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Japan’s economy shrinks by record 28%, worst contraction since World War II

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Japan’s economy shrinks by record 28%, worst contraction since World War II
The previous worst contraction, a 17.8% fall, was in the first quarter of 2009 during the global financial crisis.
Sep 08, 2020


Japan’s economy shrank by a record 28.1% in the April-June quarter due to the economic challenges caused by the coronavirus pandemic, AP reported, citing the revised gross domestic product data released on Tuesday. This is worse than the initial estimate of a 27.8% contraction of the world’s third largest economy given last month.

The Cabinet Office said the government began keeping comparable records in 1980 and this is the worst contraction of Japan’s economy since World War II. The previous worst contraction, a 17.8% fall, was in the first quarter of 2009 during the global financial crisis.


The pandemic has especially hurt Japan’s export-reliant economy, underscoring the pressure facing the successor of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Last month, Abe announced that he will resign because of his deteriorating health. The new prime minister would be elected in a ruling party leadership race on September 14.

Data showed consumer spending and wages falling in July even after lockdown restrictions to tackle the pandemic were lifted in May, according to Reuters. Quarter-on-quarter, the Japanese economy contracted 7.9%, according to the revised figures, down from 7.8% in the preliminary data.

“High-frequency data show that growth is struggling to gain pace, suggesting a very gradual and protracted recovery after the initial bounce,” Oxford Economics said. “The near-term outlook therefore remains challenging.”

Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga, the frontrunner to become next prime minister, has indicated his readiness to boost spending. “The risk ahead is that the effect of measures taken so far, such as payouts to households, will peter out,” said Koichi Fujishiro, an economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.

Last week, the Indian economy saw its worst contraction in decades, with Gross Domestic Product shrinking by a record 23.9% in the April to June quarter, reflecting the severe impact of the coronavirus-induced lockdown.

 
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Japan exports had 8th straight month of double-digit decline in Aug
By ActionForex.com
Sep 16, 04:16 GMT


In non-seasonally adjusted term, Japan’s expected dropped -14.8% yoy to JPY 5232B in August. That’s the 8th straight month of double-digit decline, as well as the 21st month of contraction. It’s the worst run since the 23-month contraction through July 1987. Exports are generally expected to stay weak and might not reach pre-pandemic level until a least early 2022. Imports dropped -20.8% yoy to JPY 4984B. Trade surplus came in at JPY 248B.

In seasonally adjusted term, exports rose 5.9% mom to JPY 5580B. Imports rose 0.1% mom to JPY 5230B. Trade surplus widened to JPY 350B.

 
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Yeah, it was a disappointing big drop.
 
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How about the Tokyo Olympic Games, Is there still a chance that it will happen next year?
 
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Japan is always playing the nice guy and too unlucky.They should bring back the imperial system ,that's the way to bring back on the path of growth.
 
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What was the Japanese savings rate before this pandemic?
 
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I was in Tokyo right before covid. There was construction everywhere and the city was expecting a big increase in tourism with the Olympics. Now that tourism industry pretty much died, country that depends on tourist dollars will crash the most.
 
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just thats not it, japan is also facing a population crisis, with population going to shrink by 20-30% in next 20 years..

china will face similar problems in next 40 years due to its 1 child policy
 
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How about the Tokyo Olympic Games, Is there still a chance that it will happen next year?

I think there is a possibility that it'll be held but maybe at a reduced capacity and as more of a televised-only event. Perhaps some sports might be cancelled.
 
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Japan is always playing the nice guy and too unlucky.They should bring back the imperial system ,that's the way to bring back on the path of growth.

Japan strategy these days is to have many international partners. They are always ready to accept more members into the TPP. Most of South East Asia seems a little concerned about the tensions between the US and China because they don't want to become a proxy battle zone between the two. So in order to get the cooperation from South East Asia countries, Japan tries firmly back strategic concerns of South East Asia countries but without pushing too hard. Among the South East Asia countries, Vietnam is the most concerned about China but not without good reason. Although defense relations with the Philippines has probably progressed the most among all the South East Asia countries. Japan will naturally need to keep good relations with the US and China as well. So a direction that does not resonate so strongly with the Imperial past will be most beneficial. Australia is an important partner of Japan as well.
 
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As usual, thread can't tell it's annualised figures lol.
 
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Japan’s economy shrinks by record 28%, worst contraction since World War II
The previous worst contraction, a 17.8% fall, was in the first quarter of 2009 during the global financial crisis.
Sep 08, 2020


Japan’s economy shrank by a record 28.1% in the April-June quarter due to the economic challenges caused by the coronavirus pandemic, AP reported, citing the revised gross domestic product data released on Tuesday. This is worse than the initial estimate of a 27.8% contraction of the world’s third largest economy given last month.

The Cabinet Office said the government began keeping comparable records in 1980 and this is the worst contraction of Japan’s economy since World War II. The previous worst contraction, a 17.8% fall, was in the first quarter of 2009 during the global financial crisis.


The pandemic has especially hurt Japan’s export-reliant economy, underscoring the pressure facing the successor of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Last month, Abe announced that he will resign because of his deteriorating health. The new prime minister would be elected in a ruling party leadership race on September 14.

Data showed consumer spending and wages falling in July even after lockdown restrictions to tackle the pandemic were lifted in May, according to Reuters. Quarter-on-quarter, the Japanese economy contracted 7.9%, according to the revised figures, down from 7.8% in the preliminary data.

“High-frequency data show that growth is struggling to gain pace, suggesting a very gradual and protracted recovery after the initial bounce,” Oxford Economics said. “The near-term outlook therefore remains challenging.”

Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga, the frontrunner to become next prime minister, has indicated his readiness to boost spending. “The risk ahead is that the effect of measures taken so far, such as payouts to households, will peter out,” said Koichi Fujishiro, an economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.

Last week, the Indian economy saw its worst contraction in decades, with Gross Domestic Product shrinking by a record 23.9% in the April to June quarter, reflecting the severe impact of the coronavirus-induced lockdown.

Japan‘s biggest problem is shrinking and aging population. Not economic up and down.
There is a solution for this.
They should open the floodgates for Viet migrants.
In addition to tackling economic malaise we will bring the war fighting skill back to Japan.
 
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