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India confident Kabul won’t fall to Taliban, is moving on ‘multiple tracks’ on Afghanistan

ziaulislam

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India confident Kabul won’t fall to Taliban, is moving on ‘multiple tracks’ on Afghanistan
NAYANIMA BASU
26 July, 2021 9:27 pm IST

New Delhi: India is “confident” that Kabul “will not fall to the Taliban” even though it believes the security situation in Afghanistan is going to deteriorate further and become “more dangerous” in the next two-three months as the insurgents begin to attack urban centres, ThePrint has learnt.

According to sources, New Delhi’s assessment of the rapidly changing situation in Afghanistan is that the Taliban are currently waiting for the “complete withdrawal” of US and other NATO troops by 31 August.


After that, New Delhi believes, the Taliban fighters in Afghanistan are going to escalate their level of violence, and “focus on urban areas”.

The Taliban, sources said, are eyeing the takeover of some key provinces and cities to strengthen their positions in Kandahar, Helmund, Ghazni and Jalalabad, among other areas.

Besides this, sources added, the Taliban are looking to take over border checkpoints as they serve the twin purposes of revenue earning as well as control. Sher Khan Bandar, the border crossing with Tajikistan, and Spin Boldak, along the Afghan-Pakistan border, have witnessed massive violence by the Taliban.

However, the Taliban, sources said, would not “like to be seen” as “taking control by force” in their quest for “legitimacy” from the international community, which is the reason why they are sending delegations to Turkey, Uzbekistan, Russia and Iran.

With the Taliban having captured 45 per cent of the country in the churn triggered by the US-NATO withdrawal, their rapid advance has triggered concerns about its potential impact on the subcontinent and beyond.

Worries about international terrorists fighting alongside the Taliban have been raised as a matter of concern not only by India, but also China, Russia and Uzbekistan, sources said.

India is convinced that the Taliban are receiving “tactical and logistical support from Pakistan”, so New Delhi is keeping an eye on this aspect too.


India, sources said, will discuss all these issues with the US during the visit of Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken, who will be meeting External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar and Prime Minister Narendra Modi on 28 July.

Also Read: Abdullah Abdullah meets Jaishankar as Kabul plans massive retaliation against Taliban


‘Multiple tracks’
In terms of talking to the Taliban as their entry into mainstream politics in Afghanistan becomes imminent, sources said, New Delhi is moving on “multiple tracks” and engaging with “all stakeholders” to the Afghan situation, which includes the Taliban.

As a democracy itself, sources added, India will continue to stand beside the elected government in Afghanistan. However, India sees a power-sharing deal between the Afghan government and the Taliban as the “best case scenario” for long-term stability in the war-torn country.

Sources said this will not be achieved easily since the Doha peace process has almost come to a halt, and multiple power centres have emerged within the Taliban, which they added is not a monolith anymore. Differences have cropped up, they said, among leaders like Mullah Baradar, Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai and Mullah Mohammad Yaqoob.

According to sources, the Taliban are deliberately delaying the peace talks in Doha. Their main demands, they said, are the release of prisoners — about 7,000 of them — from Afghan jails, and getting rid of the global terrorist tag from the United Nations Security Council.

India began engaging with the Taliban, sources said, when External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar participated in the intra-Afghan talks in Doha, which began in September 2020.

India believes the Taliban are supported by Pakistan, with sources saying that the bodies of insurgents who are dying in Afghanistan are being sent across the border while the injured are also going to Pakistan to get treatment before coming back.

This is primarily the reason why Afghan President Ashraf Ghani — during the connectivity event in Uzbekistan earlier this month — indirectly slammed Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan, while they were on the same stage, for not imposing enough restrictions on the movement of terrorists and not doing enough to bring the Taliban to the negotiating table.

India is concerned that terrorists from the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) have joined hands with the Taliban, with sources saying that similar worries dog China and Uzbekistan, with respect to the East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) and the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, respectively.

While Afghan Army chief General Wali Mohammad Ahmadzai postponed his trip this week due to the Taliban’s strengthening offensive, New Delhi sees the Afghanistan National Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF) as being better prepared now to take on the challenge.

While the ANDSF “lost the momentum” initially, they have now changed and reoriented their strategy to counter the Taliban, the sources said.

Forget Kabul, Taliban is so weak that they have failed to take a single one of Afghanistan's 34 provincial capitals.
As long as india can keep training and mi 24
Then yeah talis wont be able to do take over

Unless someone start providing stingers
Never ceases to amaze me how the Indian's messed up the end game in Afgha. They had 20 years and US protection to try and establish themselves and completely f**ked it. Refused to talk to the Taliban and labelled them terrorists. Now end game is here and Pak and China will move in. India left with no options for Central Asia now, even messed the Iranians around with the port and oil imports.

Game over man.
They have 70k causalities to show
No they didnt fail
 

Titanium100

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Then yeah talis wont be able to do take over
No power can deny Taliban at this point.. Absolutely nothing this is over.. Taliban are inside two capitals now the one in Helmand and Kandahar and also the one in Paktia. They will enter the surrounded capitals one by one
 

newb3e

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i just hope Taliban just to fk with india lay siege to Kabul but not fire a bullet and watch Indian media boost how strong Kabul forces are and taliban cant enter Kabul while inside Indian minions piss their pants and eventually surrender!

that would make a good bollywood movie!
 

Daghalodi

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India confident Kabul won’t fall to Taliban, is moving on ‘multiple tracks’ on Afghanistan
NAYANIMA BASU
26 July, 2021 9:27 pm IST

New Delhi: India is “confident” that Kabul “will not fall to the Taliban” even though it believes the security situation in Afghanistan is going to deteriorate further and become “more dangerous” in the next two-three months as the insurgents begin to attack urban centres, ThePrint has learnt.

According to sources, New Delhi’s assessment of the rapidly changing situation in Afghanistan is that the Taliban are currently waiting for the “complete withdrawal” of US and other NATO troops by 31 August.


After that, New Delhi believes, the Taliban fighters in Afghanistan are going to escalate their level of violence, and “focus on urban areas”.

The Taliban, sources said, are eyeing the takeover of some key provinces and cities to strengthen their positions in Kandahar, Helmund, Ghazni and Jalalabad, among other areas.

Besides this, sources added, the Taliban are looking to take over border checkpoints as they serve the twin purposes of revenue earning as well as control. Sher Khan Bandar, the border crossing with Tajikistan, and Spin Boldak, along the Afghan-Pakistan border, have witnessed massive violence by the Taliban.

However, the Taliban, sources said, would not “like to be seen” as “taking control by force” in their quest for “legitimacy” from the international community, which is the reason why they are sending delegations to Turkey, Uzbekistan, Russia and Iran.

With the Taliban having captured 45 per cent of the country in the churn triggered by the US-NATO withdrawal, their rapid advance has triggered concerns about its potential impact on the subcontinent and beyond.

Worries about international terrorists fighting alongside the Taliban have been raised as a matter of concern not only by India, but also China, Russia and Uzbekistan, sources said.

India is convinced that the Taliban are receiving “tactical and logistical support from Pakistan”, so New Delhi is keeping an eye on this aspect too.


India, sources said, will discuss all these issues with the US during the visit of Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken, who will be meeting External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar and Prime Minister Narendra Modi on 28 July.

Also Read: Abdullah Abdullah meets Jaishankar as Kabul plans massive retaliation against Taliban


‘Multiple tracks’
In terms of talking to the Taliban as their entry into mainstream politics in Afghanistan becomes imminent, sources said, New Delhi is moving on “multiple tracks” and engaging with “all stakeholders” to the Afghan situation, which includes the Taliban.

As a democracy itself, sources added, India will continue to stand beside the elected government in Afghanistan. However, India sees a power-sharing deal between the Afghan government and the Taliban as the “best case scenario” for long-term stability in the war-torn country.

Sources said this will not be achieved easily since the Doha peace process has almost come to a halt, and multiple power centres have emerged within the Taliban, which they added is not a monolith anymore. Differences have cropped up, they said, among leaders like Mullah Baradar, Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai and Mullah Mohammad Yaqoob.

According to sources, the Taliban are deliberately delaying the peace talks in Doha. Their main demands, they said, are the release of prisoners — about 7,000 of them — from Afghan jails, and getting rid of the global terrorist tag from the United Nations Security Council.

India began engaging with the Taliban, sources said, when External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar participated in the intra-Afghan talks in Doha, which began in September 2020.

India believes the Taliban are supported by Pakistan, with sources saying that the bodies of insurgents who are dying in Afghanistan are being sent across the border while the injured are also going to Pakistan to get treatment before coming back.

This is primarily the reason why Afghan President Ashraf Ghani — during the connectivity event in Uzbekistan earlier this month — indirectly slammed Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan, while they were on the same stage, for not imposing enough restrictions on the movement of terrorists and not doing enough to bring the Taliban to the negotiating table.

India is concerned that terrorists from the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) have joined hands with the Taliban, with sources saying that similar worries dog China and Uzbekistan, with respect to the East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) and the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, respectively.

While Afghan Army chief General Wali Mohammad Ahmadzai postponed his trip this week due to the Taliban’s strengthening offensive, New Delhi sees the Afghanistan National Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF) as being better prepared now to take on the challenge.

While the ANDSF “lost the momentum” initially, they have now changed and reoriented their strategy to counter the Taliban, the sources said.

Forget Kabul, Taliban is so weak that they have failed to take a single one of Afghanistan's 34 provincial capitals.
What is the name of this bollywood movie??
 

H!TchHiker

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is thsi true?

India gonna fk bad!
banyas *** will be swollen!
Fake news ...as usual sensational ..it's clearly mentioned in there statement plane provided by India not indian force ...it's probably mig heli provided as gift to aghanistan air force ...
India doesn't have courage or not so fool to directly involved themselves ..
 

Sainthood 101

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As long as india can keep training and mi 24
Then yeah talis wont be able to do take over

Unless someone start providing stingers

They have 70k causalities to show
No they didnt fail
Pakistan has something similar to stingers?

If yeah than maybe start pumping it in
 

cloud4000

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An unstable Afghanistan is preferable to India rather than an Afghanistan ruled by the Taliban. Here's to muddying the waters.
 

Trailer23

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Forget Kabul, Taliban is so weak that they have failed to take a single one of Afghanistan's 34 provincial capitals.
You were saying...
An unstable Afghanistan is preferable to India rather than an Afghanistan ruled by the Taliban. Here's to muddying the waters.
Water seems pretty clear from our vantage point.

I guess India will be reminded of The Taliban every year on their Independence Day. Don't worry, we won't let you forget. After all, we've been reminding you of Operation Swift Retort/Surprise Day for two straight years.

@Goritoes @GumNaam @TheSnakeEatingMarkhur @Dalit @Yasser76 @Salza @maverick1977 @Taimoor Khan @CIA Mole @Areesh @Cash GK @newb3e @Daghalodi @ziaulislam @GamoAccu
 
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Cash GK

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You were saying...

Water seems pretty clear from our vantage point.

I guess India will be reminded of The Taliban every year on their Independence Day. Don't worry, we won't let you forget. After all, we've been reminding you of Operation Swift Retort/Surprise Day for two straight years.

@Goritoes @GumNaam @TheSnakeEatingMarkhur @Dalit @Yasser76 @Salza @maverick1977 @Taimoor Khan @CIA Mole @Areesh @Cash GK @newb3e @Daghalodi @ziaulislam @GamoAccu
Nightmare for India.
 
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India confident Kabul won’t fall to Taliban, is moving on ‘multiple tracks’ on Afghanistan ...

Forget Kabul, Taliban is so weak that they have failed to take a single one of Afghanistan's 34 provincial capitals.
abey ye bunda zalil honey ky liye thread banata hai kya hur waqt ? na sirf khud but apney country ka be mazak bunwata hai
 

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