• Sunday, December 15, 2019

'Nuclear deterrence helped prevent escalation during Pulwama crisis'

Discussion in 'Pakistan Strategic Forces' started by Zarvan, Jun 1, 2019.

  1. Zarvan

    Zarvan ELITE MEMBER

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    ISLAMABAD:

    Nuclear deterrence led to de-escalation during post-Pulwama military stand-off between India and Pakistan, said a senior official associated with the country’s nuclear programme on Friday.


    Brig Zahir Kazmi, Director General Arms Control and Disarmament Affairs at Strategic Plans Division (SPD) told journalists that the stated purpose of deterrence was to close space for war and bring states to the negotiating table.

    “Stability actually means peaceful resolution of territorial disputes in the subcontinent… nuclear deterrence should be a factor of stability between Pakistan and Hindustan,” Brig Kazmi said in an exclusive media interaction with senior officials dealing with strategic affairs in Islamabad.



    The interaction was organised by Islamabad Policy Institute (IPI), a think tank.

    The panelists included Brig Kazmi and Director General Arms Control and Disarmament, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Muhammad Kamran Akhtar. Defense analyst Syed Muhammad Ali moderated the event.

    Brig Kazmi said deterrence worked during the post-Pulwama military stand-off despite Indian attempt to escalate to a different level by talking about mobilisation of nuclear missile and nuclear submarines.

    He identified three imperatives for deterrence. First, enabling geostrategic environment that includes sustainable mechanism for dispute resolution; second, strategic restraint and responsibility, and third, the maintenance of balance in nuclear deterrence capabilities through arms control rather than competition.

    He clarified that deterrence was not an end in itself but a psychological state. “It should inspire fear in which the perceived cost of deterrence breakdown is higher than the desired benefits of preferring war as an instrument for dispute resolution.”

    Akhtar said that the recent Pulwama incident exposed and broke the myth of responsible Indian strategic behaviour.

    New Delhi, he said, immediately after the Indian Air Force fighter was shot down, resorted to missile threats and deployment of its nuclear armed ballistic missile submarine. Pakistan, in comparison, demonstrated a more responsible and restrained behaviour that led to de-escalation.

    The senior Foreign Office official said Pakistan is a responsible and restrained nuclear power. “Several international accounts are based on misperceptions regarding our nuclear programme that are divorced from reality,” he said.

    Pakistan’s safety and security record is immaculate and an example for many countries, he maintained.

    The chief of disarmament directorate dismissed the allegations regarding Pakistan possessing the fastest growing nuclear programme in the world.

    Citing international research publications including those of Harvard University’s Belfer Center, he said India had a much larger, older and fastest growing nuclear programme than Pakistan but it was often overlooked.

    He described the disproportionate focus on Pakistan’s nuclear security as “unfair and unnecessary”.

    Defense Analyst Syed Muhammad Ali, in his opening remarks said Pakistan’s nuclear programme had significantly contributed towards meeting both its traditional and non-traditional security needs.

    Nuclear deterrence, he added, had enabled Pakistan timely manage and de-escalate several regional crises with India during the past three decades. This, he said, also gave the national leadership and diplomats more confidence in international diplomacy.

    Earlier, Syed Sajjad Shabbir, Executive Director – IPI welcomed the guests and said that Pakistan’s nuclear programme had helped maintain deterrence stability in a conflict-prone South Asia region. He announced that IPI will soon publish a handbook on nuclear issues to create greater understanding among journalists, politicians and bureaucrats.


    https://tribune.com.pk/story/198437...VErqPrGxbEEeXgLkmi_u1Ic_JkPpYQ0h3ViUJpkdW4ATM
     
  2. war&peace

    war&peace ELITE MEMBER

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    Well isn't it obvious?
     
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  3. litman

    litman SENIOR MEMBER

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    nuclear deterrence kept the americans from invading pak after the OBL incident. it prevented war in 2008 as well. the nuclear capability of NK has kept US away from attacking her. after the world war 2 nuclear capability of various powerful countries have prevented world war 3. so indeed nuclear capability matters a lot in keeping peace in the world.
    coming to 26-27 feb . indians thought that they could do a limited strike inside pakistan without touching pak nuclear threshold. they tried, failed but claimed huge victory for political purposes. they miscalculated pak's response this time. they were expecting the same response which zardari and nawaz gave them in 2008 and 2016 respectively but this time they were stunned by the operation swift retort of PAF which humiliated them
    (nanga ker dia) in front of the whole world. that was a difficult point. both the countries were afraid of each other. pak was afraid of indian military superiority in conventional terms but had high morale after the skirmish on 27 feb but had this thing in mind that if a full scale war starts it may become difficult to defend herself against a much larger military power without pressing the nuclear button and after that it will be a complete destruction of both the countries. india on the other hand developed doubts on her military superiority and they also came to understand that this is really new pakistan which can go to any extent for her defence so a nuclear war was on cards and remember pak has more nukes then india. so both the countries had no option but to switch back to 5th gen warfare which they are fighting for quite some time.
     
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  4. GHALIB

    GHALIB SENIOR MEMBER

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    nuclear bluff .
     
  5. CrazyZ

    CrazyZ FULL MEMBER

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    Conventional escalation bluff.
     
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  6. jetray

    jetray SENIOR MEMBER

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    what a childish thinking , even kindergarten kids will have better thinking capability. Comparing a local skirmish to nuclear escalation is heights of paranoia.
     
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  7. Mugen

    Mugen FULL MEMBER

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    So why did India not escalate after facing humiliation in the skirmish?
     
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  8. war&peace

    war&peace ELITE MEMBER

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    Because PAF beat crap out of India... they should be thankful that we spared their COAS & top military leadership...
     
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  9. Point 5310

    Point 5310 BANNED

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    Because there was no need to since all the Pakistabi bombs did not hit a single thing except barren rocks.
    And only loss in Air was a 35+ year old MiG-21.
     
  10. Thorough Pro

    Thorough Pro ELITE MEMBER

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    you Indians have a habit of talking big but in reality IAF ran away even from a conventional A2A battle ...



     
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  11. GHALIB

    GHALIB SENIOR MEMBER

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    maulvi sahban ko nuclear bluff ka sahara hai.

    lol forgot your 93000 brave pakistanis who surrendered to save life ?


    galla dekh to shaklan dekh ...................:omghaha::omghaha::omghaha:

    [​IMG]
     
    GHALIB
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  12. Syed Hammad Ahmed

    Syed Hammad Ahmed SENIOR MEMBER

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    Can u tell me what happened in 2008 and 2016? What India did to Pakistan at that time?
     
  13. American Pakistani

    American Pakistani ELITE MEMBER

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    Remember your 1.4 billion brave bhartis who were begging for mercy after Pakistan slaughtered your airforce and had a walk in the skies of indian controlled territory? And after thrashing 2 indian jets down after bombing 6 targets inside indian controlled territory?
     
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  14. Crystal-Clear

    Crystal-Clear SENIOR MEMBER

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    lol . ok mey itni maar bardasht ker lu ga :D
     
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  15. Thorough Pro

    Thorough Pro ELITE MEMBER

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    Taking refuge in history? while IAF taking refuge in future, "If we had Rafales" . Suck it you loser street shitter



     
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