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China aims to capture Arunachal Pradesh/Southern Tibet in next 10-15 years

A1Kaid

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Oct 20, 2008
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China conducting war drills in Tibet recently and building 30 airports and new highways along Tibet/Arunachal Pradesh. In addition to that they have built villages inside of Arunachal Pradesh and moving more of their population into the area. This will be one of the biggest geo-political challenges for India in the years to come. With the fall of the Ghani government in Afghanistan the region as a whole is becoming more hostile to India. The China-India border skirmish we saw in 2020-2021 was simply a test by generals sitting in Beijing, a warm up for what is to come.



 

Kuru

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So China gonna capture Arunachal Pradesh by 2040.

If China captures whole of India and make it a part of PRC by 2100, then the PRC will claim the whole of Pakistan on historical evidence that Pakistan was part of India in the past and that Pakistan was founded by Indians themselves!

So I think Pakistan should support India against China for it's own existence' sake because if it doesnt, then, well, the Chinese are coming.
 

Battlion25

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So China gonna capture Arunachal Pradesh by 2040.

If China captures whole of India and make it a part of PRC by 2100, then the PRC will claim the whole of Pakistan on historical evidence that Pakistan was part of India in the past and that Pakistan was founded by Indians themselves!

So I think Pakistan should support India against China for it's own existence' sake because if it doesnt, then, well, the Chinese are coming.
The chinese are our brothers we will stand with them
 
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MH.Yang

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Not so fast. The residents of southern Tibet are not Han. Unlike the Taiwanese, they are not the people we must achieve reunification. It is Low priority.
Before controlling southern Tibet, we must get the support of the local people. Otherwise we'd rather keep waiting.
If we have been unable to get the support of the local people, we may support their independence. China will not control land that does not support Chinese rule, because it is asking for trouble.
 

INS_Vikramaditya

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So China gonna capture Arunachal Pradesh by 2040.

If China captures whole of India and make it a part of PRC by 2100, then the PRC will claim the whole of Pakistan on historical evidence that Pakistan was part of India in the past and that Pakistan was founded by Indians themselves!
Don't give them any ideas or they will start claiming entire India saying it was part of some Tang-Wang or Ching-Ming dynasty
 

magra

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China will not control land that does not support Chinese rule, because it is asking for trouble.
Not generally true, given there is / was lot of opposition to Chinese rule in Tibet / Xinjiang before Chinese flooded these regions with Han people to dilute local majority.
Before controlling southern Tibet, we must get the support of the local people. Otherwise we'd rather keep waiting.
That is some weird logic to stake claim over some land. Either it belongs to you or it does not. Today, Arunachal Pradesh people do not support China, so you would wait. If in a few decades, they support China for some reason, you would invade.

By that same principle, if some Chinese border population starts supporting India, should it mean India has a license to invade?
 

FuturePAF

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Considering the buildup by China and the need to avenge their fallen in Ladakh, they will probably strive to take Ladakh.
 

Shah_Deu

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It is not a question of if but when China takes back all the five fingers Mao Zedong once stated as comprising China's hand.

No matter how many rounds of talks the Indians wish to have, they are fighting a losing war.

Screenshot_20210913-060023_Twitter.jpg

images (6).jpeg
 
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MH.Yang

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Don't give them any ideas or they will start claiming entire India saying it was part of some Tang-Wang or Ching-Ming dynasty
Not generally true, given there is / was lot of opposition to Chinese rule in Tibet / Xinjiang before Chinese flooded these regions with Han people to dilute local majority.

That is some weird logic to stake claim over some land. Either it belongs to you or it does not. Today, Arunachal Pradesh people do not support China, so you would wait. If in a few decades, they support China for some reason, you would invade.

By that same principle, if some Chinese border population starts supporting India, should it mean India has a license to invade?
This is how China deals with territorial issues:

1. The ruling legitimacy of PRC comes from the foundation and development of Sun Yat Sen's three people's principles, while Sun Yat Sen's ruling legitimacy comes from the abdication and grant of the emperor of the Qing Dynasty. Therefore, the PRC's territory came from the inheritance of the territory of the Qing Dynasty. Therefore, we will not declare ownership according to the map of the Tang Dynasty.

2. If a certain territory is the territory of the Qing Dynasty, the PRC has the right of inheritance. However, the PRC will not necessarily require the rule of this territory. We will operate according to its actual situation.

3. If this is the territory of Han people, such as Taiwan. Then there will be no room for compromise. According to the Han tradition, the territory of the Han people must be unified, and the Han people can only have a legitimate government. Any country can choose to recognize the Beijing government or the Taipei government, but it is not allowed to recognize both governments at the same time. Han people can accept the rule of Beijing government or Taipei government, but if there are two governments at the same time, the war will not stop. This is the fundamental reason why all previous dynasties of China have moved from division to reunification.
PRC is only a dynasty in the history of Chinese civilization. One day, the CCP regime will perish, just like the previous dynasties. Therefore, CCP has no right to abandon the unification tradition of the Han nationality.
It cannot be a precedent for undermining a civilization tradition of thousands of years. If the CCP dares to do so, it will no longer be the legal regime of the Han people.

4. If it is a minority territory, the PRC will consider the support of the local people. If the local people support the PRC, the PRC will establish autonomous regions to rule and give autonomy to laws and taxes. If the local people do not support the PRC, the PRC will make them independent.
PS: different from the illusion of most Indians, most Tibetan people support the PRC because the PRC gives all Tibetan serfs freedom. Only a few serf owners fled to India. In Tibet, where the environment is bad, the PRC cannot rule without the support of the people.

5. As for Southern Tibet, it is the territory of the Qing Dynasty, and the PRC has the right of inheritance. Of course, I know Indians won't agree. But never mind, we don't need your consent.
As I just said, if the local people support the PRC, we will establish the southern Tibet Autonomous Region. If not, we support their independence.
 
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chinasun

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It is legal to start talking from the control areas before UK ruled India. Then talk can continue.
Both India and China do not agree the British rule in India.
Is was British created the problem to make the two country hostile for ever. Hundreds of years ago, there was no border problem. People can freely go to another country. So one of the solution is find out the border 300 years ago and keep that as the border.
China has no interest in Indian territory and never wants to drink Ganges water.
 
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A1Kaid

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These live drills are probably just to send a message imo
Getting the Americans out of Asia should be the number #1 priority
What is #1 priority for China and #1 priority for India are two different things. For China at least for now Taiwan and South China sea is their #1 geo-political focus, #2 is Tibet/South Tibet. It's no wonder we saw aggression from China on the border with India and currently holding massive war drills in Tibet and a huge military build-up in the region. China is definitely going to strike, the question is simply when. For India this is their biggest geopolitical challenge in years to come. The other risk is this time horizon could very well accelerate if India has any decline or weakness. At this rate however, India will lose Arunachal Pradesh and possibly other areas. It's not India stopping, just China not pushing.
 

MH.Yang

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It is legal to start talking from the control areas before UK ruled India. Then talk can continue.
Both India and China do not agree the British rule in India.
Is was British created the problem to make the two country hostile for ever. Hundreds of years ago, there was no border problem. People can freely go to another country. So one of the solution is find out the border 300 years ago and keep that as the border
China has no interest in Indian territory and will never want to drink Indus water.
There are many contradictions and conflicts in India domestic affairs. Without external pressure, they will break out more violent civil strife.
So they need China to be their enemy. So they will not have the sincerity to solve the border problem. So there is no basis for negotiation on this issue.
Let's continue to wait. No problem.
 

Myth_buster_1

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So China gonna capture Arunachal Pradesh by 2040.

If China captures whole of India and make it a part of PRC by 2100, then the PRC will claim the whole of Pakistan on historical evidence that Pakistan was part of India in the past and that Pakistan was founded by Indians themselves!

So I think Pakistan should support India against China for it's own existence' sake because if it doesnt, then, well, the Chinese are coming.
India was never one entity before british raj.
 

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