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Enter the Dragon: Chinese yuan to become global reserve currency

senheiser

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Enter the Dragon: Chinese yuan to become global reserve currency
Published time: 30 Nov, 2015 11:29Edited time: 1 Dec, 2015 07:57
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) gave the yuan a vote of confidence on Monday by including the Chinese currency in its Special Drawing Rights (SDR) uniting the US dollar, euro, British pound and the Japanese yen.
Adding the yuan as a reserve currency will allow central banks to buy more of the Chinese currency, and boost investment in the Chinese stock market. According to Standard Chartered bank, within five years market players will invest at least $1 trillion in Chinese assets.




The historic decision has come after years of negotiations between Beijing and the IMF. The main obstacle was China’s monetary policy, which has kept the yuan artificially low to boost domestic exports.


Beijing had to initiate a whole raft of reforms to secure admission, including easier access to Chinese money markets for foreigners, more frequent bond issues, and longer trading hours for the yuan.

The list of currencies in the basket hasn’t been updated by the IMF since 2000, when the euro superseded the franc and deutschmark.

The main opponents of including the yuan as reserve currency have been Japan and the US. According to Eswar Prasad, a professor at Cornell University and former head of the IMF's China Division, the two countries are unlikely to thwart the deal this time. "I think it will be very difficult for the IMF, especially given all that China has done this year, to deny China the prize it really wants," he told Reuters in October.

Beijing devalued the yuan in August in a shock move to respond to slowing growth. That decision was praised by IMF Chief Christine Lagarde, who said the Chinese currency became more market-oriented. However, the yuan is still tightly controlled by the People’s Bank of China, the country’s central bank.

The yuan will not officially become a reserve currency until September 2016.
 
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This is exactly what US wants. This will lead to increase in labor cost in China.
 
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@senheiser @vostok

Thanks for tagging bro!
BTW I didn't get the tag alert, is that a system issue? @waz @Hu Songshan

News from Russia:

Since both are close strategic partners, and that both are still under-represented in governance structure of IMF, the two central banks might continue to expand Ruble-Yuan currency swap in light of ever expanding trade & investment.
 
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Yuan Can Take Up to 20% of Russian International Currency Reserves

05:23 28.11.2015

The Chinese currency can take up to 20 percent of the Russian Central Bank's foreign currency reserves, experts told Sputnik on Friday.

MOSCOW (Sputnik) — Earlier in the day, media outlets reported that Russia's Central Bank added the Chinese yuan to the foreign exchange reserve basket. According to sources close to the bank, Russia does not plan purchasing yuan-nominated assets in the near future.

"Diversification of reserves is always good, especially under conditions of increased volatility and instability in financial markets. The Central Bank is unlikely to convert reserves into yuan now, but 10 to 20 percent of them can be in yuans in the future," Alpari group analyst Anna Kokoreva said.

The expert underlined that the volume of the yuan bilateral transactions between Russia and China was small, which was due to the limited circulation of the Chinese currency and strict legislation.

"As soon as the conversion of the yuan and international payments become easier, the currency will quickly begin to gain ground," Kokoreva added.

According to experts, the strengthening of relations between Moscow and Beijing played an important role in the Central Bank’s decision.

"The inclusion of the yuan in the basket of reserve currencies is a landmark event for bilateral relations between China and Russia, toward which were working for a long time. It is important for us that financial transactions will be carried out in national currencies. This creates conditions for their strengthening," Alexander Gusev, the deputy dean of the World Economics department for Higher School of Economics, argued.

Russia’s foreign exchange reserves include 44 percent of US dollars, 42 percent of euros, as well as 9.5 percent of British pounds as of December 31, 2014, according to the Central Bank’s third quarterly report for 2015.

In late October, the International Monetary Fund said it would make a decision on enlarging the Special Drawing Rights currency reserve basket to include the Chinese yuan by November.


Read more: Yuan Can Take Up to 20% of Russian International Currency Reserves
 
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Nice, use of Yuan in global trade will grow much faster.

Yes my friend.

IMF "denies" that inclusion of Yuan in SDR is due to political pressure, wonder why such news pop up? They emphasized there was "no linkage" between the Yuan decision and the impatience of "several emerging-market powers", including China, over US-stalled reforms that would give them more weight in the institution.


Anyway with or without the IMF co-operating, China will pursue with own path with friendly partners (e.g. Russia, Pakistan, Indonesia ...) through a comprehensive set of plans (e.g. currency swaps). By now 32 friendly partners have swapped currencies with China, thanks to them all!

Now that IMF has made some progress to prove their value, hope they continue to do reform and do not fail expectations of international community.

currency-swap-png.276834
 
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