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In Case of India-China War, Outcome Will be Decided Within Hours: Pravin Sawhney

Sep 26, 2018
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Renowned Indian Defence Analyst, Pravin Sawhney has been showing the Indian Military its true STATURE viz a viz China for a while now. Mr Sawhneys who is well respected in India and abroad has been very critical of Indian preparedness and philosophy in dealing with China. Going through his Twitter account, one can gauge the vulnerabilities of the entire Indians war machine. Below are a few quotes he stated today and recently.
1) In case of India-China war, outcome will be decided within hours - this is the reality which should be understood by Indian military.

2) Many think I am bluffing that war with China will be decided in first 12 hours I am an Indian hence worried that Indian military is preparing to fight last 1962 war better.

3) India can only take the Chinese threat seriously if it knows what the threat is. Wasting time, energy & money on theatre commands which will help the PLA. Not the Indian military A hint: War will be determined by its speed where the PLA excels!

4) Defence & security are different as chalk & cheese. Ladakh is defence problem, Indian Ocean Region is security issue. Instead of cooperative strategy to mitigate military threats, Modi gov keen to expand foreign policy across two Oceans without credible shipbuilding capability!

5) A military leader needs to read and reflect upon evolving technologies & how best they could be used in war concepts Not imitate US war concepts which Indian military does PLA thinks & operates asymmetrically - how to win without fighting!

6) The single military lesson of 1999 Kargil conflict was build counter offensive capabilities. Indian military did not do that And, Kargil was abbreviation - it was Indian army & IAF against Pak NLI (then, paramilitary) & irregulars So, coinage of limited war concept was WRONG!

7)China has erected tents on Indian side in Demchok area in East Ladakh reports . This is called grey zone operations backed by credible military muscle Let’s have our analysts writing that Chinese be thrown out!

8) Once gap between Indian & Chinese national power became unbridgeable, Dalai Lama card became liability rather than an asset for India. This simply strategic reality should be clear to India!

9) PLA will fight with synergy in: 1. Information war 2. Informatised war 3. Intelligentised war This is the challenge for Indian military. Rawat’s outdated reforms cannot meet this challenge Hence, stay happy doing counter terror ops which you have done for 30 years!

10) As I say, Indian army created myth of two front war - when they knew it was not doable. IAF & IN followed Now army throws up a lot of rubbish jargon like limited war, border war, salami slicing, first response strategy- to impress themselves You don’t fool PLA with nonsense!

He has hundreds of tweets, narrating the sorry state of affairs of the Indian Army and policymakers. For more follow @PravinSawhney.
 

TOPGUN

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Outcome of this so called war India will loose badly simple as that and will pay a very heavy price for this war.
 

Hakikat ve Hikmet

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Indian politicians and strategists are no fools! A thousand years of history has taught them the Indian military capability is like COW DUNG IN, COW DUNG OUT! Hence, they’ve developed Sheytani based strategies like: fighting Pak till the Last Afgan; BD is the most successful RAW ops; putting NS, AZ, Mafias etc. in power in Pak to kill her from inside etc…

The policies/strategies/tactics etc. of India are like those of Iblis…..

As for Pak, the Indian victory was almost there, but for her Deep State and Deep Nation she got saved as they came back to their senses at the last moment….
 
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CatSultan

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Indian politicians and strategists are no fools! A thousand years of history has taught them the Indian military capability is like COW DUNG IN, COW DUNG OUT! Hence, they’ve developed Sheytani based strategies like: fighting Pak till the Last Afgan; BD is the most successful RAW ops; putting NS, AZ, Mafias etc. in power in Pak to kill her from inside etc…

The policies/strategies/tactics etc. of India are like those of Iblis…..

As for Pak, the Indian victory was almost there, but for her Deep State and Deep Nation she got saved as the came back to their senses at the last moment….
What is deep state and deep nation? Is it ISI?
 

New Recruit

Jul 25, 2021
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Renowned Indian Defence Analyst, Pravin Sawhney has been showing the Indian Military its true STATURE viz a viz China for a while now. Mr Sawhneys who is well respected in India and abroad has been very critical of Indian preparedness and philosophy in dealing with China. Going through his Twitter account, one can gauge the vulnerabilities of the entire Indians war machine. Below are a few quotes he stated today and recently.
1) In case of India-China war, outcome will be decided within hours - this is the reality which should be understood by Indian military.

2) Many think I am bluffing that war with China will be decided in first 12 hours I am an Indian hence worried that Indian military is preparing to fight last 1962 war better.

3) India can only take the Chinese threat seriously if it knows what the threat is. Wasting time, energy & money on theatre commands which will help the PLA. Not the Indian military A hint: War will be determined by its speed where the PLA excels!

4) Defence & security are different as chalk & cheese. Ladakh is defence problem, Indian Ocean Region is security issue. Instead of cooperative strategy to mitigate military threats, Modi gov keen to expand foreign policy across two Oceans without credible shipbuilding capability!

5) A military leader needs to read and reflect upon evolving technologies & how best they could be used in war concepts Not imitate US war concepts which Indian military does PLA thinks & operates asymmetrically - how to win without fighting!

6) The single military lesson of 1999 Kargil conflict was build counter offensive capabilities. Indian military did not do that And, Kargil was abbreviation - it was Indian army & IAF against Pak NLI (then, paramilitary) & irregulars So, coinage of limited war concept was WRONG!

7)China has erected tents on Indian side in Demchok area in East Ladakh reports . This is called grey zone operations backed by credible military muscle Let’s have our analysts writing that Chinese be thrown out!

8) Once gap between Indian & Chinese national power became unbridgeable, Dalai Lama card became liability rather than an asset for India. This simply strategic reality should be clear to India!

9) PLA will fight with synergy in: 1. Information war 2. Informatised war 3. Intelligentised war This is the challenge for Indian military. Rawat’s outdated reforms cannot meet this challenge Hence, stay happy doing counter terror ops which you have done for 30 years!

10) As I say, Indian army created myth of two front war - when they knew it was not doable. IAF & IN followed Now army throws up a lot of rubbish jargon like limited war, border war, salami slicing, first response strategy- to impress themselves You don’t fool PLA with nonsense!

He has hundreds of tweets, narrating the sorry state of affairs of the Indian Army and policymakers. For more follow @PravinSawhney.
IMHO, more research work is required to estimate PLA capabilities.
The writer is jumping the gun on many points.
PLA has indeed modernized in mindbogling speed and surely employs better technologies and weapons compared to Indian Army, but if someone has ever spend a cold night in over 4000 meter peak in winters he will know all the technology and all the armoured columns amount to nothing against cold high altitude trechrous terrain
 

redtom

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I am anxious about the future of this gentleman.

In the history of The Three Kingdoms, Yuan Shao had an aide named Tian Feng. Once Yuan refused to take Tian's advice and launched an attack. Before the attack, Yuan took Tian to prison and told him to wait for victory. As a result, Yuan was defeated. Tian's friends went to the prison to inform him that his advice was correct and to congratulate him on his imminent freedom.

Tian said he would die soon. If Yuan wins, Tian will at most be fined some money. But Yuan failed, Yuan needed a scapegoat, and Tian would be executed for shaking the confidence of the army. When Yuan returned, Tian was executed.
 

IblinI

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IMHO, more research work is required to estimate PLA capabilities.
The writer is jumping the gun on many points.
PLA has indeed modernized in mindbogling speed and surely employs better technologies and weapons compared to Indian Army, but if someone has ever spend a cold night in over 4000 meter peak in winters he will know all the technology and all the armoured columns amount to nothing against cold high altitude trechrous terrain
You have surly underestimate how tech changed the way of war, heck, even designing a better camo required a ton of knowledge/tech.

in terms of what tech can help on logistics, PLA's soldiers are getting a personal QR code which it worked not only as a name tag but they can order everything from PLA logistical website, then it will be smartly distributed like Amazon/JD/Alibaba.

 
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