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Pakistan's Future Depends on India, China and the US
Stephen P. Cohen | Asian Journal of Public Affairs |
While Pakistan is often called a failed state it is more accurately labeled as a flailing state. The PPP-PML coalition cannot solve every problem alone but needs help from India, China and the US. These nations, which had once contributed to the distortion of Pakistani politics, may now play a positive role in assisting Pakistanis develop a democratic order to cope with several critical challenges.
The PPP-PML coalition cannot solve every problem alone but needs help from outside nations. These nations, which had once contributed to the distortion of Pakistani politics, may now play a positive role in assisting Pakistanis develop a democratic order to cope with several critical challenges.
* India, Pakistan's largest neighbor, could surely play the largest role in helping shape Pakistan's democratic future. Tensions between the two are still high. The conflict over Kashmir and Pakistan's support for Islamic extremists are just two issues that will not be resolved in the near future. However, Pakistan's attitude toward India has changed markedly and it now makes sense to open economic ties, encourage non-official dialogue and academic exchange to help the process of mutual cooperation and help dispel old rivalries. India, by showing their support as natural partners, also needs to convince Pakistan that its intentions in Afghanistan are not part of an encirclement strategy.
* China is regarded in Pakistan as its oldest, most trusted friend, but it is concerned about Pakistan's growing Islamic extremism. Even through a democratic Pakistan is not a goal for China, it is even willing to work with other states, like the US, to help stabilize and develop a competent civilian government that enables a transit route from Western China to the Arabian Sea and the Middle East.
* The United States has long supported military regimes in Pakistan until Benazir Bhutto promised a more effective anti-terror strategy than Musharraf could deliver. Washington had not make it clear that it supported all democratic forces in Pakistan, yet the American ambassador has now set an example in doing so in the form of meetings with a wide range of newly elected officials and newly freed judges. America should also make its military assistance conditional, as it has been paying too much for too little cooperation. Yet, it should work with like-minded states, notably Japan and the EU countries, to ensure the increase and effectiveness of developmental and educational programs.
Pakistan's government agencies had been systematically starved over the years, which justified army rule as being the only organized way for the region to function. New investment and aid strategies, not only from the US, but also from states in the EU and wealthy Asian powers, will help to rebuild Pakistan's enfeebled bureaucracy.
Its key function regarding terrorism, its nuclear capabilities, and its potential as a moderate Muslim state constitute Pakistan's special political role. Even though saving Pakistan will be tough, politicians, journalists, and academics are finally realizing that this is the last chance for a secular and moderate state.
This summary was prepared by the Atlantic Community editorial team from "Pakistan's Second Last Chance" published here in the Asian Journal of Public Affairs
Stephen P. Cohen | Asian Journal of Public Affairs |
While Pakistan is often called a failed state it is more accurately labeled as a flailing state. The PPP-PML coalition cannot solve every problem alone but needs help from India, China and the US. These nations, which had once contributed to the distortion of Pakistani politics, may now play a positive role in assisting Pakistanis develop a democratic order to cope with several critical challenges.
The PPP-PML coalition cannot solve every problem alone but needs help from outside nations. These nations, which had once contributed to the distortion of Pakistani politics, may now play a positive role in assisting Pakistanis develop a democratic order to cope with several critical challenges.
* India, Pakistan's largest neighbor, could surely play the largest role in helping shape Pakistan's democratic future. Tensions between the two are still high. The conflict over Kashmir and Pakistan's support for Islamic extremists are just two issues that will not be resolved in the near future. However, Pakistan's attitude toward India has changed markedly and it now makes sense to open economic ties, encourage non-official dialogue and academic exchange to help the process of mutual cooperation and help dispel old rivalries. India, by showing their support as natural partners, also needs to convince Pakistan that its intentions in Afghanistan are not part of an encirclement strategy.
* China is regarded in Pakistan as its oldest, most trusted friend, but it is concerned about Pakistan's growing Islamic extremism. Even through a democratic Pakistan is not a goal for China, it is even willing to work with other states, like the US, to help stabilize and develop a competent civilian government that enables a transit route from Western China to the Arabian Sea and the Middle East.
* The United States has long supported military regimes in Pakistan until Benazir Bhutto promised a more effective anti-terror strategy than Musharraf could deliver. Washington had not make it clear that it supported all democratic forces in Pakistan, yet the American ambassador has now set an example in doing so in the form of meetings with a wide range of newly elected officials and newly freed judges. America should also make its military assistance conditional, as it has been paying too much for too little cooperation. Yet, it should work with like-minded states, notably Japan and the EU countries, to ensure the increase and effectiveness of developmental and educational programs.
Pakistan's government agencies had been systematically starved over the years, which justified army rule as being the only organized way for the region to function. New investment and aid strategies, not only from the US, but also from states in the EU and wealthy Asian powers, will help to rebuild Pakistan's enfeebled bureaucracy.
Its key function regarding terrorism, its nuclear capabilities, and its potential as a moderate Muslim state constitute Pakistan's special political role. Even though saving Pakistan will be tough, politicians, journalists, and academics are finally realizing that this is the last chance for a secular and moderate state.
This summary was prepared by the Atlantic Community editorial team from "Pakistan's Second Last Chance" published here in the Asian Journal of Public Affairs