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Challenges that the IAF faces on its march ahead By Air Commodore Jasjit Singh (retd)

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Challenges that the IAF faces on its march ahead
By Air Commodore Jasjit Singh (retd)


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The ongoing transformation of IAF is something it is likely to take in its stride as it has done through many transitions and challenges in the past. But what makes this transition extremely significant is that for the first time in its history of the past 78 years, it is moving into the same class as the air forces of the leading and most developed countries of the world. Thus, it is important to keep a close watch on the type and nature of challenges that either arise out of its own transformation process or are triggered by the balance of air power especially where it tilts adverse to it.

The complexity of the challenges for the IAF may be gauged from the fact that while it is well on its way to play a strategic role in peace and war in the coming years, one of its first priority is to reverse the unplanned decline in its combat force level that has hit it during the past few years. Hence, we can at best deal with a few of the challenges in this article.

The air force has been authorised 39.5 combat squadrons since the late Eighties as an interim force against the 50 combat squadron force sanctioned by the Cabinet in 1963 after the post-Sino-Indian war assessment.

But by all accounts the force level has dropped to around 28 squadrons or so and may well go down further before it starts to move up. This is what makes the MMRCA acquisition so important; and if managed well and the quantity is raised to 190-plus aircraft (because of time over-runs, especially with a new engine in LCA, and delayed aircraft replacements) against the original calculation of 126 aircraft it is possible to recover from the depletion and start moving toward at least 42+ squadrons by 2022.

The recovery and build up to authorised level of 50 combat squadrons has become essential in view of the rapid build up of the Chinese Air Force as well as by China’s strategic partner and neo-ally, Pakistan.

China is well ahead of India in shear numbers of fourth generation aircraft, conventionally armed intermediate ballistic missiles, ASAT capabilities and space programme for military purposes, cyber and information warfare etc.

Pakistan Air Force is being furiously modernised by accessing arms from the United States as well as China (which now produces 4th generation combat aircraft and claims to have designed the fifth generation fighter).

This is a far cry from the Chinese Air Force of early Eighties when it had aircraft of 1950 vintage, though in huge numbers, and weakened PAF in the late Nineties forcing the latter to stay out of battle during the Kargil War in 1999.

The central factor that makes these and other issues so important is the reality that air power has played a crucial role in all and every war during the past century that it has been around. Fundamentally, air forces enjoy a unique capability not available to surface forces: that air forces can exercise influence over and even control the movements and actions of surface force while the reverse is not possible except in a very limited way through terminal defences.

Hence air forces are far more capable of generating strategic effect than the land forces (and naval forces cannot operate effectively without cover of mostly integral air power).

Modern air power does not have to fly over the well defended target or even close to it and yet destroy or at least neutralise it from beyond visual range. Technological capabilities have made long range precision strike a reality. Two main issues need attention.
 
There are successful reports that government might sanction the more fighter aircraft squadrons for IAF. The Indian Air Force (IAF) has sent a proposal to the defence ministry to increase its sanctioned fighter aircraft strength from 39.5 to 45 squadrons. If this happens, India will need many fighters.

In MMRCA contract, there is an option for follow-on order of upto 50%. That means India will have an option to buy 63 more fighters. This means 10.5 squadrons. If we are able to induct them by 2020, then it would be really good because by that time FGFA will be in production and India would have inducted 50 PakFa fighters which are single engine.

Apart from them HAL will also be busy in producing 140 LCA and the number of Su30 mki will reach 270 by 2018.

The only question is whether we will be able to maintain the rate of induction as compared to the rate of phasing out of old Russian fleet. But it looks like picture is not good as our companies are known for delays. The oldest MiG-21 Type-77 is likely to be decommissioned by the end of next year. Not to mention the number aircrafts which HAL will be producing simultaneously during this period.

Between 2010-2020 HAL will be many different kinds of aircrafts and helicopters.
1) LCA
2) Su30 mki
3) Various upgrades like that of Mig29, Mirage 2000 and Jaguar.
4) MMRCA
5) FGFA (Although it would be at the end of the decade).
6) MRTA (transport aircraft).
7) Dhruv
8) LCH
9) LUH
10) IMRH
11) Tainer aircrats

Either HAL should think about improving their capacity as all this seems impossible. Good news is that there are reports of HAL investing in improving its manufacturing capacity. Also there are many companies coming up to support HAL in its production both in fighter aircrafts and helicopter fields.

But the bigger problems are, IAF will be fighting to maintains its present fleet of 28 squadrons as more and more jets will start to decommission. Not to mention IAF has to reach 39.5 strength which is actually sanctioned for IAF. All this is against the AF of the worlds second fastest growing economy.
 
I think its now time for Indian govt. to also increase the number of fighter jets in Indian Navy fleet also. Navy of many countries have carrier based fighter jets as well as shore based fighter jets. With the increase in number of shipyards and other developments along the shore and not to mention the new and new threats arising to our country and islands, its now time that IN also start setting up some airbases along the shore.

IN should add some 200 fighter jets in its fleet apart from the proposed carrier based fighter jets.

To meet these challenges India should consider directly importing fighter jets from the vendors as we don't have the facility to manufacture them in India just like the last 42 fighter mki will be directly imported from Russia.
 
IAF as too many combat Types to be effienct

And to dependant on Overseas Technology.

China is now a totally indengious ar power of great size.

Until india developes it indengious Aerospace power they cant compete.
 

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