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India overtakes China to top global retail index: Study

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India overtakes China to top global retail index: Study
By PTI | Updated: Jun 05, 2017, 02.39 PM IST
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India's rapidly expanding economy, easing of FDI rules and a consumption boom are the key drivers for India's top ranking.
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SINGAPORE: India has surpassed China to secure the top position among 30 developing countries on ease of doing business, according to a study that cited India's rapidly expanding economy, relaxation of FDI rules and a consumption boom as the key drivers.

The 2017 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI), now in its 16th edition, ranks the top 30 developing countries for retail investment worldwide and analyses 25 macroeconomic and retail-specific variables.

India's rapidly expanding economy, easing of foreign direct investment (FDI) rules and a consumption boom are the key drivers for India's top ranking in the GRDI.

The GRDI, titled 'The Age of Focus', ranks China in second place. Despite its slower overall economic growth, the market's size and the continued evolution of retail still make China one of the most attractive markets for retail investment.

"The study is unique in that it not only identifies the markets that are most attractive today, but also those that offer future potential," said management consulting firm AT Kearney in a statement.

India's retail sector has been growing at an annual rate of 20 per cent. Total sales surpassed the $1 trillion-mark last year and the sector is expected to double in size by 2020.

Rapid urbanisation and a growing middle class with higher income levels is driving up consumption across the country, the consultancy group said.

The government's continued support to relax FDI regulations in key areas of the retail sector have provided further boost to its growth, it noted.

In the past year, the government has allowed 100 per cent foreign ownership in B2B e-commerce businesses and for retailers that sell food products.

India's retail sector has also benefited from the rapid growth in e-commerce.

It is projected to grow 30 per cent annually and reach $48 billion by 2020.

Retailers have been quick to seize the opportunity with 86 per cent of e-commerce dominated by pure-play online retailers in 2016.

The Indian government's effort to boost cashless payments (witnessed in the recent nationwide demonetisation exercise) and reform indirect taxation with a nationwide goods and services tax (GST) are also expected to accelerate adoption of formal retail.

"India's top ranking is a clear vote of confidence in its retail market and vast growth potential," said Debashish Mukherjee, Partner with A T Kearney and Head of the Consumer Industries & Retail Products Practice for India.
 
Indian economy poses major challenges, Chinese think tank warns Beijing
By PTI | May 11, 2017, 02.20 PM IST
BEIJING: China should take competition from India seriously as the Indian economy may see "explosive" growth in the future, raising prospects of it becoming "China 2.0", according to a Chinese think-tank.

The world's second largest economy should develop an effective counter growth strategy otherwise it may end up becoming a "bystander" to watch India's success.

"As China's demographic dividend diminishes, India, with half of its population below the age of 25, is poise ..

to take advantage," a study on Indian economy by Chinese private strategic think tank Anbound said.

Pointing to Chinese economic slowdown which last year grew to 6.7 per cent in contrast to India's estimated GDP of 7.1 per cent for 2016-17, excerpts of the report published in the state-run Global Times today said "just as what happened with China in the past, the changes that are taking place in India may also point to great potential for development".

"With a large pop ..
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India overtakes China to become the world’s largest two-wheeler market
May 07, 2017, 10.05 AM IST
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India takes the crown
India has overtaken China to emerge as the world's biggest market for two-wheelers.

A total of 17.7 million two-wheelers were sold here last year, that's over 48,000 units every day.

Neighbouring China trailed with 16.8 million units sold, according to officials from industry body Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (Siam) as well as data from China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.

India's Economy Surpasses That Of Great Britain
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Capital Flows

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Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May stands amidst Hindu priests after offering prayers to the Hindu deity Lord Shiva during a visit to Someshwara Temple in Bangalore on November 8, 2016. (MANJUNATH KIRAN/AFP/Getty Images)

As Theresa May returned home from her unsuccessful visit to India, she would bear witness to another relegation for the UK: India’s economy will be larger than the UK’s, for the first time in more than 100 years. This dramatic shift has been driven by India’s rapid economic growth over the past 25 years as well as Britain's recent woes, particularly with the Brexit. Once expected to overtake the UK GDP in 2020, the surpasso has been accelerated by the nearly 20% decline in the value of the pound over the last 12 months, consequently UK’s 2016 GDP of GBP 1.87 trillion converts to $2.29 trillion at exchange rate of ~GBP 0.81 per $1, whereas India’s GDP of INR 153 trillion converts to $2.30 trillion at exchange rate of ~INR 66.6 per $1. Furthermore, this gap is expected to widen as India grows at 6 to 8% p.a. compared to UK’s growth of 1 to 2% p.a. until 2020, and likely beyond. Even if the currencies fluctuate that modify these figures to rough equality, the verdict is clear that India’s economy has surpassed that of the UK based on future growth prospects

India has surpassed the US, the second largest market in the world in terms of Android app downloads, says the latest Mary Meeker report on Internet Trends.

The latest Mary Meeker 2017 Global Internet Trends report highlights this fact that “Smartphone+data costs are still high for the majority of 1.3 Bn citizens.” Overall, India stands second, globally, in terms of Internet penetration with 355 Mn Internet users in 2016, while China takes the top position with 700 Mn users. This is a 28% rise in comparison to the previous 277 Mn users in 2015.

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India may be more populous than China, research suggests
Demographer Yi Fuxian says number of Chinese born since 1990 overestimated by 90m


India may be more populous than China, research suggests Demographer Yi Fuxian says number of Chinese born since 1990 overestimated by 90m Read next US attaché in China quits over Paris pact pullout 3 hours ago China's fertility rate may have been overestimated, according to Chinese demographer Yi Fuxian © Reuters Share on Twitter (opens new window) Share on Facebook (opens new window) Share on LinkedIn (opens new window) 31 Print this page May 25, 2017 by: Tom Mitchell in Beijing India may already have overtaken China as the world’s most populous country, according to research by an independent Chinese demographer. Yi Fuxian, a scientist at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said Chinese officials had overestimated the number of births between 1990 and 2016 by almost 90m. He attributed the alleged error partly to an overly optimistic fertility rate figure. China’s fertility rate was estimated at 1.6 children per woman in 2015, while Mr Yi believes it could be as low as 1.05. If Mr Yi is correct, China’s population at the end of last year was 1.29bn, compared to the government’s official figure of 1.38bn. India’s population is officially estimated at 1.33bn. Mr Yi’s research, which was presented to academics in Beijing this week, highlights the demographic crisis confronting Chinese policymakers. China’s working age population fell for the first time in 2012 and has been declining ever since, raising the prospect that the country may “get old before it gets rich”.
 


India has surpassed the US, the second largest market in the world in terms of Android app downloads

More phones means more such downloads. Period.

Paid apps = 6%
94% = Free apps

Where is low income India on paid apps?
 
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Momentum does not mean sheer number.
Growth rate =/= absolute growth
India's retail sales is still very small, only 20% of China's (4.84 trillion dollars).
Such index is just like GDP growth rate, which does not speak of the growth volume in real numbers.
A 6% growing Chinese economy can still add one entire india's GDP which grows at 7% every 3 years.



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