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UK coronavirus daily cases pass 50,000 for first time since January

beijingwalker

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UK coronavirus daily cases pass 50,000 for first time since January
July 17, 2021

Britain has recorded more than 50,000 new daily coronavirus cases, the highest number since mid-January, according to official data released Friday.

The country reported another 51,870 coronavirus cases in the latest 24-hour period, bringing the total number of coronavirus cases in the country to 5,332,371, official figures showed.

The country also recorded another 49 coronavirus-related deaths. The total number of coronavirus-related deaths in Britain now stands at 128,642. These figures only include the deaths of people who died within 28 days of their first positive test.
The British government has confirmed that most COVID-19 restrictions in England will end on Monday as part of the final step or Step Four of England's roadmap out of the lockdown. But scientists have warned that lifting all restrictions at this stage could increase likelihood of dangerous variants.

England's coronavirus reproduction number, also known as the R number, stood between 1.2 and 1.4, meaning, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people, according to the latest estimate by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE), a British government advisory body.

Meanwhile, the growth rate range of coronavirus is 4 percent to 7 percent, which means that the number of new infections is growing by between 4 percent and 7 percent every day.

As for vaccination, Imperial College London and Ipsos MORI have published their latest antibody surveillance report, which showed that almost 100 percent of people tested positive for antibodies 14 days after their second dose of the Pfizer and AstraZeneca vaccine.

Over 207,337 participants tested themselves at home using a finger prick test between May 12 and 25, tracking COVID-19 antibodies across England following either natural infection or vaccination.

Following one dose of either vaccine, the proportion of people testing positive for antibodies peaked at four to five weeks after first dose and then started to decline before rising substantially in those who had a second dose, according to the report.

The findings emphasize the need for everyone to get both doses of the vaccine to receive the best chance of protection against this disease as restrictions are lifted, the report also said.

"Results of this very large study show the substantial impact of the vaccination program on antibody positivity in adults.
However, coverage of vaccines is uneven with people in some groups and areas less likely to have been vaccinated.," said Helen Ward, Professor of Public Health at Imperial College London.

"It is concerning that people on low incomes, in deprived areas, some minority ethnic groups and in some public facing occupations such as hospitality, may remain relatively unprotected from future spread. We need to continue and intensify efforts to reach these groups with vaccination, and to ensure other protective measures are in place," said Professor Ward.
To bring life back to normal, countries such as Britain, China, Russia, the United States as well as the European Union have been racing against time to roll out coronavirus vaccines.

 

beijingwalker

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UK Covid cases surge by 51,870 in highest total since January - up 45% on last week
The figures come just days before England comes out of lockdown, with the majority of legal limits on distancing removed

16:09, 16 JUL 2021


Covid cases in Britain have surged by 51,870 - a rise of 45 per cent from a week ago.

Official data shows that 49 deaths were also recorded in the last 24 hours.

The figures come just days before England unlocks its society, with the majority of legal limits on distancing removed.

Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are following different timetables.

A total of 48,553 infections were recorded on Thursday, across all the nations - the highest rise in six months.

But, announcing the move to the House of Commons, health secretary Sajid Javid said: "If not now, when?"

Chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty has struck a more cautious tone in contrast - and warned another lockdown could happen.

Speaking at a British Science Museum event, Professor Whitty underlined that epidemics are "either doubling or they're halving", adding: "And currently this epidemic is doubling. It's doubling in cases.

"It is also doubling in people going to hospital, and it's doubling in deaths."

He said that the doubling time for hospital cases was "around three weeks" and while the number of hospitalisations was "mercifully much lower", it was "not trivial".

He said: "We've still got over 2000 people in hospital, and that number is increasing.

"If we double from 2000 to 4000, from 4000 to 8000, to 8000 and so on, it doesn't take many doubling times till you're into very very large numbers indeed."

Professor Whitty added that medics could soon be faced with "scary numbers again", adding: "I don't think we should underestimate the fact that we could get into trouble again, surprisingly fast."

He added that more people could be fighting the disease in hospital "in five, six, seven, eight weeks' time", and went on: "They could actually be really quite serious... at that point if it looks as if things are not topping out, we do have to look again and see where we think things are going."

And Dame Sarah Gilbert, one of the scientists behind the Oxford/AstraZeneca jab, has warned life will not be able to return to normal until the world is vaccinated against Covid-19.

The professor of vaccinology at the University of Oxford's Jenner Institute, said that variants of the virus will continue to be a threat until more jabs are made and distributed to populations around the globe.

She said that although the vaccines available are effective against variants which are in circulation currently, there could be a "much worse situation" if rates of Covid-19 remain high in parts of the world.

She told the Full Disclosure podcast with LBC's James O'Brien: "I hope that we are now going to reach the position where it is recognised that vaccines are needed for everybody.

"They are needed in this country and they are needed for the whole world as well, and actually vaccinating the whole world is the best way to protect us.

"Because if we don't, then there will be new variants arising, and we will never get back to normality if we can't get everybody vaccinated."

Dame Sarah, who co-created the jab which has gone into the arms of tens of millions of people, stressed the importance of more vaccines being produced and distributed around the globe.

She added: "Because if we don't, the virus is going to continue to circulate and to mutate, and we won't be able to travel, and we may reach a point where the vaccines that are in use now are much less effective."

 

Ali_Baba

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Coronavirus-related deaths and hospitalization ratios are what we need to track and at the moment they are ok and tracking with expectations - ie the vaccines work.

Vaccines are meant to reduce your chances of dying from Covid - that is all.
 

jamal18

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Deaths are down to virtually nothing. With this 'massive' number of cases (based on a faulty PCR test), we should have herd immunity by now.
 

CAPRICORN-88

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So what went wrong in UK?

AZ 92% effectiveness against hospitalization means an 8% hospitalization and possible deaths.
 

jian-10

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the more it spreads the higher chance of a new variant or worst case scenario an escape variant. The Tory government is absolutly stupid, calling it "Freedom Day", which had everyone just dropping safety measures and whole nation becomes super spreaders.
 

Ali_Baba

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UK could have already reached "herd immunity" against the Indian Delta Variant:

View attachment 765231
We should know in 2 week from now if freedom day has had a negative effect or not - hopefully there is no major increases in hospitalisations or deaths rates, and if so - then for now - Covid will be over in the UK.

Winter will be interesting - but we if we get booster shots - then life can carry on as normal over winter aswell. Lets see.
 

UKBengali

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We should know in 2 week from now if freedom day has had a negative effect or not - hopefully there is no major increases in hospitalisations or deaths rates, and if so - then for now - Covid will be over in the UK.

Winter will be interesting - but we if we get booster shots - then life can carry on as normal over winter aswell. Lets see.

Actually we would already have seen at least something by now as positive cases only take a few days to detect and it has already been nearly a week since July 19th.

The fact that it is falling so rapidly with only a minor drop in actual tests strongly suggests that "herd immunity" may in fact be here due to a combination of vaccine and natural immunity from previous infection. It seems the virus is just running out of hosts now who it can infect.

Yes we will know within a week for sure and so just need to wait a bit longer.
 

Char

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We will come to a conclusion after this winter, thanks to Britain for its bold attempts.
 

Tai Hai Chen

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Actually we would already have seen at least something by now as positive cases only take a few days to detect and it has already been nearly a week since July 19th.

The fact that it is falling so rapidly with only a minor drop in actual tests strongly suggests that "herd immunity" may in fact be here due to a combination of vaccine and natural immunity from previous infection. It seems the virus is just running out of hosts now who it can infect.

Yes we will know within a week for sure and so just need to wait a bit longer.
Herd immunity works poorly against RNA viruses such as coronavirus. Coronavirus been infecting humans since at least paleolithic era. Even well before herd immunity is reached, RNA virus quickly mutates to throw off immune system. DNA viruses such as smallpox are much easier to control due to slow poke mutation rates.
 

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