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Debt crisis: Greece closes banks; Sensex, global markets crash

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Debt crisis: Greece closes banks; Sensex, global markets crash
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A protester waves a Greek flag at the entrance of the parliament building during a rally calling on the government to clinch a deal with its international creditors and secure Greece's future in the Eurozone, in Athens. (Reuters)

Greece announced on Monday it will shut banks for a week and impose capital controls, pleading for calm after anxious citizens emptied ATM machines in a dramatic escalation of the country's debt crisis.

India’s benchmark BSE Sensex plunged 535.87 points, or 1.92%, to 27,275.97 in opening trade on Monday and Asian stock markets sank as Greece looked set to default on its debt repayment.

The benchmark 10-year bond yield was up 3 basis points at 7.85%, while the rupee was trading at 63.90 compared to its 63.64/65 close on Friday.

In the first market reaction to the growing risk of a Greek euro exit, the single currency tumbled in Asia on Monday morning. Stock markets fell sharply, with Tokyo, Sydney, Shanghai and Hong Kong each sinking more than 2% by Monday afternoon.

Greece’s banks will be closed until July 6 – the day after a referendum on bailout proposals – with a 60-euro ($65) limit on ATM withdrawals, but foreign tourists, a vital engine of the Greek economy, will be exempt from restrictions, said a decree in the official government gazette.

The drastic measures to protect Greece's banking system against the threat of mass panic came after the European Central Bank said it would not increase its financial support to Greek lenders, despite early signs of a chaotic bank run.

It capped a weekend of high drama that began with Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras's unexpected call for a July 5 referendum on creditors' latest reform proposals after bailout talks in Brussels collapsed.

"The more calmly we deal with difficulties, the sooner we can overcome them and the milder their consequences will be," a sombre-looking Tsipras said in a televised address. He promised bank deposits would be safe and salaries paid.

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A man reacts as people line up to withdraw cash from an ATM outside a Eurobank branch in Athens, Greece. (Reuters)

In response, angry EU and IMF creditors rejected a request to extend the nation's bailout beyond its June 30 expiry date, sparking fears Greece could default on a key debt payment to the IMF due the same day and possibly crash out of the eurozone.

With the prospect of Greece being forced out of the euro in plain sight, the common currency fell as much as 1.9% to $1.0955, its lowest in almost a month, and last stood down 1.4% at $1.1007.

The Shanghai Composite Index fell 3.7% to 4,035.48 points despite China's surprise weekend interest rate cut. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index shed 2.4% to 20,218.17 points.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 2.7% to 25,949.30 and Sydney's S&P ASX-200 was off 2.3% at 5,418.80. Seoul's Kospi dropped 1.4% to 2,061.00 and the euro slipped to $1.101 from the previous session's $1.116. The dollar declined to 123.15 yen from 123.89 yen.

Against the yen, the common currency dropped more than 3% to 133.80 yen, a five-week low.

US stock futures dived almost 2% at one point to hit a three-month low, and last traded down 1.6%.

Gold prices gained 0.6% to $1,181.40 per ounce on safe-haven buying, while Brent crude oil futures fell 1.2% to $62.53 per barrel.

Chinese shares were volatile and whipsawed between positive and negative territory, with the Chinese central bank's measures on Saturday to support the economy unable to calm jittery investors.

The central bank simultaneously cut interest rates and reserve requirements for the first time since the global financial crisis in late 2008.

The accelerating crisis has raised questions about whether Greece might withdraw from the 19-nation euro currency, a move dubbed Grexit.

"Even if a deal is somehow reached, the ability of Greece to implement agreed reforms is doubtful," said IHS Global Insight economist Rajiv Biswas in a report.

Christopher Moltke-Leth, head of client trading at Saxo Capital Markets, said: "Asia is down because of a risk-off move in response to what's going on in Europe, in Greece."

Investors are flocking to safer assets, staggered by uncertainty over the future of Europe, as Greece could become the first country to leave the currency bloc after a default.

"We are in uncharted territory and European equities, like all markets, will have a difficult time processing this," said Deutsche Bank managing director Nick Lawson.

"The market was not positioned for this going into the weekend and the lack of liquidity that has impacted both sovereign and corporate debt markets, as well as equity recently, will exacerbate things."

Fear of an imminent default by Greece hit Greek banks, a major buyer of Greek government bills, triggering bank runs over the weekend and forcing the Prime Minister to announce a bank holiday and capital controls.

Some investors, however, are pinning their hopes on the possibility that Greek voters will back the creditors' bailout terms in next weekend's referendum, returning Athens to the negotiating table, despite Tsipras urging a no vote.

"Right now the surprise is that the euro is not weaker. The logic may either be that the Greek government will come back to the negotiating table or that it will not survive long, if 'Yes' prevails contrary to their recommendation," said Steven Englander, global head of G10 FX Strategy at CitiFX in New York.

Conspicuous by its absence so far from this year's Greek drama has been contagion to other "peripheral" euro nations' government bond markets as other European banks have limited exposure to Greece.

Any speculative selling of debt of such countries as Italy, Spain and Portugal will also likely be countered by the European Central Bank, which started buying euro zone sovereign debt from the markets in March to shore up the economy.

Debt crisis: Greece closes banks; Sensex, global markets crash
 
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Greece Crisis: Timeline of Important Events

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Greece orders closure of banks for about a week; people line up to withdraw cash from an ATM on the island of Crete on June 28 (Reuters)

The Greece crisis deepened over the weekend after talks with its creditors broke down. Greece imposed capital controls and ordered banks to close temporarily. This has raised fears of the country's exit from the euro.
January 1, 1999

The euro was launched on January 1, 1999, it became the new official currency of 11 Eurozone member countries. Now, 19 member countries, including Greece, share the common currency, euro.

January 1, 2001

Greece becomes the 12th country to join the European single currency, ditching its former currency drachma. Greece had failed to join the euro in 1999 as it failed to meet the European Union's economic criteria.

2004

Greece admitted to misreporting financial data which showed its budget deficit to be much lower than it really was. Eurozone states are expected to have deficits below 3 per cent of GDP.

December 2009

Fitch downgrades Greece's credit rating to 'BBB+' from 'A-'. This was the first time in a decade that the Greece's rating fell below the 'A' status. Greece's government had revealed the budget deficit was twice as big as previously reported.

2010

The Greek government approved a tough austerity package, including public sector pay freeze, and tax hike on cigarettes and fuel, triggering violent protests.

Greece gets a financial aid package around $146 billion from IMF and European member states. Since then, Greece has received two bailouts worth $268 billion.

2011

Private owners of Greek bonds accepted a 50 per cent write-down on their investment, enabling both a 100 billion-euro cut in Greece's sovereign debts.

April, 2014

Greece ends four-year exile from market borrowing. Greece returned to the bond market with investors hungry for high returns scooping up its debt in a 3-billion euro deal.

January 2015

Left-wing party Syriza wins elections, raising some concerns about the bailout program. Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras vows to end the tough austerity measures.

February 2015

Greece secured a four-month extension of its financial rescue when its euro zone partners approved a reform plan. The reform proposals included controlling public spending and cracking down on tax avoidance.

June 4, 2015

Greece delayed a key debt payment to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and said that it will instead bundle four payments due in June into a 1.6 billion euro lump sum payment due on June 30. It was the first time in five years of crisis that Greece has postponed a repayment on its 240 billion euro bailouts from Eurozone governments and the IMF.

June 27, 2015

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras called a referendum on the cash-for-reforms proposal after negotiations with its creditors failed to make any headway. Without the cash from Euro member states, Greece is expected to default on repayment to the IMF. The referendum will be held on July 5.

June 28, 2015

To prevent a collapse of it financial system, Greece ordered closure of banks for about a week and restricted cash withdrawals from ATMs at 60 euros per day. This has led to expectations that Greece is heading towards an exit from euro.
Greece Crisis: Timeline of Important Events - NDTVProfit.com
 
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So basically, the proverbial verb is hitting the fan ....
 
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Can anyone explain this on going Greece/EU drama?? Who's at fault here? I don't get it..
 
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So basically, the proverbial verb is hitting the fan ....
Well thats what experts were saying for past few days.
Honestly the way talks went last week between EU and Greece, there was little hope of any breakthrough and this condition was almost given.
Now lets wait how long before Greece exits from EU. & now if Germany doesn't act decisively, Europe has perhaps entered a period of economic turmoil, that may last upto a decade or so.
 
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daily withdrawals limited to €60 :o:

this in the EU ? not for long maybe :P
 
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Greek debt crisis: Banks to remain shut all week - BBC News

Greek banks are closed and will stay shut for the week as the country's debt crisis took a dramatic turn.

Greeks are struggling to find cash, but cash machines were due to reopen at noon local time (10:00 GMT).

Greece decided on Sunday to shut banks and restrict cash withdrawals after the European Central Bank resolved not to extend emergency funding.

It followed the failure on Friday of talks with Greek creditors on continuing with the bailout programme.

Greece crisis - live coverage

A critical deadline looms on Tuesday, when Greece is due to pay back €1.6bn to the International Monetary Fund - the same day the bailout expires. Default is feared and possible exit from euro.

The French cabinet met in emergency session. President Francois Hollande said afterwards that a deal was still possible if the Greeks wanted it.

"There are a few hours before the negotiation is definitively closed, in particular for the prolongation of the Greek aid programme."

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Greek cash machines were shut on Monday morning
In its decree bringing in the bank restrictions, the Greek government cited the "extremely urgent" need to protect the financial system due to the lack of liquidity.

The main points are:

  • Banks closed till 6 July
  • Cash withdrawals limited to €60 (£42; $66) a day for this period
  • Cash machine withdrawals with foreign bank cards permitted
  • Pension payments not part of capital controls
  • Banking transactions within Greece allowed
Queues formed briefly in Athens on Monday morning, a BBC reporter says, but dispersed quickly in anticipation of the cash machines opening in the afternoon.

The crisis came to a head on Saturday after Greece and eurozone countries failed to reach agreement on payment of the last tranche of bailout money.

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Shares fell on European exchanges
PM Alexis Trispras then called a surprise referendum for 5 July on the latest terms offered by Greece's creditors.

In reaction to the crisis, the London, Paris, Frankfurt and Milan stock markets fell sharply in early trading on Monday, following similar falls in Asia.

The euro lost 2% of its value against the the US dollar. Government borrowing costs in Italy and Spain, two of the eurozone's weaker economies, have also risen.

'Not viable'
The Athens stock exchange is also closed as part of the measures.

The decree says they were taken as a result of the eurozone's decision "to refuse the extension of the loan agreement with Greece".

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Days of turmoil
  • Friday evening: Greek prime minister calls referendum on terms of new bailout deal, asks for extension of existing bailout
  • Saturday afternoon: eurozone finance ministers refuse to extend existing bailout beyond Tuesday
  • Saturday evening: Greek parliament backs referendum for 5 July
  • Sunday afternoon: ECB says it is not increasing emergency assistance to Greece
  • Sunday evening: Greek government says banks to be closed for the week and cash withdrawals restricted to €60
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Eurozone finance ministers blamed Greece for breaking off the talks, and the European Commission took the unusual step on Sunday of publishing proposals by European creditors that it said were on the table at the time.

But Greece described creditors' terms as "not viable", and asked for an extension of its current deal until after the vote was completed.

"[Rejection] of the Greek government's request for a short extension of the programme was an unprecedented act by European standards, questioning the right of a sovereign people to decide," Mr Tsipras on Sunday said in a televised address.

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Analysis: Robert Peston, BBC economics editor
The temporary closure of banks in Greece, and the introduction of capital controls, is very bad news for Greece. Greek people will have less money to spend and business less to invest; so an already weak economy will probably return to deep recession.

As for the impact on the rest of the eurozone, corporate treasurers and wealthy individuals will wake up on Monday wondering if their money is safe in the banks of other weaker eurozone economies.

Greece's bank holiday from hell

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The current ceiling for the ECB's emergency funding - Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) - is €89bn (£63bn). It is thought that virtually all that money has been disbursed.

The ECB was prepared to risk restricting ELA because the failure of the bailout talks cast new doubt on the viability of Greek banks - some of their assets depend on the government being able to meet its financial commitments, the BBC economics correspondent Andrew Walker reports.

He adds that it is a fundamental principle of central banking that while you do lend to banks that are in temporary difficulty, you do so only if they are solvent.
 
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Can anyone explain this on going Greece/EU drama?? Who's at fault here? I don't get it..

Let's look at some of the key contributors to the Greek crisis, and see which country is responsible for each:

1) In 2002, Greece entered into a huge currency swap with Goldman Sachs to hide its debt. This helped Greece to dupe fellow Eurozone members and lenders, allowing it to continue borrowing recklessly. The deal was expensive, both in terms of fees and in terms of payments Greece is obligated to make as the swaps expire in 2012 through 2017.

2)Greece's successive governments have refused to make labor and market reforms that could allow faster growth. (Greece's Reforms Have Only Cracked the Surface)

3)Greece has low tax receipts due to widespread tax evasion, which a 2009 OECD estimate placed at €20 billion of unpaid taxes per year. Consider that Greece's debt is just a bit over €300 billion. An extra €20 billion (if not frittered away by the government) would have avoided the debt crisis altogether. (Tax evasion and corruption in Greece)
 
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They got what they deserve,EU is too kind to shameless Greece who don't want to pay their debts and think themselves are in the moral highland because they have a golden begging bowl,they deserved to be abondoned.No one have responbility to the failure of this pathetic country except themselves.
 
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Can anyone explain this on going Greece/EU drama?? Who's at fault here? I don't get it..
There are several internet resource available on the topic. I'll try to explain in simple terms for ease of understanding.
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Greece is a part of European Union and uses Euro as currency. Greek economy is primarily dependent on Agriculture, Tourism and Shipping.
Like in all countries government borrows money to meet its expenditure and this money (or debt) is paid in form of loan servicing from time to time. In money market, government also issues long term bonds for its monetary requirements.
Now in simplistic terms, based on your capacity to pay (that is to indirectly say condition of economy), the interest rates vary (better the economy, lower is the money lending rates and vice-versa). The bond yield rates hence tell how an economy is doing. Credit agencies issue ratings for sovereign bonds to indicate how the bonds should be purchased.
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Greece has had a history of high Debt to GDP ratio and that tells that while one is borrowing money to meet its expenditure, there isn't a proportionate growth in GDP (you aren't spending money wisely).
As you can see from above graph Greece has to offer a very high interest rate to sell its bonds as compared to other EU economies.
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Starting in 3rd quarter of 2007, Greek economy started facing depression and as a result, there was a further dip in GDP and ability of Greece to fulfill its debt obligations. this led to a situation where Greece was moving towards a Loan default.
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To prevent this from happening, European commission, EU central bank and IMF agreed for bailout packages, but on conditions of economic discipline (austerity measures) which included wage cuts, pension fund reforms etc. Needless to say that these are politically sensitive issues and Greek government had difficulty in enforcing the reforms.
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These bailout packages are subjected to acceptance of some tough conditions for Greece government and there is considerable resistance to these in Greece.
Now for the latest crisis, PM Tsipras has called for a national referendum on whether to accept conditions of EU for next bailout package (slated for 5 June).
If Greece defaults its payment and breaks away from EU, it will be a significant setback for EU. Greece will essentially start its own currency by ditching Euro and move away from economic regulation accepted by EU nations. This will have implications for whole of Europe.

next in line are china and india.
Well here is the actual situation.
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