• Monday, June 17, 2019

Indonesians to vote in world’s biggest single-day election

Discussion in 'China & Far East' started by Indos, Apr 15, 2019.

  1. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    Reuters
    April 15, 2019
    [​IMG]Indonesia’s presidential candidate Joko Widodo shakes hands with his opponent Prabowo Subianto as their running mates Ma’ruf Amin and Sandiaga Uno smile after a televised debate in Jakarta, Indonesia January 17, 2019.

    Tens of millions of Indonesians will vote in presidential and parliamentary elections this week after campaigns focused on the economy, but with political Islam looming ever larger in the world’s biggest Muslim-majority nation.

    President Joko Widodo, a former furniture salesman who launched his political career as a small-city mayor, is standing for re-election in a contest with ex-general Prabowo Subianto, whom he narrowly defeated in 2014.

    Most opinion polls give Widodo a double-digit lead but the opposition has disputed survey findings. It has also said it has uncovered data irregularities affecting millions on the electoral rolls and has vowed to take legal action or use “people power” if its complaints are not resolved

    Read also: Indonesia’s Widodo seeks a second term, rural voters have some doubts

    Some analysts say an unexpected win for the challenger would probably cause a brief slump in Indonesian markets, while a very close race could elevate the risk of a disputed vote.

    “In a scenario in which Widodo wins by an unexpectedly narrow margin, large and prolonged protests in Jakarta would elevate tensions and pressure the currency,” Kevin O’Rourke, a political analyst and author of Reformasi Weekly, said in the Indonesia-focused newsletter last week.

    While most polls have put the president ahead, they could not be taken for granted, a senior government official said.

    “Absolutely everybody is flying blind because we don’t know how far the opinion polls can be respected,” said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

    Widodo ended his six-month campaign with a mass rally at Jakarta’s main stadium at the weekend, where festive crowds overflowed into a surrounding park and streets.

    Running out on stage in sneakers, to the cheers of the crowd after an hours-long concert by local bands, he struck an optimistic tone for the future of the world’s third-largest democracy.

    That was a stark contrast to his opponent, who has repeatedly warned Indonesia is on the verge of collapse.

    Prabowo, as he is usually known, held a similarly big rally the previous weekend where supporters, many dressed in Islamic robes, held a mass prayer before a fiery speech about how Indonesia was being pillaged by foreigners and the elite.

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    Widodo has touted a record infrastructure drive and deregulation as major successes during his tenure, calling it a first step to tackle inequality and poverty in Southeast Asia’s biggest economy.

    [​IMG]

    In a televised weekend debate, Widodo and his running mate, Islamic cleric Ma’ruf Amin, said their opponents, neither of whom has served in public office for more than a few months, did not understand managing macrolevel economics.

    Widodo, a moderate Muslim from central Java, has had to burnish his Islamic credentials after smear campaigns and hoax stories accused him of being anti-Islam, a communist or too close to China, all politically damaging in Indonesia.

    Prabowo, who has close links to some hardline Islamist groups, and his running mate, business tycoon Sandiaga Uno, have pledged to boost the economy by slashing taxes as much as 8 percentage points, and focus on key infrastructure projects.

    Read also: Indonesian former general fires up masses in second run at presidency

    Nearly 500,000 police and military will fan out across the vast archipelago to safeguard the vote. In Jakarta, the capital, officers will guard polling station to deter voter intimidation or clashes, national police spokesman Dedi Prasetyo said.

    More than 192 million will also vote in national and regional legislative elections, being contested by more than 245,000 candidates, in what is being described as the world’s biggest single-day election.

    Overseas voting is already underway, with thousands lining up outside Indonesian missions in Singapore and Australia.

    On Wednesday, polling stations will open at 7 a.m. (2200 GMT Tuesday) in eastern Indonesia and close at 1 p.m. (0600 GMT) on the western side of the country.

    Voters will manually punch five separate paper ballots for president and vice president, and legislative candidates.

    Unofficial “quick counts”, based on vote samples from polling stations, will be released hours after polling ends and the winning presidential candidate is expected to be apparent by late Wednesday.

    The General Election Commission is expected to announce an official result in May.

    Candidates have 72 hours after the official result to complain to the Constitutional Court. A nine-judge panel has 14 days to reach a decision, which cannot be appealed.

    https://www.businessinsider.sg/indonesians-to-vote-in-worlds-biggest-single-day-election/
     
  2. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    Voting has already been underway overseas

    Voting in Hongkong

     
  3. Mamadouso

    Mamadouso FULL MEMBER

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    Isn’t the US still the biggest single day election? US population - 320m Indonesia 273m
     
  4. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    The turn out voter in US is only 49.3 percent of the voting-eligible population.

    Correction. Indonesian Population is about 240 million
     
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  5. Marine Rouge

    Marine Rouge ELITE MEMBER

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    PSI got better result than i am expected
     
  6. katarabhumi

    katarabhumi FULL MEMBER

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    Those are surveys.. The real count only begin in April 17th, all simultaneously, domestic and overseas.

    .
     
  7. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    Yes, you are right, my bad
     
  8. Menthol

    Menthol FULL MEMBER

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    Jokowi seems to win.

    People who choose Prabowo mostly are Civil Servant, as Jokowi never increase their salary. Second are businessman who dissatisfaction with Jokowi's tax policy.

    But overall, Jokowi is a very good president.
     
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  9. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    The survey institution seems not credible, not included in KPU. In other Exit Poll even Prabowo who won, so better to wait until Quick Count result is published by credible source.
     
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  10. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    Yes, Jokowi has plus and minus but overall is OK. Prabowo and Sandi on the other hand try to get votes by promising popular policy like significant increase of civil servants wage, lower electricity cost, lower tax etc which is not good for Indonesia economy in the long run.

    I hope the strategy to get votes by promising popular policy will be disappeared in our next election, so that our democracy can be a really productive system and pro growth. Popular policy to get vote in our democracy is started by Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.
     
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  11. Marine Rouge

    Marine Rouge ELITE MEMBER

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    Better to take care bpjs, build more infrastructure in villages and rural areas, bring Jakarta standard education level in rural areas and provinces, dismantle dynasty practices among politician and so on
     
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  12. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    Quick-count results to be revealed 2 hours after polls close: MK
    • Marguerite Afra Sapiie
      The Jakarta Post
    Jakarta / Tue, April 16, 2019 / 06:14 pm
    [​IMG]Constitutional Court Presiding Justice Anwar Usman (center) flanked by (from left) justices Suhartoyo, Aswanto, Arief Hidayat and Enny Nurbaningsih leads a hearing to decide about the restriction of election quick-count results on Tuesday. (Antara/Galid Pradipta)

    Pollsters are allowed to publish their quick counting results of the 2019 election two hours after polls in western Indonesia close on Wednesday, the Constitutional Court (MK) has declared.

    In a ruling on Tuesday, the nine-panel bench rejected a judicial review petition filed by the Indonesian Public Opinion Research Association (AROPI) challenging Article 449, paragraph 5, of the 2017 Elections Law.

    The court said it would uphold the provision to protect the voting rights of all Indonesians. This means that pollsters will only be allowed to reveal quick-count results at 3 p.m. western Indonesia time (WIB) or Jakarta time.

    Justice Enny Nurbaningsih pointed out that Indonesia had three different time zones, and a two-hour difference between eastern Indonesia and Jakarta meant that voters living in the latter region would be casting their ballots earlier. And if pollsters were to release their data in real time, she added, quick counts would be made public before many voters in western Indonesia even had the chance to arrive at polling stations, which will be open from 7 a.m. to 1 p.m.

    “Because of advanced digital technology, it is much easier now to broadcast quick-count results. But this can potentially influence voters [who have yet to cast their ballots],” Enny said while reading out the ruling on Tuesday.

    In the petition, AROPI argued that the provision contradicted the 1945 Constitution because it crippled the right to access and deliver information.

    However, Enny countered that the provision did not violate people’s rights as it only delayed the release of early vote-counting results by two hours. The delay, she added, aimed at protecting the right to vote and ensuring a free and fair election.

    The ruling on Tuesday marked the first time since 2009 that the court restricted the release of quick-count results. In 2014 and 2009, the court annulled similar provisions stipulated in the 2012 Elections Law and 2008 Elections Law, respectively.

    Justice Saldi Isra, however, argued that there was no restriction for the court to change its stance, especially when the reversal was in line with efforts to protect the constitutional rights of voters.

    https://www.thejakartapost.com/news...be-revealed-2-hours-after-polls-close-mk.html
     
  13. Indos

    Indos PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST

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    Voting closed, counting underway

    Sandiaga Uno and his wife after voting
    [​IMG]