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China to launch 7th national population census on Nov. 1

ILC

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BEIJING, Sept. 20 (Xinhua) -- China's seventh national population census will begin on Nov. 1 this year with about 7 million staff to visit homes for registration work, an official said Sunday.

A good census can give a full picture of the population size, structure and distribution, and the trend of the demographic change, providing support for mapping national development strategies, said Ning Jizhe, deputy head of the National Development and Reform Commission, at a ceremony held in Beijing to promote the national census.

Residents will be encouraged to use mobile terminals such as cell phones to declare personal and family information, he said.

The census will collect data including name, ID number, gender, marital details, education, profession and other information about Chinese citizens.

China conducts a national population census every 10 years. The last census in the world's most populous country found its population had increased to 1.37 billion.

@Mista
We'll see how they correct the fake demographics data given by the Ministry of Health and Family Planning over the years.
 

ILC

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From your post history, how do a Polish like you know so much about China?
I've been reading some news about China every day for years, so If I am doing it every day I will know something, maybe not very much. I also had written my bachelor thesis about China's economic transformation.
 

ILC

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Not yet census, but Tsinghua report.

China expected to have 300 million senior residents in five years
China's Ministry of Civil Affairs has predicted that the country's senior population is expected to reach 300 million in five years, marking a demographic transition to a moderately aging society.

Experts suggested that a third-child policy could be instituted to accelerate the establishment of a fertility support system that might be a solution to address the problem of a graying population.

The Ministry of Civil Affairs released a report on Friday which said that by the end of 2019, 12.57 percent of China's population was aged 65 or above. That demographic will reach 300 million during the 14th Five-Year Plan period (2021-25) and the government will issue specific policies to tackle the challenges.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the dependency ratio of China's elderly population has increased to 17.8 percent in the past 30 years. This means one senior needs to be supported by six people.

A population report released on Sunday by Tsinghua University's Evergrande Research Institute, a collaborative research center composed of scores of globally reputed scientists, said that China's population will fall into negative growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The country's population is predicted to shrink sharply from around 2050, and fall to less than 800 million by 2100. At that time, China's share of the global population will fall from about 19 percent to 7 percent.

Meanwhile, the Tsinghua University report predicts that the pension gap will grow day by day. Labor costs will increase as the total supply of labor continues to shrink. The increase in the aging population will bring about a change in the consumption structure, which may lead to a decline in the potential growth rate of the economy, the report said.

He Yafu, an independent demographer based in South China's Guangdong Province, told the Global Times on Sunday that the immediate consequence of an aging population is an increasing burden on the pension system as the number of those drawing a pension will exceed the number of those paying into the system.

Economic development will also be directly affected, He said. The proportion of the working population over the age of 40 and 50 will increase. However, older people are less innovative and energetic than younger people. They are also slower to accept technological updates and less educated, thus, their labor productivity is not easily improved.

By around 2040, there will be more than 400 million seniors and fewer babies, and the impact of the aging population on the economy will become increasingly obvious, He noted.

Ren Zeping, dean of the Evergrande Research Institute, suggested in the report that a third-child policy should be encouraged as soon as possible while increasing the availability of childcare and improving the protection of women's employment rights and interests.

He, the demographer, partially agrees with a third-child policy. However, he said that without practical policies to encourage having more children, having a third child will not help much. Those born in the 1970s and 1980s are the main generations that wanted a second child after China's family planning rules were relaxed after the second-child policy was introduced in 2016. Abolishing controls on the number of children a family can have is fundamental to encouraging a higher birth rate, but the main issue is addressing the problem of overpriced housing.

Some experts have advised using other policy tools such as personal income tax credits and financial subsidies which would cover everything from pregnancy care to child benefit payments up to the age of 18 or to the end of full-time education.
 

Paul2

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It will be a big surprise if this will not be a big surprise.

If digits will not change, it will be the biggest indications that they were fudged.
 

ILC

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Does anyone know when the results are going to be available?
 

Viva_Viet

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So when the results?
CN birth rate keep dropping fast I guess, housing prices is too high while its too hard to find good enough job in CN now .

Young Cnese are so desperate abt their future, they never can make enough 900,000 usd to buy an apartment in big cities while they cannot find job in small city due to trade war.

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“I cried immediately,” said Hu, 29, who works as a video editor at a social media company. “Nowadays, Shenzhen wants to attract skilled workers. Maybe normal people like me don’t matter to the city anymore.”

Yet the boom has led to the highest property prices and lowest home ownership rates in China, a warning for the country’s other growing cities. The average two-bedroom unit now sells for about $900,000, in a city with per capita income of just $20,000.

 

Han Patriot

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CN birth rate keep dropping fast I guess, housing prices is too high while its too hard to find good enough job in CN now .

Young Cnese are so desperate abt their future, they never can make enough 900,000 usd to buy an apartment in big cities while they cannot find job in small city due to trade war.

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“I cried immediately,” said Hu, 29, who works as a video editor at a social media company. “Nowadays, Shenzhen wants to attract skilled workers. Maybe normal people like me don’t matter to the city anymore.”

Yet the boom has led to the highest property prices and lowest home ownership rates in China, a warning for the country’s other growing cities. The average two-bedroom unit now sells for about $900,000, in a city with per capita income of just $20,000.

You rent numb numb, and more and more jobs are moving to smaller cities. It's just the flow of economics. Just like Vietnamnese earninh 20 cents an hour, you think they can afford 100k usd apartment in Hanoi?
 

Viva_Viet

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You rent numb numb, and more and more jobs are moving to smaller cities. It's just the flow of economics. Just like Vietnamnese earninh 20 cents an hour, you think they can afford 100k usd apartment in Hanoi?
Hehe, my friend,Cnese don't even buy your cheap propaganda, so everyone here just watch your words like watching a cheap clown in the circuit.

Samsung flee to VN, Xiaomi, Foxconn is keep fleeing to VN, auto parts suppliers are also fleeing to VN etc no one can make money when US will slap more tariff on more CN'S products.

CN-EU FTA also failed due to Uighurs genocide issues. Now, if young Cnese wanna have jobs, they only can work for CN online game companies:lol:
 

Han Patriot

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Hehe, my friend,Cnese don't even buy your cheap propaganda, so everyone here just watch your words like watching a cheap clown in the circuit.

Samsung flee to VN, Xiaomi, Foxconn is keep fleeing to VN, auto parts suppliers are also fleeing to VN etc no one can make money when US will slap more tariff on more CN'S products.

CN-EU FTA also failed due to Uighurs genocide issues. Now, if young Cnese wanna have jobs, they only can work for CN online game companies:lol:
It's not propaganda mate. It's reality and economics, people rent in China just like someone in Tokyo, cause prices are too expensive. The same will happen to Viets once they earn more than 20cents an hour.

We don't flee to Vietnam, we expand to Vietnam. Flee means we close down our factories and open one there, the internal market is so big in China, the factories are relevant. Vietnamese factories are used to export to US. And come on Viets are cheaper, our population is reducing, higher value things will be retained, more automation will be used. Else we have to import Viet maids to help us. Lol.

EU China FTA, that's not an FTA dude, it's just a investment protection treaty. It is actually more beneficial for EU, but hey if they don't want it, we can't force them. Months ago, I already anticipated it will be sabotaged, the damage has already been done to EU US relationship. They can postpone it as long as possible, no difference to China, its just about leverage. Lol
 

Viva_Viet

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It's not propaganda mate. It's reality and economics, people rent in China just like someone in Tokyo, cause prices are too expensive. The same will happen to Viets once they earn more than 20cents an hour.

We don't flee to Vietnam, we expand to Vietnam. Flee means we close down our factories and open one there, the internal market is so big in China, the factories are relevant. Vietnamese factories are used to export to US. And come on Viets are cheaper, our population is reducing, higher value things will be retained, more automation will be used. Else we have to import Viet maids to help us. Lol.

EU China FTA, that's not an FTA dude, it's just a investment protection treaty. It is actually more beneficial for EU, but hey if they don't want it, we can't force them. Months ago, I already anticipated it will be sabotaged, the damage has already been done to EU US relationship. They can postpone it as long as possible, no difference to China, its just about leverage. Lol
Tokyo is dying too bcs JP birth rate dropping fast, and they have to let more immigrants people like Vnese to get JP nationality .

If u compare CN with Japan, then u'd better admit that CN birth rate will continue dropping fast like JP:lol:

Bcs CN birth rate is dropping sharply, so CN internal market is also shrinking. When it keeps shrinking, then once day, the investors who still have factories in CN will have to leave bcs they will not able to get enough profits from CN shrinking market

Even young Cnese also can see that problem, that's why they have to try to find jobs in big cities. CN small cities simply have no future like JP small cities:cool:
 

fadine

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The information about "600 million Chinese live below the poverty line" is not a legend, it is a painful fact.
17ab-kmvwsvy1414457.png



According to the statistics on the rate of spending on income per capita, collected by the Chinese in 2020, the rate of China is the lowest in the world, far behind Vietnam and other developed countries.

It was searched for the cause and it came to a sudden realization that less than 20 million Chinese whose incomes reached the level of personal income tax payments (data published by the Ministry of Manpower - Social Security and China's Ministry of Finance). Less than 20 million (that number maybe lower than Vietnam) out of 1400 million people. The Chinese people are probably living in a working hell, and Li Keqiang has a bit of honesty talking about the fate of the 600 million lives of Chinese people lying at the bottom.

What is the next consequence? Definitely a serious population decline. There is no conscience person who wants to have children in hell.
 

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