What's new

Former US Defense secretary says China ‘could bring Taiwan to its knees’ without invading

beijingwalker

ELITE MEMBER
Nov 4, 2011
51,935
-11
95,587
Country
China
Location
China

Former US Defense secretary says China ‘could bring Taiwan to its knees’ without invading​

BY LEXI LONAS - 06/23/22 1:00 AM ET

Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates discussed China’s chokehold on Taiwan amid rising tensions between the two on the most recent episode of the “One Decision” podcast.

Gates talked to former MI6 chief Sir Richard Dearlove and international journalist Julia Macfarlane about major international concerns for the U.S., saying he does not believe China will invade Taiwan.

“I personally think the likelihood of a full-scale invasion is very low. The Chinese have never undertaken an amphibious operation. It would look something like D-Day and it would have to be huge, and it would require a lot of softening up,” Gates said.

Concerns of an invasion rose after Russia attacked Ukraine, with some afraid the action would embolden China to take its own measures against Taiwan.

Taiwan says it is an independent country, while Beijing insists the island is part of China. The U.S. has supported Taiwan with weapons and training but does not formally recognize the island as independent from China.

However, Gates says there is more to be concerned about than just an invasion.

Chinese President Xi Jinping “can bring enormous pressure on Taiwan without ever firing a shot through cyber and through economic measures. He could bring Taiwan to its knees and create huge incentives for Taiwan to have a very different attitude toward China.”

The podcast discussed multiple international affairs, including the invasion of Ukraine.

“Just to illustrate expectations, we now know that the Russians who actually came down from the north and were headed for Kyiv had five days’ logistic support and actually had packed their ceremonial uniforms for the victory parade in Kyiv. That’s how confident they were,” Gates said.

He continued to say Russian forces were so confident in the support they would receive that they paid off local governments and trusted them to follow Russian orders, but that was not the locals’ plan.

“Someone told me that the Russians had paid off a lot of the local governments, but that the people that they had paid off, who they expected, as it were, to side with them immediately, were under the control of the Ukrainian services and had been told to act as though they were accepting the payoff and that they would get the balance of the money later. In fact, the Russians were really suckered into thinking that a lot of the local administrations north of Kyiv would welcome them,” he said.

Russia and Ukraine are going into their fourth month of war as Russian forces were unsuccessful at taking Kyiv, but are making up ground in the eastern Donbas region.

 

beijingwalker

ELITE MEMBER
Nov 4, 2011
51,935
-11
95,587
Country
China
Location
China

US Believes China Still Hoping to Take Taiwan Without Force​


June 30, 2022 1:01 AM
Fears that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would spur China to take a similar approach to Taiwan do not appear to be playing out, at least not yet, according to the top U.S. intelligence official.

Chinese President Xi Jinping “quite clearly sees reunification of Taiwan as a goal,” Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines told an audience in Washington late Wednesday, adding Xi “continues to prefer doing that peacefully as opposed to using military force.”

"There are not indications that he is currently intending to take Taiwan by military force even as he is planning for the potential,” Haines added.

Senior U.S. defense officials have repeatedly warned about China’s increasing aggressiveness in and around the South China Sea and Taiwan, and a military buildup larger than any seen since World War II.


Those concerns were echoed Wednesday by NATO, which accused Beijing of "bullying its neighbors and threatening Taiwan.”

“China is not our adversary, but we must be clear-eyed about the challenges it represents," NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said at the alliance’s summit in Madrid.

"We see a deepening strategic partnership between Moscow and Beijing, and China’s growing assertiveness and its coercive policies have consequences for the security of allies and our partners," he added.

The U.S. Commerce Department on Wednesday placed export restrictions on five Chinese companies for providing military-related support to Russia.

Asked about the restrictions, Haines echoed the concerns.

"They've tried very hard to quite publicly not take a critical stance of Russia,” she said. "Yet at the same time what we do see is that they are helping the Russians in a variety of ways behind the scenes."

Other top U.S. officials have previously said there has been no evidence of direct Chinese government support for Russia’s military efforts in Ukraine.

 

Chat SAMOSA

FULL MEMBER
Apr 29, 2022
970
-5
602
Country
India
Location
India
Xi and Biden have the same plan:
Step 1: get the semi foundries working to scale in AZ and TX
Step 2: Xi calls Taiwan

That's all it will take.

The only open negotiation point is whether the UeV plant in TSMC will be allowed to continue to be operated or not. Xi will probably ly be happy to pay the $12B or so to ASML if Biden says ok. Actually make that Biden or his successor POTUS as this is 3 to 5 years away .
 

gambit

PROFESSIONAL
Apr 28, 2009
27,349
147
25,462
Country
United States
Location
United States
If China take the non-military path to weaken Taiwan, then the US and others can also take the non-military path to support Taiwan. The bottom line is if you want something, it is faster to try to take it than to try to persuade it to come to you.
 

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Total: 1, Members: 0, Guests: 1)


Top Bottom