• Saturday, December 14, 2019

Major terror attack against India could trigger nuclear war: Experts

Discussion in 'Indian Defence Forum' started by kahonapyarhai, Feb 26, 2015.

  1. kahonapyarhai

    kahonapyarhai SENIOR MEMBER

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    Pakistan may use nuclear weapons against India if the latter goes for a large scale military assault against it in retaliation for a major terror attack emanating from across the border, two top American experts have warned US lawmakers.

    Given the presence of a strong government in New Delhi and the pressure on it from Indian citizens in the event of a repeat of 26/11 type terror attack, the ties between the two neighbours have greater danger of escalating towards a devastating nuclear warfare, in particular from Pakistan.

    Such a dangerous scenario can only be avoided by the US working with Islamabad to ensure that there is no further large scale terror attack on India emanating from Pakistan, two top American experts George Perkovich and Ashley Tellis told members of the powerful Senate Armed Services Committee Subcommittee on Strategic Forces during a hearing yesterday.

    “South Asia is the most likely place nuclear weapons could be detonated in the foreseeable future. This risk derives from the unusual dynamic of the India-Pakistan competition,” said Perkovich, vice president for Studies Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

    “The next major terrorist attack in India, emanating from Pakistan, may trigger an Indian conventional military riposte that could in turn prompt Pakistan to use battlefield nuclear weapons to repel an Indian incursion. India, for its part, has declared that it would inflict massive retaliation in response to any nuclear use against its territory or troops,” he said.

    “Obviously, this threatening dynamic whereby terrorism may prompt conventional conflict which may prompt nuclear war – challenges Indian and Pakistan policy-makers. India and Pakistan both tend to downplay or dismiss the potential for escalation, but our own history of close nuclear calls should make US officials more alert to these dangers. The US is the only outside power that could intervene diplomatically and forcefully to de-escalate a crisis,” Perkovich said.

    Tellis said the most useful US contribution towards preventing a Pakistani use of nuclear weapons in such a scenario and the Indian nuclear retribution that would result thereafter would be to press Pakistan to exit the terrorism business or risk being left alone (or, even worse, the object of sanctions) if a major Indian military response ensues in the aftermath of any pernicious terrorist attack.

    “Other than this, there is little that the United States can do to preserve deterrence stability between two asymmetrically-sized states where the gap in power promises to become even wider tomorrow than it is today,” he said.

    Both the experts, who are from the Carnegie, told members of the Senate sub-committee that Pakistan today has more nuclear weapons than that of India.

    Major terror attack against India could trigger nuclear war: Experts | idrw.org
     
  2. root

    root FULL MEMBER

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    I don't think nukes will be used by any country it is just big mouth talk both countries are not going to use nuclear weapons.
     
  3. Diggy

    Diggy BANNED

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    upload_2015-2-26_19-45-21.jpeg
     
  4. TejasMk3

    TejasMk3 FULL MEMBER

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    *yawn*
     
  5. Ind4Ever

    Ind4Ever BANNED

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    I don't think so . ANYWAY PA can't handle IA invasion . SO IT MIGHT use nukes . But it will be very foolish . Retaliation could be unimaginable . Giving the size of Pakistan . But India will suffer too . It is what it is.
     
  6. root

    root FULL MEMBER

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    Yeah nukes will be last option in case of full scale war.
     
  7. Mrc

    Mrc ELITE MEMBER

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    I think saying india will suffer too is putting it very softly ....
    People who survive the blast probably will die of radiation and hunger
     
  8. Chinese-Dragon

    Chinese-Dragon PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    That is true.

    South Asia carries by far the highest risk of nuclear war compared to any other place on the planet.

    The consequences of such a situation could be catastrophic.
     
  9. Rain

    Rain FULL MEMBER

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    Creating hype again, very poor act, as two countries are starting dialogue, such hype will only benefit TTP/AlQaeda etc,
     
  10. coffee_cup

    coffee_cup SENIOR MEMBER

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    The funny thing is that the cross-border terrorism by india is completely ignored by these so called experts.

    India is playing this dirty game quite nicely, crying wolf but at the same time carrying all sorts of major terrorist acts in Pakistan and sponsoring terrorism in other neighboring countries as well.

    If anything this act of terrorism by india is the major threat to the region and world peace. Hopefully some saner indian minds will realize this soon.
     
  11. A$HU

    A$HU FULL MEMBER

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    Yes you are right South Asia does carry by far the highest risk of nuclear war compared to any other place on the planet but that probability is still minuscule.
     
  12. Armstrong

    Armstrong PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    I was looking forward to living in a post-apocalyptic world ! :(

    Einstein-nuclear-explosion-619402[1].png
     
  13. AnnoyingOrange

    AnnoyingOrange BANNED

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    Thats' what Pakistani Military establishment has been trying to tell the world...without showing any proof.. or with a proof that is not good enough. A typical ostrich syndrome thats' plaguing PAkistanis for 3 generations.
     
  14. MilSpec

    MilSpec PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    "The next major terrorist attack in India, emanating from Pakistan, may trigger an Indian conventional military riposte".....if No Pakistani terror, then no Indian riposte, then no pak tac nukes, no ind retaliatory full blown nukes......
     
  15. COLDHEARTED AVIATOR

    COLDHEARTED AVIATOR BANNED

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    These western experts think that only they are sane enough to possess nuclear weapons.

    Rest everyone is just gonna use it like crazy in a war.