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The Game of Chicken: All Three Actors Blinked!!!

Armchair

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When was the last time you went to Pakistan? Seems you are oblivious to ground realities. Good!
PTI and IK saved Pakistan from bankruptcy and collapse. But it seems I have to go there and check whats in the central banks coffers myself because I am a dumb dodo.

Pity the nation that welcomes its new ruler with trumpeting,
and farewells him with hooting,
only to welcome another with trumpeting again.

Pity the nation whose sages are dumb with years
and whose strongmen are yet in the cradle.

Pity the nation divided into fragments,
each fragment deeming itself a nation.
 

NaqsheYaar

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May I ask, how did this Ghaibi intel get to you?
Well I am not at all the source of this Intel, I have been following various sources for the last 9 years or so.

For now following only one person whom I consider my spiritual mentor.
Obviously things won't happen exactly I have described, but timelines should be roughly correct. I was just trying to draw the picture and so on.

This corovid phenomenon also seems to be something that won't just subside easily without bringing about fundamental changes throughout the world, even military rule in some western countries.
 

StormBreaker

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PakBrother mine,

Allama Moh. Iqbal R.A. was Wali of Allah. He was a mujadid....

If you look carefully ... our FoundingFathers...led by Quaid e Azam R.A. were extra ordinary men...as if Allah chose them for the Miracle of Pakistan.... I have no doubt about it...

After that we quickly fell into Darkness and have been paying the price for it....

From Surkhaz to FazoolMullahMaffia all hollowmen... without any Spirit!!!

If you look at the map of Eurasia you shall see that Pakistan is The Heartland...

EmergingPakistan!!!
We should have leaders, (not the retarded shitty visionless lot we have), Who think beyond Pakistan being Just a “Muslim Country” but must take it as one of the core elements of Pakistan. Pakistan is a Caliphate, Rashidun was not just Islam, It was ambition, Of the greatest Leaders of Islam, Caliphs took it to its epitome, Especially First two. They thought even beyond Islam, An ISLAMIC EMPIRE not a Nation. Kinda hurts knowing that we share the same religion with that generation but we are nothing but embarrassment to their might.

I will try to figure it out tonight... then will reply
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Is the third actor by any chance Syria itself or Iraq ?

Syria is the key to start or stop a war in the area, It is upon them what to want.

Similarities between Afghan and Syria Battlegrounds are that both have external backed proxies.

Both have 2 local parties with foreign stakeholders, Afghan is being neighbored by Pak, Pak affected by refugee crisis, So is Turkey, Pak and Turkey are becoming quite independent and influencing actors in their own regions. Both have the potential to bulldoze everything in their way if they feel grilled someday, Unlike Foreign stakeholders, investing in proxy and some military manpower, these two countries have the advantage of being bordered with these battlegrounds so supply, Offense and all are well protected by this fact unlike others playing in the region as proxies (US Army in Afghan, Foreign proxy fighters in Syria).
 

Ace of Spades

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O Shahzade,

I am meditating for a couple of days on TeaLeaves.... frankly, I need to write about WaliPakistan /PakistanWali ...but for that I don't have any energy...unless given ... so now BemusedObserver status continues...

I did try to draw your attention The Reality of Pakistan... if I am not mistaken...

Pakistan is not just another country.... once I asked @PakSword to superimpose the Last Sermon of The Last Prophet PBUH... but he chose wisely to let it rest....

For almost a year now I have tried to bring to attention of the PakPosters here that Pakistan is The Second State.

Pakistan Shall NEVER be The First State
... how could that be even thinkable...

My tryst of writing about the CriminalEnterprise and the UglyTruthAboutPakEconomy or The HybridwarOnPakistan were an educational attempt to create a framework for building up the ground for The SecondState....

Have you ever wondered why we are still standing
...despite all the challenges and wars imposed upon us...on top of that we have the IndiaPhrandz Noora/Ghardari tag-team and not to forget murcury MQM/ANP/FuzlaGangsters etc..

Now this PTI is nothing but a crowd of run-away bazaris, CriminalEnterprise Agents or Assets....

The PakBlood that has been spilt within OurLand in the name of Sects
... who benefited?

And then came the War of Terror courtesy good Indians n Phrandz.... TTP just rent-a-killer-enterprise.... APS. Yes, forever APS!

How did we manage to survive all this? Whence others failed and become permanet ruins... Who saved us?

Submaterial. Material. MetaMaterial.


What is The Reality of Pakistan?

Between the TwoRivers rise GreatFires on boht of our flanks
... Think!

Kuch to hae jis ki pardahdari hae!


For now we need to understand at Elite level that:

The Perservation of The State is the Heighest Virtue. It is the Only Virtue.


Iblees ki Majlis e Shura and Pakistan can never work together... similary Islam and MullahMaffia can coexist...

Deen can NEVER be separated from Science otherwise, it becomes a relgion, thence to a Sect... you need to Meditate more and fly less Unicorns!

Five Fingers One Palm!

The socalled spontaneous AntiChina Din is not that spontaneous and of course, worries about CPEC are not those of bleeding sincere hearts....

ThirdActorDynamics.

In all of this there is Beautiful Oman. Quiet. Always Quiet... busy nevertheless...Quiet. Beautiful!

Snatching Peace from the Jaws of Malice in Afghanistan is the First Step. Why? Think hard before answering. Stand on the shore of Gawadar once again...

Med has been primarily French lake with explicit Yank Leave
...and now we have OurTurkishBretheren... wanting to change the StatusQuo... Think! 2023.

In this Game of Chicken the TwoActors
did introduce the middleman, the backdoor service provider, India ..trying to anchor it as potential neutraliser of Sino-Pak future thrust... hence the maddles and all them hugs.... allowing more jobs to Indians than perhaps wise...backdoor services @Blacklight

If you wish to understand things better then re-read what I tried to compose on @Ace of Spades thread...

Please, also see the Eurasian Map once again...

Caspian is calling Pakistan for so long... and then there is BlackSea and of course the South/EastChinaSeas.....

On the Grand Game of Go we cann't emotionally imprison ourselves to mere nextdoor marasiz.... Think!

What is The Reality of Pakistan?

Why it is so?

How....become a bit easier then....

PakStatecraft is a paralysed teddy bear without betteries hence... its hands move when a outside force moves it... rather pathetic affair all this... but This is The UglyTruth.

When a State clearly Defines itself only then can it have its Interests Clear and the Will to Achieve them....

So I have managed to NOT answer your questions...if I have succeed in this then bravo... if not next time I should put more energy in it!

Mangus

@Slav Defence @Horus @SIPRA @masterchief_mirza @Signalian @Socra @RescueRanger @dbc @jaibi @WebMaster
interesting take; so in your terminology apart from "combined west", "china" there is a re-revival of third force like old days?
 

Ace of Spades

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We need an Actor in TheGame which is a bridge to all and not ambitious to Carve Influence... an Actor which can sooth everyone's anxiety and provide the Security that is needed.

In the Emerging Strategic Security Architecture ... a US-Persia Grand Bargain which only covers for Israel is a disastrous proposition..as it will open the floodgates of Killing Fields in the Greater Middle East of which Pakistan is a crucial part.

Pakistan is the ONLY Actor which has the means to provide security to both Persia and the Rest... furthermore, Pakistan is the ONLY Actor who enjoys the confidence of the US, China, Russia and TheThirdActor Collective including Israel.

As in the case of Kabulistan... the Outsourcing of Security to Pakistan is agreed by all Actors of The GlobalGame... as similar agreement needs to take place here in the ME.

Pakistan must develop a joint military wing with Persia to guarantee its anxiety... as must Pakistan deploy its troops and equipment in the $5Trillion Insecurity Shpere...

It goes without saying that the Sanctions on Persia then must be lifted.. Pakistan must offer JF Thunder Block3 to all parties in ME including Persia...with localised production...

With increase in Pak workforce in value added sectors of the GCC it is imperative that GCC and Pakistan become a single market... this must also be offered to Turkiye and Persia...

All in all Pakistan must be part of the Grand Bargain with Persia which is about to happen as OrangeBall indicated...

Petro-Dollar Recycling is not going to be like it was..this is something TheCollectiveWest must accept since... China is now in for Recycling as well...

A mere 20% would be needed to have RealSecurity for GCC and Persia than the current $5Trillion Insecurity...

However, this requires fundamental shift in the GlobalGame and ME local Game... acceptance of Pakistan is a must... by just throwing some free baksheesh... is not going to cut anymore.

Herein there is a sign of Pakistan not taking anyone's side.. though threatened to not go to KL was something which will come to haunt in the longterm to the concerend...

It is high time Pakistan tests its ICBMs and come out of the closet..

Pakistan can and must offer Nuclear Umbrella to GCC and Persia as part of the Grand Bargain.... both Persia and GCC can keep on wasting their money and resources to 'buy' influence.. in ZerosumGame...but everyone then be playing by the Agreed Rules of TheNewGame after the Grand Bargain with Persia.

With a single market... we can rebuild Iraq and Syria...
Very interesting OP and very insightful but i don't agree with the solution that you have proposed. If we look the historical baggage and future aspiration of each actor, GCC, Iran, US+EU this is not a viable path Pakistan should ever take. Considering "the game" and holi that was played in Pakistan by baradars both GCC and Iran, it's not in our interest to tackle their security needs. They will get in line once Pakistan have upper hand.


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That's the only viable mechanism i see for Pakistan; for it's relevance and to become a major player herself. (Pakistan+afghanistan) federation and single market+ security pact with turkey+Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan.

Ofcourse, CPEC factor is there and if Pakistan will be able to manage it properly and be able to become industrialized country as a result, it will change everything.
 

StormBreaker

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Very interesting OP and very insightful but i don't agree with the solution that you have proposed. If we look the historical baggage and future aspiration of each actor, GCC, Iran, US+EU this is not a viable path Pakistan should ever take. Considering "the game" and holi that was played in Pakistan by baradars both GCC and Iran, it's not in our interest to tackle their security needs. They will get in line once Pakistan have upper hand.


View attachment 623060

That's the only viable mechanism i see for Pakistan; for it's relevance and to become a major player herself. (Pakistan+afghanistan) federation and single market+ security pact with turkey+Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan.

Ofcourse, CPEC factor is there and if Pakistan will be able to manage it properly and be able to become industrialized country as a result, it will change everything.
Why do I always feel proud of seeing a relatively small country on the map, larger neighbours but the shine of nuclear power downsizes everyone around,
That is my Pakistan !!!!
 

Ace of Spades

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Why do I always feel proud of seeing a relatively small country on the map, larger neighbours but the shine of nuclear power downsizes everyone around,
That is my Pakistan !!!!
You should be proud, we all should be. But not for nuclear but for it's people and ideology. The idea of Pakistan is exceptional. There is no other islamic country that shares this with us. Pakistan is bound to be a great power and not a mere shadow of others. Everyone who embrace the idea of Pakistan can be a Pakistani. It is not confined and limited to a particular ethnicity, language, culture or sect and that's just beautiful.
 

HRK

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Some sunshine on this please
simple hai bhai we are neither prepared for what is about to come neither worthy for it .... but would be forced to prepare ourselves after number of huge tragedies .... and by we I mean all from valley of Indus to the valley of River Jordan not just Pakistan ....
 

StormBreaker

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@jaibi @PakSword @BHarwana @LeGenD @Slav Defence @Blacklight @StormBreaker @Ace of Spades @Mentee @masterchief_mirza

As expected the IranianTankers docked on the intended port under the watchful eyes of USN!

Exactly, like the US-Iran deal on the Iraqi PM and Trade-off in Kabulistan!

Trukiye and the NewDroneParadgim .... changing dynamcis. @cabatli_53

Russia wants the US out of Syria and the US wants Rus to be out of Libya...

The NewMedGame is unfolding...making the French uneasy... TurkishNavy coming of Age after a long time....

Yemen is Hot-n-Cold
...will linger for a while...

Oil is creeping upwards but the KhooniVirus is not going anywhere...already too much oil floating on open seas....

Flux in The Game of Chicken...and the ThridActor uncertain... for now Proxies of multiple enterprises... but No ThridActor is Clear for now.

Pakistan is doing what Pakistan has been doing
... inwardly occupied and surviving... yet again!

Kabulistan chapter will close with a Bang not with a whimper... after investing so much in the bazari Kabulis ... the Players are not going to let a peaceful Afghanistan emerge easily from the Ashes of Kabulistan... hence, the terrorism agaisnt Pakistan shall continue from there for sometime yet! @HRK

GlobalRecession and IndoPacificPartnership
are going to keep eachother impotent...while the Wokeness becomes new religion... with AntiCulturalRevolution in America spreading into mainland Europe.. UK already saw it... @OsmanAli98

More symbols of the West i.e. Towering Figures/FoundingFathers will become 'victim' of this NewWokeReligion!

Chaos is Art! @Reddington
Why does this feel incomplete ?
 

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