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Current account deficit shrinks massive 64pc

Kabira

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KARACHI: The country’s current account deficit (cad) in the first quarter of current fiscal year declined by a huge 64 per cent mainly on the back of a 21pc reduction in the imports bill.

The State Bank’s latest data issued on Friday showed the current account deficit for July-September FY20 clocked in at $1.548 billion compared to $4.287bn in the same period last fiscal year; a decline of $2.739bn.

The reduced current account deficit is a positive omen for the government, which is struggling with slow economic growth and high inflation. However, despite massive decline in rupee’s value, the country’s exports have failed to register any noticeable increase during the period.

The data showed the large decline in imports was the real force behind the 64pc reduction in the deficit whereas, exports of goods and services during the quarter increased by a meagre 1.38pc or $99 million. The exports services during the quarter clocked in at $7.259bn compared to $7.160bn in the same period last fiscal year.

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Contrary to exports, the country’s imports fell by 19pc to $13.461bn. On one hand, this massive decline has helped government reduce the current account deficit, whereas on the other, it has also slowed down the overall economic activity in the country.

Furthermore, with a lacklustre increase in exports, the government may find it difficult to meet the current account deficit.

The government was successful in bringing down the deficit from a historic high of $19.897bn in FY18 to $13.830bn in FY19.

The government has been facing major challenge in the form of controlling the huge debt servicing, which makes up for the major chunk of current account deficit. In FY19, the current account deficit was $13.8bn whereas the debt servicing, in the same fiscal year, was $11.588bn.

In the ongoing fiscal year, the government has borrowed additional funds from the donors, commercial banks and friendly countries, which would certainly increase the total size of debt servicing.

The debt servicing increased by 54pc in FY19 compared to previous year reflecting the size and cost of commercial borrowings. The debt servicing in FY18 was at $7.495bn.

In FY20, the government has borrowed from the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, commercial banks and other sources to meet the current account deficit, which could not be met despite overseas Pakistanis sending over $20bn in remittances each year.

Published in Dawn, October 19th, 2019
 
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As per ganja brothers and their supporters increase in imports means development
Government should ban the import of unnecessary things only those things which are necessary for the survival of Pakistan should be allowed to be imported
 
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As per ganja brothers and their supporters increase in imports means development
Government should ban the import of unnecessary things only those things which are necessary for the survival of Pakistan should be allowed to be imported
Let's see if your govt bans toyota land cruisers.
 
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outcome of decrease in imports in IT sector will show results in future coming year when current hardware becomes old and become obsolete,at present people are using previously purchased equipment but world is changing quickly with development and availability of new and more capable hardware.There is a decline of availability of new version of such hardware these days due to increase in prices
 
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As per ganja brothers and their supporters increase in imports means development
Government should ban the import of unnecessary things only those things which are necessary for the survival of Pakistan should be allowed to be imported
Lol! yeah and the brain dead patwaris are even quoting how GDP growth was 5.4%. I mean these clowns have no idea that those figures were based on an import based economy where the value of rupee was inflated artificially by borrowing dollars which led to this crisis to begin with. Bloody Idiots.
 
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Lol! yeah and the brain dead patwaris are even quoting how GDP growth was 5.4%. I mean these clowns have no idea that those figures were based on an import based economy where the value of rupee was inflated artificially by borrowing dollars which led to this crisis to begin with. Bloody Idiots.
Pakistan is still import based economy. That didn't change.
On one hand, this massive decline has helped government reduce the current account deficit, whereas on the other, it has also slowed down the overall economic activity in the country.
 
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Pakistan is still import based economy. That didn't change.
The question isnt what the economy is, because its going to take much more than few months to change the whole course of Pakistan's economy, the question is what has been done about it, and the answer is right here on this thread. A massive 64pc shrink in deficit. That is the right approach and that is why the sudden decline is GDP which our patwari friends are portraying as some sort of doom's day scenario.
Understand the concept of the whole debate before jumping in.
 
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Very good. This government is laying a solid foundation on which the Pakistani economy can grow in the future. Previous governments were trying to build a mansion on a foundation made of quicksand. The reforms currently being undertaken will be unpopular but future generations will thank them for it.
 
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It is a good step but the GoP needs to do more intelligent things. They need Come up with top-10 list of countries from whom Pakistan imports its products. Then open "Trade Coordination" offices in these countries. The aim of these Trade Coordination offices would be to facilitate payment between a buyer in Pakistan and the supplier/manufacturer located overseas by using payments of the "Foreign banks" in these countries to buy and send items to Pakistan. Example use foreign banks in US and let them pay in US dollars. In this way, Pakistan Government does not have to use US Dollars from its own reserves.

But of course as with everything, there are plenty of Corrupts sitting in Pakistan who do not want to do the right thing since Corruption is in they DNAs.
 
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The question isnt what the economy is, because its going to take much more than few months to change the whole course of Pakistan's economy, the question is what has been done about it, and the answer is right here on this thread. A massive 64pc shrink in deficit. That is the right approach and that is why the sudden decline is GDP which our patwari friends are portraying as some sort of doom's day scenario.
Understand the concept of the whole debate before jumping in.

When you devalue, it is bound to happen. Exports haven't improved by much. That is worrying. Imports reduced because affordability is no longer there in the economy. Growth rate is worrying. Factory output is quite low. So on.
 
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When you devalue, it is bound to happen. Exports haven't improved by much. That is worrying. Imports reduced because affordability is no longer there in the economy. Growth rate is worrying. Factory output is quite low. So on.
Your post starts with the wrong assumption. We are not devaluing something that was already overstated. Even now rupee is as much as 4% over stated as per world bank.
Exports are not going to improve over night as the industries were destroyed due to over value of rupee and our prices no longer being competitive. However it has started to pick up. 4 years from now we will be in a much different position.
 
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Enough of imports going down. This also depicts lack of industrialization and construction in the country. What is more disappointing is hardly an increase in exports despite of massive currency devaluation. I think we ain't selling and marketing our stuff better. Also we need to explore other markets like Africa, South America, far east more as well.
 
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hopefully in next few months exports will increase at least 10% to justify dollar devaluation
 
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