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Encircled In Mariupol, yes since like 45 days. In Donbass not really. This is the situation: https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/DraftUkraineCoTApril12%2C2022.png Too many axis of attack. The 1939 Wehrmacht with horse logistics would do it better.

Which did not work, as the Russian advance was stalled in East and Ukrainins can still move their units east anyway. A very costly deceptive manouver.

The Situation on the ground is the truth. There were Russians around Kiev, now they are gone. At the beginning of the conflict Zelensky was to be evacuated, by some he even was already in Warsaw. Now he has more and more foreign delegations visiting him. I kinda cannot believe this was the...

What did they achieve with this operation ? a big "WTF?" in the western countries ?

I did not hear about this. Anyway, why reconquer the 'Russian' enclaves ? It`s an endless cost, that just brings Problems. It was better to keep it as it is, and keep Russian paying for it.

Ukrainian best units were in the East. The Ukrainian army was generally regulary distributed across the country, they mobilised a lot of reserves. What you see in the internet are videos from volunteers and territorial defence.

I said there is a bigger probability, taking into account their Perfomance. For Finland and Sweden, most of their population is for it, so it will happen.

How do you know this ? The Russian only occupied 20% of Ukraine, why do you assume all of their APC/IFV's have been destroyed?

Wishful thinking. A bigger probablibilty is, that the Ukrainians will attack the russian flank moving from the north in the direction of Donbass. + Sweden and Finland will join NATO and Russian won`t be able to do anything about it ;)

Failed( dumb?) Russian policy towards Ukraine. If the policy would be succesful, then there would be a Pro Russian president in Kiev, and the bulk of the population would be pro Russian. The opposite happened. So, the genius idea now, is not to change the policy, but to push harder, what will...

The reasons for this war is the failture of the Russian policy towards Ukraine and the only tool left is the army, which is as well failing to produce a favorable political outcome. Well, Russia started it with annexing Crimeria, if they would be a bit more patient, another Pro Russian President...

Well, how much of equipment will still Russia have after this war ?

China does manufacturing. Most of the know how still comes for the West. Sure, they are making progress and are successful in many fields. I just think, that autoritarism, does not go well with innovation. Anyway for Russia, if you were taking technologies for 30 + years from the West and now...

Sure, it will survive, but the cost will be significant. Economic growth was already slashed after 2014 with light sanctions. Now this will be a deep recession. ( -10+% ), they can export gas and oil, but got a embargo on western technologies, which Russia does not produce and this will hit...

First Russia needs to win in eastern Ukraine. If this happens, it will more be a West-East Germany Situation. Why should NATO send any troops? It`s a defence pact. Ukrainians are fighting well enough anyway.

That is why this is hardly normal. You cannot compare this to pre invasion, different situation.

On the moscow stock market with capital control and exchange limitations. This is not market value, but fixing by the Central Bank.

Capital control. It`s hardly normal.

COVID ;) not Russia

Gold does stabilize, but it won`t do a major currency out of the Ruble. Technology and Know-how makes you strong in modern world. Scholtz just forced Putin to further accept payment for Gas in Euro/USD which was the line of the G7, so where is the baypass ? There was no embargo on Gas or Oil...