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Are main battle tanks obsolete? The view from Latin America

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Are main battle tanks obsolete? The view from Latin America
It is becoming increasingly difficult to make the case for heavily armored systems in Latin America

Wilder Alejandro Sanchez
Is the tank becoming obsolete for today's battlefields?

Defence iQ has recently hosted the International Armored Vehicle event and one of the big takeaways was the focus on mobility and modularity for tomorrows armoured vehicles. So, we ask: “Is the tank becoming obsolete for today's battlefields?”

For the U.S, military planners will have to reconsider their procurement needs in the near future in the context of U.S. security concerns and the likelihood that urban warfare will become more common over the next decade. However, what is the view from the Latin American perspective?

Latin American nations are decommissioning outdated models and replacing them with more modern machines. For example, Brazil is undergoing a modernisation program, which includes the revitalization of M60 combat vehicles, Leopard 1A1 and M113 armoured vehicles, greatly enhancing the effectiveness of its two tank battalions.

Furthermore, Brazil recently donated a number of tanks to Uruguay. Future acquisitions also need to take into account regional geopolitics, the likelihood of war and the technology of armoured vehicles itself. What is the future of heavy armour in Latin America?

Lessons from recent conflicts in Latin America
The last inter-state war between two Latin American states was the short 1995 border conflict between Ecuador and Peru. Other regional conflicts in the post-World War II era were the Falklands/Malvinas war between Argentina and the United Kingdom in 1982; the 1981 border conflict between Ecuador and Peru; and the 1969 Soccer War between El Salvador and Honduras.

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Meanwhile, the U.S. military’s most recent interventions in the region were in Haiti in 1994 (Operation Uphold Democracy) and in Panama in 1989 (Operation Just Cause).

"Security threats in the region are generally insurgent in nature"
While there are ongoing border disputes (e.g. Bolivia and Chile or Guyana and Venezuela) and tensions (mostly coming out of Venezuela these days), security threats in the region are generally insurgent in nature. For example, terrorist movements like Colombia’s ELN and EPL, Peru’s Shining Path, or Paraguay’s EPP; narco-cartels in Mexico; or organised gangs such as the Maras in Central America or the Primero Comando da Capital in Brazil. These entities are highly mobile and operate in isolated regions or in urban areas.

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VBTP-MR Guarani in Brazil. Source: Shutterstock

Recent Tank Acquisitions in Latin America
Latin American governments continue to acquire new (or used) platforms for their armed forces, but heavy armour is not purchased particularly often. Some recent deals worth noting are:

  • In December 2018, the Brazilian Army completed the transfer of 25 M41C light tanks to the Uruguayan army. “Of the 25 vehicles, 15 were completely refurbished by Brazil while the remaining 10 will be used for parts. Those that will remain intact will be assigned to armoured infantry units, which currently use M24 light tanks,” Jane’s explains.

  • In 2016, Russia delivered 50 T-72B1 tanks to Nicaragua. The platforms are “an upgrade of the 1970s-era main battle tank and feature explosive reactive armour and thermal weapon sights, among other improvements.”

  • Venezuela has received a plethora of Russian weaponry over the past couple of decades, though these deals have been quite scarce in recent years due to Caracas’ financial crisis. Amongst the acquisitions are T-72 tanks, as well as infantry fighting vehicles like the BMP-3M, and an array of transport vehicles.
"Latin American governments continue to acquire new (or used) platforms for their armed forces, but heavy armour is not purchased particularly often"
As for other nations, while no other major sales have occurred, there are ongoing reports about armoured vehicles in need of modernization or replacement. For example, Chile possesses Leopard 2A4 tanks, and it will be interesting if they will be upgraded anytime soon, given that the Chilean government is replacing the famous Copper Law, which helps fund the Ministry of Defence. Meanwhile, Peru has yet to find a replacement for its old T-55 tanks, while Ecuador recently upgraded several AML and M113 A2 Plus armoured vehicles, as the country does not possess heavy armour.

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As for Mexico, its fleet consists of light and medium armoured vehicles. Finally, Colombia also possesses light armoured vehicles; for example, media reports published in late January show vehicles that appear to be the EE-09 Cascavel, a 6x6 light tank, on patrol in urban areas close to the border with Venezuela.

Latin American Armoured Vehicle Requirements
The intrastate conflict that has plagued many Latin American countries is one of the strongest drivers for defence spending. Many countries continue to acquire new (or refurbished) platforms, such as Brazil’s new carrier Atlantico, Chile’s new Sikorsky S-70i Blackhawk helicopters, Argentina’s used AB-206 helicopters, or Mexico’s new patrol vessel Reformador. As for Peru, the Andean state has commenced the construction of a second landing platform vessel, BAP Paita. However, when it comes to heavy armour (or even medium armour) new contracts have been quite scarce in recent years.

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S-70i Blackhawk. Multi-use platforms are easier to procure. Source: Shutterstock

One argument in favour of procuring heavy armour is so that nations can maintain minimal deterrence capabilities. While interstate warfare is very unlikely, it does not mean that the scenario is impossible. The Venezuelan government’s behaviour, particularly during the 2008 crisis in the Andes is an example of this ever-present possibility. Nevertheless, given the region’s current peaceful status, limited defence budgets and other security threats, it is understandable that regional governments have other priorities. Moreover, the focus for Latin American governments is the acquisition of multipurpose platforms, which can be utilized not solely for war.

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This is exemplified by the new vessels the region is acquiring (or domestically manufacturing) which can be utilized for military and peaceful operations, such as combating maritime crimes (like illegal fishing) and transporting supplies to areas affected by natural disasters. Helicopters can similarly be utilized to transport medical personnel and supplies to remote areas after disasters occur, not just troops.

"The focus for Latin American governments is the acquisition of multipurpose platforms, which can be utilized not solely for war"
As for armour, personnel carriers have been recently utilized in Brazil and Peru as part of emergency and support operations to help civilian populations. It is their flexibility to have multiple uses that makes them attractive to civilian and military leaders alike. The problem with heavy armour is that it is difficult for the main battle tank to have anotheruse other than what it was designed for. “A tank cannot carry humanitarian assistance, so it is difficult for us to convince our civilian leaders of the need to buy new ones in times of peace,” explained a Latin American military officer interviewed by the authors.

"A tank cannot carry humanitarian assistance, so it is difficult for us to convince our civilian leaders of the need to buy new ones in times of peace"
Nevertheless, when it comes to armoured vehicles, just like any other system, it is important to have a vision of the future and to carry out a cost-benefit analysis regarding weapons acquisition. In terms of life-cycle cost, it is more expensive and difficult to maintain heavy tanks that were designed in the 1950s-1970s, than to repair more modern equipment. Purchasing a tank is not a one-time payment, as this platform demands continual upgrades of its systems, armour, chassis, and weapons. This can often spiral and stakeholders become politically and financially tethered to projects making them hard to abandon.

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A great example of this is the modernization process of the M1A1 Abrams main battle tanks for the US and the Challenger 2 for the UK. However, vehicles that were designed in the 1950s and 1960s have incredibly low survivability compared to modern assets. Even though Latin American governments may not want to upgrade their heavy armour, it may be financially advisable.

Geography is also an issue that influences the procurement of heavy weaponry. In spite of technological advances that make modern tanks able to operate in harsher conditions, it is difficult to justify the use of the main battle tank in insurgency operations. Brazilian, Colombian or Peruvian policymakers would traditionally use a combined force of infantry, light armoured vehicles and helicopters.

As for urban warfare, light armour seems to be the norm, and, as previously mentioned, the Colombian army sent 6x6 light armoured vehicles in a routine operation through a Colombian town in late January. Light 8x8 armoured personnel carriers were also utilized in Rio de Janeiro as part of the Brazilian armed forces’ operations to combat criminal gangs in the city’s shantytowns (known as favelas). In these instances, The authors have been unable to find any incidents of explosives, such as rocket-propelled grenades, that were utilized against these platforms, however, this is an obvious concern. Theoretically heavy armoured could have been utilized in some of the wider streets though.

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Brazillian patrol in Rio. Source: Shutterstock

"It is difficult to justify the use of the main battle tank in insurgency operations"
Lastly, we must remember that mobility has become a key requirement. If a tank is utilized in a cavalry role, it must be fast to deploy and able to pry open the enemy lines.

However, in a "rapid action response" scenarios that often faces many Latin American states, the main battle tank is unable to give commanders the ability to react to crises in remote areas with a flexible set of capabilities that can be tailored to the situation

Similarly, a command vehicle must be able to move about relatively unnoticed so as to not draw fire. Finally, if a tank is used to strengthen a position, it must be tough enough and hit hard enough to win the fight. If a vehicle can’t manoeuvre because it is highly visible, or too slow to break contact then the effect is the same: your opponents locate you and bad things happen. Designing your system to be mobile enough to accomplish your mission is an absolute necessity.

Final Thoughts
Armour can be versatile, but going forward in the Latin American theatre, given the region’s clear-and-present dangers, it is difficult to make case for the acquisition of heavy armour in comparison to light platforms. Platforms with higher tactical and strategic mobility can be deployed in constrictive urban areas, or other assets that have multipurpose uses, such as personnel carriers, helicopters or ships.

https://www.defenceiq.com/armoured-...y-armour-obsolete-the-view-from-latin-america
 
these questions have been used since forever... they say aircraft carriers face the same fate but tbh, the tech development certainly slowed down... but it's not obsolete...
 
these questions have been used since forever... they say aircraft carriers face the same fate but tbh, the tech development certainly slowed down... but it's not obsolete...
Tanks still have a role on the battlefield but there not as important in modern counter insurgency conflicts. Looking at various Middle east conflicts.....pick up truck/technical vehicles and MRAP type vehicles are more important for counter insurgency. Toward the end of the Syrian conflict, Assad forces relied on militias in pick up trucks as the point of spear...not T-72's or T-90's. Tanks just became fire support.
 
ADS, then missiles, then subs, then aircraft, then surface vessels, then MBTs and other vehicles.

(Order of importance)

Ask Iran.
 
ADS, then missiles, then subs, then aircraft, then surface vessels, then MBTs and other vehicles.

(Order of importance)

Ask Iran.
Depends on the intensity of the conflict. I would want precision SSM's (preferable with nuclear weapons) as my first choice. Both cruise and ballistic. Followed by air, subs and land forces in that order.

USA army war college believes Iran won the USA invasion of Iraq...with low intensity warfare. B2's and F22's had less affect than AK-47's and IED's to the end result.
 
Depends on the intensity of the conflict. I would want precision SSM's (preferable with nuclear weapons) as my first choice. Both cruise and ballistic. Followed by air, subs and land forces in that order.

USA army war college believes Iran won the USA invasion of Iraq...with low intensity warfare. B2's and F22's had less affect than AK-47's and IED's to the end result.

ADS have to be top to destroy those SSMs, they have to deal with stealth missiles, hypersonic maneuvering cruise missiles, and jamming missiles. Top priority or ADS are pointless, falling behind in tech means billions worth in equipment are destroyed by SSMs. Same with subs, subs can't be hit by an air attack, generally; rarely is an anti-ship cruise missile a threat to subs. Subs are More important than surface vessels, dollar for dollar and tonnes for tonnes.

The Germans proved what subs can do on a tighter budget, modern subs are even more potent.

For Hezbollah, ADS are quite meaningless, because they are a guerilla force, and don't have anything to protect in terms of aircraft and large targets worth millions. So they can skip ADS and go straight to missiles. Iran can't they are a nation.
 
tanks have not been very relevant to modern warfare since the creation of ATGMs....

as drone technology matures and becomes cheaper, when some nation develops a tank killing drone, they might be in serious trouble...

its just a lot easier and cheaper to produce a stronger atgm/ projectile/ anti-armor weapon then it is to develop counters/ stronger armor … its an uphill battle for the tank developers.
 
Tanks still have a role on the battlefield but there not as important in modern counter insurgency conflicts. Looking at various Middle east conflicts.....pick up truck/technical vehicles and MRAP type vehicles are more important for counter insurgency. Toward the end of the Syrian conflict, Assad forces relied on militias in pick up trucks as the point of spear...not T-72's or T-90's. Tanks just became fire support.
Well fire support was one of tanks original mission requirements... it’s a versatile weapon of different calibers and weight
 
Our doctrine stated long back that MBTs in our theater was obsolete and we focused purely on mine proof ifvs and wheeled tank equivalents.
 
Our doctrine stated long back that MBTs in our theater was obsolete and we focused purely on mine proof ifvs and wheeled tank equivalents.
My own sentiment is that Pakistan should focus more on MRAP type vehicles and heavy IFV more than MBT's. A modular heavy IFV....30 to 40 ton that could be dual use with CION package for internal security or an anti tank package to take on Indian T-72 if the unlikely need arose.

Nuclear weapons change the dynamic. Odds of a big tank battle with India is lowered. More likely a future India Pakistan conflict will be limited to Kashmir where Tanks are not really deployable. Or it will COIN focused with India using terrorists proxy's in our western provinces.
 
My own sentiment is that Pakistan should focus more on MRAP type vehicles and heavy IFV more than MBT's. A modular heavy IFV....30 to 40 ton that could be dual use with CION package for internal security or an anti tank package to take on Indian T-72 if the unlikely need arose.

Nuclear weapons change the dynamic. Odds of a big tank battle with India is lowered. More likely a future India Pakistan conflict will be limited to Kashmir where Tanks are not really deployable. Or it will COIN focused with India using terrorists proxy's in our western provinces.
yes. if you look at our terrain it is just impossible to use tanks; if you look at Namibia north; even the best tank will have its tracks ripped out; however if you look at Casspir or other SAMIL vehicles; they were designed to traverse across such entire regions plus long range as a bonus. You have the same challenges on the eastern border.
 
tanks have not been very relevant to modern warfare since the creation of ATGMs....

as drone technology matures and becomes cheaper, when some nation develops a tank killing drone, they might be in serious trouble...

its just a lot easier and cheaper to produce a stronger atgm/ projectile/ anti-armor weapon then it is to develop counters/ stronger armor … its an uphill battle for the tank developers.

Thats like saying fighter aircraft have not been relevant since the creation of SAMs. You see them still flying and being used in conflicts. No different than tanks being used in Syria especially with all those ATGMs being used and destroying them in the hundreds.
 
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