestic manufacturing. Just as the Inflation Reduction Act is now expanding America’s electric vehicle industry, other federal policies can also incentivize key industries, including pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and rare earth metals.


Right now, the United States is beholden to China for everything from critical medicines to military hardware. It’s deeply troubling that our nation relies on an adversary for both life-saving medicines and national security.

The recent spy balloon should be the kicker that finally moves Washington onto an urgent footing. There’s no time to waste in beginning the process of decoupling the United States from its dependence on China.

Zach Mottl is Chair of the Coalition for a Prosperous America (CPA) and President of Atlas Tool Works.
 
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Opinion: Freeing the U.S. economy from China will create an American industrial renaissance and millions of good-paying jobs

By Zach Mottl
Feb. 21, 2023

Begin the long-overdue process of breaking America’s economic dependence on China​

Raise tariffs on a wide swath of China’s exports and implement policies to rebuild domestic American manufacturing.
Americans have heard plenty about China’s spy balloon. Washington considers this a serious breach of U.S. sovereignty and lawmakers are contemplating a response. However, Beijing has so antagonized the United States that Congress and the Biden administration must move boldly. It’s time to finally start the long-overdue process of decoupling America’s economy from China.

On simple humanitarian grounds, the U.S. is already late to the party. Beijing’s human rights abuses and slave labor in Xinjiang are well-documented. The continuing environmental toll of China’s polluting factories — including ozone-destroying chemicals — should be enough to send sensible nations running. But economics matter, too. Decoupling from China now could launch an American industrial renaissance — and also create millions of good-paying U.S. jobs.

For starters, it should be a no-brainer to repeal China’s “Most Favored Nation” (MFN) status. After 20 years, it’s clear that trade liberalization has failed to transform China into an ally, a partner, or even a more democratic society. In fact, the opposite has happened.

MFN has allowed two-thirds of China’s exports to face little or no tariffs in the U.S. In fact, America’s top three imports from China—laptops, cell phones, and children’s toys—face no tariffs whatsoever. And only one-third of China’s exports are even covered under the “Trump tariffs” imposed in 2018.


With Beijing already massively subsidizing its state-owned companies, it makes no sense to allow such continued, duty-free access.
This is especially egregious when considering that much of China’s manufacturing comes without any real semblance of labor or environmental controls.

The answer is twofold: Raise tariffs on a wide swath of China’s exports and implement policies to rebuild domestic American manufacturing.

Washington must also address Beijing’s exploitation of America’s financial markets. China continues to use America’s stock markets as a means to raise funds for its state-owned companies. And despite passage of the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA) — which was expected to ensure that Chinese companies would comply with U.S. audit laws — Beijing is still bypassing accountability and fleecing unsuspecting U.S. investors.

The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) has identified 261 Chinese companies — including eight state-owned enterprises—listed on America’s three largest stock exchanges, with a combined market capitalization of $1.4 trillion.
Additionally, thousands of other Chinese companies tied to forced labor and Beijing’s military are included in passive investment products including exchange-traded funds and mutual funds. It’s time to boot them from America’s financial arena.

Even with higher tariffs, China will continue to flood the U.S. market with artificially underpriced goods. That’s because Chinese companies benefit from the inexplicably high threshold level imposed by U.S. Customs on imports of small consumer packages.

This is the reality of the e-commerce economy — particularly Amazon.com’s AMZN, -3.02% cozy relationship with Beijing. China now accounts for roughly 40% of all Amazon sales. In 2016, the “de minimis” threshold applied to these goods was raised to a precedent-shattering $800. As a result, Amazon can mass-import any goods valued at less than $800 from China and face no tariffs, inspections, bonds, or taxes whatsoever.

The de minimis loophole has become a huge boon for both Amazon and China. It’s simply one more avenue that Beijing exploits in order to outcompete domestic U.S. manufacturers who actually adhere to workplace standards while paying America’s corporate taxes.

In response, Washington must take decisive action to restore supply chains and start rebuilding domestic manufacturing. Just as the Inflation Reduction Act is now expanding America’s electric vehicle industry, other federal policies can also incentivize key industries, including pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and rare earth metals.


Right now, the United States is beholden to China for everything from critical medicines to military hardware. It’s deeply troubling that our nation relies on an adversary for both life-saving medicines and national security.

The recent spy balloon should be the kicker that finally moves Washington onto an urgent footing. There’s no time to waste in beginning the process of decoupling the United States from its dependence on China.

Zach Mottl is Chair of the Coalition for a Prosperous America (CPA) and President of Atlas Tool Works.

The Americans may want jobs to leave China - but they are being moved to Vietnam, Thailand, Korea, Mexico, India etc... not to America (except for subsidised chip manufacturing) - so there will be not much increase in American jobs etc.
 
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The Americans may want jobs to leave China - but they are being moved to Vietnam, Thailand, Korea, Mexico, India etc... not to America (except for subsidised chip manufacturing) - so there will be not much increase in American jobs etc.
Actually there is already a boom in manufacturing jobs and after the passage of Biden administration’s Chips and Science Act, Infrastructure Investment Jobs Act and Inflation Reduction Act, it’s only going to expand.

https://www.npr.org/2022/10/20/1130...industrial-production-employment-jobs-economy

U.S. factories emerge as a strong point in a weakening economy.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/09/economy/manufacturing-jobs/index.html

Made in America is back, leaving US factories scrambling to find workers

if it was that simple Trump would have been succeeded and won a second term
No one said it’s going to be easy, but things are moving in the right direction. It took China 40 years to become the factory of the world, but since US-China tensions it is losing more of its exports and manufacturing dominance.
 
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Actually there is already a boom in manufacturing jobs and after the passage of Biden administration’s Chips and Science Act, Infrastructure Investment Jobs Act and Inflation Reduction Act, it’s only going to expand.

https://www.npr.org/2022/10/20/1130...industrial-production-employment-jobs-economy

U.S. factories emerge as a strong point in a weakening economy.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/09/economy/manufacturing-jobs/index.html

Made in America is back, leaving US factories scrambling to find workers


No one said it’s going to be easy, but things are moving in the right direction. It took China 40 years to become the factory of the world, but since US-China tensions it is losing more of its exports and manufacturing dominance.
In 2019, China's exports accounted for 13.2% of the world's total, and in 2022 it is14.7%. Not much seems to be lost.
 
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In 2019, China's exports accounted for 13.2% of the world's total, and in 2022 it is14.7%. Not much seems to be lost.
Let me give you few examples:

1. World inflation was 2.9% in 2019 and 8.8% in 2022, higher prices due to inflation boosted the value of trade, but not the volumes. For example, US imports of laptops, videogames and smart phones from China declined in volume terms.

2. Your prime minister unveiled low growth target of 5% for 2023 and acknowledged that one of the reasons for low growth was hostility with the United States.

3. US trade with China increased 5% in 2022 but our bilateral trade with China’s neighbors, Vietnam increased 23%, Singapore 20%, South Korea 16.3%, India 17.5% and Malaysia 18.11%.

4. US trade with Mexico increased 18%, Japan 9.2% and 18.4% with the EU. The point is that the US trade grew faster globally than did its trade with China.

As I said, things are moving in the right direction, trade decoupling is underway.
 
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That will be the death of oligarchy in the US...not gonna happen...
 
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The Americans may want jobs to leave China - but they are being moved to Vietnam, Thailand, Korea, Mexico, India etc... not to America (except for subsidised chip manufacturing) - so there will be not much increase in American jobs etc.
Even if not all jobs come back to U.S., the advantages of decoupling far outweigh disadvantages. Covid demonstrated the stupidity of concentrating a lot of imports from one place. A distributed supply chain is more robust and resilient to shocks. As a bonus, the listed countries are not adversaries.
 
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Let me give you few examples:

1. World inflation was 2.9% in 2019 and 8.8% in 2022, higher prices due to inflation boosted the value of trade, but not the volumes. For example, US imports of laptops, videogames and smart phones from China declined in volume terms.

2. Your prime minister unveiled low growth target of 5% for 2023 and acknowledged that one of the reasons for low growth was hostility with the United States.

3. US trade with China increased 5% in 2022 but our bilateral trade with China’s neighbors, Vietnam increased 23%, Singapore 20%, South Korea 16.3%, India 17.5% and Malaysia 18.11%.

4. US trade with Mexico increased 18%, Japan 9.2% and 18.4% with the EU. The point is that the US trade grew faster globally than did its trade with China.

As I said, things are moving in the right direction, trade decoupling is underway.
There are a few problems with your example
1 The proportion of trade volume has nothing to do with the increase in commodity prices you said, and price increases have no ability to change the proportion of trade volume.
2 about losing more of its exports and manufacturing dominance,You have been talking about the trade data between the United States and China, which is meaningless. If you want to object to my opinion, you should provide the data on the world's overall trade with China.
3 In addition, for an economy of 18 trillion US dollars, if it achieves a growth rate of 5%, it is a very good figure. I don't know what the goal of the United States is?

ps In fact, you can think about why the trade between China and Southeast Asia has also increased significantly when the trade between Southeast Asia and the United States has increased significantly. The difference is that the United States has a large deficit, while China has a large surplus.
 
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Americans see importing from China as a mercy. In fact they use their printed dollars to exchange really goods. And they take such ridiculous business for granted. The day when China and US are decoupled, it will be not necessary for China to use dollar as the trading currency. Dollar dominance will be ended. The US consumption power based on printing dollar will remarkably shrink. US will not be an important market for other countries anymore.
 
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Even if not all jobs come back to U.S., the advantages of decoupling far outweigh disadvantages. Covid demonstrated the stupidity of concentrating a lot of imports from one place. A distributed supply chain is more robust and resilient to shocks. As a bonus, the listed countries are not adversaries.
Am in the semiconductor industry, specifically Probe Engineering. Essentially, my (virtual) desk is the last stop before the wafers leave the plant. I have a few wafers in my collection. Semicon is the new petroleum.

MV1xmcT.jpg


Imagine on any wafer, %75 of the dies came from Asia, %15 came from Europe, and the last %10 came from the US. A shooting war between China and Taiwan would cripple global semicon market for yrs to come. For the semicon industry, decoupling or reduction of dependencies from Asia would strengthened this critical global resource. Moving out of China and Taiwan down to SE Asia is an excellent start. Moving back to the Western Hemisphere is even better. The moves already started. It will be painful but China know it is inevitable even if slowly going. There is nothing China can do to prevent it other than to actually steal foreign assets on China and I would not rule out that action because when, not if, companies begins the shutdown, they will ship those equipment out and China would love to keep them. Why not seize them? After all, the people and their knowledge are leaving, at least take the hardware and make some use out of them.
 
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Americans see importing from China as a mercy. In fact they use their printed dollars to exchange really goods. And they take such ridiculous business for granted. The day when China and US are decoupled, it will be not necessary for China to use dollar as the trading currency. Dollar dominance will be ended. The US consumption power based on printing dollar will remarkably shrink. US will not be an important market for other countries anymore.
a common currency for the global south is very likely to happen within a decade, but bilateral trade with the US will continue to use dollar for the convenience.
Am in the semiconductor industry, specifically Probe Engineering. Essentially, my (virtual) desk is the last stop before the wafers leave the plant. I have a few wafers in my collection. Semicon is the new petroleum.

MV1xmcT.jpg


Imagine on any wafer, %75 of the dies came from Asia, %15 came from Europe, and the last %10 came from the US. A shooting war between China and Taiwan would cripple global semicon market for yrs to come. For the semicon industry, decoupling or reduction of dependencies from Asia would strengthened this critical global resource. Moving out of China and Taiwan down to SE Asia is an excellent start. Moving back to the Western Hemisphere is even better. The moves already started. It will be painful but China know it is inevitable even if slowly going. There is nothing China can do to prevent it other than to actually steal foreign assets on China and I would not rule out that action because when, not if, companies begins the shutdown, they will ship those equipment out and China would love to keep them. Why not seize them? After all, the people and their knowledge are leaving, at least take the hardware and make some use out of them.

these wafers are cheaply available from many online shops, doesn't make you a collector of any kind. Lmao.

 
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The formation of the global industrial chain has its own rules. China is following the trend of development. The United States wants to return the industrial chain to the United States, which is going against the trend. The US approach is ten times more difficult. In the short term, the United States seems to be doing well, but in the long run, the United States has no hope of winning.

China is pushing the boat with the current, and the countries that oppose China are going against the current, trying to stop it, confident that they can succeed. The Chinese smiled and looked at the clouds in the sky.thinking about the future.
 
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Let me give you few examples:

1. World inflation was 2.9% in 2019 and 8.8% in 2022, higher prices due to inflation boosted the value of trade, but not the volumes. For example, US imports of laptops, videogames and smart phones from China declined in volume terms.

2. Your prime minister unveiled low growth target of 5% for 2023 and acknowledged that one of the reasons for low growth was hostility with the United States.

3. US trade with China increased 5% in 2022 but our bilateral trade with China’s neighbors, Vietnam increased 23%, Singapore 20%, South Korea 16.3%, India 17.5% and Malaysia 18.11%.

4. US trade with Mexico increased 18%, Japan 9.2% and 18.4% with the EU. The point is that the US trade grew faster globally than did its trade with China.

As I said, things are moving in the right direction, trade decoupling is underway.
Good points but the 1st one I am not sure what you're trying to say. Global inflation makes a difference for the denominator, but the numerator would be influenced only by China inflation less US inflation I think (not sure, just asking)

Americans see importing from China as a mercy. In fact they use their printed dollars to exchange really goods. And they take such ridiculous business for granted. The day when China and US are decoupled, it will be not necessary for China to use dollar as the trading currency. Dollar dominance will be ended. The US consumption power based on printing dollar will remarkably shrink. US will not be an important market for other countries anymore.
Not when China is replaced by a dozen other smaller partners as seems to be the plan. Net net, US still gets cheaper friendshored manufactures, India and several others more than replace Chinese trade .

Sure China will be less dollar denominated - inside China. Not a bad thing.

But how much wealth of Chinese elites is havened outside China?
 
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if it was that simple Trump would have been succeeded and won a second term

simple and true.

It is not possible to challenge Chinese economy anymore.
only sabotage and secret service may be able to dent China; nothing can stop it now.
 
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