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Burmese protests l Updates, News & Discussion

How will the protest evolve?

  • Civil Disobedience Movement (CDM)'s victory

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Make no mistake, this is a war. If one doesn't react swiftly, and extinguish the embers within days, Myanmar could end-up devastated by a fire-hurricane, like Syria after a decade, with millions of casualties and a lost generation!

These are not amateurs, in today's connected world, social media are directly forwarding the C.I.A.'s orders to the frontliners in real-time!

Semi-professional workshops are churning gears for the rioters 24/7:

EwX4HW_UUAAFCXt

https://archive.ph/GAJUn/66ff714304241a33d498f8ab90eb1c7a469a7706.jpg ; https://archive.ph/GAJUn/fe5d431c3d7ec20cff1d4fc4b1b3107ab1cade4e/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316023708/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwX4HW_UUAAFCXt?format=jpg&name=900x900 ; https://twitter.com/MayWinchester16/status/1370774483573817350
1. This morning in Nyaungdon, police and military tried to arrest a man who making shields for protesters. · Mar 13, 2021



Well, it is not called Milk Tea Alliance (MTA) for no reason!

Notice all protestors in Myanmar are not necessarily affiliated to the Milk Tea Alliance, only a minority of them.

In short, in their own word, the Myanmar protest can not succeed without military action from the UN, US & international community.

Therefore the Milk Tea Alliance's strategy is to please the foreigners, mostly the western opinion, and also the regional satellites such as QUAD (Japan, South Korea), and even as far as some US-aligned Muslim nations or even Mongolia.

Any escalation is to achieve this goal. For the Milk Tea Alliance, managing the protest is just like managing a TV reality show, and especially a Hunger Games as most tributes (frontliners) are not even expected to survive! Thus the continuous three-fingered salute of these modern time gladiators.

They think that mediatically what weights the more is images of violence, especially those of gore with casualties, therefore the higher the willingness for martyrdom that would in their minds ensure a higher likelihood of foreign interference!

Proof, the Milk Tea Alliance will write all its texts in English rather than in Burmese!

The main objective at the core of the Milk Tea Alliance, repeated again and again like a mantra: How many dead bodies needed to take military action?

0eff6e696716675e3d982abd8da91cad7feb820f.jpg

https://archive.ph/wCo2O/0eff6e696716675e3d982abd8da91cad7feb820f.jpg ; https://archive.ph/wCo2O/14cb57f8f689cf55cb5135fb19ae94ce8dc840ce/scr.png ; https://archive.ph/ZwTnA/1ea6b0f4402807c21b96f40fa127d823d3d8cbb0/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316042534/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwWmCC0UUAEOZIc?format=jpg&name=medium ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316023220/https://twitter.com/YinNwe12741415/status/1370723047661993984 ; https://archive.ph/ZwTnA
2. The main objective at the core of the Milk Tea Alliance: How many dead bodies needed to take military action?

For recruiting frontliner cannon fodders (called tributes), that would certainly end-up as martyrs, the Milk Tea Alliance never short of clumsy tricks, is now recruiting hobos according to the old C.I.A. playbook, by offering free shoes, free socks, clean pants, new hoodie, gloves, mask, helmet and googles!

EwHN19uUYAA6A2p

https://archive.ph/FHYCy/962430a3f36299bbe1ccb5d44436ab60c887a1ef.jpg ; https://archive.ph/FHYCy/ea5518a8fac6e8cea9285781da60e97726e3d9ae/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316033046/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwHN19uUYAA6A2p?format=jpg&name=large ; https://twitter.com/ShweYoe111/status/1369602241280176129
3. For recruiting frontliners, that would certainly end-up as martyrs, the Milk Tea Alliance is now recruiting hobos. Mar 10, 2021·

Hobo recruited as frontliners, after the refitting, and ready to be martyred for the Hunger Game:

EwHN7DCVIAA-yvl

https://archive.ph/IPXED/8242e3573843961b5c06a2973c41647a6b69e838.jpg ; https://archive.ph/IPXED/1b193dfdce1899ee7f3bbebaff4e0c72cb4d6300/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316033135/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwHN7DCVIAA-yvl?format=jpg&name=medium ; https://twitter.com/ShweYoe111/status/1369602241280176129
4. Hobo recruited as frontliners, after the refitting, ready to be martyred. Mar 10, 2021·

The display of ingenuity, kindness or helplessness is calculated to gain the westerners sympathy.

Small kitten in a protester's helmet with tear gas' smoke background, sharing one's lunchbox with small street doggies are all inspired from the C.I.A. playbook.

EwXzf7QWgAUqj-G

https://archive.ph/FQNX2/8653dffd84b2980dc8074751566bb97941314bff.jpg ; https://archive.ph/FQNX2/00be9675f79b8244dd55cd52c8f86173569090da/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316023631/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwXzf7QWgAUqj-G?format=jpg&name=900x900 ; https://twitter.com/Hyunee_Choco/status/1370769398080942081
5. The display of both ingenuity and helplessness with this bulletproof vest in Mandalay. · Mar 13, 2021

The Milk Tea Alliance narrative is specially fine-tuned to catch the attention of the U.S.-E.U public, and not afraid of ridicule:

scr.png

http://web.archive.org/web/20210316...bcfeca1be16cf3f2888c2143eb60a95053e99/scr.png ; https://archive.ph/PQdcZ/2e2bcfeca1be16cf3f2888c2143eb60a95053e99/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316023409/https://twitter.com/drzarni/status/1370686325209333761 ; https://archive.ph/PQdcZ
6. Typical Milk Tea Alliance verbiage: Islamic State is 'better' than Tatmadaw or military in Myanmar.

And of course sycophancy that will know no shame, such as U.S. and U.K. flags waving, U.S. anthem, and display of shared cherished common value:

EwXJViGW8AU9wKL

https://archive.ph/HssyD/33290d56c49556f8a2496a4c4ab22b8300332c98.jpg ; https://archive.ph/HssyD/d6cd7729971e3a31ee78991f96ec7d37e5ec2195/scr.png ; https://archive.ph/c5uwB/ae66e732d542daf7b9322492de0cec0d322532b6/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316043614/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwXJViGW8AU9wKL?format=jpg&name=large ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316043226/https://archive.ph/c5uwB/ae66e732d542daf7b9322492de0cec0d322532b6/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316023455/https://twitter.com/ZweLwinMyanmar/status/1370723038845661189 ; https://archive.ph/c5uwB
7. Sycophancy that knows no shame: display of shared cherished common value such as the obligatory LGBT.

Reminds one of some déjà vu but what?

ElL_cuBX0AIpFQg

__

:omghaha::rofl::lol::omghaha::rofl::lol::omghaha::rofl::lol:

Ethnic persecutions especially sinophobia (though officially anti-CCP only) that is at the core of the Milk Tea Alliance, contribute to escalate and increase the likelihood of foreign intervention.

Kristallnacht is an old C.I.A. trick from the playbook.

EwfQJxyVkAcSdIA

https://archive.is/bBCDV/723a93f2e84a28328a6090511edd48e3a9e13bd6.jpg ; https://archive.is/bBCDV/ec2485cc14479f1490e07217312e3597bf0895e8/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316023036/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwfQJxyVkAcSdIA?format=jpg&name=large ; https://twitter.com/HninOoWutYee10/status/1371293494476566531
8. After Kristallnacht in Hlaing Thar Yar. Mar 15, 2021·

And the countermeasure is to not allow the Milk Tea Alliance's narrative to be spread uncontrolled as a COVID variant pandemic!

Martial Law is contributing to the de-escalation, as is the reduction of mediatic coverage.

Thus, as complement to the 30th night of internet shutdown, a new tactic of mobile internet connection (WIFI) disruption, for the second day.

EwfrEbqWYAckCRw

https://archive.ph/VuI8r/7263f578f13eea9c5e25486349340c2c694c145e.jpg ; https://archive.ph/VuI8r/c165ced630fd9346d095cd3c10d921be14f533ea/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210316023754/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwfrEbqWYAckCRw?format=jpg&name=large ; https://twitter.com/myanmar_moi/status/1371323089137586179
9. Martial Law in Yangon Region on 14 March 2021.


6e323515d66ee30841cae4a9a7318d3b72b3e685.gif

ae4ffdaeb02c2ea160fb33e41686a846f36755ca.gif

022c2d783cdf337beef335add6afdbf99880963d.png
4b7f704c1b6a7a2291742bd3986353bc70cc2569.png
Currently I believe this will turn out to be like Arab Spring, it will spread to neighboring countries, Thailand most vulnerable. Indonesia also possible given of its size of protesters.
 
Currently I believe this will turn out to be like Arab Spring, it will spread to neighboring countries, Thailand most vulnerable. Indonesia also possible given of its size of protesters.

Indonesia ???? We have already been a democratic country and a role model of Myanmar democratic movement.
 
There are clearly a MI6,CIA and other western institution's hand . Last thing needed is middle east/ Africa style Western military presence in asia,shame on whole of East if they let this happen.
 
Indonesia ???? We have already been a democratic country and a role model of Myanmar democratic movement.
Yeah, color revolution does not need an autocratic country to happen. Indonesia have huge protest, and often are violent resulting in death. Remember Prabowo? Imagine if he copied the tactic in Hong Kong and Myanmar.
 
Yeah, color revolution does not need an autocratic country to happen. Indonesia have huge protest, and often are violent resulting in death. Remember Prabowo? Imagine if he copied the tactic in Hong Kong and Myanmar.

Our protester is manageable and it has been shown many times, including during Anti Corruption protest and recent Omnibus Law protest. Better you worry on your ancestor land, China, to get influenced by this Myanmar protest.

If some one hates Jokowi so much, what he needs is to wait for another 5 years on election day. Democracy means differences should be solved in ballots rather than a streets. Any way, it is Jokowi final term, he cannot run again in 2024 election.
 
Our protester is manageable and it has been shown many times, including during Anti Corruption protest and recent Omnibus Law protest. Better you worry on your ancestor land, China, to get influenced by this Myanmar protest.

If some one hates Jokowi so much, what he needs is to wait for another 5 years on election day. Democracy means differences should be solved in ballots rather than a streets. Any way, it is Jokowi final term, he cannot run again in 2024 election.
don't worry about china. protests in other countries only makes mainlanders trust the CCCP even more. HongKong protesters already tried everything they could to influence the mainland and it only made Chinese people more disgusted with them. If you want to influence Chinese people against the CCCP, prove that your government is better with decades of sustained growth, improved living standards and economic development.

I'm not saying I believe Indonesia will be affected by color revolution either. Thailand however will likely be affected.
 
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Our protester is manageable and it has been shown many times, including during Anti Corruption protest and recent Omnibus Law protest. Better you worry on your ancestor land, China, to get influenced by this Myanmar protest.

If some one hates Jokowi so much, what he needs is to wait for another 5 years on election day. Democracy means differences should be solved in ballots rather than a streets. Any way, it is Jokowi final term, he cannot run again in 2024 election.
I don't hate Jokowi, It just my observation that Indonesia protesters are volatile.
 
don't worry about china. protests in other countries only makes mainlanders trust the CCCP even more. HongKong protesters already tried everything they could to influence the mainland and it only made Chinese people more disgusted with them. If you want to influence Chinese people against the CCCP, prove that your government is better with decades of sustained growth, improved living standards and economic development.

I'm not saying I believe Indonesia will be affected by color revolution either. Thailand however will likely be affected.

Ya. I am agree that Hongkong protester bring bad image about democracy on Chinese mainland people mind.

And about Thailand, I think Myanmar protest is not affecting them, they have already been protesting their military government and their king before Myanmar protest. Thailand civil society has also been seen as divided. Democracy in Thailand can rather make their economic development stall, just like what happen during red and yellow shirt long protest every time their political opponent win the election.

It is why I hope Indonesian people dont hate other opposing group like between Secular vs Islamist. If we cannot manage our differences, military will take our democracy back like what happened in Egypt and Thailand. Just use ballots as the way to solve differences and keep economy going regardless who will lead the nation.
 
Ya. I am agree that Hongkong protester bring bad image about democracy on Chinese mainland people mind.

And about Thailand, I think Myanmar protest is not affecting them, they have already been protesting their military government and their king before Myanmar protest. Thailand civil society has also been seen as divided. Democracy in Thailand can rather make their economic development stall, just like what happen during red and yellow shirt long protest every time their political opponent win the election.

It is why I hope Indonesian people dont hate other opposing group like between Secular vs Islamist. If we cannot manage our differences, military will take our democracy back like what happened in Egypt and Thailand. Just use ballots as the way to solve differences and keep economy going regardless who will lead the nation.
I hope you don't always take is so personally. This coming years, after the stimulus is over, governments are going to tighten their budget or enact unpopular laws/repeal popular, this is not about Indonesia alone. So chances are protesters will copy this kind of pressure tactics. India farmer protest lasted more than 6 month now with hundreds dead and still on going, Myanmar opted the brutal crackdown path.
 
India farmer protest lasted more than 6 month now with hundreds dead and still on going, Myanmar opted the brutal crackdown path.
Hundreds dead!! WOW, our HK media is really good at hiding information. The thing is protest that involved with foreign powers will always turn into pure hatred even it begins with a justified cause. Like the case in HK, those rioters care nothing about the bill (since over 95% of the protestors didn't even read the bill themselves), the riots were built and kept upon by series of lies of police brutality and disinformation.
 
Currently I believe this will turn out to be like Arab Spring, it will spread to neighboring countries, Thailand most vulnerable. Indonesia also possible given of its size of protesters.

Must strongly disagree. The situation is at the total opposite. Both Syria and Libya were nations with no superpower as neighbor.

Tens of thousands of foreign takfiri terrorists could come as they pleased across the border from minor neighboring failed states and invade, fuelling the uprising and help turning the protests into full scale civil war.

This time, Myanmar has one of the world two superpowers as neighbor.

China is the military powerhouse that has demonstrated to everyone's surprise back in 2015, that the Uighurs terrorism would not go unchecked for decades like the takfiri terrorism that has metastasized throughout the E.U., but instead would totally vanish within a couple of years.

And this exceptional and outstanding achievement has revealed to the world both the existence and the crushing efficiency of China's secret Big Data A.I. program.

All terrorists having been identified and geolocalized by the sentient A.I. Matrix, thus allowing to swiftly round up all the enemies without fail.

Today China enjoys one of the safest society in term of terrorist threat level.

It is only a matter of months before China could pacify Myanmar. Another epochal victory in the making for China after the 2020 victory over the COVID-19 pandemic!

There will never be a repeat of the middle east Jasmin Revolution at the doorstep of China. We are no longer living in the 911 era.

Since last year the world has enterd the new COVID era.

But what is this COVID era about?

The 2 decades that will see the completion of the sentient Matrix A.I. in outer space like a Dyson Sphere of doom around the Earth.

Both the 42'000 Directed Energy Weapons orbital platforms of the U.S. Starlink (STAR WARS) and China's own 100'000 orbital platforms.

kM1N3H5.jpg

https://archive.is/QIFKC/cccdaae4846f1e0454b4ce6881575e64b26a6b65.jpg ; https://archive.is/QIFKC/24a8b9f3987371cf55a640e14f84a8a7b8f44a0f/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210318210600/https://i.imgur.com/kM1N3H5.jpg
1. Starlink: the number one threat to the world's security.

df6b89ff14a229027497b37ae0f7b87a3a99ff3e.jpg

https://archive.is/gFmmO/df6b89ff14a229027497b37ae0f7b87a3a99ff3e.jpg ; https://archive.is/gFmmO/87310da096adf7eb7deb3aa54e3f2b19a835b4f8/scr.png ; https://web.archive.org/web/20210227050735/https://i.imgur.com/3I05WHE.jpg
2. Starlink V1.0 L21 mission, further advancing the doomsday clock closer to midnight!

Meanwhile the Myanmarese rioters instead of uprising for the world people's freedom against the build up of this totalitarian world order lead by Elon Musk, these pathetic fools are throwing themselves into the lion's mouth, by calling the Dystopian Empire's STARLINK as their savior!:omghaha::rofl::lol:

scr.png

https://archive.ph/P3xYB/6aae1c5ad72e1c9dfb48eeeaf4b6d9fabd1d1adf/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214641/https://twitter.com/nslwin/status/1372245300232994822 ; https://archive.ph/P3xYB#selection-3079.11-3079.22
3. Pathetic fools are throwing themselves into the lion's mouth, by calling the Dystopian Empire's STARLINK as their savior! 17 Mar 2021.

Therefore wasting their lives in these Hunger Games, modern time Gladiator Roman Games, as a tv reality show intended to distract the world's people from the only real threat, instead of fighting the true enemy: the Dystopian Empire and his number one henchman Elon Musk.

scr.png

https://archive.ph/tftwY/003b54b1c06cad4b8a91a2513de884ed3bfa8cda/scr.png ; https://archive.ph/BTuGS/80bf54a9a3e4d75744beb8b48652a990b07fb934.jpg ; https://archive.ph/BTuGS/6140cb2eed34f2816a1c6717cb0d548bf7b30d4e/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214822/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwszqS7XIAIzvL0?format=jpg&name=large ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214946/https://twitter.com/thwemayviola/status/1372247326765547524 ; https://archive.ph/tftwY
4. In the scorching hot sun, Mandalay did HUNGER GAMES in motorcycle to distract the world's people. 11:03 AM - 17 Mar 2021.

To pull the rug out from under the Milk Tea Alliance, just don't allow them to broadcast their Hunger Games reality show!

scr.png

https://archive.ph/XXDca/a71ffe21b5f74d625117ef6167c51bcd74a672d6/scr.png ; https://archive.ph/Qmg2X/9542be904ae1432001965fba984779985f6aee3a.jpg ; https://archive.ph/Qmg2X/59e70e7fcbbe35c8e2774d70a718002f35487969/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214728/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwsvIIWXIAIkpIc?format=jpg&name=900x900 ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214549/https://twitter.com/Essenti96119659/status/1372242341617094657 ; https://archive.ph/XXDca
5. The end of the Hunger Game reality show: In Tachileik City, fiber internet which is connected from Thailand has been cut off. 10:44 AM - 17 Mar 2021.

:lol:

6e323515d66ee30841cae4a9a7318d3b72b3e685.gif

ae4ffdaeb02c2ea160fb33e41686a846f36755ca.gif

022c2d783cdf337beef335add6afdbf99880963d.png
4b7f704c1b6a7a2291742bd3986353bc70cc2569.png

:cool:🚬
 
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There is only 2 ways to succeed for the rioters.

1. massive uprising in Naypyidaw.
2. defection of military zone commanders

Nothing of that is happening.

Must strongly disagree. The situation is at the total opposite. Both Syria and Libya were nations with no superpower as neighbor.

Tens of thousands of foreign takfiri terrorists could come as they pleased across the border from minor neighboring failed states and invade, fuelling the uprising and help turning the protests into full scale civil war.

This time, Myanmar has one of the world two superpowers as neighbor.

China is the military powerhouse that has demonstrated to everyone's surprise back in 2015, that the Uighurs terrorism would not go unchecked for decades like the takfiri terrorism that has metastasized throughout the E.U., but instead would totally vanish within a couple of years.

And this exceptional and outstanding achievement has revealed to the world both the existence and the crushing efficiency of China's secret Big Data A.I. program.

All terrorists having been identified and geolocalized by the sentient A.I. Matrix, thus allowing to swiftly round up all the enemies without fail.

Today China enjoys one of the safest society in term of terrorist threat level.

It is only a matter of months before China could pacify Myanmar. Another epochal victory in the making for China after the 2020 victory over the COVID-19 pandemic!

There will never be a repeat of the middle east Jasmin Revolution at the doorstep of China. We are no longer living in the 911 era.

Since last year the world has enterd the new COVID era.

But what is this COVID era about?

The 2 decades that will see the completion of the sentient Matrix A.I. in outer space like a Dyson Sphere of doom around the Earth.

Both the 42'000 Directed Energy Weapons orbital platforms of the U.S. Starlink (STAR WARS) and China's own 100'000 orbital platforms.

df6b89ff14a229027497b37ae0f7b87a3a99ff3e.jpg

https://archive.is/gFmmO/df6b89ff14a229027497b37ae0f7b87a3a99ff3e.jpg ; https://archive.is/gFmmO/87310da096adf7eb7deb3aa54e3f2b19a835b4f8/scr.png ; https://web.archive.org/web/20210227050735/https://i.imgur.com/3I05WHE.jpg
1. Starlink V1.0 L21 mission, further advancing the doomsday clock closer to midnight!

Meanwhile the Myanmarese rioters instead of uprising for the world people's freedom against the build up of this totalitarian world order lead by Elon Musk, these pathetic fools are throwing themselves into the lion's mouth, by calling the Dystopian Empire's STARLINK as their savior!:omghaha::rofl::lol:

scr.png

https://archive.ph/P3xYB/6aae1c5ad72e1c9dfb48eeeaf4b6d9fabd1d1adf/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214641/https://twitter.com/nslwin/status/1372245300232994822 ; https://archive.ph/P3xYB#selection-3079.11-3079.22
2. Pathetic fools are throwing themselves into the lion's mouth, by calling the Dystopian Empire's STARLINK as their savior! 17 Mar 2021.

Therefore wasting their lives in these Hunger Games, modern time Gladiator Roman Games, as a tv reality show intended to distract the world's people from the only real threat, instead of fighting the true enemy: the Dystopian Empire and his number one henchman Elon Musk.

scr.png

https://archive.ph/tftwY/003b54b1c06cad4b8a91a2513de884ed3bfa8cda/scr.png ; https://archive.ph/BTuGS/80bf54a9a3e4d75744beb8b48652a990b07fb934.jpg ; https://archive.ph/BTuGS/6140cb2eed34f2816a1c6717cb0d548bf7b30d4e/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214822/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwszqS7XIAIzvL0?format=jpg&name=large ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214946/https://twitter.com/thwemayviola/status/1372247326765547524 ; https://archive.ph/tftwY
3. In the scorching hot sun, Mandalay did HUNGER GAMES in motorcycle to distract the world's people. 11:03 AM - 17 Mar 2021.

To pull the rug out from under the Milk Tea Alliance, just don't allow them to broadcast their Hunger Games reality show!

scr.png

https://archive.ph/XXDca/a71ffe21b5f74d625117ef6167c51bcd74a672d6/scr.png ; https://archive.ph/Qmg2X/9542be904ae1432001965fba984779985f6aee3a.jpg ; https://archive.ph/Qmg2X/59e70e7fcbbe35c8e2774d70a718002f35487969/scr.png ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214728/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwsvIIWXIAIkpIc?format=jpg&name=900x900 ; http://web.archive.org/web/20210317214549/https://twitter.com/Essenti96119659/status/1372242341617094657 ; https://archive.ph/XXDca
4. the end of the Hunger Game reality show: In Tachileik City, fiber internet which is connected from Thailand has been cut off. 10:44 AM - 17 Mar 2021.

:lol:

6e323515d66ee30841cae4a9a7318d3b72b3e685.gif

ae4ffdaeb02c2ea160fb33e41686a846f36755ca.gif

022c2d783cdf337beef335add6afdbf99880963d.png
4b7f704c1b6a7a2291742bd3986353bc70cc2569.png

:cool:🚬
 
There is only 2 ways to succeed for the rioters.

1. massive uprising in Naypyidaw.
2. defection of military zone commanders

Nothing of that is happening.
3. foreign intervention
4. armed rebellion

foreign intervention is very likely. armed rebellion is probably the protester's only hope but it requires a large arms supplier with a land route into the country as the ports will be controlled by the gov. Thailand China, and Laos don't support the protesters so the only hope would come from Bangladesh and India.
 
Half of Myanmar under warlords, or low level civil war. These people are more dangerous than those people on streets. So far, they have not taken advantage of situation in Yangon to declare independence.

I dont see anyone other than USA supporting the rioters, not Shan, not Kachin, not Karen, not Chin, not Wa. When warlords cant overrun Tatmadaw, mobs on the streets can dream long long.
 
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Currently I believe this will turn out to be like Arab Spring, it will spread to neighboring countries, Thailand most vulnerable. Indonesia also possible given of its size of protesters.

There is absolutely no way this kind of protest will happen in Indonesia or even your so call "arab spring".
Indonesian economy doing decent in this pandemic, Jokowi approvement rate is high and his political coalition is stronger than ever.
Hell... i would even dare to said indonesia is one of the most stable democratic country in the world right now.

Jokowi prove his political strength when he manage to past the "omnibus law" bill.
Those kind of massive bill normally would take 2-3 years but because of jokowi political strength it only take less than a year.
And those so called "massive" protest didn't even less than a week, tbh the omnibus law protest is pathetic compare to other big protest in the past
 

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