Dalit
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The problem are, in any financial system, there are a "Time to Live" for all debt to be write off, because the resource to keep recovering from debt would be greater by date and by the time the cost of recovery with interest are actually larger than the debt itself, that is the cut off time for the loan to be write off, simply because it is going to take more money to recover the money that debtor owe.
Look at the chart. on Post 7.
The debt Greece Government owe this month is 8.03 bln Euro, but only 6 bln or so are the actual debt, the other are cost associate with the debt, which generate after the debt itself.
Problem now is when the time has come to a critical point, with everyday past, the debt is going to roll higher, and to a point when the debt itself is out range by the associate cost, then the creditor would default the loan and bankrupt the Greece Banking system.
The question should not be How Greece NEGOTIATE for a better deal, but rather How Greece actually PAYS OFF the debt to avoid it to be write off and get into default, and that have nothing to do with negotiate a better deal. The better deal for Greece is not to repay the loan...
You think the Greeks are stupid? They know the game they are playing. They fully know the consequences. They can afford it for the time being and that is why they are resorting to such tactics. Not only that, the Greeks also know that the creditors are eventually going to soften up. Have you read the damning IMF report?
Financing needs add up to over €50 billion over the three-year period from October 2015 to end–2018.
Not only that, the report also calls for major concessions.
As for this IMF report:
Europeans tried to block IMF debt report on Greece: sources
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/...0PD20120150703
European Countries Tried To Block Release Of IMF Analysis On Greece: Report
"Publication of the draft Debt Sustainability Analysis laid bare a dispute between Brussels and the Washington-based global lender that has been simmering behind closed doors for months."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/0...n_7723144.html
From the same link:
The IMF argues that Greece's debt burden of nearly 185 percent of gross domestic product can only be made sustainable if the euro zone provides considerable extra financing through a mixture of new loans and a debt restructuring.
You do realize that all of this goes in favor of Greece? IMF is Uncle Sam! There is a reason why Greece has become so defiant. They know they got their backs covered.
Greece has enough resources for the time being to repay the periodic debt. They'll only bite once a favorable deal has been reached. By the looks of things they want to reach a deal ASAP. Tsipras has made that quite clear today during his speech.
The referendum has given the Greek government something to work with. They have the support of the majority of their people. It has vindicated their stance. That should tell us something.
Europe and particularly the creditors would do anything in their power to keep Greece within the eurozone. The creditors want to see their money back and the crisis resolved for the sake of European unity. Mark my words. This is a litmus test for Europe and the world is watching... Don't take it too lightly because there's quite a lot at stake. Not only for Greece, but Europe too.
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