hydrabadi_arab
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So not 25% increase in nominal GDP as some expected but only 12%.
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This means PBS did a bad job as everyone can understand the level of informal economy in Pakistan. The only explanation here is that PBS failed to include enough sections of the informal economy in their calculations.
Layman question, if our currency was 115 rupees to dollar instead of current 176 rupees, would our gdp still be the same?
It means current FY 2021-22 GDP will be around Rs66 trillion or $375b with GDP growth of 6%. It means India with $3.1 trillion is 8.2 times bigger economy. Bangladesh with less population also have higher overall GDP of over $400b.
We’ll be rebasing soonIt means current FY 2021-22 GDP will be around Rs66 trillion or $375b with GDP growth of 6%. It means India with $3.1 trillion is 8.2 times bigger economy. Bangladesh with less population also have higher overall GDP of over $400b.
We should target 1 trillion usd gdp nominal within 10 years from now. In terms of GDP PPP the goal should be 2.5 trillion usd.These four needs to be done simultaneously and we will see miracle happening in Pakistan. You will see your economy crossing $1 trillion in 10 years from current $346 billion.
We’ll be rebasing soon
And the $346 bn referred in the screenshot is of FY2020-21 which before rebasing was $296 bn which is around 17% increase. But in FY2021-22 you’ll have to factor in the rupee depreciation. $346 bn when in PKR your GDP is PKR 55.5 trillion means the exchange rate they took is 160.4 PKR/1 USD which now is around 176 i.e. 10% depreciation which will be added this fiscal which means your GDP might remain almost unchanged this fiscal.
Nominal is not importantSo not 25% increase in nominal GDP as some expected but only 12%.
YesLayman question, if our currency was 115 rupees to dollar instead of current 176 rupees, would our gdp still be the same?
Nope. Artificial overvaluation of Rs does not make gdp in dollars much higher. Eventually currency has to be devalued to avert the crisis caused by overvalued exchange rate and the gdp in dollars comes back to realityIn $$ it will be much higher.
No improvement. Real gdp remains the same because it's always calculated in PKR and not in USDIf PKR go from 176 to 115 it will be 35% improvement. This means you will see 35% improvement is GDP figure as our GDP figures are calculated in PKR and then converted to $. So $346 billion when PKR is 176. $467 when PKR is 115.
Rebasing isnt documwntation increaseThis means PBS did a bad job as everyone can understand the level of informal economy in Pakistan. The only explanation here is that PBS failed to include enough sections of the informal economy in their calculations.
Is our nation full of Ishaq Dars? When are we going to learn that artificially controlling the price of dollar never helped Pakistani economy?trying to bring down Dollar to Pkr to atleast 140.
No it doesnt work that wayIf PKR go from 176 to 115 it will be 35% improvement. This means you will see 35% improvement is GDP figure as our GDP figures are calculated in PKR and then converted to $. So $346 billion when PKR is 176. $467 when PKR is 115.
Continuous rebasing every 5 years, Including informal sectors of economy in every rebasing and trying to bring down Dollar to Pkr to atleast 140 and lower and growth rate of 5-6% each year.
These four needs to be done simultaneously and we will see miracle happening in Pakistan. You will see your economy crossing $1 trillion in 10 years from current $346 billion.
It is unforutatnlyIs our nation full of Ishaq Dars? When are we going to learn that artificially controlling the price of dollar never helped Pakistani economy?
Keep the dollar flying
The fear of flexibility in the exchange rate has been shared by most, if not all, our finance ministers.www.dawn.com
Lets stick to Purchasing powerIt means current FY 2021-22 GDP will be around Rs66 trillion or $375b with GDP growth of 6%. It means India with $3.1 trillion is 8.2 times bigger economy. Bangladesh with less population also have higher overall GDP of over $400b.