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Denis Janitorial: Iran is ready to become the second pole of the natural Eurasian Union

04/2013 - 00:41 Story: Politics Topic tags Ali Akbar Salehi Denis Janitorial geo Middle East and Maghreb Russia and CIS RF Iran
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While still a virtual project "Eurasian Union" is considered official Tehran not only as a potential strategic partner, but also as the most desirable form of geopolitical full integration into the system of the Islamic republic's new international institutions.

At a recent conference on Eurasian, Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi said that the "Eurasian cooperation is twice the value and ordering can increase the contribution of this region to shaping the world of tomorrow and to ensure the interests of the region." Today, Foreign Minister of Iran are actively studying the possible scenarios of participation of their country in the new design.

In fact, Iran is ready to become the second pole of the natural Eurasian Union, which will take not only a joy to open up markets, but also the difficulties of organizational and financial costs for the first and subsequent stages of the new entity, a project that has already caused not just criticism, and open aggression on the part of some Russia's Western partners.

Attempts to artificially isolate Iran, which shall take the countries of the Western coalition will certainly complicate the situation. Iran's participation in the project, sponsored by the Russian president, can become not only a strong irritant, but another reason for the outbreak of the political and economic blackmail against the patriotic part of the Russian elite.

Need to be aware that the first steps to include Iran in the Eurasian project automatically launch the new aggressive counter-contributory-liberal influence of the Russian branch of the establishment, which in its intensity may exceed the pre-electoral and anti-clerical campaign. Unpleasant? How! Tolerant? At a certain mobilization of resources and personnel - completely.

Internal political provocation - these are the main risks to our country during the start of the Eurasian Union. Despite the rhetoric of calling some international actors, it is the inner conflict of political protectors partisan and liberal policemen is the main challenge for Russia in its self-definition. This is true not only of the Eurasian Union, but also of many other infrastructural and ideological initiatives.

Certainly, in the international arena will have to explain that the Eurasian Union is not an attempt to restore "scoop", and the political union of equal and free countries, whose main asset is not only trade, but also to preserve the fundamentals of international law, respect for tradition, national sovereignty and human rights in their true sense.

These will have to explain the obvious, not only to partner countries and future members of the new international structure, but also to themselves, by his own officials and strategists. Attempts to play "Big Brother" will not pass away. Only civilized vzaimootkrytye relationship will not only help improve and update the international cooperation, but also help in the development of the Russian state in the new feasible.

As it may seem strange to someone, it is the participation of Iran can help avoid unilateral perception of the "Eurasian Union." It is such a powerful member of the new organization in the first place will make meaningless talk about the fact that Russia is the sole and dominant beneficiary of this integration project, which, by the way, is the main thesis has already begun counter-propaganda.

In addition to such a bright "break pattern", there are a number of really serious advantages that, at least, need to be discussed and addressed.

Participation of Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia's regional integration will control a huge total energy reserves, which with proper cooperation and benefit, will bring many regions of the participating countries to a new level of development in the years ahead to form a completely different approach to infrastructure programs in the areas of our non-poor countries, where poverty reigns today eloquently and desolation.

Full integration of Iran in trade and political relations with a number of member countries of the international community will give the opportunity to complete a 'nuclear mythology "and remove the ongoing tensions around the Islamic republic.

This chance must not lose sight of humanity, as a possible war in Central Asia, may be the most destructive in the history of civilization, destroying many nations and peoples, pour the blood of innocent people, not only the Persian Gulf, and the Caspian Sea, the Black Sea, the Volga, to change the familiar world beyond recognition.

Iran's entry into a common open system of transport and logistics corridor will solve the issue of the two Armenian states in the full economic turnover in the Eurasian Union.

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Both Armenia and Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh - ed.) Will be free to use Iranian ports and means of communication for the transit of goods, and to realize full investment projects, including the territory of Artsakh, which already is the state with the most favorable investment climate in the FSU.

With this new balance of power will help keep the current leadership of Azerbaijan from hasty and emotional action. In the future, new opportunities will benefit from corridors and Georgia, which is now also in need of serious and conscientious investment projects aimed at rural development and rehabilitation of the agricultural sector.

Each potential member of the Eurasian Union today is ready to contribute to the cause. Unfortunately, time is against us today. Obviously, the need to start not only the will but also the confidence in its true and authentic realization.

For Russia, the main problem of Putin's third term is not the lack of political will, and its perverted realization. But it's clear that the Eurasian Union could start only once, and only successfully. Our potential partners, including Iran, are waiting until we sort out themselves, and begin, finally, to act.

Denis Janitorial
Member of the Public Chamber of Russia
Source: sajjadi.livejournal.com Blog Reza Sajjadi - Iranian Ambassador to Russia !!!
 
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hes right. our budget this year has decreased too.

and rial lost his value today against dollar.
these statistics are from Iran's custom and are repeated by western media. actually I extracted some of those numbers from western media report.
and it's completely logical, high price of foreign goods decreases the Culture of consumerism, this is specially what I can sense in society, also cause foreign goods have become expensive, people prefer to purchase domestic goods.
so again if you don't believe it, it's your problem not mine.
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by the way, wasn't your flag Germany?
 
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these statistics are from Iran's custom and are repeated by western media. actually I extracted some of those numbers from western media report.
and it's completely logical, high price of foreign goods decreases the Culture of consumerism, this is specially what I can sense in society, also cause foreign goods have become expensive, people prefer to purchase domestic goods.
so again if you don't believe it, it's your problem not mine.
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by the way, wasn't your flag Germany?

where are you getting this bull **** from?

mullahs call oil byproducts "non oil" exports.

Things like bitumen and other chemicals!! lmao

That's why I called your original post bull ****.

Basically they sell bitumen and other oil byproducts, which I doubt that too, and call it "non oil exports." They value it at 6 billion. Then they import all sorts of machinery etc... and compare it to the bitumen they supposedly sold!!

Rialetoon ke panchar shode poolam nadarin bebarinesh panchar giri, rokoode eghtesadi ke faravoone, tavaroom dar hade teame melli, bikariam ke mese hamishe hast (ageham kesi kar dashte bashe enghad kam pool dar miare ke behtare beshine khoone kar nakone).

pas behtare kamtar sherover begi

baradar ! kahesh arzesh pol melli ba inke asib mizane , vali saderat ro baraye tajer ha sod avar mikone ...

are, doroste, vali in chizi ke migi che rabti dare be ye keshvari mese Iran ke 1000 ta sanction rooshe? Aval inke Iran nemitoone chizi befrooshe be aksare donya, chon na kharidar hast, na kharidar mitoone pool befrese Iran. Dovom inke Iran gheir az naft va "oil byproduct" chizi dorost nemikone bekhad sader kone.

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Iran's car production fell by 40% IN ONE YEAR

In 2011 Iran produced 1.6 million cars
In 2012 Iran produced 989,000

http://oica.net/category/production-statistics/
 
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where are you getting this bull **** from?

mullahs call oil byproducts "non oil" exports.

Things like bitumen and other chemicals!! lmao

That's why I called your original post bull ****.

Basically they sell bitumen and other oil byproducts, which I doubt that too, and call it "non oil exports." They value it at 6 billion. Then they import all sorts of machinery etc... and compare it to the bitumen they supposedly sold!!

Rialetoon ke panchar shode poolam nadarin bebarinesh panchar giri, rokoode eghtesadi ke faravoone, tavaroom dar hade teame melli, bikariam ke mese hamishe hast (ageham kesi kar dashte bashe enghad kam pool dar miare ke behtare beshine khoone kar nakone).

pas behtare kamtar sherover begi



are, doroste, vali in chizi ke migi che rabti dare be ye keshvari mese Iran ke 1000 ta sanction rooshe? Aval inke Iran nemitoone chizi befrooshe be aksare donya, chon na kharidar hast, na kharidar mitoone pool befrese Iran. Dovom inke Iran gheir az naft va "oil byproduct" chizi dorost nemikone bekhad sader kone.

==========================================

Iran's car production fell by 40% IN ONE YEAR

In 2011 Iran produced 1.6 million cars
In 2012 Iran produced 989,000

OICA » Production Statistics
your hatred against religious government and people has blinded you, when you ask where is my source, you are discrediting the news, while a few lines later you say that you only have problem with non-oil meaning.
first of all it's non-petroleum, nobody claimed for non-(oil and byproducts), secondly the very basic difference between exporting crude-oil and it's products and byproducts is that we can halt the crude-oil extraction and export, we can import crude-oil and after Processing in refineries, export it.
also it was just a few weeks ago that Iran signed a contract with Iraq to export premium diesel, but I know you don't like to read those news.
regarding iran's trade rate it has have about 50% positive growth rate every year, and today's news was expected from long time ago and I posted that prediction in this forum too.

Iran’s exports to 160 countries grow 5 times during 8 years of sanctions

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regarding drop in Iran's car production rate, I can't be more happy, the fact that all of the stopped production lines were using imported parts from Europe and now our car industry has to use domestic potential and stop filling European pockets. Peugeot Citroen in France forced to fire 10000 of his employees because of refusing to export their sh!ts to Iran, let them have it, Ending this kind of relationship, the sooner the better.
 
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your hatred against religious government and people has blinded you, when you ask where is my source, you are discrediting the news, while a few lines later you say that you only have problem with non-oil meaning.
first of all it's non-petroleum, nobody claimed for non-(oil and byproducts), secondly the very basic difference between exporting crude-oil and it's products and byproducts is that we can halt the crude-oil extraction and export, we can import crude-oil and after Processing in refineries, export it.
also it was just a few weeks ago that Iran signed a contract with Iraq to export premium diesel, but I know you don't like to read those news.
regarding iran's trade rate it has have about 50% positive growth rate every year, and today's news was expected from long time ago and I posted that prediction in this forum too.

Iran’s exports to 160 countries grow 5 times during 8 years of sanctions

------------------------
regarding drop in Iran's car production rate, I can't be more happy, the fact that all of the stopped production lines were using imported parts from Europe and now our car industry has to use domestic potential and stop filling European pockets. Peugeot Citroen in France forced to fire 10000 of his employees because of refusing to export their sh!ts to Iran, let them have it, Ending this kind of relationship, the sooner the better.

everything you just said is noise, nothing else

reality is that inflation is up, unemployment is up, industrial growth is down, production is down, rial's value has dropped off a clip and the economy is in recession

nice try though
 
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Benzazaram dige khabaraaye bado tu in forom nanevisim ke in arabaye bipedar khoshhal nashan.
 
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What Is Behind Success Of Tehran Stock Exchange?





The Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) has been viewed as a phenomenon in the midst of the declining Iranian economy. The TSE Price Index (TEPIX) currently hovers at about 59,000 — up more than 500% since 2009, about 50% since the beginning of the current Iranian year (March 21) and about 28% since the election of Hassan Rouhani as president (June 14). As the following graph indicates, there are occasional adjustments downward — such as in the days running up to the presidential election on June 14 — however, the overall trend is upward. The question is how one can understand this uninterrupted rise and what factors are influencing this phenomenal growth.

The TSE started its operations in 1966. After the first oil price rise (1973-1974) and along with the increase in foreign exchange revenues, TSE activities increased considerably and the number of listed companies reached 102 in 1978. In the aftermath of the Islamic Revolution (1979) and the Iran-Iraq war (1980-1988), trading in many companies was suspended and turnover reduced to almost zero. Since 1988, the TSE has seen sustained periods of growth in trading and market capitalization, only interrupted by short downturns in 1997-1998 due to an overheated market, and in 2005 due to political uncertainties — following the election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Market capitalization of the 320 companies currently listed on the TSE stood at 2,904,320 billion Iranian rials or more than $115 billion at the currency exchange rate as of Sept. 1. The growth in the number of listed companies is a direct consequence of the fact that most state-owned companies have been privatized through a listing of their shares on the TSE.

It is evident that the TSE’s growth over the past few years and its recent rise do not correspond well with a stagnant economy, undermined by trade and financial sanctions, mismanagement and high inflation and unemployment. Experts disagree whether the growth is a bubble that will burst at some point, or whether it is an indication of a growing capital market.






TSE Price Index since the beginning of the current Iranian year



The factors that have contributed to the TSE developments include the following:
• Impact of privatization: As mentioned above, the Iranian government has been actively selling the shares of government-owned companies on the TSE. Though the actual liquid shares of such companies are usually around 20%, the entry of such shares increases the market capitalization and also the volume of trading. In many cases, the actual market prices for shares of privatized companies is higher than the IPO price, which pushes up the index.

• Growing confidence and contribution of small investors to the TSE: Iran still has a cash-based economy and the expansion of the country’s money supply as a result of cash subsidies — money supply has grown sevenfold between 2005 and 2013 — has attracted many small investors to share trading. According to Khalil Arjomandi, acting director of Tose’e Financial Institute, currently up to 30 billion Iranian rials ($ 1.2 million) of new small investments flow into the TSE on a daily basis. The enormous rise of the TEPIX since the presidential elections is a reflection of the fact that many small investors are shifting their investments in gold and hard currency toward the TSE. Some experts argue that the stock market is not capable of absorbing the totality of the funds that are interested in investing in company shares.

• Presence of attractive companies in the TSE: Arjomandi underlines that the presence of profit-making companies such as the Telecommunications Company of Iran, as well as some of the privatized entities such as car makers and mining and exporting companies, has boosted the market enormously. Furthermore, the generally positive performance of listed companies despite economic issues and financial crises has increased investor confidence in TSE investments.

• General optimism about the Rouhani government: The country’s business community is optimistic about the new administration. According to Ali TehraniNasr, a director of the Atieh Bahar Consulting in Tehran, “the Iranian business community hopes that Rouhani and his economic team will improve the country’s business climate and also take a more supportive approach toward domestic production and industries."

• The impact of exchange rate corrections: Many of the successful listed Iranian companies are export-oriented and the devaluation of the rial has had a positive impact on their business outlook, hence attracting large and small investors.

• Lack of access to foreign financial markets: The TSE is also benefiting from the current sanctions. In other words, banking sanctions have made it more difficult for wealthy Iranians to transfer their funds overseas, and they are compelled to park their money in the local stock market. The same is valid for many Iranian banks that traditionally diversified their investments by allocating some funds to international investment. TehraniNasr explained, “With sanctions set to remain in place, and alternative investment opportunities for Iranians increasingly limited, the lure of the stock market is likely to attract a growing number of Iranian investors.”

•Impact of inflation: The high inflation rate and price increases have also had an effect on the tangible assets of many listed companies. In addition, the depreciation of the rial has increased the fixed asset value of foreign equipment of many companies, also pushing up share prices.

The above list is not exhaustive, and it is mainly meant to show that there are valid technical or financial reasons why investor interest in the Iranian capital market has expanded. There will also be other factors which will contribute to this process. For example, the plan to make the so-called “justice shares” — company shares issued to civil servants and lower income classes in the process of privatization — tradable at the TSE will inject further liquidity into the market.

However, the mere growth of the stock market is not an indication of a growing economy. In fact, the contrast could not be harsher: A fast growing capital market in an economy that may experience a third consecutive year of economic decline. This phenomenon is yet another reminder of the current imbalance that the Iranian economy finds itself in. The imbalance is further aggravated through internal and external tensions and uncertainties, especially sanctions.

The biggest absentee in this market is foreign investment. In fact, despite the introduction of relevant laws to facilitate foreign investment at the TSE, currently actual foreign investment is negligible, mainly due to banking sanctions impeding such dealings.

Despite the enormous growth, there are also many structural issues and problems in the TSE. Industry insiders complain about the lack of transparency on why sometimes TSE management decides to suspend trading in some company shares. The occasional suspensions make company shares illiquid and work against the interest of small investors. Furthermore, brokers and investors suffer as a result of irregular activities; for example, the fact that most large companies are engaged in investment activity, even though they are not registered as investment companies.

It remains to be seen whether the new government will pay attention to capital market reforms that will be needed to consolidate this important economic phenomenon. For now, the TSE will continue to benefit from the imbalanced economic and financial realities in the market, but it will also need to institutionalize new laws and regulations to increase transparency and its attraction to big and small investors, even as and when the Iranian economy finds a new balance.


Read more: What Is Behind Success Of Tehran Stock Exchange? - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kmzijQHEgTE
 
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