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India mocked Pakistan over a surprise airstrike, but now it looks like an embarrassing failure

Areesh

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India and Pakistan have been trading blows since a February 16 terror attack in Kashmir killed 40 India troops, but updated battle-damage reports indicate India's retaliation fell well short of achieving anything.

Following the terror attack, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said his country's blood boiled and blamed Pakistan for harboring the terror group that had struck.

Modi unleashed his military to strike back at Pakistan as they saw fit, in what one expert called an "abdication of political power."

India's military retaliation took the form of a surprise strike in the dead of night with Mirage 2000 jet fighters breaching Pakistan's airspace and bombing just miles away from the country's military academies.

Immediately after the bombing, Indian forces said they killed 300 members of the terror group with 2,000-pound bombs, and Indians around the country broke into celebrations.

Pakistan, for its part, said India missed and had been chased off. One sound bite from Pakistan's defense minister, in which he blamed the nighttime for a delayed response, brought intense mockery from the Indian side.

But new evidence suggests that Pakistan was right, and India had outright failed to hit anything worthwhile.

No damage

Images from Planet Labs, which show details as small as 72 cm, don't show the alleged terrorist training site as having sustained any damage at all.

Reuters reporters toured the area late last month and interviewed people in the surrounding area. They found no evidence of anyone being killed or hurt.


"It does appear there was a strike in the vicinity of the camp, but it looks like it largely missed," Omar Lamrani, a military analyst at the geopolitical consulting firm Stratfor, told Business Insider.


Some Indian officials said the munitions entered through the roof and detonated inside, but according to Lamrani, that "doesn't pass the smell test."

Indian officials told Reuters they used 2,000-pound Israel-made SPICE 2000 glide bombs in the attack. According to Lamrani and other experts, there's simply no way that bomb could hit its target and cause such little damage.

Instead, Pakistan showed craters just a few hundred yards short of the camp with rubble, which may have been from Indian missiles. For whatever reason, India missed its big attack by a hair.

India's best?


India's Mirage 2000 fleet carries the country's nuclear weapons, meaning the aircraft are prioritized and have some of the best reliability rates in the fleet. Often, countries put their better pilots in nuclear-capable aircraft to ensure mission readiness.

"I think they were trying to go with some of their most capable precision-guided munitions," said Lamrani, adding that the pilots were "probably some of their best."

"But I'm a bit stumped as to why they missed," he continued. "It could be simply a pilot error, but it could speak to the status of the Indian air force."

A source told India's The Print that strong winds caused the Indian jets to cross into Pakistan's actual airspace to drop the bombs, but that also strains reason. Bombs dropped from that altitude always face strong winds.

Ultimately, nobody is sure how India blew a surprise attack that seemed to legitimately catch Pakistan off guard.

Aftermath


Since the attack, fighting continued and saw the loss of an Indian fighter jet to Pakistani forces. Pakistan released the captured pilot and offered an olive branch by saying it would help India investigate the terror incident.

But India has made more unsubstantiated claims of victories. India said it downed a Pakistani jet but has yet to produce any evidence.

Nationalism is on the rise in both India and Pakistan, bitter rivals who have fought three wars since 1947. Each country has online militias bent on stoking nationalism, pushing politicians to hardline responses, and goading each other on military matters.

As the world looks on and hopes the nuclear nations can deescalate the fighting, India may have to accept the humiliation of a failed strike.


https://www.businessinsider.com/ind...ntent=topbar&utm_term=mobile&referrer=twitter
 

Imran Khan

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India mocked Pakistan over a surprise airstrike, but now it looks like an embarrassing failure
Alex Lockie
10h



A civil-defense team member removes the wreckage of an Indian air force MiG-21 Bison aircraft after it crashed on August 24, 2015.
REUTERS/Danish Ismail
  • India and Pakistan have been trading blows since a February 16 terror attack in Kashmir killed 40 Indian troops, but updated battle-damage reports indicate India may have totally blown a surprise attack.
  • India sent some of its best jets and pilots to bomb a suspected terrorist training camp in Pakistan, and new satellite imagery shows they missed.
  • After the strike, India burst into celebration and taunted Pakistan, but there's no evidence India accomplished anything at all.
  • India and Pakistan are bitter rivals that frequently mock each other, so this could be a black eye for India.


India and Pakistan have been trading blows since a February 16 terror attack in Kashmir killed 40 India troops, but updated battle-damage reports indicate India's retaliation fell well short of achieving anything.

Following the terror attack, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said his country's blood boiled and blamed Pakistan for harboring the terror group that had struck.

Modi unleashed his military to strike back at Pakistan as they saw fit, in what one expert called an "abdication of political power."

India's military retaliation took the form of a surprise strike in the dead of night with Mirage 2000 jet fighters breaching Pakistan's airspace and bombing just miles away from the country's military academies.

Immediately after the bombing, Indian forces said they killed 300 members of the terror group with 2,000-pound bombs, and Indians around the country broke into celebrations.

Read more: India and Pakistan came to blows over Kashmir again, but the 70-year conflict is about much more than a border dispute

Pakistan, for its part, said India missed and had been chased off. One sound bite from Pakistan's defense minister, in which he blamed the nighttime for a delayed response, brought intense mockery from the Indian side.

But new evidence suggests that Pakistan was right, and India had outright failed to hit anything worthwhile.

No damage

A satellite image shows a madrasa near Balakot, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Pakistan, on March 4, 2019.
Planet Labs Inc./Handout via REUTERS
Images from Planet Labs, which show details as small as 72 cm, don't show the alleged terrorist training site as having sustained any damage at all.

Reuters reporters toured the area late last month and interviewed people in the surrounding area. They found no evidence of anyone being killed or hurt.

"It does appear there was a strike in the vicinity of the camp, but it looks like it largely missed," Omar Lamrani, a military analyst at the geopolitical consulting firm Stratfor, told Business Insider.

Read more: New photos offer more evidence that India's airstrikes on Pakistan didn't hit anything

Some Indian officials said the munitions entered through the roof and detonated inside, but according to Lamrani, that "doesn't pass the smell test."

Indian officials told Reuters they used 2,000-pound Israel-made SPICE 2000 glide bombs in the attack. According to Lamrani and other experts, there's simply no way that bomb could hit its target and cause such little damage.

Instead, Pakistan showed craters just a few hundred yards short of the camp with rubble, which may have been from Indian missiles. For whatever reason, India missed its big attack by a hair.

India's best?

An Indian air force Mirage 2000.
Public Domain
India's Mirage 2000 fleet carries the country's nuclear weapons, meaning the aircraft are prioritized and have some of the best reliability rates in the fleet. Often, countries put their better pilots in nuclear-capable aircraft to ensure mission readiness.

"I think they were trying to go with some of their most capable precision-guided munitions," said Lamrani, adding that the pilots were "probably some of their best."

"But I'm a bit stumped as to why they missed," he continued. "It could be simply a pilot error, but it could speak to the status of the Indian air force."

A source told India's The Print that strong winds caused the Indian jets to cross into Pakistan's actual airspace to drop the bombs, but that also strains reason. Bombs dropped from that altitude always face strong winds.

Ultimately, nobody is sure how India blew a surprise attack that seemed to legitimately catch Pakistan off guard.

Aftermath

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi pays tribute to Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) personnel who were killed after a suicide bomber rammed a car into their bus.
India's Press Information Bureau/Handout via REUTERS
Since the attack, fighting continued and saw the loss of an Indian fighter jet to Pakistani forces. Pakistan released the captured pilot and offered an olive branch by saying it would help India investigate the terror incident.

But India has made more unsubstantiated claims of victories. India said it downed a Pakistani jet but has yet to produce any evidence.

Nationalism is on the rise in both India and Pakistan, bitter rivals who have fought three wars since 1947. Each country has online militias bent on stoking nationalism, pushing politicians to hardline responses, and goading each other on military matters.

As the world looks on and hopes the nuclear nations can deescalate the fighting, India may have to accept the humiliation of a failed strike.
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Salza

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Embarrassment and humiliation after Pakistani strike. Indian credibility goes to zero moving forward.
 

Nilu Pule

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If you think Modi is this stupid, you don't understand how a Bania's brain work.

This was all a show to win elections and kill controversy around shady Rafael deal.

Do you think all the bad publicity Mirages have recieved, is all a mere coincidence?

Modi has more excuses to enter into shady arms deal in his 2nd term.

Be ready for some more scripted fireweors before elections.
 

Nilu Pule

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world did not start and end on bhakts
To be humiliated. You need to feel humiliated. Bhakts and other Indians don't fuel humiliated they believe Modi and IAF.

Only if Pakistan Airforce crosses and bombs and kills 300 Indians for realz. Then only you can bring in humiliation.
 

Imran Khan

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To be humiliated. You need to feel humiliated. Bhakts and other Indians don't fuel humiliated they believe Modi and IAF.

Only if Pakistan Airforce crosses and bombs and kills 300 Indians for realz. Then only you can bring in humiliation.
hahaahh if someone have no sense we can not give him one . let them enjoy lalaland
 

Imran Khan

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Indians are lovely bunch of people. We are black, short and ugly compared to our Pakistani counterparts. But we have golden hearts.

Why do you want to humiliate us? You should not bully the weak. I mean were already physically disadvantaged. It's like Ryan Gosling bullying a fat, short and ugly man to feed his ego. That's not right.
i did not say this for me all humans are equal . but if indians can make a losser like abhi a hero what else we can expect from them
 

R Wing

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How is it a humiliation?

Bhakts think that modi ji killed 300 pakstanis in air strikes.

They don't buy your narrative.
Modi/govt sources will eventually have to blurt out the truth as opposition pressure for proof increases. Some BJP ministers have already said that it was "just a warning."
 

Nilu Pule

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i did not say this for me all humans are equal . but if indians can make a losser like abhi a hero what else we can expect from them
That's your perception. Not a fact.

Losers don't join airforce and risk their lives.
His plane crashed in enemy territory. What do you expect him to do? Kill all Pakistanis with his bare hands to make him a winner.

He is hero for many because he risked his life for the nation and they themselves couldn't do it.

Winston Churchill the geonicdal maniac is a hero for many British. He is hated by Indians.

A hero to one. And a villian to another one.

It's all perception

Modi/govt sources will eventually have to blurt out the truth as opposition pressure for proof increases. Some BJP ministers have already said that it was "just a warning."
See there you go wrong. If they do that, they will not only lose the elections but even their party will collapse.

Opposition raising doubts gives them the perfect opportunity to tag them as antinational and isi agents. This is how politics work.

Modi can always come with a filmy dialogue. Doubt me all you want? But how can you doubt integrity of our armed forces.

South Asians are emotional fools. Rationality is frowned upon. So it will work.
 

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