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Can China catch up with India in space race?

Indian space missions are primarily aimed at defence rather than space stations or space faring. SpaceX is nothing but NASA's privatization by transferring all of NASA technology to SpaceX. Just like France has made Arianespace 5 with huge size, USA also makes huge launchers. The only problem with such approach is that tomorrow when resources get short, there will be a problem. Today they may have abundant resources but that won't last forever
I disagree. You are making it sound like it's because India never wanted to developed such heavy lift rockets. Dude, that's just ridiculous. India never had the capabilities to, reason you have been using ESA to do that for your heavy launches. Your space company to their credit have been trying really hard to develop a rocket the loft capacity of long march 3/falcon9/Japan's H-IIA, Russian Proton rockets etc for the past decades for example. Reason you guys came up with GSLV III. Eventhough as you said, you guys are still trying to master/perfect it. So it's commendable what you guys are doing, but to act as if you guys didn't really want or focus on that is rather deceptive.
 
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WRONG WRONG WRONG. If private companies are just government extended arms, then China will decide to have hundreds of alibabas as much as it wants. Lol same with India, India would have done the same and any other country for that matter. its not that simple or easy as you think .
In fact the US will decide to have dozens of space X tomorrow and get them then . Lol
Moreover Space X is doing things NASA /US government didn't never even did/ventured into. Reason they are now sidelining even NASA since even NASA has realised that space X does things even better and more effectively/efficiently than they do. Starship and starling are just a few of many examples.
Its ridiculous for you to say private companies are just government sponsored arms. Why can't the government just stick to doing it themselves then? Lol
Not only that there anti trust law to prevent monopoly. USA was talking about anti trust law however they succumbed to it and become a plutocracy today. Not like delusional country that are proud of having a rich billionaire. Cow pee intoxication???
 
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India needs upto 6ton launch capability for launching communications satellite. Currently it has developed 4ton capability and will enhance it by developing a semicryogenic booster stage that will increase the load to 6tons using the same design. India does not have any intentions for developing heavier rockets. The next stage is to launch modular rockets that can be easier to build
Dude, why you are trying to be deceptive? I showed you links and diagrams which you own space agency has publicly said they are trying and working hard on developing far heavier launchers above 4 and 6 tons you mentioned. So why are you still claiming you guys have no intention of doing so? :hitwall: just because others already have it doesn't means you should be embarrassed to admit you guys are trying to do so. No shame in admitting that. If anything it should be commended that you guys are actually trying, not laughed at.
India has developed GSLV Mk3 only in 2017 and hence had to pay ESA to launch heavier communications satellite. India currently has limited capability to manufacture GSLV as it is still refining its technology. Hence it will use ESA launchers for sometime.
Agree, exactly what I have been saying no denying that.
 
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Not only that there anti trust law to prevent monopoly. USA was talking about anti trust law however they succumbed to it and become a plutocracy today. Not like delusional country that are proud of having a rich billionaire. Cow pee intoxication???
Having a billionaire in Mumbai and the rest is living in slump is no help to the people.
 
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I don't deny that India is slightly behind in technology but that is only about 7-8 years and can be easily covered. It is just like China covering the gap between USA and itself quickly in the last 40 years. India too will cover the distance.
And you think the Chinese, Americans and even Russians will just staying there waiting for India? You think they are not moving ahead as well? If anything they are working even faster, got more experience and investing even more than India. Won't be surprised if the gap will only grow bigger actually unfortunately.
India will need to invest alot(and mean a ton lot more) and probably give more resources to your space program than what you guys are currently doing to even start closing the gap. However, India also has to consider its other much more pressing social/developmental needs and so priorities might differ.
so not sure if the gap will close or increase as time goes on, Since from what I'm seeing from the US/China and even Russia plans for this next decade is even more ambitious. Plus they got the means to achieve it roughly on that time frame.
In fact even the Japanese are even ahead of you guys as well(something many forget) and they have bolder plans and have actually succeeded in landing on and retrieving a samples from an asteroid about a 1billion km away from earth(they have actually done so twice). Shows you the capabilities these agencies have as well and what they are working on in future( yes the mission was also launched on their heavy launch rocket, so yet again size does matter). So we shouldn't write off others as well, the Japanese seem to do their missions on a low profile though. since what they have done as well is really impressive (they are actually the first country to ever do so if I'm correct) but they seldom talk much (guess it's an east Asian trait thing. Lol ).
 
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I won't be surprised if in a decade from now your private space companies actually perform better than your state owned ones actually. Private companies are more daring/flexible/efficient/dynamic and more willing to risk trying new things even faster than state ones. In fact from what I red recently your private companies are actually ahead in developing reusable rockets ahead of even your state led main contractor, despite the fact that you guys opened up your space sector to private sector just a few years ago. Seems the first launch test of reusable rocket by your private space company should be the end of this year or beginning of next year. That's still faster than any plans your state Contractor has if I'm not wrong.
Quite impressive for a new private company that's not yet 6 years old actually.

Giving a level playing field/same level of resources private companies have been proven to perform better/more efficiently than state owned ones. Space X has shown this again and is even putting NASA to shame. Won't be surprise that they will be the ones leading the US in space this coming decade. NASA will be more focused on research and carrying out other space projects that private sector isn't geared towards. That itself is a big shock considering Space X launch its first rocket to space just 12 years ago and many were laughing at them and calling him crazy for his bold plans and when he experienced some launch failures in the beginning

In terms of Capacity, maybe it will need time to compete with CNSA.
Because CNSA itself in this year, will have VTVL Reusable Rocket that have Capacity to 8.4 tonnes to LEO (Long March 8 Rocket)


Long March-8 rocket likely to try out Vertical Landing in 2021: Chinese developer
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202103/1217312.shtml


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In terms of Efficiency, of course those Space Private Companies will surpass CNSA in very near terms.
Like Landspace with their MethaLOX Engine

 
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SpaceX is nothing but NASA's privatization by transferring all of NASA technology to SpaceX. Just like France has made Arianespace 5 with huge size, USA also makes huge launchers. The only problem with such approach is that tomorrow when resources get short, there will be a problem. Today they may have abundant resources but that won't last forever
Dude space X is several decades ahead of anything India can even come close to, to be honest, I'm not even trying to put India down by saying this. That's if space X stop all their space activity today and remain static for several decades.
In fact you saying they will get in trouble in future "due to funds" or whatever is just laughable. If anything SpaceX will only grow even more this coming decades. They are barely just getting started dude(and look at what they have already achieved). The plans they have for the coming years (won't even say future) is something many people only imagine was possible in dreams/science fiction. Moreover they are moving at a speed few can even match.
You saying that all these development of advanced heavy lift launchers is just a waste is more than laughable and just ridiculous. I don't even know what to say to that.
Moreover space X alone is making even more money from commercial contracts they gain from government and foreign companies/agencies than your country's entire space agency. So they are doing just fine. They have even more in the pipeline this coming years when starlink is operational they will make even more money(first Internet of its kind in space which people around the globe can use). So I see no reason why you should be pessimistic about them anymore than about Indias space program viability.
Note that I didn't even count the commercial and strategic implications their totally reusable starship program will have for all of us this coming years.
 
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Dude space X is several decades ahead of anything India can even come close to, to be honest, I'm not even trying to put India down by saying this. That's if space X stop all their space activity today and remain static for several decades.
SpaceX bases on USA's space industry (including infrastructure, human resources, financing, and so on), while other developing countries' "SpaceX"s have to start from scratch.
 
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WRONG WRONG WRONG. If private companies are just government extended arms, then China will decide to have hundreds of alibabas as much as it wants. Lol same with India, India would have done the same and any other country for that matter. its not that simple or easy as you think .
In fact the US will decide to have dozens of space X tomorrow and get them then . Lol
Moreover Space X is doing things NASA /US government didn't never even did/ventured into. Reason they are now sidelining even NASA since even NASA has realised that space X does things even better and more effectively/efficiently than they do. Starship and starling are just a few of many examples.
Its ridiculous for you to say private companies are just government sponsored arms. Why can't the government just stick to doing it themselves then? Lol
This is a fact. If private companies could randomly pop up and make superior SLVs from the word go, even Iran and Turkey would be getting such SLVs, It is really strange that SpaceX directly started launching sophisticated SLVs without having any existence prior to 2000. If making a SLV takes only 6-7 years, why is Turkey, Iran etc not able to do that or any other country do that? Saudi Arabia will pay you $20 billion annually for next 6 years if you can give them a fully functioning SLV.
I disagree. You are making it sound like it's because India never wanted to developed such heavy lift rockets. Dude, that's just ridiculous. India never had the capabilities to, reason you have been using ESA to do that for your heavy launches. Your space company to their credit have been trying really hard to develop a rocket the loft capacity of long march 3/falcon9/Japan's H-IIA, Russian Proton rockets etc for the past decades for example. Reason you guys came up with GSLV III. Eventhough as you said, you guys are still trying to master/perfect it. So it's commendable what you guys are doing, but to act as if you guys didn't really want or focus on that is rather deceiving .
I have read this clearly that Indian aim is to develop a 6ton launch capability and after that go for ULV design which is a single rocket with modular design that can be used to launch 1ton satellite to 6ton satellite by simply adding or removing the stages and boosters. India has no reason to seek a launcher with 6+ton payload.

I don't deny that Indian current GSLV 3 is not upto the mark with only 4ton payload, Indian intent is to substitute current NDMH engine with Semicryogenic engine to increase the payload to 6tons. But India has no intent of increasing above 6tons.
Dude, why you are trying to be deceptive? I showed your links and diagrams which you own space agency has publicly said they are trying and working hard on developing far heavier launchers above 4 and 6 tons you mentioned. So why are you still claiming you guys have no intention of doing so? :hitwall: just because others already have it doesn't means you should be embarrassed to admit you guys are trying to do so. No shame in admitting that. If anything it should be commended that you guysbarr trying not laughed at.

Agree, exactly what I have been saying no denying that.
You are the one being deceptive. ISRO intends to develop ULV: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unified_Launch_Vehicle

The heavy lift vehicle is an artwork done by some artist. It has no relevance in ISRO's decision. ISRO does not want any SLV with more than 6ton payload. Try to understand the reality instead of showing artwork
And you think the Chinese, Americans and even Russians will just staying there waiting for India? You think they are not moving ahead as well? If anything they are working even faster, got more experience and investing even more than India. Won't be surprised if the gap will only grow bigger actually unfortunately.
India will need to invest alot(and mean a ton lot more) and probably give more resources to your space program than what you guys are currently doing to even start closing the gap. However, India also has to consider its other much more pressing social/developmental needs and so priorities might differ.
so not sure if the gap will close or increase as time goes on, Since from what I'm seeing from the US/China and even Russia plans for this next decade is even more ambitious. Plus they got the means to achieve it roughly on that time frame.
In fact even the Japanese are even ahead of you guys as well(something many forget) and they have bolder plans and have actually succeeded in landing on and retrieving a samples from an asteroid about a 1billion km away from earth(they have actually done so twice). Shows you the capabilities these agencies have as well and what they are working on in future( yes the mission was also launched on their heavy launch rocket, so yet again size does matter). So we shouldn't write off others as well, the Japanese seem to do their missions on a low profile though. since what they have done as well is really impressive (they are actually the first country to ever do so if I'm correct) but they seldom talk much (guess it's an east Asian trait thing. Lol ).
Do you think technology improves linearly in an unlimited manner? There is always a saturation and when that is reached others will catch up. Indian space agencies are mainly geared towards developing defence capabilities and India has more than enough technology for that. Indian earth observation satellites are extremely advanced and have SAR capabilities in addition to optical ones. Indian communications satellites also possess enough power to assist video links from military assets. The only part where India is lacking is in SLVs with 4+ton capacity which is also in the making. I don't see how any other country will increase its gap with India.

Japan is just a vassal of USA which was occupied after WW2. Japanese satellites are simplistic and don't have complex SAR or surveillance capabilities. Comparing Japan is a joke. They are silent because they are just vassals with no real technology
Dude space X is several decades ahead of anything India can even come close to, to be honest, I'm not even trying to put India down by saying this. That's if space X stop all their space activity today and remain static for several decades.
In fact you saying they will get in trouble in future "due to funds" or whatever is just laughable. If anything SpaceX will only grow even more this coming decades. They are barely just getting started dude(and look at what they have already achieved). The plans they have for the coming years (won't even say future) is something many people only imagine was possible in dreams/science fiction. Moreover they are moving at a speed few can even match.
You saying that all these development of advanced heavy lift launchers is just a waste is more than laughable and just ridiculous. I don't even know what to say to that.
Moreover space X alone is making even more money from commercial contracts they gain from government and foreign companies/agencies than your country's entire space agency. So they are doing just fine. They have even more in the pipeline this coming years when starlink is operational they will make even more money(first Internet of its kind in space which people around the globe can use). So I see no reason why you should be pessimistic about them anymore than about Indias space program viability.
Note that I didn't even count the commercial and strategic implications their totally reusable starship program will have for all of us this coming years.
Have some common sense. I have stated clearly that SpaceX technology is based on NASA, not something it built on its own. Earlier NASA would launch satellites but now it has been relegated to SpaceX and NASA has stopped launching altogether. It is USA govt policy to socialise the cost and privatise the profits. SpaceX has nothing of its own to show.

Secondly, I don't really see how SpaceX is so advanced or what purpose such advanceness serve. SpaceX definitely has innovative technology like reusable 1st stage etc. But in terms of utility, even an ISRO's 6ton rocket can do everything India needs once it is developed. Since indian intent is mostly on defence usage, the 6ton SLV will be more than enough to serve Indian needs.

Taking an example, the Ak47 developed in 1940s still holds ground despite 70+ years flowing and many advancements being made. This is because no matter how much innovations are done, the core technology saturated and hence anything more has only limited value.
 
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China has caught up with India and UAE in reaching Mars.
Now, China surpass India by a mile with a rover on Mars.
India mars mission Yinghuo-1 failed

India was incapable of doing on its own, so it depended on Russia
Failure of mission hits Mars research

Now, China is self sufficient and was the first Asian and second country to land a rover on Mars. Also, the first country to land a rover on Mars in first attempt. No one cares about India's cheap mars orbiter that needed NASA's help.
 
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You can conviently ignore our high resolution satellite moving around Mars and sends high resolution images. For the sake of saying, you can say that we had a very small payload sent to moon but that bought lots of information on moon including discovery of water. China landed a rover on moon but what it discovered is only God and China knows.

So what? China's Mars orbiter sent back high resolution photos of Mars. The NASA instrument on board the crashed junk probe discovered water on the moon not India.
How many attempts did it take for China? India did only 1 attempt and failed in it. If India makes multiple attempts, it will also land. As i said, India sees to unimportant things like moon landing in a shoestring budget solely for PR and hence has not launched multiple landers. So, compare accordingly.

China landed a rover on the moon in its first attempt.
 
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I don't deny that India is slightly behind in technology but that is only about 7-8 years and can be easily covered. It is just like China covering the gap between USA and itself quickly in the last 40 years. India too will cover the distance.

Delusional Indians said China moon landing failed, only succeeded after multiple attempts, I point to him the fact that China

3 moon landing attempts, 3 success
1 mars landing attempt, 1 success


then he says India only behind 7-8 years

2003, China send man to space, did India do this in 2011?
2011, China send Tiangong-1 space station module, did India do this in 2019?
2013, China landed on Moon with Change 3, will India accomplish this in 2021?
2019, China landed on the far side of the moon with Change 4, will India accomplish this in 2027?
2020, China collected and returned Moon sample with Change 5, will India accomplish this in 2028?
2021, China landed on the Mars with Tianwen-1, will India accomplish this in 2029?
2021, China build 60 tons space station module, will India accomplish this in 2029?


Regarding the heavy rockets, you gave so ridiculous excuse that it's cheaper to pay French than send your own communication satellites.
And blah blah, you don't need this capacity. Then please enlighten us what do you plan to use for your planned Manned Moon mission?

Simply put, you can't, India doesn't have capacity to build heavy rockets.
 
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Delusional Indians said China moon landing failed, only succeeded after multiple attempts, I point to him the fact that China

3 moon landing attempts, 3 success
1 mars landing attempt, 1 success


then he says India only behind 7-8 years

2003, China send man to space, did India do this in 2011?
2011, China send Tiangong-1 space station module, did India do this in 2019?
2013, China landed on Moon with Change 3, will India accomplish this in 2022?
2019, China landed on the far side of the moon with Change 4, will India accomplish this in 2027?
2020, China collected and returned Moon sample with Change 5, will India accomplish this in 2028?
2021, China landed on the Mars with Tianwen-1, will India accomplish this in 2029?
2021, China build 60 tons space station module, will India accomplish this in 2029?


Regarding the heavy rockets, you gave so ridiculous excuse that it's cheaper to pay French than send your own communication satellites.
And blah blah, you don't need this capacity. Then please enlighten us what do you plan to use for your planned Manned Moon mission?

Simply put, you can't, India doesn't have capacity to build heavy rockets.
Indian better get moon landing right first before talk big on others. I got a feeling UAE might even get ahead of India. :lol:

There is absolutely no race between China and India. Clearly, China has already won long ago. :enjoy:
 
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