No this will not work
1) Less than 2 % percent ppl keep black money in cash. Money has time value and no one will keep it in hard form.Most of the black money in case of Pakistan channeled to Real Estate , Stock Market and property outside Pakistan.
2) You can't stop this by demonetization..Black marketer knows how to convert black into white. Initially when the money comes in a part of it may be kept in cash but slowly over time it is circulated back into the economy. Evading tax and illegal earn mostly refereed as black money..Even if you do it once the cycle will start again. What the government defines as black money is usually a response to inefficient laws and tax norms .
3) Demonetization in growing economy is a curse, you are effectively wiping out the cash out of the economy which is heavily depended on cash transactions.It will slow down GDP and deflate your economy and its a perfect disaster recipe.More than 40% money flotation is in cash.Imagine the havoc
4) We need to study the effects of this in past. IG Patel did the same in 1978 under Morarji’s leadership, when he scrapped all rupee notes above Rs. 100/-and same is happened in Pakistan once .Result again we have an empire of Black Money. In 1982, in order to reduce tax evasion, curb corruption and manage liquidity,
Ghana demonetized its 50 cedi currency note. The move backfired, with the public losing faith in the banking system and switching over to physical assets and foreign currency.Result failed .
An anti-corruption crackdown was conducted by the military government led by Muhammadu Buhari in 1984. He issued new currency notes with new colours so that old notes would be rendered unusable within a limited time frame. The goal to fix a debt-ridden and inflated economy was not achieved.Result failed.
In order to curb the black market, the country's military invalidated 80 per cent of the currency in 1987. The first ever student demonstration was held against this move. Moreover even now Maymar has one of the highest corruption and black marketer problems..Result failed.
Under the leadership of Mikhail Gorbachev in January 1991, the erstwhile Soviet Union withdrew 50 and 100 ruble notes.Economy later on after that even fail.Result failed.
So what is the way to go
1) Strict tax laws (Even you do all others thing if this is not taken care of you can't stop this: i can re-route the money with current laws even if all thing go through cards or banks) .Mold the law until it breaks is the fundamental of tax evasion and black money..
2) Finish this amnesty schemes ..Ever wonder why Governments bring this..Pay 2% tax or 3% and legalize the money..
This is the biggest roobery Pakistan has to face by all the subsequent government. You can search and noticed every government Military and Polictial do comes out with this idea. If i am a regular tax payer i would consider myself as a
STUPID .This is dishonesty to the honest taxpayers.
3) Linking of economy c) Strong powerful FBR d) Agreement with countries to declare the identity and source or remit it back otherwise..d) Digitize economy with more use of e-banking and cards
4) Increase the net tax base..Can you imagine the retail sector contribution towards GDP was 17.3 percent, but the tax contribution by the sector was a meagre 0.05 percent .
Traders to go on strike against withholding tax today ,
Six parties back traders' strike call against withholding tax..These traders don't want to become fillers and resort to this
Agriculture income Heck i will show 1 billion income and 0 tax because i am exempted on the name of poor farmers
5) Stop the flow of capital from Residents.No paksitani/individual can invest outside for next 5 or 10 years. This type of law is prevalent in many countries....
The country with a population of 180-200 million has only 3.6 million income tax registered persons.
A big Joke..