Thanks for mentioning me.
OP is right about the basic faults in dar economic policies.
We are going in absolutely wrong directions managing the aesthetics and further increasing the structural problems.
On the one hand pdm wants to continue with the government but on the other hand the economic policies are managing in a way that the government can be removed at any moment.
The biggest problem of our economy is external account deficit. Keeping the dollar undevalue is further elevating this problem. The exporters are getting lower value for the products and hence parking profits outside Pakistan by under declaring the sale on the other hand imports r cheap hence those who has link with banks r importing cheap products due to overvalued rupee.
Now the question is what is happening and how it could be controlled ...
The problem with our decision making is that we try to manage Pakistan's economy through the lense of IMF. Since a long period we e going through a cycle of boom, inflation and then slow down. The real reason is that whenever we plan for a boom we just do it be the way of micro ecnonomic factors i.e. by lowering the interest rates, increasing expenditure via loans and increasing demand without any focus on boosting production capacity as a result domestic demand increases without any supply increases which is then results in increased in imports, inflation and current account deficit ... Which
eventually create a need to slow down the economy ...
After a long period of time PTI government focused on growth via both increase in demand and increase in production capacity ... They gave cheap loan for fixed assets (TERF loans by SBP) but unfortunately our business and banks rather than investing in any new business took the cheap loans by window dressing the books of accounts as a result a very attractive policy introduced by PTI could give only partial return on the other hand supply side shocks after covid and commodity prices increase last resulted in current account deficit and inflation ... Although this was more of external issue but PDM used inflation due to external factors to put pressure on government.
As soon as Pdm came they should have continued the PTI policies and furthermore should have arranged interim financing to manage the interim current account deficit ... By this way we could have kept the dollar at 180 to 190 range and kept the economic growth at 6% pace with growth but in reality they didnt arrange any interim loans to manage current account deficits ... They kept fuel prices fixed and took no action for the initial three months ... This lack of actions proved to be fatal ... Finally miftah went to IMF and they asked us to slow down the economy ...
Now with Mr. Dar here he is just managing the interbank exchange rates via SBP without taking any corrective actions ...we r going sharply towards a default and the only action we r taking is begging with big powers with the assumption that we r too big to let default ...