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PLA will hold massive Taiwan invasion exercises in Yellow Sea tomorrow

Feng Leng

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We are entering a cycle of escalation:

US and Taiwan moves to provoke China

China mobilizes for war

US sees that China is mobilizing for war so it gets ready to deploy to Taiwan

China sees that US is getting ready to deploy to Taiwan so it enters a pre-war stage

US sees that China has entered a pre-war stage so it begins to deploy to Taiwan

China sees that US is beginning to deploy to Taiwan so it launches the attack
 

Feng Leng

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Historically, the actual war started after such invasion took place. World War 2 only escalated when Germany successfully took over half of Europe. Falkland War started after Argentina took over Falkland, Gulf war escalated after Iraq successfully took over Kuwait. So I think in this context, the real question is more about how China could hold on to recently conquered Taiwan. The US and West might be distracted when China launched the attack, but as soon as China militarily seized Taiwan, all eyes will surely turn towards China.

Arguably, China is not doing so well in building alliances, especially with its immediate neighboring countries, and China can never sustain the fight alone in an all out war against pretty much the whole world.
Name me one country that is willing to absorb a nuclear strike from China over Taiwan.
 

nufix

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Name me one country that is willing to absorb a nuclear strike from China over Taiwan.
The question is, will China risk a nuclear war by threatening to use nukes? I dont think Chinese leaders are that mad. Remember, China sends 150-200 nukes and level each city belonging to allied nations and risks getting retaliation ten times over? Cmon, the math just isnt right.

US has the so called mutually assured destruction in an all out nuclear war and that was prepared against Soviet Union that had more nuke warheads than China today.

I guess both sides will resort to conventional war and China will likely be fighting war in its soil. The question is, if China is fighting alone, how long can it sustain the destruction on its urban centers? Unless China can bring the war to European or US soil, but that is highly unlikely.
 

nufix

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So you think China's nukes are for display purposes only? :lol:
Well if we are talking about probability, the chance of US using nukes against China is higher than the other way around. US has a history of nuking its adversary, especially when it holds numerical advantages. China hasnt. So you tell me whether Chinese nuke is for display only.
 

Feng Leng

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Well if we are talking about probability, the chance of US using nukes against China is higher than the other way around. US has a history of nuking its adversary, especially when it holds numerical advantages. China hasnt. So you tell me whether Chinese nuke is for display only.
Did US nuke China before? Why do you think the probability of US nuking China is higher? What happened to the Hong Kong cockroaches this year? Do you know?
 

KAL-EL

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I’ve seen at least one or two threads a week here (for a little while now) with the same usual type of threats. Well, if it’s that easy, just get it over with and invade
 

zhxy

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Why didn't the US attack or nuke the Russians when they annexed Crimea? What are they afraid of in front of a country with a lower GDP than California?
 

nufix

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Did US nuke China before? Why do you think the probability of US nuking China is higher? What happened to the Hong Kong cockroaches this year? Do you know?
Is there any war in Hong Kong? Cmon you are trying to compare beating up students to a full scale invasion. Anyway, Hong Kong is actually a success story for China when it comes to taking over a territory. The takeover has all the legitimations and I think that is how China should recover Taiwan.

Anyway, back to China invading Taiwan scenario. My question is still about How long China can hold on in a conventional war on its own soil without any reliable allies.
 

nufix

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Why didn't the US attack or nuke the Russians when they annexed Crimea? What are they afraid of in front of a country with a lower GDP than California?
That is what I am talking about. No countries in their right mind would so easily resort to using nukes, including US and China or Russia for that matter. That is why the most possible scenario is conventional war.
 

Feng Leng

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Is there any war in Hong Kong? Cmon you are trying to compare beating up students to a full scale invasion. Anyway, Hong Kong is actually a success story for China when it comes to taking over a territory. The takeover has all the legitimations and I think that is how China should recover Taiwan.

Anyway, back to China invading Taiwan scenario. My question is still about How long China can hold on in a conventional war on its own soil without any reliable allies.
Hong Kong cockroaches thought USA would nuke China to save them. In the end, China crushed the cockroaches and US did nothing. Just like the cockroaches, you think USA would nuke China to save Taiwan. Hong Kong cockroaches found out the hard way so will you.
 

nufix

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Hong Kong cockroaches thought USA would nuke China to save them. In the end, China crushed the cockroaches and US did nothing. Just like the cockroaches, you think USA would nuke China to save Taiwan. Hong Kong cockroaches found out the hard way so will you.
I dont think any HKers wish the US to use nukes against China, that would be stupid. But to be sure, Can you link me to an official statement for that?


Anyway, when did I say US is going to use nukes against China? I said Nor China or the US will use nukes, so the war over taiwan will be a conventional war. But I did say if China is crazy enough to use nukes, it will for sure provoke the US to use on as well. So it boils down to China now. That is why I said, you tell me if China nukes are for show only.
 
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Feng Leng

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I dont think any HKers wish the US to use nukes against China, that would be stupid. But to be sure, Can you link me to an official statement for that?


Anyway, when did I say US is going to use nukes against China? I said Nor China or the US will use nukes, so the other war over taiwan will be a conventional war. But I did say if China is crazy enough to use nukes, it will for sure provoke the US to use on as well. So it boils down to China now. That is why I said, you tell me if China nukes are for show only.
Do you think Hong Kong cockroaches waving the US flag is for show only? Just like you, they thought US would save them from being crushed. What happened to the cockroaches now?

What makes you think China won't use nukes in a war against US? Do you think the US wants to absorb a nuclear strike over Taiwan? If US is willing to fight for Taiwan, why didn't they fight for Hong Kong?
 

nufix

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Do you think Hong Kong cockroaches waving the US flag is for show only? Just like you, they thought US would save them from being crushed. What happened to the cockroaches now?

What makes you think China won't use nukes in a war against US? Do you think the US wants to absorb a nuclear strike over Taiwan?
Link me to an official statement. Otherwise, you are just trying to project your own fantasy. Seems like you are just beating around the bush by asking questions but never answer any.
 

Feng Leng

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Link me to an official statement. Otherwise, you are just trying to project your own fantasy. Seems like you are just beating around the bush by asking questions but never answer any.
Have you seen a cockroach issue an official statement before? :lol:
 

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