• Saturday, August 15, 2020
vi-va
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vi-va

SENIOR MEMBER, Male, 40

二战前英法的「绥靖」政策是上策、中策、还是下策? - 王鼎杰的回答 - 知乎 https://www.zhihu.com/question/22569270/answer/549933010 Jul 31, 2020

vi-va was last seen:
Aug 15, 2020 at 9:08 PM
    1. Feng Leng
      Feng Leng
      中国其实大多是自身文化问题,胆子太小了,一上来就放弃攻进策略,萎缩到完全没有退路了之后才开始发威。

      中南海应该学会打扑克牌,手上拿的牌都是随机,但是高手就是有办法让对手放弃贵重的攻进机会,而对手没机会的时候还使得他充满自信。

      可以说,中国人90%胆小,自扫门前雪,只有剩余的10%才能达到世界其他国家的国民,进取程度的平均水平。
      1. View previous comments...
      2. vi-va
        vi-va
        Trump 这个二货,为了大选,头三年拼命压利率,透支美元。最后一年一个新冠,6万亿美元进去了。三万亿已经花了,嘛用没有。还有3-4万亿要花出去。这个烧钱速度,老美玩军备竞赛自己就把自己拖死。
        美国忘了自己怎么把苏联拖死的,结果自己成了穷步黩武的二货。
        Aug 1, 2020
        CHN Bamboo thanked this.
      3. vi-va
        vi-va
        中国来伊朗入局,犹太一定跳。要么现在趁trump手里还有权力在中东发动战争,要么坐等伊朗恢复元气。前者要花万亿美元,而且游击战无解,没有百万大军根本压不住伊朗那个多山地形。后者,相当于继续分散美国军力和政治资本。
        Aug 1, 2020
      4. vi-va
        vi-va
        1964年,毛泽东谈中美关系和香港问题:“关于美国是否在准备第三次世界大战的问题,我们过去讲过,现在也还是这样看。可以看一看历史,美国总是到最后才参加国际战争的。第一次世界大战是如此,第二次世界大战也是如此。现在美国手伸得太长,是十个手指按住十个跳蚤,一个也抓不住。美国现在在两个“第三世界”都遇到抵抗。”
        Aug 1, 2020
    2. Beast
      Beast
      英国衰落是因为他们没办法,才选绥靖。不是他们要的。
      1. vi-va
        vi-va
        所以中国这次硬顶,就是搓破了印度的左右逢源的战略构想。真的把刀子逼在了印度的肚子上。印度如果继续强硬,就会成为砧板上被捶打的货,彻底失去被美国拉拢的筹码。


        印度如果不强硬,就会被全世界包括印度周边国家识破印度色厉内荏。现在尼泊尔是毛派当家,巴基斯坦因为克什米尔370等问题也放弃了绥靖的构想。

        印度突然发现自己从优良的外交地位一下子跌入深渊。这个深渊恰恰是modi外交失衡的结果。

        Modi走民粹派,但是在国家关键的建设方面少有建树。说得多,做得少。一旦硬碰硬,就泄了。
        Jul 31, 2020
        FairAndUnbiased thanked this.
    3. vi-va
      vi-va
      1. powastick and CHN Bamboo thanked this.
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      3. vi-va
        vi-va
        这就充分展现了印度学自英国的英式外交特色。

        所谓只制衡不对抗,绝非克制,而是精明。实质是让其他国家和中国冲突,印度坐得渔利,甚至能两面叫价,不到最后一刻绝不随便摊牌。

        所谓只合作不结盟,就是有距离地互相利用,但保持更灵活的外交主动权,和更大的加盟叫价权。

        这就提醒我们,印度其实是在三个点之间求平衡:

        ·印度不希望美国深入印度洋

        ·印度也不准备真帮美国打中国

        ·印度更不希望看到一个强大的中国,尤其不希望看到一个进入印度洋的强大中国
        Jul 31, 2020
      4. vi-va
        vi-va
        这就决定了印度的战略,一定是继续在不结盟的幌子下保持自己的行动自由,但又要可了劲地宣传中国威胁论,绷紧中美关系。用中国威胁论掩护印度崛起的同时,还要用印度崩溃论同时迷惑中美。对美国打中国牌,对中国打美国牌。两面叫价,套足实利。中美关系缓和的时候就制造紧张空气。中美关系吃紧的时候就用不结盟来和美国保持距离,用中印合作套取好处。一有机会,还不忘了对华搞蚕食、挖墙脚,甚至搞机会主义冒险。
        Jul 31, 2020
      5. vi-va
    4. Yankee-stani
      Yankee-stani
      If the USSR had no revisionists that wanted China to be Soviet vassal could the world order be radically different
      1. vi-va thanked this.
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      3. Yankee-stani
        Yankee-stani
        It will definitely keep Israeli expansion in check and could have lead to an actual two state solution as for Europe it will be much more independent in foreign affairs Germany could have also been reunified much earlier under neutral regime
        Jul 25, 2020
        vi-va thanked this.
      4. vi-va
      5. vi-va
        vi-va
        US is much better on propaganda. The legacy of the empire on which the sun never sets benefited US quite a lot.
        The marriage of British and US is the legacy of F.D.R.
        F.D.R. knew how to force GB give up pride and be a good lad.
        Nazi Germany benefited US, USSR India and China on geo politics terms.
        Jul 25, 2020
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
    5. Yankee-stani
      1. vi-va thanked this.
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      3. Yankee-stani
        Yankee-stani
        China in a way has been able to create its own it eco system I am old enough to remember Bush railing against the firewall
        Jul 25, 2020
        vi-va thanked this.
      4. vi-va
        vi-va
        China has started preparing self-circulation economy, as well as reaching out to more countries.
        China as a latecomer has many shortcomings, but as an ancient civilization, we went through way too many ups and downs.
        Prepare for the worst, and endurance is the key for winning.
        Jul 25, 2020
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
      5. vi-va
        vi-va
        The WASP was unchallenged for way too long. Their people are not prepared for sacrifice, at least not yet.
        Jul 25, 2020
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
    6. xuxu1457
      xuxu1457
      不用回那些东西,都没人回复就掉下去了
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      2. vi-va
        vi-va
        If you knew how difficult I get into the top university in China, while the minorities can get into it with lower test score. You will know a small portion of how well they were treated.
        Ground reality is not the same as western media reported at all.
        Jun 25, 2020
        Rafeh thanked this.
      3. vi-va
        vi-va
        Keep it. It's totally fine. Not a big deal.
        Jun 25, 2020
        Rafeh thanked this.
      4. Rafeh
        Rafeh
        Look I understand what you saying. I also know china does provide good facilities to its minorities. On the other hand, lots of our problems in Pakistan are due to us not doing that. Still, I just wanted to clarify. Take good care.
        Jun 25, 2020
        vi-va thanked this.
    7. vi-va
      vi-va
      @waz, I think the punishment is too harsh. One year to expire. Warning Date Points Expiry Dec 15, 2019 3 Dec 15, 2020 at 9:16 AM
      1. waz
        waz
        I'll look into it friend.
        Apr 18, 2020
        vi-va thanked this.
      2. vi-va
        vi-va
        Thank you!!!
        Apr 18, 2020
      3. vi-va
        vi-va
        @waz, @WebMaster . Thanks a lot for the adjustment. I will play by the book.
        Apr 20, 2020
        WebMaster thanked this.
    8. grey boy 2
      grey boy 2
      bro, will let you know when we've anything going on, take care
      1. vi-va thanked this.
      2. vi-va
        vi-va
        Sure, sure.
        Apr 13, 2020
    9. BL33D
      BL33D
      Hello, I needed some help regarding weibo ?? Can you help?
      1. vi-va thanked this.
      2. vi-va
        vi-va
        what's up?
        Mar 16, 2020
      3. BL33D
        BL33D
        Wanted to know some weibo accounts to follow related to defence, osint, and tech leaks.
        Mar 16, 2020
      4. vi-va
        vi-va
        I am not familiar with. You can check with @LKJ86
        Mar 16, 2020
        BL33D thanked this.
    10. Yankee-stani
      Yankee-stani
      Thoughts on B'aathism and Arab Socialism
      1. vi-va thanked this.
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      3. Taimur Khurram
        Taimur Khurram
        I think Pakistan could get around the India problem by making peace with it, but that won't happen anytime soon.
        Mar 8, 2020
        Yankee-stani and vi-va thanked this.
      4. vi-va
        vi-va
        Modernity is good, but the road to modernity is bumpy. Many countries failed on the halfway. Such as Thailand, Philippines, South America, Mexico, Egypt, and the list can go on and on.
        Mar 8, 2020
        Yankee-stani and Taimur Khurram thanked this.
      5. vi-va
        vi-va
        There are two countries are similar to China. One is Singapore, governed by elites base on credibility and capability. One is Iran, centralized the power on top of all interest group and sectarians.
        The difference between China and Singapore is size.
        The difference between China and Iran is CCP Party versus Guardian Council.
        Mar 8, 2020
        Yankee-stani and Taimur Khurram thanked this.
    11. vi-va
      vi-va
      The origin of coronavirus may comes from United States was deleted. Reason: Dangerous conspiracy theory / Dubnious sources / Fake news
      1. Yankee-stani and zectech thanked this.
    12. Yankee-stani
      Yankee-stani
      Welcome back Comrade Viva
      1. Nilgiri and vi-va thanked this.
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      3. vi-va
        vi-va
        A lot of PDF members here are prone liberal, especially those get educated or live in western countries.
        Chinese are bashed, which I am not surprised.
        Feb 28, 2020
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
      4. Nilgiri
        Nilgiri
        Welcome back @viva_zhao , hope to have good convo with you on matters soon. Osman sadly got banned for a week just now
        Feb 29, 2020
        Yankee-stani and vi-va thanked this.
      5. vi-va
        vi-va
        Thank you, my Indian friend.
        I noticed that. My post got deleted yesterday as well. I can live with it. :)
        Feb 29, 2020
        Yankee-stani and Nilgiri thanked this.
    13. Yankee-stani
      Yankee-stani
      China needs better soft power look towards the Russians are doing tbh
      1. vi-va thanked this.
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      3. vi-va
        vi-va
        China need soft power, China lag behind for decades. Many reasons, the biggest decline of China civilization in history since 19th century, the invasion of western powers, the invasion of Japanese(which is heart breaking, because Japanese is Chinese culturally back in 1930s), and revolutions after revolutions, good and bad ones.
        Nov 24, 2019
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
      4. vi-va
        vi-va
        China is lonely, most of the resources on earth has been occupied by western powers, if you count European, Russia, US, Canada, Australia, South America together, they has 8 times of resources of China.
        Nov 24, 2019
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
      5. vi-va
        vi-va
        China is no fool, it's long long term game. If China fail, I am pretty sure, the future of all Muslim is dark. There is no one can check the western power. Literally NO ONE.
        Nov 24, 2019
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
    14. Yankee-stani
      Yankee-stani
      There is difference between folks on PDF and folks on the ground in Pakistan or in the govt
      1. vi-va thanked this.
      2. vi-va
        vi-va
        No, I did NOT misunderstand. The same elites who speak English, read English in HK and Pakistan. Those elites think for themselves, love themselves more than the countries. And the very small group, who can influence the media, banking, court, and make huge damage to Pakistan.
        If Pakistan can NOT control them, they control Pakistan.
        I read too much history, the Chinese history, thousands lessons learnt.
        Nov 24, 2019
        Yankee-stani thanked this.
    15. Yankee-stani
      1. View previous comments...
      2. Nilgiri
        Nilgiri
        "Inferred" methodology (most popular in the internet clickbait) is just not a substitute for direct sampling (before we even get to IQ vs final functional intelligence arguments), should we say Chinese were "low IQ/intelligence" at their worst relative development time period (say 1940s?)
        Oct 23, 2019
      3. vi-va
        vi-va
        As a scientific analysis, people sampled should have similar education back ground in the similar age and nutriture.

        You should compare difference races in the U.S. Or different races in China.

        I am not a racist, but I don't believe all men are equal neither.

        I believe some are good at math, some are good at art, some are good at sports, and so on. My English sucks, my physics is good.
        Oct 23, 2019
        Yankee-stani and Nilgiri thanked this.
      4. Nilgiri
        Nilgiri
        I mostly agree, I just put direct data for all this stuff as the only standard to measure. If its IQ, then you got to design sample survey with direct measurement of IQ...simple. The quoted IQ comparisons do not do that....they infer too much. Its not good science to me. Just measure what you say you want to measure, period.
        Oct 23, 2019
        Yankee-stani and vi-va thanked this.
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  • About

    Gender:
    Male
    Birthday:
    Jan 1, 1980 (Age: 40)
    Country:
    China
    Location:
    United States
    How did you find us? Facebook, google, etc:
    When I search news about Pakistan, I found this website. I am Chinese, very interested in CPEC and love China's iron friend - Pakistan.
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