-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Constituency watch: Amethi Special Part 1: Early jitters for Gandhi scion
Posted :
5:14 am, May 7, 2014 by
admin
Priyanka Gandhi Vadra has been camping in Amethi for the last few weeks and is facing the heat from the voters at almost every public meeting she has addressed. Many ask her about “Biljee” and “Pani” without any fear any more. We tend to have a short memory, but the same Priyanka failed spectacularly just 2 years ago when voters were asking similar questions to her wherever she campaigned in Amethi-Sultanpur-Rae Bareli belt. It must be remembered that Congress lost 3 seats out of 5 in 2012 when Priyanka camped here in Amethi for weeks.
National elections are always a different ball game and the voters of Amethi do have an emotional bonding with the Nehru-Gandhis which may yet nullify that energetic speech of Narendra Modi on the last day of campaigning here. Although we must also remember that BJP had won this seat as recently as in 1998, just 3 election cycles away. Yes, Sanjay Singh was the BJP candidate back then and Rahul Gandhi was not even contesting. Yet, there are six factors that are crucial for Amethi this time;
- Visible lack of governance in Amethi coupled with huge anti-incumbency against the Congress party
- A miffed Sanjay Singh at his wife not getting the support from Congress machinery in the neighbouring Sultanpur constituency which has made him play some behind-the-scenes role in Amethi
- Narendra Modi’s speech in Amethi which not only has galvanized the average BJP worker here but also has created a an option for the voter
- Amit Shah seems to have worked on this constituency meticulously which has made a big difference
- AAP and Kumar Vishwas’s campaign for at least two months has created some urban resistance for the Gandhis which BJP has tapped into over the last few weeks
- Inability of the Congress machinery to react to contingency situations like this because it was always overtly dependent on Gandhi charisma
Our own pre-poll survey done on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday was indicative of how the average voter was silent and unwilling to hedge bets even so closer to the polling day. These fence-sitters could eventually make a big difference in the end. Let us now see how these fence sitters seem to have voted early in the morning today.
It is interesting that BJP’s Smriti Irani is trailing by about 8% whereas AAP’s Kumar Vishwas is getting exactly the same 8% votes. These are very early trends at 10:30 AM and we still have a long day to go, but one thing is certain, Rahul Gandhi has a battle on his hands! If these trends continue and once we extrapolate this data by adding social-swing weightage, the entire picture could be very scary for the Gandhi family. One way or the other, it looks like Narendra Modi has managed to take the battle to the Gandhi family backyard. We will be closely watching Amethi all day to give you more live reports.
Mene reply kar diya isko
Can anyone tell me how many voters in amethi ?
YES ,Total electors :1635127
http://ceouttarpradesh.nic.in/PollPhase/phaseWisePolling.htm
After LS 2014 is over soon Delhi assembly elections will come and in Delhi it's AAP vs BJP but BJP wants it to be Congress VS BJP in Delhi!
ache din ane vale he 
