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China Can Attack Taiwan By 2020, Taipei Says

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China is acquiring the capabilities to mount a full attack on Taiwan by 2020, Taipei said in a biennial defense report on Monday.

In the 2013 ROC National Defense Report, Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) says that China will have the capability to forcibly reunite Taiwan and mainland by the year 2020. Focus Taiwan summarized the report as saying that China is building up its “combat capabilities to a level where it could launch an all-out attack on Taiwan, including the outlying islands.”

Among these capabilities, according to the report, China currently has 1,000 missiles aimed at Taiwan and this number has been on the rise. The report added that the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) “has stationed a large number of advanced aircraft within unrefueled range of Taiwan, providing them with a significant capability to conduct air superiority and ground operations against Taiwan.”

In the report, the MND also expresses concern about China’s procurement of two large amphibious assault ships, which it compares to the Landing Helicopter Assault (LHA) ships used by the U.S. Navy.

It also noted that Beijing is acquiring a number of capabilities—notably, the DF-21 anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM)—and perfecting so-called “combined operations” in order to have the necessary capabilities to deter third parties from intervening during a Chinese assault on Taiwan.

China is meanwhile constructing a multi-layered missile defense system to limit the amount of retaliation Taiwan can bring to bear against mainland China during an attack. “A number of long-range air defense systems provide strong layers of defense against a counterattack in mainland China,” the report said, Focus Taiwan reported.

Cheng Yun-peng, director-general of the MND's Department of Strategic Planning, said in a press conference this week that the 2020 timeframe is merely a rough estimate of when China would have the capabilities to overrun the island.

The National Defense Report noted that Taiwan is seeking to counter China’s moves by focusing on an asymmetrical homeland defense strategy. Cheng specifically alluded to the Hsiung Feng III anti-ship missiles Taiwan has developed to counter an amphibious assault from PLA forces.

Taiwan relies on the United States to provide much of its advanced weaponry. Earlier this month the U.S. delivered the first of twelve P-3C Orion patrol aircraft it is selling to Taiwan. The P-3C Orion is used for anti-submarine operations.

Last week, at a U.S.-Taiwan defense conference near Washington, DC, Taiwan’s Deputy Defense Minister Yen Teh-fa reaffirmed Taiwan’s desire to purchase submarines and advanced fighter jets from the U.S. Yen in particular said his government was prioritizing advanced conventional submarines, suggesting, along with the HF-3s, that Taiwan is intent on developing anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) capabilities.

Although the U.S. approved the sale of eight conventional submarines to Taiwan in 2001, the U.S. doesn’t make them itself and other countries that do, such as Germany, have been reluctant to sell to Taiwan for fear of offending China, which considers Taiwan as part of its sovereign territory.

Back in July, Taiwan also informed the U.S. that it wishes to purchase F-35s for national defense. The U.S. seemed to rule out this possibility back in 2011 when it agreed to upgrade Taiwan’s F-16s rather than sell more advanced F-35s to the island nation.

Over the weekend, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned a Taiwanese envoy he was meeting with that a resolution to their political divide couldn’t be put off indefinitely.

China Can Attack Taiwan By 2020, Taipei Says | China Power | The Diplomat
 
Taiwan need not bother, the whole world is behind Taiwan. This is the precise reason why China has refrained from attacking Taiwan for all these years.
 
Taiwan need not bother, the whole world is behind Taiwan. This is the precise reason why China has refrained from attacking Taiwan for all these years.

Really? Nothing to do with the fact Taiwan is China, and if we destroy it we would not only lose a major financial hub but also need to rebuild it.

You don't know nothing about Taiwan, if you are saying that.

Taiwan didn't break away, like Bangladesh to Pakistan. Taiwan until recently still claim to rule over all of China. It's more of a government in exile. Hence they are not called republic of Taiwan but of China.
 
Taiwan need not bother, the whole world is behind Taiwan. This is the precise reason why China has refrained from attacking Taiwan for all these years.

India is with you Taiwan...

And Taiwan, You know well how to tackle the "Big bully", Don't let the big bully scare you, the world is not only with you but in front of you.

bunch of cheerleaders acting up again!

your land will be bombed into stone ages long before we ever want to attack Taiwan, China!
 
Really? Nothing to do with the fact Taiwan is China, and if we destroy it we would not only lose a major financial hub but also need to rebuild it.

You don't know nothing about Taiwan, if you are saying that.

Taiwan didn't break away, like Bangladesh to Pakistan. Taiwan until recently still claim to rule over all of China. It's more of a government in exile. Hence they are not called republic of Taiwan but of China.

As far as I know Taiwan is independent. The fact that Taiwanese don't want to unify with China should ring a warning bell in Chinese ears. A poll conducted by TVBS in 2009 revealed that almost 70% want to be independent with only 13% want a unification. The issue of Taiwan has been discussed to death on PDF with so called 'Taiwanese' PDF members.

I am posting the link again:

http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/doshouldo/200912/doshouldo-20091218191946.pdf
 
When did India became part of this. Looks like many are eager to see Taiwan attacked, so that they can have a poor excuse to invade and "liberate" Tibet.

This is China's/Taiwan's domestic affairs. No other nations are part of this, especially the US.
 
I don't think there are much resistance from Taiwan in case of an attack. But the only pleasure to see the USA humiliated and unable to react give me great satisfaction

The USA are scared of the new aircraft-carrier destroyer Dong Feng 21D

Please attack us , ATTACK not move into our borders like mouses. We will show you... Action speaks

Why you sound like the vietnamese people here?
 
Taiwan need not bother, the whole world is behind Taiwan. This is the precise reason why China has refrained from attacking Taiwan for all these years.
Excuse me? When is the Indian in here becomes the leader of the world? You spoke as if you are some ******* big shot that can decide politics of other country. Let me remind you again, Taiwan did not have a seat at the UN. That tell you how much the world cares about it.
 
Excuse me? When is the Indian in here becomes the leader of the world? You spoke as if you are some ******* big shot that can decide politics of other country. Let me remind you again, Taiwan did not have a seat at the UN. That tell you how much the world cares about it.

You are not a leader too. This is a forum, you will stop us to write our opinions?
 
I hope the Indian have the ******* ball to intervene in our domestic affair.

You talk of guts and are afraid of an unarmed monk???

Do you have the guts to reclaim lands inhabited by ethnic Chinese for centuries in Muslim countries like Malaysia or Indonesia?? Why do you always have issues with non-Muslim countries and not with Muslim countries???

you treacherous gutless creatures, you ally with Muslims like Pakistanis because you cannot take on them.
 
and when did China become part of affairs between India and Pakistan???

after all, we have not yet supplied nuclear weapons and associated missiles to Taiwan, Vietnam etc. like China did to Pakistan. therefore your allegations are baseless.

The Chinese Maoists have committed the greatest crime by supplying nuclear tech to a fundamentalist Muslim country like Pakistan and will hve to pay the price. when democracy comes to China, we will urge the lovely Chinese people to let the bodies of Maoists be buried according to Muslim traditions in Pakistan since the Maoists are allies of Pakistan.

Before the 1962 war, Pakistan was hostile against China. After the war, Pakistan chose to align themselves to China, since the Indian troops near the Sino-Indian border were crushed by the Chinese PLA.

indo_china_war_20120102.jpg

sino-indian-war-in-1962.jpg

Looks like the inferiority complex runs deep.

Anyway, no nation wants India for help when making missiles and nuclear weapons. Your missiles and nukes aren't good enough, compare to China's.
 
As far as I know Taiwan is independent. The fact that Taiwanese don't want to unify with China should ring a warning bell in Chinese ears. A poll conducted by TVBS in 2009 revealed that almost 70% want to be independent with only 13% want a unification. The issue of Taiwan has been discussed to death on PDF with so called 'Taiwanese' PDF members.

I am posting the link again:

http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/doshouldo/200912/doshouldo-20091218191946.pdf

They are independent because we took all the mainland provinces from them except Taiwan. So of course we have no authority on the island. We are still in civil war for ALL of China.

Chiang was buried facing the mainland to signify his desire to get the mainland back.

Unification will happen when we are much more developed. The reason for not wanting to unify is Taiwan is much much richer. Same reason HKers ran for the hills in 1997 but a lot of them came back, the political system is the same, but we are much richer.
 

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