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Depleting numbers stretch IAF as Pakistan and China modernise their air force at a rapid pace

Saifullah Sani

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India's air force risks a major capability gap opening up with China and Pakistan without new western warplanes or if local defence contractors can't produce what the military needs in a timely manner.
A 2012 agreement to buy 126 Rafale fighters from France's Dassault Aviation has stalled due to a dispute over the assembly of the aircraft in India. India's first homegrown fighter, the Tejas light combat aircraft, will finally be delivered in March, 30 years after it was conceived. But senior air force officers privately said they were unimpressed, with one former officer, an ex-fighter pilot, saying the plane was "so late it is obsolete".
While the navy is undergoing an accelerated modernisation drive, experts said India was vulnerable in the skies because of its reliance on a disparate fleet of ageing Russian-made MiG and French Mirage fighters, along with more modern Russian Sukhoi Su-30s. Half of India's fighters are due to retire beginning of 2015 until 2024.

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India's first homegrown fighter, the Tejas light combat aircraft, will finally be delivered in March, 30 years after it was conceived.
"It could lead to humiliation at the hands of our neighbours," AK Sachdev, a retired air force officer, wrote in the Indian Defence Review journal in 2014.
A coordinated attack by China and arch-rival Pakistan could stretch the Indian military, he added. It's a scenario defence strategists in New Delhi have been asked to plan for, Indian air force sources say, although experts say such an event is highly unlikely to happen.
India's ties with China are still hamstrung by a dispute over their Himalayan border that led to war in 1962. New Delhi is also wary of China's expanding naval presence in the Indian Ocean and its close relations with Pakistan.
MULTIPLE CRASHES
India's air force has 34 operational squadrons, down from 39 earlier this decade and below the government approved strength of 42, a parliamentary committee said in December. More than half of India's MiGs have crashed in recent decades, the then defence minister said in 2012. At the same time, China is flying locally built fourth-generation J-10 fighters and is testing two fifth-generation stealth fighter jets.
Pakistan is upgrading its Lockheed Martin (LMT.N) F-16 fighters as well as using JF-17 warplanes developed with China. It is also in talks to buy J-10s, according to Pakistani and Chinese industry sources.
India would still win a war against Pakistan because of the sheer size of its air force, but the slow modernisation means victory would come with heavy casualties, said Richard Aboulafia, Washington DC-based vice president of analysis at the Teal Group, an aerospace and defence think tank.
To keep up, India is buying more Su-30s and upgrading other existing fighters. "We do need to increase our defence preparedness," Prime Minister Narendra Modi told the opening ceremony of the Aero India airshow in Bengaluru on Wednesday.
Criticism of the Tejas was unfounded, said K. Tamilmani, a senior official at the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO), a defence ministry agency which designed and developed the plane.
"The Tejas has a safety record that is unbeaten," Tamilmani said adding it would provide a platform to develop more advanced fighters in the years ahead.
IMPASSE OVER RAFALE JETS
The Rafale fighters are expected to replace some of India's MiGs and Mirage jets. But India is insisting Dassault take full responsibility for production of the aircraft at a state-run facility in Bengaluru, Indian defence ministry officials have said.
France has said it will help Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd stick to delivery schedules, but that it cannot give guarantees for production of the aircraft made at a facility over which it has no administrative or expert control. India would decide on the fate of the deal only after March, when a defence ministry committee delivers a report on the issue, Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar said at the airshow.
Cancellation would be "disastrous", said Deba Mohanty, chairman at Indicia Research & Advisory, a New Delhi-based defence consulting firm. "It's a really tricky situation in which the supplier is unhappy, the bureaucrats are unhappy and the end user is disappointed," said Mohanty.
India has successfully introduced Boeing's (BA.N) C-17 cargo plane and P-8 Poseidon anti-submarine aircraft and Lockheed Martin's C-130J transport, all bought directly, over the last few years. That shows off-the shelf solutions work best, experts said.
However, under the Modi administration's "Make in India" programme, there is an emphasis on building a domestic defence industrial base to cut dependence on foreign supplies that have made India the world's biggest arms importer.
The DRDO for example is working on the Tejas Mark II, a slightly larger plane than the original, which will feature more powerful engines, better radars and upgraded avionics. Local trainer jets, light transport aircraft and helicopter programmes are also under way.
"People who fly planes want the best value for money, which means off-the-shelf," said Aboulafia. "People who want jobs and technology development schemes have different priorities. That's why the two groups don't like each other much."
Depleting numbers stretch IAF as Pakistan and China modernise their air force at a rapid pace - IBNLive
 
oh please stop this nonsense indians want to squeeze more funds for their airforce
while our dummies are chest thumping with only 126 bvr 4th++ gen fighters with some 350 odd 3rd generation mirages and j7s (some of which can fire bvrs )

on the other hand safronies have 329 4th+++ generation fighter/airsuperiority jets with 247 odd 3rd gen mig 21 bisons

do the math yourself
 
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Well India's concern is not unusual. India need atleast 500 fourth generation aircrafts to defend itself from all sort of threats. And without MMRCA and Tejas mk2 its not possible. Though MKIs upgradation with Brahmos, AESA, rcs reduction etc will definitely improve current condition but still we would need atleast 25-30 sqd of fourth generation aircrafts atleast and without MMRCA/LCA mk2 I see only 22 sqds of it.
 
If Tejas is 30 year late, than its obsolete on arrival, as stated by the Indian fighter pilot in the article.the wat things are going with AMCA, it could also be obsolete on arrival as well.
 
If Tejas is 30 year late, than its obsolete on arrival, as stated by the Indian fighter pilot in the article.the wat things are going with AMCA, it could also be obsolete on arrival as well.
Tejas is perfectly fine as an interceptor and ground attack/multirole light aircraft. And thanks for your comments, but AMCA's first flight in 2020 is good enough for it to be top of the line on launch in the MCA class as the delays due to absence of an engine won't affect this one and the experience gained from Tejas will surely help.
 
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