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Pakistan's vast Shale Oil & Gas Reserves | Updates & Discussions

I did some research on process of fracking and extraction of gas from shale rock formations.

This method is potentially very hazardous to the environment. As part of the fracking process mixture of water , sand and different chemicals is pumped down the bore into the share rock.

Water and Sand are benign but the Chemicals include Beryllium , Arsenic ( Highly poisonous ) and even Radons ( which is Radi active ). This mixture is pumped in to cause the fractures but it is also pumped out and it becomes so toxic that nothing more can be done with , no recycling.

Fracking process has been known since 1940 , so its not new. Haliburton ( of Dick Cheny fame ) pioneered this method and process , in the United States 60% of the gas comes from shale gas.

In states like Pennsylvania environmental damage has already been recorded.

United States is and industrialized country and their land mass is very large so maybe they can afford to damage their environment

Even though the bore made for shale gas extraction is very deep up 6000 feet below ground , groundwater is at about 50 to 100 feet , still the pipe goes through the aquifer and chemicals can leak into groundwater. Finally when all the gas from the shale well is extracted , to close off the well the toxic mixture is poured back into the well and sealed off, which can seep back into the groundwater and soil.

Pakistan is an agricultural country and if we pump poison down into the Indus basin , which is the bread basket , then the damage could be immense.
 
Abandoning fracking due to fear water pollution for an energy starved country without thorough investigation is being naïve.

USA is a strong agricultural country as well. Annual production of wheat more than 50-million tons, but USA is the world leader in fracking. Even UK has strong farming base. In 2014 UK output was about 16-million tons of wheat & 7-millions of barley, however UK gov’t gave go ahead to fracking in July 2014 after lengthy public hearings.

The debate about fracking is nothing new. We must realize that every industry and activity including building Dams has its pro’s & con’s. The question is of estimating whether potential benefits are higher than the adverse effects. In my opinion the matter should be thoroughly debated in public forums but with real experts in the environment, agriculture & energy filed. Little knowledge is a dangerous thing and I don’t mean people who become self-claimed experts after reading a couple articles but those who have spent their lifetime in their respective discipline.

The following link provides an insight into Fracking for layman.

The environmental costs and benefits of fracking: The state of research - Journalist's Resource Journalist's Resource

Personally, I would go for it but in stages. That is, Pakistanis engineers need to gain operational experience and learnt to cope with the potential hazards by operating only one or two sites for a couple years before going full steam ahead.
 
I may not agree with many of his assumptions and he has obviously not dug deep into the effects of fracking on water pollution; the following article is by someone who knows what he is talking about. Jury is however still out on pro's & cons of Fracking.


Arshad H Abbasi
Wednesday, June 03, 2015

A recent opinion piece by the minister for petroleum has taken to opposing shale gas in preference for LNG. To put things in context, it must be noted that, at present, Pakistan struggles to meet a demand of up to 7 billion cubic feet per day against a production of 4bcf per day. The production of indigenous natural gas is declining, and the rate of new discoveries cannot match the demand. It must also be noted that current surveys do not point to any major discoveries of conventional natural gas reserves.

Pakistan’s energy crisis stemmed from a reliance on depleting natural gas reserves, and a consequent shift to oil. Until 2005, Pakistan’s power sector relied on a steady supply of natural gas, which was about 48 percent in the power mix. After 2006, we increased our power generation dependence on oil instead of gas. Pakistan’s power sector became a hostage to circular debt, as huge subsidies were given as a result of the tariff differential on oil.

To meet the burgeoning natural gas demand, we have multiple options. For pipelined gas, the transnational pipelines – the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline and the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India pipeline – are options. For LNG, Pakistan has been focused on importing LNG from Qatar. While conventional gas reserves are running out in Pakistan, we have estimated technically recoverable reserves of 105 tcf of shale gas and 9.1 billion barrels of shale oil.

In the US and Canada the daily production of shale gas is 32bcf and 4bcf. In China and Poland, besides heavy spending, the production is 600 and 150 million cubic feet per day respectively. In India, where the two oil and gas giants failed to unlock shale gas mainly because of complex geology and lack of accurate data.

It is important to note that Pakistan shared its geological data as part of the US Geological Survey (USGS) from 1955 to 1970, while India and China were not on the US bloc during the cold war. We had obtained multi-million dollar grants from the US to the set up a geological survey of Pakistan, including development of laboratories and facilities in all over the country.

The world’s fifth largest company by revenue and top shale gas player, ExxonMobil, then Vacuum Oil Company in 1954, had discovered the Uch and Kandhko Gas reserves. Other companies also landed in Pakistan for oil and gas exploration. One the biggest advantage of these companies was accuracy in maintaining log-data since 1956, which later on helped in analysing the key parameters, depth, structure, and two key indicators – TOC (total organic content) and thermal maturity (Ro) for assessment of Shale oil and gas.

Given the aforementioned facts, it must be underscored that shale gas cannot be discredited because of its huge potential, estimated to be enough for the next 70 years. Shale gas can be a real game-changer for Pakistan. Assessments of our shale gas potential are based on log data being compiled by oil and gas exploration companies.

When I was invited to witness the Marcellus Shale Basin in Pennsylvania, the experts there were surprised that Pakistan was not working fast towards shale gas. Apparently we are sitting on a goldmine with our vast exploitable potential for shale oil and gas. It is disappointing that even with the possibilities, the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources failed to formalise a shale gas policy and is instead just focusing on LNG imports. The price of imported LNG was kept secret as it was projected as the only panacea to Pakistan’s energy crisis.

Some are now making false assumptions on the use of water and the cost of shale gas, without knowing the fact that only half a million acre is required for unlocking 8bcf. Before launching an anti-shale oil and gas campaign, the minister ought to know that the ‘guar’ plant grown entirely in the Indian subcontinent has emerged as a major cash crop in Pakistan as it is used in the proppant in the extraction of shale gas.

Shale Gas may therefore even bring a green revolution for the farmers of Sindh and Balochistan. The unlocking of Shale Gas may bring a major incentive which will help the life the Thar, when they get right price for Guar beans.

But the most illogical argument of the campaign is the comparison of imported LNG and cost of unlocking shale. It shows ignorance of the basic concepts of energy security, the importance of the national economy and jobs creation. The most glorious advantage of shale gas is the potential massive job opportunities for skilled and semi-skilled Pakistanis. Working in the heart of the energy sector, we have worked closely on shale oil and gas development, recognising the vast possibilities to boost economy, and energy in Pakistan. The report suggests that development of shale oil and gas may be sufficient to fulfil the gas and oil demand for almost next 50 years.

Achieving this self-sufficiency through the development of these resources, the country would be able to save $15 billion, thus eliminating the trade deficit. It also looks at the strong nexus exist between energy and employment generation. The report informs that development of shale oil and gas is more labour intensive as compared to conventional resources, especially the drilling phase, which can accommodate both skilled and semiskilled labour. It is estimated that around 75,000 jobs would be generated during shale oil and gas exploration and would offer sustainable livelihoods in the least development areas.

A shale oil and gas industry for the future of Pakistan will generate vast investment opportunities. Shale gas exploration and production may have the ability to transform our economy and revolutionise the existing energy mix within the country.

Naysayers ought to consider these factors and present solid facts and research before putting shale gas on the backburner. In the PML-N manifesto, the party promised to address the challenge of unemployment. Using energy as a driver of economic growth, and utilising indigenous resource must be on the top agenda for energy security. Therefore, it is time for the prime minister to take a decision to end the red-tape that surrounds shale gas.

Email: ahabasi@gmail.com

Shale gas: a real game-changer - Arshad H Abbasi
 
I did some research on process of fracking and extraction of gas from shale rock formations.

This method is potentially very hazardous to the environment. As part of the fracking process mixture of water , sand and different chemicals is pumped down the bore into the share rock.

Water and Sand are benign but the Chemicals include Beryllium , Arsenic ( Highly poisonous ) and even Radons ( which is Radi active ). This mixture is pumped in to cause the fractures but it is also pumped out and it becomes so toxic that nothing more can be done with , no recycling.

Fracking process has been known since 1940 , so its not new. Haliburton ( of Dick Cheny fame ) pioneered this method and process , in the United States 60% of the gas comes from shale gas.

In states like Pennsylvania environmental damage has already been recorded.

United States is and industrialized country and their land mass is very large so maybe they can afford to damage their environment

Even though the bore made for shale gas extraction is very deep up 6000 feet below ground , groundwater is at about 50 to 100 feet , still the pipe goes through the aquifer and chemicals can leak into groundwater. Finally when all the gas from the shale well is extracted , to close off the well the toxic mixture is poured back into the well and sealed off, which can seep back into the groundwater and soil.

Pakistan is an agricultural country and if we pump poison down into the Indus basin , which is the bread basket , then the damage could be immense.


Absolutely true. Unfortunately America has committed serious mistakes by adopting extensive fracking. There are already signs of major impact in those areas.
 
When will Pakistan going to privatize all of its energy sector?

I mean all the Oil, Gas and mineral companies?
 
Yesterday I met a member of the board of WAPDA who is now retired; as are most persons in my age group; at an Iftar party at a friend’s house in London.

During general discussions, it came out that in addition to the FE required for investment; a major stumbling block in exploiting Pakistan’s Tight/Shale gas reserves is lack of fresh water. It is estimated that a single well would consume more than 3-million gallons of fresh water.. Roughly it means about 500- 600 tank- trucks of ‘Fresh’ water to the well and about 250 to 300 tank –trucks of waste liquid out of each fracking well. One could have hundreds of fracked wells to properly exploit a large Tight gas reservoir.

Pakistan is already seriously short of fresh water, specially in the Lower Indus basin where most of the Tight/Shale gas bearing formations are located. Therefore unless fracking technology using brackish water is developed soon; Pakistan Tight/Shale gas formations are likely to remain unexploited. Much the same way as much touted Thar coal.

Naturally I have no way of proving or disproving this assertion. However this would explain why despite severe shortage of natural gas; GOP did not pursue ‘Fracking’ even during the period when oil was $100 per barrel.
 
#Pakistan confirms it has 105 trillion cubic ft #shale gas, 58 billion barrels of shale oil reserves #energy Shale gas, oil reserves outweigh conventional stock, study reveals - Pakistan - DAWN.COM

Pakistan has confirmed recoverable reserves of around 200 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of natural gas and around 58 billion barrels of oil in its shale structure — many times larger than existing conventional gas reserves of around 20 TCF and 385 million barrels of oil.

This was stated by Minister for Petroleum and Natural Resources Shahid Khaqan Abbasi at a press conference held here on Thursday to explain main findings of a recently concluded Shale Gas Study based on actual data of existing wells.

“The conclusion (of the study) is that Pakistan has huge potential of shale gas and oil which is much bigger than previous estimates of the United States Energy Information Administration (USEIA) and technology is available at home to produce this resource,” he said.

Also read: Oil and gas reserves found in Mianwali

Mr Abbasi said the country had a massive potential of 10,159 TCF shale gas and 2.3tr barrels of oil. He said the USEIA had reported in April 2011 the presence of 206 TCF shale gas in lower Indus Basin out of which 51 TCF was termed technically recoverable.

However, in June 2013 the USEIA revised the shale gas resource in Pakistan at 586 TCF in place out of which 105 TCF was tipped as risked technically recoverable and also included 9.1bn barrels of shale oil risked technically recoverable out of 227bn barrels shale oil in place.

He said a shale gas study initiated in January 2014 with the support of USAID had been completed. It proved that Pakistan had 10,159 TCF of shale gas resource and 2,323bn barrels of shale oil.

He said the findings were reached when recoverable data of 1,611 wells were collected and shale formation of 1,312 wells through drill was examined. The study covered lower and middle Indus Basin, geographically spread over Sindh, southern Punjab and eastern Balochistan. He said 70 per cent of wells data were used to develop the study.

The minister said the samples were sent to New Tech Laboratory in Houston to verify shale gas and oil resource in place. The study confirmed that Pakistan had the potential of shale gas and oil which was more than expectations.

He said Pakistan had the technology for exploring conventional oil and gas that could be used for exploiting shale oil and gas. However, the country requires more technology for exploiting shale oil and gas resource on a larger scale. He said that real challenges were environmental issues, availability of water and higher cost of drilling. He said one well required 3-8m barrels of water.

Shale gas will cost $10 per Million British Thermal Unit. “We have assigned OGDCL and PPL to explore shale gas and oil from one well to determine cost of extracting them.”

Responding to a question, Mr Abbasi said the natural gas would be available only for domestic consumers in Punjab and even they would not get it between 10pm and 5am. The demand of gas in domestic sector in Punjab is about 950mmcfd, but supplies will be around 650 mmcfd and the difference would need to be met through pressure management.

He said the power plants and fertiliser units would be run on LNG. “CNG sector may also get LNG if supply is available,” he said, adding that captive power plants would also be switched to LNG.

In reply to another question, he said a transparent process had been followed in awarding LNG contract and all required information and record were provided to the National Accountability Bureau. “I have been engaged personally in process of LNG and, therefore, take full responsibility and am available for any questioning or accountability,” he said.

He said that a summary had also been moved to the Council of Common Interests to approve regulation of LPG prices to provide relief to consumers but the CCI had not met for 10 months.

#Pakistan has 10,159 trillion cubic feet of #shale gas & 3.2 trillion barrels of shale oil reserves: #USAID #energy http://tribune.com.pk/story/994883/...an-has-10159-tcf-of-shale-gas-deposits-usaid/

Pakistan has massive deposits of 10,159 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of shale gas and 2.3 trillion barrels of oil – estimates that are several times higher than figures given by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), reveals a study conducted with the help of US Agency for International Development (USAID).

EIA had reported in April 2011 that 206 tcf of shale gas was present in the lower Indus Basin, of which 51 tcf were technically recoverable.

However, in June 2013, EIA revised the estimate upwards to 586 tcf, of which 105 tcf were tipped as technically recoverable. Apart from gas, EIA also saw the presence of 9.1 billion barrels of shale oil that were technically recoverable out of the estimated deposits of 227 billion barrels.

Speaking at a press conference, Petroleum and Natural Resources Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi said the study was undertaken with the support of USAID in January 2014, and was completed in November this year.

He said the study confirmed that Pakistan had 10,159 tcf of shale gas and 2,323 billion barrels of oil reserves.

“Risked technically recoverable resource is 95 trillion cubic feet of shale gas and 14 billion barrels of shale oil,” Abbasi said, adding the data of 1,611 wells had been collected and shale formation of 1,312 wells was done through drilling.

He said 70% of data was used to develop the study and samples were sent to the New Tech laboratory in Houston, US for assessment. “Pakistan has the potential to produce shale gas and oil, which is more than expectations,” he remarked.

Abbasi insisted that the technology in Pakistan for exploring conventional oil and gas deposits could also be used for extracting shale reserves. Still, more technology was required for producing shale oil and gas on a large scale.

He cited environmental issues, provision of water and high cost of drilling as the real challenges. A well requires 3 to 8 million barrels of water.

“We have water but the real issue is its disposal,” he said, adding shale gas would cost $10 per million British thermal units. However, the cost will come down with the increase in recovery of untapped deposits.

He said the world was exploring shale gas and oil and Pakistan also wanted to harness that potential. “We have asked OGDC (Oil and Gas Development Company) and PPL (Pakistan Petroleum Limited) to extract shale gas and oil from a well in order to determine its cost.”

A policy for shale deposits will be formulated after the cost of drilling is determined.


According to Abbasi, Pakistan has 20 trillion cubic feet of conventional gas and 385 million barrels of oil. “Gas is enough to meet the needs for 15 years at the existing pace of production,” he said.

Adviser to Ministry of Petroleum Zaid Muzaffar revealed that OGDC was working on one conventional gas well in a bid to find shale gas and oil. “We hope it will get results in two to three months.”

A well needs $2 to $3 million of additional cost to reach the shale reserves.

Gas supply in winter

Abbasi said gas would be available in Punjab to domestic consumers only and liquefied natural gas (LNG) would be consumed to run power and fertiliser plants.


Compressed natural gas (CNG) stations may get LNG if it was available and captive power plants would also be switched to this fuel, he said.

The minister stressed that the petroleum ministry had followed a transparent process in the award of LNG contract. It has provided all information to the National Accountability Bureau, which has asked for a presentation.

He revealed that the ministry had sent a summary to the Economic Coordination Committee for deregulating oil prices, but it was turned down. “We are looking at the petroleum situation again to assess whether it should be deregulated or not.”
 
Drilling of first #shale oil& gas wells starts in #Sindh, #Pakistan: Minister Abbasi | Business Recorder Drilling of first shale oil/gas well starts in Sindh: Abbasi | Business Recorder

The state-owned Exploration and Production (E&P) companies; Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) and Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL), have started drilling of country''s first ever shale oil/gas well in Sindh. This was stated by Federal Minister for Petroleum and Natural Resources Shahid Khaqan Abbasi, who was flanked by State Minister for Petroleum Jam Kamal Khan and Advisor Petroleum Ministry Zahid Muzafar, while addressing a press conference here ion Thursday.

He said that in a new study undertaken by Director General Petroleum Concession (DGPC) with financial support from United States Agency for International Development (USAID) the shale gas revised in place resources of the country stand at 10,159 Trillion Cubic Feet (TCF) against previous estimated resources of 586 TCF. The minister said that out of this an estimated 200 TCF of shale gas resources are recoverable against 105 TCF of previous study.

Advisor Petroleum Ministry Zahid Muzafar, who is also Chairman Board of Directors OGDCL, in response to a question on the completion of first shale oil/gas well of the country said that it would be completed within four to five months and after the completion of first well the government will be in a position to determine wellhead price for shale gas/oil. He added that it would be around $10 per Million British Thermal Unit and on the basis of the pilot project the government will devise shale oil/gas policy to formally invite the local as well as international E&P companies to invest in the sector. Abbasi said that the new study had put the shale oil resources at 2,323 Billions of Stock Tank Barrels (BSTB) of which technically recoverable resources were 58 BSTB and risked technically recoverable resources estimated at 14 BSTB.

----

Talking to reporters on the occasion DGPC Saeedullah Shah said that the US Energy Information Administration (USEIA) in April 2011 reported presence of 206 TCF Shale Gas in Place Resource in Lower Indus Basin out of which 51 TCF were technically recoverable. However, in June 2013, USEIA revised Shale Gas resource in Pakistan as 586 TCF in place out of which 105 TCF were tipped as risked technically recoverable and also included 9.1 Billion Barrel Shale Oil risked technically recoverable resource out of 227 Billion Barrel Shale Oil in place.

The DGPC added that to get authenticate Shale Gas Resources in the country, Shale Gas Study with financial support from USAID was initiated in January 2014. The objectives of the study were to (i) validate Shale Gas Resource estimate of USEIA, (ii) assess availability of required technology and infrastructure for Shale Gas operations and (iii) formulate guidelines for Shale Gas Policy. The study was completed in November 2015 with a total cost of $2.2 millions. The study covered lower and middle Indus basin which geographically spread over Sindh and southern part of Punjab and eastern part of Balochistan province. Total area under the study was 271,700 km, which constitutes 33 percent of total sedimentary area of Pakistan. Under the study, detailed analysis of 124 wells were carried out including laboratory analysis on Shale Cores and Cuttings in USA. The study has confirmed presence of substantial Shale Gas and Shale Oil as under:

In place resource: Free gas (TCF), 3,778, adsorbed gas (TCF), 6,381Total gas (TCF), 10,159 and Oil (BSTB), 2,323 of which technically recoverable resource include free gas 188 TCF and Oil 58 BSTB. Risked technically recoverable resources are free gas 95 TCF and oil 14 BSTB.

Pak shale gas, oil reserve far higher than past estimate

Pakistan has around 200 trillion cubic feet of recoverable reserve of natural gas and around 58 billion barrels of oil in its shale structure which is higher than estimated previously, Minister for Petroleum and Natural Resources said.

Sharing findings of a recent Shale Gas Study, Minister for Petroleum and Natural Resources Shahid Khaqan Abbasi said the new data shows that reserves were many times larger than existing conventional gas reserves of around 20 trillion cubic feet (TCF) and 385 million barrels of oil.

A shale gas study initiated in January 2014 with the support of United States Agency for International Development (USAID) had been completed, proving that Pakistan had 10,159 TCF of shale gas resource and 2,323 billion barrels of shale oil.

“The conclusion (of the study) is that Pakistan has huge potential of shale gas and oil which is much bigger than previous estimates of the United States Energy Information Administration (USEIA) and technology is available at home to produce this resource,” he said.

He also said the USEIA had reported in April 2011 the presence of 206 TCF shale gas in lower Indus Basin out of which 51 TCF was termed technically recoverable.

USEIA in June 2013 revised it saying that the shale gas resource was at 586 TCF, out of which 105 TCF was tipped as risked technically recoverable.

It also included 9.1 billion barrels of shale oil risked technically recoverable out of 227 billion barrels shale oil in place.

Abbasi said Pakistan’s conventional oil and gas exploration technology could be used for exploiting shale oil and gas but it still needed more advanced technology for exploiting shale oil and gas resource on a larger scale.

He said that the exploration of shale reserves involves huge cost and two local companies Oil and gas Development Corporation Limited and Pakistan petroleum were asked to explore shale gas and oil from one well to determine the cost.

Once exploited, the new reserves will change the economic landscape of Pakistan, which is suffering massive energy shortages.–PTI


Pak shale gas, oil reserve far higher than past estimate | IndiaPost
 
Pakistan has 10,159 tcf of shale gas deposits: USAID
  • ISLAMABAD:
    Pakistan has massive deposits of 10,159 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of shale gas and 2.3 trillion barrels of oil – estimates that are several times higher than figures given by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), reveals a study conducted with the help of US Agency for International Development (USAID).


    EIA had reported in April 2011 that 206 tcf of shale gas was present in the lower Indus Basin, of which 51 tcf were technically recoverable.

    Rajgarh: Gas and water supply issues hot on the agenda

    However, in June 2013, EIA revised the estimate upwards to 586 tcf, of which 105 tcf were tipped as technically recoverable. Apart from gas, EIA also saw the presence of 9.1 billion barrels of shale oil that were technically recoverable out of the estimated deposits of 227 billion barrels.

    Speaking at a press conference, Petroleum and Natural Resources Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi said the study was undertaken with the support of USAID in January 2014, and was completed in November this year.

    He said the study confirmed that Pakistan had 10,159 tcf of shale gas and 2,323 billion barrels of oil reserves.

    Iran has not much gas for sale, Pakistan must act swiftly

    “Risked technically recoverable resource is 95 trillion cubic feet of shale gas and 14 billion barrels of shale oil,” Abbasi said, adding the data of 1,611 wells had been collected and shale formation of 1,312 wells was done through drilling.

    He said 70% of data was used to develop the study and samples were sent to the New Tech laboratory in Houston, US for assessment. “Pakistan has the potential to produce shale gas and oil, which is more than expectations,” he remarked.

    Abbasi insisted that the technology in Pakistan for exploring conventional oil and gas deposits could also be used for extracting shale reserves. Still, more technology was required for producing shale oil and gas on a large scale.

    China-funded LNG project to turn into Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline: petroleum minister

    He cited environmental issues, provision of water and high cost of drilling as the real challenges. A well requires 3 to 8 million barrels of water.

    “We have water but the real issue is its disposal,” he said, adding shale gas would cost $10 per million British thermal units. However, the cost will come down with the increase in recovery of untapped deposits.

    He said the world was exploring shale gas and oil and Pakistan also wanted to harness that potential. “We have asked OGDC (Oil and Gas Development Company) and PPL (Pakistan Petroleum Limited) to extract shale gas and oil from a well in order to determine its cost.”

    A policy for shale deposits will be formulated after the cost of drilling is determined.

    Winter is coming, gas supply is going

    According to Abbasi, Pakistan has 20 trillion cubic feet of conventional gas and 385 million barrels of oil. “Gas is enough to meet the needs for 15 years at the existing pace of production,” he said.

    Adviser to Ministry of Petroleum Zaid Muzaffar revealed that OGDC was working on one conventional gas well in a bid to find shale gas and oil. “We hope it will get results in two to three months.”

    A well needs $2 to $3 million of additional cost to reach the shale reserves.

    Gas supply in winter

    Abbasi said gas would be available in Punjab to domestic consumers only and liquefied natural gas (LNG) would be consumed to run power and fertiliser plants.

    Pakistan, Russia sign gas pipeline agreement

    Compressed natural gas (CNG) stations may get LNG if it was available and captive power plants would also be switched to this fuel, he said.

    The minister stressed that the petroleum ministry had followed a transparent process in the award of LNG contract. It has provided all information to the National Accountability Bureau, which has asked for a presentation.

    He revealed that the ministry had sent a summary to the Economic Coordination Committee for deregulating oil prices, but it was turned down. “We are looking at the petroleum situation again to assess whether it should be deregulated or not.”

    Published in The Express Tribune, November 20th, 2015
  • Pakistan has 10,159 tcf of shale gas deposits: USAID - The Express Tribune
 

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First Thar coal was supposed to be the answer to all maladies. Now shale. Next will be uranium.
 
First Thar coal was supposed to be the answer to all maladies. Now shale. Next will be uranium.

Short term answer for Pakistan is LNG which is really cheap due to its glut right now.

Haq's Musings: Will Pakistan Benefit From LNG Glut Pushing Prices to New Lows?

LNG spot prices hit a new low of $4 per mmBTU as the supply continues to significantly outstrip demand. It's creating opportunities for Pakistan to get access to large supply of cheap fuel for its power generation.

With softening demand from China and 130 million tons per year (mmpta) of additional LNG supply set to reach market over the next five years, gas research firm Wood Mackenzie sees continuing downward pressure on global LNG spot prices.


LNG Price History Source: WSJ



“The entire industry is worried because it is hard to tell when China’s demand will pick up again,” said an LNG strategist at a Malaysian energy company who attended the Wood Mackenzie conference in Singapore, according to Wall Street Journal. “Rising demand from smaller countries such as Pakistan, Egypt and Bangladesh is not enough to offset the declining demand from north Asia.”

As recently as two years ago, LNG shipped to big North Asian countries like Japan and Korea sold at around $15 to $16 a million British thermal units. This month, the price has already hit $6.65 a million BTUs, down 12% from September, according to research firm Energy Aspects. It expects prices to fall further in Asia next year, to under $6 per million BTUs, as a wave of new gas supply in countries from the U.S. to Angola to Australia comes on line, according to Wall Street Journal.

Petronet LNG Ltd, India’s biggest importer of liquefied natural gas (LNG), is saving so much money buying the commodity from the spot market that it’s willing to risk penalties for breaking long-term contracts with Qatar.

This is a great opportunity for Pakistan to take advantage of historically low LNG prices to alleviate its severe load-shedding of gas and electricity. Recently, Pakistan has launched its first LNG import terminal in Karachi and started receiving shipments from Qatar. Pakistan has also signed a $2 billion deal with Russians to build a north-south pipeline from Gwadar to Lahore. But the country needs to rapidly build up capacity to handle imports and distribution of significant volumes of LNG needed to resolve itsacute long-running energy crisis.



Related Links:

Haq's Musings

Pakistan's Twin Energy Crises of Gas and Electricity

Affordable Fuel For Pakistan's Power Generation

Pakistan Shale Oil and Gas Deposits

China-Pakistan Economic Corridor

Blackouts and Bailouts in Energy Rich Pakistan

Pakistanis Suffer Load Shedding While IPPs Profits Surge

Haq's Musings: Will Pakistan Benefit From LNG Glut Pushing Prices to New Lows?
 
I did some research on process of fracking and extraction of gas from shale rock formations.

This method is potentially very hazardous to the environment. As part of the fracking process mixture of water , sand and different chemicals is pumped down the bore into the share rock.

Water and Sand are benign but the Chemicals include Beryllium , Arsenic ( Highly poisonous ) and even Radons ( which is Radi active ). This mixture is pumped in to cause the fractures but it is also pumped out and it becomes so toxic that nothing more can be done with , no recycling.

Fracking process has been known since 1940 , so its not new. Haliburton ( of Dick Cheny fame ) pioneered this method and process , in the United States 60% of the gas comes from shale gas.

In states like Pennsylvania environmental damage has already been recorded.

United States is and industrialized country and their land mass is very large so maybe they can afford to damage their environment

Even though the bore made for shale gas extraction is very deep up 6000 feet below ground , groundwater is at about 50 to 100 feet , still the pipe goes through the aquifer and chemicals can leak into groundwater. Finally when all the gas from the shale well is extracted , to close off the well the toxic mixture is poured back into the well and sealed off, which can seep back into the groundwater and soil.

Pakistan is an agricultural country and if we pump poison down into the Indus basin , which is the bread basket , then the damage could be immense.
I did some research on process of fracking and extraction of gas from shale rock formations.

This method is potentially very hazardous to the environment. As part of the fracking process mixture of water , sand and different chemicals is pumped down the bore into the share rock.

Water and Sand are benign but the Chemicals include Beryllium , Arsenic ( Highly poisonous ) and even Radons ( which is Radi active ). This mixture is pumped in to cause the fractures but it is also pumped out and it becomes so toxic that nothing more can be done with , no recycling.

Fracking process has been known since 1940 , so its not new. Haliburton ( of Dick Cheny fame ) pioneered this method and process , in the United States 60% of the gas comes from shale gas.

In states like Pennsylvania environmental damage has already been recorded.

United States is and industrialized country and their land mass is very large so maybe they can afford to damage their environment

Even though the bore made for shale gas extraction is very deep up 6000 feet below ground , groundwater is at about 50 to 100 feet , still the pipe goes through the aquifer and chemicals can leak into groundwater. Finally when all the gas from the shale well is extracted , to close off the well the toxic mixture is poured back into the well and sealed off, which can seep back into the groundwater and soil.

Pakistan is an agricultural country and if we pump poison down into the Indus basin , which is the bread basket , then the damage could be immense.


Hi folks…. I haven’t posted for a while but decided to do so to clear some very blatant misconceptions and fears surrounding the hydraulic fracturing process (fracking) from tight rocks (shales etc).

1. Are there risks associated with fracking? Yes. But are these risks greater than other mineral mining processes? No. The environmental footprint of surface mining is probably as destructive if not worse than the dreaded fracking.
2. Basic procedure of hydraulic fracturing is pumping in high pressured polymer water mixture (aka pad) followed by propane (sand of a specific date diameter size). The other idea is to injec fluids beyond the rock fracture pressures and create a fracture matrix to increase the permeability to allow the trapped hydrocarbons to flow to the wellbore. Water polymer mixture may contain toxins as described in a post above. But more environmentally friendly frac fluid are being developed and utilized at an increasing rate.
3. The problem with fracking is that most of action is taking place subsurface which leads to speculation by environmentalists while surface mining damage is mostly visible.
4. I would recommend fracturing be banned anything above than 150 meters below Base of Groundwater. Fracking should also be restricted in areas where there are geological faults and above than normal insitu stresses. Especially close to the Himalayan range. Fracking can cause induced seismicity.
5. As long as the Caprock (the rock formation above the shale) is not penetrated (this can be done through proper frac design ie minifrac) and through proper core sample analysis, and as long as the base of groundwater is safeguarded…. Then fracking is a very viable technology.
6. True… fracking technology has been around since the 1940s…. But now they are drilling the horizontal wells which are in the shape of an L …. And the horizontal section can be over 2km long! And they are fracking that horizontal section with 20 to even +40 stages stages of fracs per well… this have been unheard of even 5 years ago.
In your analysis you state that after the production from a frac well they dispose for the frac fluid back into the same well. This could not be further from the truth. Disposal of frac fluid in the same well will be technically very difficult. Ideally disposal os into a permeable depleted reservoir where migration of fluids into another permeable zones is highly unlikely.
7. Yes, Pakistan allow shale development… but make sure you have proper regulations are in place!
 
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Yes. But you need to sign the contract, instead of just discussing it. I think the below article will interest you and
@niaz


Oil prices and the Syrian civil war

It's not wise to sign a long term purchase agreement when LNG prices are falling due to glut in the LNG spot market.

Pakistan should wait until the spot market price stabilizes.
 

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