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Trump team weighs giving China a get-out-of-jail free card on Iran

beijingwalker

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Trump team weighs giving China a get-out-of-jail free card on Iran

The move would breach a vow to bring Iran’s oil exports to zero.

By ELIANA JOHNSON

07/03/2019 05:02 AM EDT


The State Department is seriously considering using an Obama-era loophole to allow China to import oil from Iran, violating the Trump administration’s pledge to bring Iranian oil exports to zero.

Only last week, the senior State Department official handling Iran said the U.S. would “sanction any imports of Iranian crude oil.”

But according to three U.S. officials, the department’s Iran czar, Brian Hook, and his team of negotiators have discussed granting China a waiver to a 2012 law intended to kneecap the Iranian oil industry. The alternative is allowing China, which recently welcomed a shipment of approximately a million barrels of Iranian oil, openly to defy U.S. sanctions.

The Trump team has kept the details of its deliberations closely held as news reports of the Chinese oil imports have proliferated in recent days — and hawks on Capitol Hill have begun to ask questions. It is the latest in a series of dust-ups between the administration and Congress on an Iran policy that has often appeared inconsistent, careening between threats of military action and offers to talk with Iranian leaders.

The 2012 Iran Freedom and Counterproliferation Act targeted the Iranian shipping, shipbuilding and energy sectors, requiring states or companies that wish to import Iranian oil and conduct business with the U.S. to obtain waivers from the U.S. government. A separate law targeted purchases, rather than imports of that oil.

Officials say the State Department is discussing an arrangement that would allow China to import Iranian oil as payment in kind for sizable investments of the Chinese oil company Sinopec in an Iranian oil field — and administration officials have offered to issue a waiver for the payback oil in official correspondence between the State Department and Sinopec, according to a source familiar with the situation.

The workaround would serve dual purposes, allowing cash-strapped Tehran to pay off a debt, and let China continue to import Iranian crude as it continues tense trade negotiations with American officials.

Much of the rhetoric from the State Department has specified that the U.S. is targeting purchases — rather than imports — of Iranian oil, a distinction that will become important under the law if the department decides to give China a pass.

“There are right now no oil waivers in place,” Hook told reporters on Friday. “We will sanction any illicit purchases of Iranian crude oil.”

A State Department spokesman told POLITICO that the department remains “committed to full implementation of our sanctions on purchases of Iranian crude oil.”

The Chinese imports, first reported by the website TankerTrackers.com, which uses satellite technology to track ships, have caught the attention of lawmakers. “The Administration stopped issuing sanctions waivers for Iranian oil exports in May, yet China just received massive oil cargo from Iran,” Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) tweeted last week. “The tanker Saline, capable of carrying 1 million barrels, docked in Jianzhou bay on June 20.”

The State Department declined to comment on the imports, but said the department “is in regular contact with Beijing regarding our maximum economic pressure campaign on the Iranian regime.”

The U.S. declined to renew past waivers allowing China to import Iranian oil this past spring, in line with its drive to starve the Iranian government of hard currency.

“We’re going to zero,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said when he announced the policy in late April. “We’re going to zero across the board.”

China protested at the time, arguing that the move would drive up oil prices.

“The decision from the U.S. will contribute to volatility in the Middle East and in the international energy market. We urge the United States to take a responsible attitude and play a constructive role, not the opposite,” Geng Shuang, a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman, said at an April 23 briefing.

China had been importing around 10 million barrels of oil per day, around 500,000 of it from Iran. Those imports spiked briefly in April in anticipation of U.S. sanctions, before falling in May.

Imports of cheap energy are vital to sustaining China’s economic engine, a crucial source of the ruling Communist Party’s political legitimacy amid volatile trade relations with the Trump administration.

Experts say the State Department may have devised the workaround because it has few options for punishing Beijing for its defiance.

“It is the furthest thing from surprising if the administration tries to come up with a story to tell to paper over the noncompliance,” said Jarrett Blanc, who served as the State Department coordinator for Iran nuclear implementation under President Barack Obama. “There’s not that much they can do about it if China says, ‘Screw you.’”

Others say that issuing a waiver to China could help the administration achieve its stated goal of squeezing the Iranian regime and ultimately forcing its leaders back to the negotiating table.

“If the Trump administration did give permission to allow Iran to repay China in kind for debts owed for past work by Chinese oil companies in Iran, it could actually advance the Trump administration’s policy,” said Elizabeth Rosenberg, a senior fellow at the Center for New American Security. “That is, Iran’s exports would deprive Iran of valuable assets and further impoverish the struggling state."

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/03/trump-china-iran-oil-1396052
 

beijingwalker

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US can make a new rule for China or explain their way out of China's "violation" to save face, it can bully Turkey and India into compliance, but China'll just say "screw you and bring it on".
 

Hassan Al-Somal

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1. " 'Speaking during a Cabinet meeting in Tehran on Wednesday, Rouhani warned that because of the faltering nuclear deal Iran was entitled to increase its enrichment of uranium to "any amount that we want, any amount that is required.' "

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...ultimatum-over-uranium-enrichment/1637045001/

2. China is also buying Iranian oil.

It looks like Trump's "maximum pressure" met a counter-maximum pressure from Iran and China.
 

beijingwalker

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China started sanction Canada and some western European countries in recent years, probably we'll see paradigm shift very soon within next decade that China will start initiating sanctions against US.
 

Bengal71

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1. " 'Speaking during a Cabinet meeting in Tehran on Wednesday, Rouhani warned that because of the faltering nuclear deal Iran was entitled to increase its enrichment of uranium to "any amount that we want, any amount that is required.' "

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...ultimatum-over-uranium-enrichment/1637045001/

2. China is also buying Iranian oil.

It looks like Trump's "maximum pressure" met a counter-maximum pressure from Iran and China.
They should simply get out of every deal, exit the NPT and make the freaken bomb. Then talk from a position of strength.
 

vi-va

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nahtanbob

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US can make a new rule for China or explain their way out of China's "violation" to save face, it can bully Turkey and India into compliance, but China'll just say "screw you and bring it on".
it is one thing to take on USA. it is another thing to take on USA and other Gulf oil producing countries
 

vi-va

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it is one thing to take on USA. it is another thing to take on USA and other Gulf oil producing countries
Agree. That's why China adopt a conservative foreign policy on this issue.

But the situation is changing very fast. Everyone witnessed the drone shot by Iran, and the response from Trump administration is way too soft. Basically Trump has no clue how to play this dangerous game.
 

vi-va

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If Iran makes the nukes the US won't attack. No country needs to fight for Iran then.
If Iran determined, just do it. It seems Iranians are waiting for a better international environment to cross the line.
 

Bengal71

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If Iran determined, just do it. It seems Iranians are waiting for a better international environment to cross the line.
I personally think they already have nukes but that's my personal opinion.

If they don't have it then they should get it asap, there is no time to kill. If the US decides to attack, there won't be much time.
 

vi-va

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I personally think they already have nukes but that's my personal opinion.

If they don't have it then they should get it asap, there is no time to kill. If the US decides to attack, there won't be much time.
Agree. But I doubt your first point.

There are only 2 places Iran may get Nukes, one is North Korea, the other is Pakistan. US has soften their diplomatic stance on North Korea issue, to make sure North Korea stay out of Iran issues. Iran and North Korea definitely collaborate on conventional weapon, but North Korea is too smart to cross the red line.

Pakistan won't do it for sure.

I think Iran should get nukes done during Obama's term. North Korea did a much better job with much less resources.

I don't like Nukes in Middle East, but the game in Middle East are much more fascinating than East Asia.
 

yavar

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Agree. But I doubt your first point.

There are only 2 places Iran may get Nukes, one is North Korea, the other is Pakistan. US.
.
bit of education for Chinese members which as usual leave in delusion


this is United Nation nuclear agency not me

First
UNSCR 2231 has recognized iran as nuclear power if you should know . to educate yourself please google search nuclear power country so find out what it mean by international law to understand it does not mean at all nuclear electricity .
UN website NOT ME
resolution 2231 (2015) - the United Nations
http://www.un.org/en/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=S/RES/2231(2015)


2nd: The 2011 IAEA Iran report : the 1990 Marivan large-scale nuclear test .
which guess what U.S has provided to IAEA the satellite pictures .
this is IAEA websilte NOT ME
https://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/gov2011-65.pdf

3rd: also known as PMD ( previous military dimension )

Frontline- April 13, 1993 (Iran and the Bomb)

++++++

Iran Exploding-bridgewire Wire detonator (EBW)
EBW references from IAEA Board of Governors’ reports
http://www.atomicreporters.com/2014/02/iran-new-developments-exploding-bridge-wire-ebw/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploding-bridgewire_detonator

++++++

Project Midan: Developing and Building an Underground Nuclear Test Site in Iran
http://isis-online.org/isis-reports...uilding-an-underground-nuclear-test-site-in-i

The secret part the Iran nuclear deal with US ( JCPOA )
U.S John kerry told IAEA not to publish the photos,
Obama's secret Iran deals exposed

+++++

People just google sreach Vycheslav V. Danilenko former Soviet scientist nuclear weapons expert .
our program had multi ................route, it would been even unwise and unreliableto to only relay one route, and follow one rute. and if you follow and study IRI Iran they are never interested in anything that the China offers them and always after Russian or western technology .
AQ Khan in our program was big zero compared to soviet union Vycheslav V. Danilenko thermonuclear weapon experts . AQ Khan was IAEA ghost chess before Israeli American quote Iran with real stuff

Vycheslav V. Danilenko former Soviet scientist nuclear weapons expert then you come to realization that Abdul Qadeer Khan story has almost zero rule in Iran program and AQ Khan it was just smoke screen cover up to keep IAEA busy by iranians to be used before we (iran ) got quote red handed

Vyacheslav Danilenko
NOT ME it is IAEA
he November 8, 2011 International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards report on Iran identifies a foreign expert that may have been important to Iran’s development of implosion detonation systems used in nuclear weapons. The Agency writes in the report that it has “strong indications that the development by Iran of the high explosives initiation system, and its development of the high speed diagnostic configuration used to monitor related experiments, were assisted by the work of a foreign expert who was not only knowledgeable in these technologies, but who, a Member State has informed the Agency, worked for much of his career with this technology in the nuclear weapon programme of the country of his origin.”

Information in other IAEA documents reviewed by ISIS identifies this person as Vycheslav V. Danilenko1. Born in 1934, Danilenko worked in the nuclear weapon complex at VNIITF, Chelyabinsk-70 for three decades. At VNIITF in the early 1960s, he was a member of the gas dynamics group and became involved in the study of the manufacture of synthetic diamonds. He worked with leading explosives experts in the Soviet nuclear weapons program and developed understanding of the fundamentals of detonation, including shock compression. In 1960, the head of VNIIF, B. I. Zababakhin, launched the institute’s research into the possibility of diamond synthesis by using the shock compression of graphite. Leading Soviet nuclear weapons experts were leaders in this effort in the early 1960s. In a recent book chapter Danilenko says that “experiments aimed at developing methods for synthesis were highly classified; for security reason, the results were initially contained only in secret reports from VNIITF.”2 According to IAEA officials, he likely had knowledge of the application of high explosives in the Soviet nuclear weapons program. Given his background and experience, this ex-Soviet nuclear weapons expert was well versed in key aspects of developing nuclear weapons.

Danilenko also has experience in the important area of the diagnostics of high explosions. His publications include work on high-speed photography and describe optical techniques by which fiber optic cables are used to capture the time of arrival of explosive shock waves.

After leaving VNIITF in either 1989 or 1991, Danilenko moved to Ukraine and established the company ALIT in Kiev, producing ultra-dispersed diamonds (UDD or nanodiamonds). He experienced economic difficulties by the mid-1990s. According to the IAEA, he contacted the Iranian embassy in mid-1995, offering his expertise on UDD. At the end of the year, he was contacted by Dr. Seyed Abbas Shahmoradi, who headed the Physics Research Center and also worked at the Sharif University of Technology.3 Danilenko signed a contract with Shahmoradi, according to IAEA documents.


+++++




Thanks to Obama for PMD

before Yukio Amano IAEA chief visit to Iran suddenly floods in Tehran province and Parchin area
Sep 20, 2015

then
samples taken by Iranian experts from Parchin military site with no IAEA inspectors present before close IAEA PMD case \ basically Iran curry out inspection itself and guess what Iran came out clean

and then

IAEA Board of Governors closes Iran PMD case




CNN news analysis North Korea nuclear weapon program and miniaturization in 2013
people can draw their own conclusions


connect dots together then people can get good Idea where Iran nuclear program is and how it has come about
 
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925boy

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If Iran makes the nukes the US won't attack. No country needs to fight for Iran then.
US will attack once it has solid credible evidence of Iran assembling/building a nuclear weapon. Iran will have to fight for the nuclear weapon..literally.
 

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