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India’s bid for ‘second strike capability’ to put pressure on Pakistan, says SPD official

Devil Soul

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India’s bid for ‘second strike capability’ to put pressure on Pakistan, says SPD official
THE NEWSPAPER'S STAFF REPORTER — UPDATED 18 MINUTES AGO
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ISLAMABAD: Indian moves towards ‘second strike capability’ would compel Pakistan to follow suit, says an official of Strategic Plans Division (SPD), which serves as the secretariat of National Command Authority.

“Development of second strike capability … would put pressure on Pakistan to take remedial measures and develop its own version of the capability,” the official said while speaking at a round-table discussion on ‘Growing Challenges to Strategic Stability in South Asia’ organised by the Centre for International Strategic Studies (CISS).

The reported successful testing of nuclear-capable K-4 Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) by India last month from its nuclear-powered INS Arihant has taken India closer to what is described as second-strike capability” in nuclear deterrence.

The second strike provides a military the capability to hit back at an enemy in a situation where its land-based nuclear arsenal had been neutralised.

Speakers at the CISS round-table discussion say that the reported SLBM tests by India will impact the delicate strategic balance of the region
Pakistan had reacted to the testing of SLBM by saying it was a worrisome development for the region.

A statement issued by the Foreign Office had said: “The reported Indian tests of a Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM) and development of a nuclear submarine fleet are serious developments, which impact the delicate strategic balance of the region. It has resulted in the nuclearisation of the Indian Ocean.”

Suggesting that Pakistan could have already moved in that direction, the SPD official, who was speaking at the CISS, recalled that Pakistan set up its Naval Strategic Force Command (NSFC) in 2012.

At the time of the commissioning of NSFC Headquarters, the Inter-Services Public Relations said that it “will perform a pivotal role in development and employment of the Naval Strategic Force. The Force, which is the custodian of the nation’s 2nd strike capability, will strengthen Pakistan’s policy of Credible Minimum Deterrence and ensure regional stability”.

Former defence secretary retired Lt Gen Naeem Khalid Lodhi had claimed last year that Pakistan possessed second strike capability against India.

However, defence analysts had questioned the claim, saying that Pakistan was yet to achieve submarine-based ‘assured second strike capability’ for stable deterrence.

The SPD official, speaking about India’s development of anti-ballistic missiles, said it could give its military planners ‘false sense of security’ while contemplating military action against Pakistan.

He said up-gradation of military hardware by India for operationalising Cold Start Doctrine; building a variety of nuclear capable missiles ranging from tactical weapons to inter-continental ballistic missiles, enabling of its nuclear triad; acquisition and up-gradation of aircraft carrier fleet and nuclear submarines were all worrisome developments that would destabilise the nuclear stability.

Alongside these, the official said, India was also disturbing sub-conventional stability by shifting Pakistan military’s orientation from external to internal security challenges by using its intelligence agencies.

Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal of the Quaid-i-Azam University believes that it would be wishful to think of strategic stability in the region as long as mistrust existed between India and Pakistan.

He said although there was imbalance of power between India and Pakistan, but still ‘balance of terror’ (due to modernisation of weaponry) was sustaining a semblance of strategic stability in the region.

Dr Riffat Hussain, a professor at NUST, was of the view that any additional military capability acquired by India would hurt Pakistan.

CISS Executive Director Ambassador Ali Sarwar Naqvi said that Pakistan needed to closely watch the India-US strategic partnership, especially in the context of the upcoming Logistic Support Agreement (LSA) and accordingly assess its policy options. LSA is to be signed later this year between India and the US.

The prospects of conflict between the two nuclear armed rivals have only increased due to absence of an institutional dialogue process and deliberate escalation by India both by covert and overt instruments against Pakistan, he added.

Published in Dawn, May 15th, 2016


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navtrek

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But can Pakistan really neutralize India's land attack capability ?? India is too big for Pakistan to be thinking of Nuclear exchange.

And if you guys target the whole of India then the damage would just end the world. How many missiles can the world take already we have so much global warming.

Instead of concentrating on peaceful negotiations we do everything else.
 

Immortan.Joe

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SLCM Babur is pretty much a reality.. And NSC - custodian of second strike capability is the confirmation..
So you have a missile which you have not tested even once, which need specialized VLS submarines for firing or extreme miniaturization with corresponding reduction in range to be accommodated in Torpedo tubes, is pretty much a reality!

There is no tax on daydreaming.

Except it is not.
Billi ke Khwab mein chichde.
 

Sliver

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Second strike capability is not limited to sea,it can be ground based too.
not quite. An "assured" second strike capability is ability to strike back the enemy even after the enemy has hit you at all your land based nuclear installations.
The thinking is that you annihilate all the nuclear sites as well as economic centers of a country so they wont be able to strike back (at least not immediately) and hence you are assured of victory.
A submarine is hard to detect and hit and so a nuclear tipped missile from those are something you will need to factor in for an attack.
Its not impossible to try and strike a sub. It just very difficult and time/resource consuming process. It makes the first nuclear strike a whole lot more expensive and risky.
 

باپ

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not quite. An "assured" second strike capability is ability to strike back the enemy even after the enemy has hit you at all your land based nuclear installations.
The thinking is that you annihilate all the nuclear sites as well as economic centers of a country so they wont be able to strike back (at least not immediately) and hence you are assured of victory.
A submarine is hard to detect and hit and so a nuclear tipped missile from those are something you will need to factor in for an attack.
Its not impossible to try and strike a sub. It just very difficult and time/resource consuming process. It makes the first nuclear strike a whole lot more expensive and risky.
That's a USA vs USSR based scenario and does not apply on India vs Pakistan.
USA and USSR both had 10,000 megatons each of nuclear strike power and could scorch each and every inch of the other.
Compared to that Pakistan and India have hardly 5 megaton each.
Now do your maths
 

Sliver

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That's a USA vs USSR based scenario and does not apply on India vs Pakistan.
USA and USSR both had 10,000 megatons each of nuclear strike power and could scorch each and every inch of the other.
Compared to that Pakistan and India have hardly 5 megaton each.
Now do your maths
sorry I am quoting your post instead of just tagging you. I do not know how to tag your name as its not in english.

it doesnt matter how many mega tons of nuclear power you have. it only matter if you can "Assuredly" take down the opposite country's nuclear weapons and weapon making facilities as well as nuclear weapons delivery mechanisms from that country.
In fact, having a smaller stockpile makes it even more vulnerable. If you knew which cities in India house those facilities, sending a bunch of cruise missiles will take those down (hypothetically speaking) and then no matter how much India tries, without a nuclear based weapon. conventional forces will not be able to withstand a nuclear threat.

Having a sub that can deliver nuclear weapons makes the assurances even more dependable.
 

Strigon

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But can Pakistan really neutralize India's land attack capability ?? India is too big for Pakistan to be thinking of Nuclear exchange.

And if you guys target the whole of India then the damage would just end the world. How many missiles can the world take already we have so much global warming.

Instead of concentrating on peaceful negotiations we do everything else.

Whole India is not required. 1 nuke can seriously deteriorate world climate, radiation is sure to spread around effecting neighborhood areas. acid rains, steep decline in world food supply. Most of all, no one says there will only be 1 exchange from any side but multiple. Moreover world powers might end both countries as well before they create a crater too deep.
 

Mrc

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So you have a missile which you have not tested even once, which need specialized VLS submarines for firing or extreme miniaturization with corresponding reduction in range to be accommodated in Torpedo tubes, is pretty much a reality!

There is no tax on daydreaming.



Billi ke Khwab mein chichde.

My understanding is the 8 new chinese subs are for 2nd strike purpose
 

Photon

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That's a USA vs USSR based scenario and does not apply on India vs Pakistan.
USA and USSR both had 10,000 megatons each of nuclear strike power and could scorch each and every inch of the other.
Compared to that Pakistan and India have hardly 5 megaton each.
Now do your maths
Except both USA and Soviet union are 20 times the Size of Pakistan( to hide those nukes), had vast SSBN fleets , and had enough nukes to destroy this earth a fifty times over.
 

SrNair

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India’s bid for ‘second strike capability’ to put pressure on Pakistan, says SPD official
THE NEWSPAPER'S STAFF REPORTER — UPDATED 18 MINUTES AGO
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ISLAMABAD: Indian moves towards ‘second strike capability’ would compel Pakistan to follow suit, says an official of Strategic Plans Division (SPD), which serves as the secretariat of National Command Authority.

“Development of second strike capability … would put pressure on Pakistan to take remedial measures and develop its own version of the capability,” the official said while speaking at a round-table discussion on ‘Growing Challenges to Strategic Stability in South Asia’ organised by the Centre for International Strategic Studies (CISS).

The reported successful testing of nuclear-capable K-4 Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) by India last month from its nuclear-powered INS Arihant has taken India closer to what is described as second-strike capability” in nuclear deterrence.

The second strike provides a military the capability to hit back at an enemy in a situation where its land-based nuclear arsenal had been neutralised.

Speakers at the CISS round-table discussion say that the reported SLBM tests by India will impact the delicate strategic balance of the region
Pakistan had reacted to the testing of SLBM by saying it was a worrisome development for the region.

A statement issued by the Foreign Office had said: “The reported Indian tests of a Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM) and development of a nuclear submarine fleet are serious developments, which impact the delicate strategic balance of the region. It has resulted in the nuclearisation of the Indian Ocean.”

Suggesting that Pakistan could have already moved in that direction, the SPD official, who was speaking at the CISS, recalled that Pakistan set up its Naval Strategic Force Command (NSFC) in 2012.

At the time of the commissioning of NSFC Headquarters, the Inter-Services Public Relations said that it “will perform a pivotal role in development and employment of the Naval Strategic Force. The Force, which is the custodian of the nation’s 2nd strike capability, will strengthen Pakistan’s policy of Credible Minimum Deterrence and ensure regional stability”.

Former defence secretary retired Lt Gen Naeem Khalid Lodhi had claimed last year that Pakistan possessed second strike capability against India.

However, defence analysts had questioned the claim, saying that Pakistan was yet to achieve submarine-based ‘assured second strike capability’ for stable deterrence.

The SPD official, speaking about India’s development of anti-ballistic missiles, said it could give its military planners ‘false sense of security’ while contemplating military action against Pakistan.

He said up-gradation of military hardware by India for operationalising Cold Start Doctrine; building a variety of nuclear capable missiles ranging from tactical weapons to inter-continental ballistic missiles, enabling of its nuclear triad; acquisition and up-gradation of aircraft carrier fleet and nuclear submarines were all worrisome developments that would destabilise the nuclear stability.

Alongside these, the official said, India was also disturbing sub-conventional stability by shifting Pakistan military’s orientation from external to internal security challenges by using its intelligence agencies.

Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal of the Quaid-i-Azam University believes that it would be wishful to think of strategic stability in the region as long as mistrust existed between India and Pakistan.

He said although there was imbalance of power between India and Pakistan, but still ‘balance of terror’ (due to modernisation of weaponry) was sustaining a semblance of strategic stability in the region.

Dr Riffat Hussain, a professor at NUST, was of the view that any additional military capability acquired by India would hurt Pakistan.

CISS Executive Director Ambassador Ali Sarwar Naqvi said that Pakistan needed to closely watch the India-US strategic partnership, especially in the context of the upcoming Logistic Support Agreement (LSA) and accordingly assess its policy options. LSA is to be signed later this year between India and the US.

The prospects of conflict between the two nuclear armed rivals have only increased due to absence of an institutional dialogue process and deliberate escalation by India both by covert and overt instruments against Pakistan, he added.

Published in Dawn, May 15th, 2016


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Of Course .
Fact there is no 'balance' such thing in South Asia .Game was already over in 1971.
Be it economy,military ,technology or diplomacy India is several times powerful than anyothers in South Asia .In fact except China noone in Asia can compete simultaneously in all these field.

Pakistan can develop second strike capability .But it will only succeeds in satisfying your ego , false sense of security and draining hard earned money .
 
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tsinga

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That's their problem. Not ours.

We will build multiple SSBN's and SSN's and full fledged 11,000 km ranged ICBM's.
 

mikkix

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The Day bangladesh divided is the day Pakistan lost all future wars with india including second or third strike capability.
For second strike pakistan needs afghanistan land or indonesian or malaysian land.
Anyway India is too strong for Pakistan and china will take care of it. What Pakistan do is to multiply its economy hard and fast enough to boost its defence in future because all Pakistan can do is to prepare for the future wars and work silently in the present by not meddling in india affairs. But the problem is india will definitely meddle and for that use china to counter the balance.
Pakistan army and defense strategist needs to learn chess and implement its scenarios in real world.
 

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