~75 mil a piece for 4.5 Gen aircraft, weapons package, spares on long term soft(ish) loan is a bad deal?
Looks like a very good deal to be honest.
...it's on a 10-year payment schedule too. In the worst-case scenario, it's low enough for the PAF to fund as long as Pakistan functionally exists. In the best-case scenario, there's a lot of vertical room to buy additional batches over the next 10-12 years.
In fact, subsequent batches would probably cost less as the first batch involves a fixed support overhead. The PAF will get to ~90 J-10CEs, but (given the economic condition), it'd be through 2035 to 2040 rather than the preferred 2030-2035 timeframe. If you look at the Mirage III/5, F-6, F-16, F-7, and JF-17 programs, the PAF has never inducted a new fighter without a long-term roadmap for 90+ units. Yes, we did have the F-104 and B-57, but those were given to the PAF on aid and, if not for 1965, the PAF would've sought more of each.
Finally, it's weird that these details were kept in the dark. They're no more revealing in scope than Peace Gate or Peace Drive F-16s. My guess: this documentation was probably in the hands of secondary people (outside of the PAF, MoD, etc) and they leaked it to the Twitter account.
It's odd that when you supposedly hack a big reservoir of info, you'd talk about the one
thing that was already known to people. If I was a hacker, I'd show info about the follow-on Erieye project, the TPS-77 radars, and the PN's JCF program. Of all the things you can get, it's Project Dragon -- i.e., the thing multiple people on this forum revealed months before it happened?
So, my guess... This Project Dragon document was already in the hands of a few people (including people on this forum), and someone from among that group (not from this forum, but other people) decided to give it to this Twitter account. I'm not saying the Pak MoD is unhackable, but rather, I don't think we have a functioning MoD. The real MoD is split across GHQ, AHQ, and NHQ.
The procurement documents are likely in the hands of each of the service arms and, in turn, they choose when to disclose info to the MoD. If the MoD gets its hands on any info, then it's likely the service arms don't care about the information getting out. I'd say if anything is in MoD's hands, then the info is as good as public (and MoD usually reveals it, e.g., Khawaja Asif announced the Hangor SSP program).