What's new

In 2030, Pakistan will be the largest Muslim-majority country with 245 million people.

shuntmaster

BANNED
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
2,916
Reaction score
-26
Country
Malaysia
Location
Australia
Pakistan Population 2013
Population Rank:
6
% of World Pop:2.56%
Also See: Major Cities in Pakistan

December, 6th 2013
The country Pakistan has a history that dates back to almost 2,500 years B.C. It is considered to be one of the most highly advanced and highly developed civilizations of those ancient times. Finally becoming a sovereign state (and eventually recognized as an official mark on the map of the world) on August 14, 1947, this country is known for having deep roots in the Islamic religion. The country’s capital is Islamabad, and the country features four different provinces: North West Frontier Province, Sindh, Balochistan, and Punjab.

Pakistan Population 2013
Last collected in the year 2011, the population, at that point, stood at a reported 176,745,364. This number came from a report that was published by the World Bank in 2012. Back in 2001, the estimated population was around 142.5 million; the country, at that point, became the seventh most populated country in the entire world. Over the next ten years, the estimated population grew by about 34 million people.

pakistan.jpg

Since the year 1947, when the country became a sovereign state, the population of Pakistan has increased significantly, particularly because more and more people felt comfortable moving their families and businesses to the area. Compared to the other countries in the region, the growth rate of Pakistan is about 2.1 percent higher. It is predicted that in about 35 years, if this growth continues, the population of Pakistan will eventually become double of what it was back in 2001. Judging from how the population has grown significantly over just ten years, this “doubled population” figure does not seem to be far off.

Pakistan Population History
Did you know?
In 2030, Pakistan will be the largest Muslim-majority country w/ 245 million people.

To break this down even more specifically, the population of Pakistan grew, on average, at a rate of 3 percent per year from 1951 until the middle of the 1980’s decade. From the mid 1980’s until the year 2000, the growth of the population slowed down to about 2.6 percent per year; and from 2000 to 2012, to about 2 percent per year. The reason for this slow population increase may be that the country spent a lot of time and effort to slow down the population growth. As a result of these efforts, itis a lot poorer than what is was a long time ago. If it did not make any effort to slow down its population increase, then there would actually be 49.13 MORE people in the country than the current reports. But on the other end, they would also be a lot richer as a country. In other words, Pakistan, had it not slowed down its population increase, would actually be 52 percent richer than it is right now. Obviously, history cannot be changed, so the efforts have been switched to educating its population instead.

pakistan-population-2013.jpg

Life Expectancy
In the year 1984, the life expectancy of a Pakistani citizen was only at 56.9 years. As of the year 2002, the life expectancy has jumped up to 63 years of age. The improvement was a direct result of improved medical facilities and better educated health professionals available in the country. The downside, unfortunately, is that doctors and nurses are still in short number for the citizens that need them. There is only 1 nurse for every 3,700 people in the country. If the country is looking to improve health among its citizens and continue to grow their life expectancy rate, then the number of available doctors and nurses needs to continue to grow. If these numbers do not improve, then the people of Pakistan will actually see their life expectancy rate dip back down to the numbers of the mid 1990’s (59 years of age). The life expectancies of males and females are generally the same in Pakistan. As of 2002, men are expected to live around 63.7 years, while women are expected to live 63.4 years. (These numbers are according to the National Institute of Population Studies.)

Demographics
There have been very drastic and dramatic social changes in Pakistan. These vital changes have ushered in a new era of urbanization and the creation of a couple of megacities within the country. As of 2003, the country became one of the most urbanized cities in all of South Asia, mainly because city dwellers made up about 36 percent of its entire population at that point. About 50 percent of Pakistani citizens live in a place where at least 5,000 other citizens reside as well.

Most Pakistani people come from the ancestral group known as the Indo-Iranians. The largest ethnic group in Pakistan consists of those of Punjabi ethnicity, while Pashtuns and Sindhis are the second and third largest ethnic groups in the country, respectively. There is a special mixed ethnic group between the Punjabi ethnicity and the Sindhi ethnicity, and this group makes up about 10 percent of the entire Pakistani population.

When we consider the foreigners who live in Pakistan, a majority of them come from Afghanistan. Smaller foreign groups include those from Iraq, Bangladesh, Uzbekistan, Somalia, Burma, and Tajikistan. The most popular language in Pakistan is Punjabi, a language in which 88 percent of the population speaks. Second is the language Saraiki, which is spoken by 10 percent of the population; and coming in third is the language Pashto, spoken by 15 percent of the population.

English is widely spoken throughout the government of Pakistan, mainly because it is actually the official language of the government of the country. Many government officials, civil servants, and members of the military speak English in their daily conversations and meetings.

Pakistan Population Projections
According to a lot of expert predictions and projections based on trends and statistics, among many other factors, by the year 2050, there will be close to 9 BILLION people populating the planet. Out of those 9 billion, they project that about half of the world’s population will reside in the following countries:China, the United States, India, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Uganda, the Congo, Bangladesh, and, of course – you guessed it – Pakistan.

Pakistan Population Chart
Population History

Year Population Change
1950 37,542,000 N/A%
1960 45,541,000 21.31%
1970 59,204,000 30.00%
1980 79,984,000 35.10%
1990 111,091,000 38.89%
2000 143,832,000 29.47%
2010 173,149,000 20.38%

Population Projections
Year Population Change
2020 212,817,0002 2.91%
2030 260,059,0002 2.20%
2040 312,431,0002 0.14%
2050 375,253,0002 0.11%
2060 448,732,0001 9.58%
2070 535,005,0001 9.23%
2080 640,800,0001 9.77%
2090 770,776,0002 0.28%
2100 929,334,0002 0.57%

How Many People Live
Based on the most recent estimates, the current population is projected as:
183,753,942
 
. .
PAKISTAN: WHERE THE POPULATION BOMB IS EXPLODING

In much the developed, as well as developing world, population growth is slowing. Not so in Pakistan according to reported preliminary results of the 2011 Pakistan census. Here population is growing much faster than had been projected. Pakistan's population stood at 197.4 million in 2011, an increase of 62.7 million from the last census in 1998 (Note 1). The new population is 20 million more than had been forecast in United Nations documents. Some of the additional growth is due to refugees fleeing Afghanistan, but this would not be enough to account for the majority of the under-projection error.

Pakistan: Moving Up the League Tables

As a result, Pakistan has passed Brazil and become the world's 5th most populous nation, following China, India, the United States and Indonesia. Pakistan's 11 year growth rate is estimated at 34.2 percent, nearly double that of second ranking Mexico, at 18.2 percent, where the birth rate (as indicated by the total fertility rate) is projected to drop to under replacement rate by the end of the decade. Perhaps most significantly, Pakistan's growth rate is more than double the rates ofIndia (15.9 percent) and Bangladesh (14.1 percent),which have long had reputations for strong growth (Table and Figure 1). At this growth rate, Pakistan could become the world's fourth most populous nation by 2030, passing Indonesia.







Table
10 Most Populous Nations: 2000-2011: Population Trends
RankNation20002011Change% Change
1China 1,278.0 1,348.0 70.05.5%
2India 1,071.0 1,241.0 170.015.9%
3United States 285.5 313.1 27.69.7%
4Indonesia 216.2 242.3 26.112.1%
5Pakistan 147.1 197.4 50.234.2%
6Brazil 176.9 196.7 19.811.2%
7Bangladesh 131.9 150.5 18.614.1%
8Russia 146.1 142.8 (3.3)-2.3%
9Japan 125.9 126.5 0.60.5%
10Mexico 97.0 114.8 17.818.4%
Population in Millions
Population data from UN, except for Pakistan (from Pakistan census)
2000 Pakistan population estimated from 1998-2011 growth rate.
cox-pakistan-1.png


Remarkably, while much of the world has seen a reduction in fertility rates and population growth, Pakistan's growth rate has increased. Between 1991 and 2001, Pakistan grew 25 percent, a rate that increased by more than one third (to 34 percent) between 2001 and 2011 (Figure 2). Pakistan's total fertility rate (TFR --- the number of live births the average woman has in her lifetime) is reported by the UN to be 3.2. This is well above India's rate of 2.6 and far above the Bangladesh rate of 2.2 (which is only barely above the generally accepted replacement rate of 2.1). Pakistan's fertility rate is the highest of any of the largest countries and one of the highest in the world outside sub-Saharan Africa.

cox-pakistan-2.png


Not surprisingly, the average household size is very high, at 6.8. This is a slight decline from the rate of 6.9 in 1998. By comparison, more developed countries, such as in Europe and North America, tend to have average household sizes of from 2.2 to 2.6.

Karachi: World's Leading Urban Area by 2030?

Pakistan's largest metropolitan region and capital of Sindh province, Karachi, grew even faster. Between 1998 to 2011, Karachi grew from 9.8 million to 21.2 million, adding more than 11 million people (115 percent). No metropolitan region in the world has ever grown so much in so little a period. This 13 year growth rate, adjusted to 10 years, is 8.7 million. Until the last decade, onlyTokyo, among the larger world metropolitan regions, had ever grown more than 6 million in 10 years (6.2 million from 1960 to 1970). Between 2000 and 2010, Jakarta grew 7.4 million,Shanghai grew 7.0 million and Beijing added 6.0 million people. (See Figure 3.)

cox-pakistan-3.png


Mexico City and Sao Paulo, with their reputations for explosive growth rates, are now expanding at only 3 million (or less) per decade, and their growth is slowing. The fastest growing metropolitan regions in regions in Europe and North America peaked at similar numbers. New York's greatest growth was 3.4 million between 1920 and 1930, while Los Angeles grew 3.1 million from 1980 to 1990.

The early census results indicate an urban area (area of continuous urban development, a part of a metropolitan area) population of approximately 19.5 million, which would rank Karachi as the 7th largest in the world. With an urban land area of approximately 310 square miles (800 square kilometers), Karachi has an average population density of approximately 63,000 per square mile (24,000 per square kilometer), making it more dense than any "megacity" (urban area over 10 million population) except for Dhaka (Bangladesh) at 115,000 per square mile (44,000 per square kilometer) and Mumbai (80,000 per square kilometer and 31,000 per square mile)

Karachi's strong growth now places it among a group of large and rapidly growing urban areas that could challenge Tokyo to become the world's largest urban area in 20 years. Indeed, should Karachi's now 6.0 percent growth rate fall to 4.0 percent, Karachi would still be the world's largest urban area in 2030, followed by Jakarta, given its present growth rate. With Tokyo likely to begin losing population by that time, Delhi may pass Tokyo by 2030 as well.

At the same time, Karachi is densifying in an unusual way: it is increasing its average household size. While the average household size is dropping modestly in the nation as a whole, Karachi's average household size rose from 6.7 to 7.3 between 1998 and 2011, meaning that nearly 10 percent of any recent density increase is within housing units (it is not known whether this is due to higher local fertility rates or "doubling up" of family units in housing units).

As the largest metropolitan area of one of the world's largest nations, Karachi draws residents from the rest of the nation (and outside) to take advantage of its economic opportunities. Pakistan is not a rich country, with a gross domestic product (purchasing power parity) of less than $3,000 per capita in 2011. This compares generally to rates of $30,000 to $40,000 in the larger European Union economies, $40,000 to $50,000 in Australia, Canada, United States and Hong Kong and $60,000 in Singapore. However, incomes are higher in Karachi than in the rest of the country.

As huge numbers of people have migrated to Karachi, many have been forced to live in informal settlements (slums), as squatters. In 2000, it was estimated that approximately 5 million of Karachi's residents (nearly 50 percent) at the time lived in slums.

Hyderabad

Hyderabad (Pakistan, not India) is the second largest metropolitan region in the province of Sindh. Hyderabad's claim to fame is that it is growing even faster than Karachi. Between 1998 and 2011, Hyderabad grew from 1.4 million to 3.4 million, or 129 percent.

Other Areas

So far, the reported census results are limited to the provincial data and local data in the province of Sindh. However, in view of the strong growth rates around the nation, it seems likely that the count in the nation's second largest urban area, Lahore, will surpass 10 million.

Urban Growth in Pakistan

Finally, any review of suburban and exurban land use on Google Earth suggests that Pakistan is taking the advice of the United Nations in its State of the World Population Report 2007: Unleashing the Potential of Urban Growth, which said (Note 2):

(a) expanding their city limits; (b) planning for road grids in the areas of expansion; (c) locating
the required 25- to 30-metre-wide right-of-way for the infrastructure grid on the ground



Radiating both from Karachi and Hyderabad, there are new grids of streets for housing and other development of a type that will allow the burgeoning cities of Pakistan to grow and perhaps even breathe at the same time.

Wendell Cox is a Visiting Professor, Conservatoire National des Arts et Metiers, Paris and the author of “War on the Dream: How Anti-Sprawl Policy Threatens the Quality of Life.”
 
. . .
In 1975 when America reached the peak of its power, after F-16 has flown, America had a population of 216 million.
 
.
Pakistan does not have enough land to support this many people.

This uncontrolled population growth will cause more chaos in Pakistan and more ethnic, sectarian and civil strife as people fight over depleting resources.
 
. .
Congratulation to Pakistan ...... :enjoy:
 
.
900 million by 2100?
u gotta be kidding me.
 
.
900 million by 2100?
u gotta be kidding me.


Better question would be....By 2100 what would be Earth's population? At the rate of troubles these days, broken parts of earth might be floating some where in the universe, no?
 
.
the predictions are wrong......anyways congrats Pakistan :pakistan::enjoy:
dudho nahao,puto falo.....mera ashirwad tumlogon ke saath hai :lol:
 
.
someone tell me before i post in this thread, is it good or bad,the title seems as if someone is proud about it.
 
.
We need negative growth rate - Pakistan's population should be 150 million.

Anyway - It looks like the writer is not aware of demographics of Pakistan - How the hell he made 88% population of Pakistan speak Punjabi when Punjab is 58% of Pakistan?
The most popular language in Pakistan is Punjabi, a language in which 88 percent of the population speaks. Second is the language Saraiki, which is spoken by 10 percent of the population; and coming in third is the language Pashto, spoken by 15 percent of the population.
 
.
someone tell me before i post in this thread, is it good or bad,the title seems as if someone is proud about it.


Some people for some reason are proud...I guess being the largest muslim pop where I fail to see the benefit. I'd rather have the best life style than most pop. Its almost the same when some people jump out of their chair hearing India is going to overtake China in terms of pop some time in future. Some people don't realize too much of a thing is bad.
 
.
Back
Top Bottom